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Cematrix Corp (TSE:CEMX)
TSX:CEMX

Cematrix (CEMX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CEMX

Cematrix

(TSX:CEMX)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
C$0.53
▲(51.14% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/17/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance and a conservative balance sheet, supported by bullish technical momentum. A positive earnings-call outlook (record metrics and strong 2026 expectations) adds strength, while revenue/cash-flow variability and near-overbought RSI conditions keep the score from being higher.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet / low leverage
CEMATRIX's materially lower leverage and absence of long-term debt provide durable financial flexibility. This conservatism supports bid competitiveness, weathering construction cycle volatility, and funding for equipment, working capital or opportunistic growth without immediate refinancing risk.
Negative Factors
Lumpy, seasonal revenue profile
The company's dependence on seasonal construction cycles creates persistent revenue lumpiness and timing risk. This undermines predictability of utilization, cash conversion and staffing needs, complicating long-term planning and making multi-quarter comparisons and forecasting less reliable.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet / low leverage
CEMATRIX's materially lower leverage and absence of long-term debt provide durable financial flexibility. This conservatism supports bid competitiveness, weathering construction cycle volatility, and funding for equipment, working capital or opportunistic growth without immediate refinancing risk.
Read all positive factors

Cematrix (CEMX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Cematrix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
CEMATRIX Corporation, through its subsidiaries, focuses on the sale and onsite production of cellular concrete for various applications in the infrastructure, industrial, and commercial construction markets in North America. Its cellular concrete ...
How the Company Makes Money
CEMATRIX makes money primarily by delivering project-based cellular concrete solutions to customers as part of construction and infrastructure work. Its revenue model is largely contract and project driven: customers (e.g., contractors, project ow...

Cematrix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with record-breaking metrics in several areas, indicating positive growth and financial health. However, challenges such as revenue variability and project delays were noted. Overall, the sentiment is positive due to the significant achievements and financial strength highlighted during the call.
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Financial Performance
CEMATRIX reported a record adjusted EBITDA of $5.9 million year-to-date in 2025, surpassing its best year ever of 2023. The company also achieved a record $5.6 million in cash flow from operations before working capital adjustments.
Negative Updates
Seasonal Business and Revenue Variability
CEMATRIX's revenue growth is described as 'lumpy' due to the seasonal nature of construction projects, which can lead to variability in financial performance.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
Record-Breaking Financial Performance
CEMATRIX reported a record adjusted EBITDA of $5.9 million year-to-date in 2025, surpassing its best year ever of 2023. The company also achieved a record $5.6 million in cash flow from operations before working capital adjustments.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During CEMATRIX's Q3 2025 financial results webinar, the company provided robust guidance underscoring its strong performance and future outlook. The company reported a cumulative annual revenue growth of 24% since 2017, achieving record commitments in 2025 with expectations of another strong year in 2026. Metrics highlighted included a 51% increase in Q3 revenue compared to the previous year, a $5.9 million year-to-date adjusted EBITDA, and a $5.6 million year-to-date cash flow from operations. CEMATRIX also emphasized its financial stability with $9.9 million in cash and no long-term debt. The firm noted that while 2023 was a record year, 2024 was a step-back year, yet still profitable. Looking ahead, the company anticipates continued growth driven by increased infrastructure spending in North America and its competitive advantages in the cellular concrete market.

Cematrix Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Clear turnaround in profitability and balance-sheet strength (solid 2023–2025 results and low leverage), but confidence is tempered by volatile revenue and uneven historical cash-flow consistency (notably weak/negative in 2021–2023 and operating cash flow below net income in 2025).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue45.09M35.36M53.30M29.00M22.60M
Gross Profit15.36M9.42M11.88M2.52M3.90M
EBITDA7.59M2.50M4.44M-3.44M1.02M
Net Income4.06M270.00K1.24M-5.56M-1.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets47.69M43.40M39.28M40.82M44.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.94M10.29M3.29M10.68M19.95M
Total Debt3.43M3.59M3.24M7.58M8.39M
Total Liabilities7.19M6.02M10.56M13.07M12.81M
Stockholders Equity40.51M37.37M28.72M27.74M31.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.96M2.90M-1.46M-5.09M-1.51M
Operating Cash Flow3.49M4.90M503.00K-3.20M-834.00K
Investing Cash Flow-609.00K-2.02M-2.03M-4.04M-619.00K
Financing Cash Flow-1.13M3.98M-5.82M-2.31M18.95M

Cematrix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.35
Price Trends
50DMA
0.40
Positive
100DMA
0.37
Positive
200DMA
0.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
53.57
Neutral
STOCH
41.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CEMX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.44, below the 50-day MA of 0.40, and above the 200-day MA of 0.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CEMX.

Cematrix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
C$65.96M13.3310.61%-3.69%85.59%
65
Neutral
C$388.60M13.498.32%2.99%-12.14%
64
Neutral
C$842.53M10.2012.47%5.85%28.20%36.95%
63
Neutral
C$9.40M73.717.05%4.45%-27.12%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CEMX
Cematrix
0.45
0.26
136.84%
TSE:DBM
Doman Building Materials Group
9.57
2.94
44.34%
TSE:FBF
Fab-Form
1.00
-0.11
-9.91%
TSE:TBL
Taiga Building Prod
3.65
1.19
48.31%
TSE:BILD
BuildDirect.com Technologies Inc
2.45
1.26
105.88%

Cematrix Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CEMATRIX Adds $4.7 Million in Contracts, Signals Strong 2026 Pipeline
Positive
Mar 24, 2026
CEMATRIX Corporation has secured $4.7 million in new contract awards, bringing year-to-date wins to $17.0 million, with all newly announced work expected to be executed in 2026. The latest awards span grouting for a city infrastructure project, lo...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Cematrix Delivers Record 2025 Results With Surging EBITDA and Cash Flow
Positive
Mar 12, 2026
Cematrix reported record 2025 results, with full-year revenue rising 27% to $45.1 million, adjusted EBITDA surging 152% to $8.3 million, and earnings per share reaching 2.7 cents. Management highlighted that 2025 marked the third consecutive year ...
Financial Disclosures
CEMATRIX Sets March Dates for 2025 Year-End Results and Investor Webinar
Neutral
Mar 4, 2026
CEMATRIX Corporation, a North American leader in on-site cellular concrete solutions for geotechnical and infrastructure projects, operates through subsidiaries in Canada and the U.S. and offers lightweight, insulating concrete materials for appli...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cematrix Lifts 2026 Backlog With $5.2 Million in New Contract Wins
Positive
Feb 24, 2026
Cematrix Corporation has secured $5.2 million in new contract awards, bringing its year-to-date total to $12.3 million and reinforcing demand for its cellular concrete solutions in North American infrastructure and geotechnical projects. The lates...
Business Operations and Strategy
Cematrix Secures $7.1 Million in New Cellular Concrete Contracts
Positive
Jan 20, 2026
Cematrix Corporation has secured $7.1 million in new contract awards, largely for load-reducing and lightweight fill applications on highway, retaining wall and utility projects, along with a range of smaller jobs across Canada and the United Stat...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 17, 2026