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Cematrix Corp (TSE:CEMX)
TSX:CEMX
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Cematrix (CEMX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CEMX

Cematrix

(TSX:CEMX)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
C$0.59
▲(14.71% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/31/26
Overall score is driven primarily by improved financial performance and balance-sheet strength, reinforced by a positive earnings call featuring strong growth/profitability metrics, healthy liquidity, and backlog. The score is tempered by historical volatility in revenue and cash conversion, limited technical indicator coverage beyond moving averages, and a mid-range valuation without dividend support.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet / low leverage
Very low leverage and a sizable equity base give Cematrix durable financial flexibility. This reduces refinancing and solvency risk during project-driven cycles, enables funding of opportunistic M&A or NCIBs from internal resources, and supports operations through construction seasonality.
Negative Factors
Revenue lumpiness and seasonality
Heavy reliance on large project timing produces structural quarter-to-quarter volatility in revenue and utilization. That persistent lumpiness complicates capacity planning, forecasting, and smoothing SG&A leverage, making multi-quarter cash and earnings visibility inherently limited.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet / low leverage
Very low leverage and a sizable equity base give Cematrix durable financial flexibility. This reduces refinancing and solvency risk during project-driven cycles, enables funding of opportunistic M&A or NCIBs from internal resources, and supports operations through construction seasonality.
Read all positive factors

Cematrix (CEMX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Cematrix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
CEMATRIX Corporation, operating through its subsidiaries, specializes in the on-site manufacturing and distribution of cellular concrete. This versatile material finds extensive use across the infrastructure, industrial, and commercial constructio...
How the Company Makes Money
CEMATRIX makes money primarily by winning and executing project-based contracts to supply and place cellular concrete on customer job sites. Revenue is generally generated from: (1) turnkey installation services—quoting a project, mobilizing speci...

Cematrix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong top-line growth, record and improving profitability, robust cash generation, healthy backlog and a strong balance sheet with no planned capital raise. Management acknowledged normal construction seasonality, some margin-percentage pressure driven by project mix, variability in working capital timing, and headwinds around potential tariff uncertainty and M&A valuation gaps. Overall, the positive operational and financial momentum and ample liquidity outweighed the described risks and variability.
Positive Updates
Strong Quarter Revenue Growth
Q2 revenue of $18.7 million, a 76% increase year-over-year; year-to-date revenue of $26.0 million, up 50% vs prior year.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Percent Pressure / Variability
While gross margin on a dollar basis improved vs prior year, gross margin percentage for the quarter was slightly lower year-over-year (management noted percent was down and normalization would shift results by a point or two). Margins remain sensitive to contract mix and large-project pricing.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Quarter Revenue Growth
Q2 revenue of $18.7 million, a 76% increase year-over-year; year-to-date revenue of $26.0 million, up 50% vs prior year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that 2026 should be “another great year,” saying they are on track to the previously stated 3% target and expect SG&A to trend lower in H2 while reinvesting savings into sales/sales‑support; they reiterated no capital raise is planned (only accretive M&A) and continued NCIB activity. Key metrics cited: Q2 revenue $18.7M (+76% YoY) and YTD revenue $26.0M (+50% vs. prior period), Q2 operating income $4.3M (+$2.5M YoY) and Q2 adjusted EBITDA $5.0M, record 2025 adjusted EBITDA $8.3M, 2025 cash from operations $8.2M and EPS $0.027, cash balance $16.0M and backlog $61.5M at June 30, shares outstanding 149.7M (FD ~157.8M) with ~11% insider ownership (~16M), and share price $0.51 on July 24 (up 96% since end‑2024).

Cematrix Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong turnaround supported by improved profitability and growth (TTM revenue +17.7%, EBITDA margin ~15.9%, net margin ~8.3) and a notably conservative balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.08). Cash generation is currently solid (TTM FCF ~C$9.7M; operating cash flow ~2.33x net income), but results have been volatile historically with meaningful swings in revenue and cash conversion across years.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue53.85M45.09M35.36M53.30M29.00M22.60M
Gross Profit17.10M15.36M9.42M11.88M2.52M3.90M
EBITDA10.19M7.59M2.50M4.44M-3.44M1.02M
Net Income5.96M4.06M270.00K1.24M-5.56M-1.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets53.76M47.69M43.40M39.28M40.82M44.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.18M11.94M10.29M3.29M10.68M19.95M
Total Debt3.15M3.43M3.59M3.24M7.58M8.39M
Total Liabilities10.04M7.19M6.02M10.56M13.07M12.81M
Stockholders Equity43.72M40.51M37.37M28.72M27.74M31.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.73M2.96M2.90M-1.46M-5.09M-1.51M
Operating Cash Flow10.17M3.49M4.90M503.00K-3.20M-834.00K
Investing Cash Flow-530.00K-609.00K-2.02M-2.03M-4.04M-619.00K
Financing Cash Flow-2.18M-1.13M3.98M-5.82M-2.31M18.95M

Cematrix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.51
Price Trends
50DMA
0.49
Positive
100DMA
0.50
Negative
200DMA
0.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
51.58
Neutral
STOCH
63.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CEMX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.50, above the 50-day MA of 0.49, and above the 200-day MA of 0.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CEMX.

Cematrix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
C$74.12M12.5614.58%42.65%210.94%
65
Neutral
C$998.74M11.6812.52%4.83%1.80%13.21%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
57
Neutral
C$9.17M29.335.15%0.18%-52.51%
54
Neutral
C$382.12M13.499.04%-5.27%-37.28%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CEMX
Cematrix
0.50
0.18
56.25%
TSE:DBM
Doman Building Materials Group
11.33
2.19
23.89%
TSE:FBF
Fab-Form
0.99
-0.21
-17.92%
TSE:TBL
Taiga Building Prod
3.62
0.27
8.06%
TSE:BILD
BuildDirect.com Technologies Inc
2.52
-0.12
-4.55%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2026