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Cematrix Corp (TSE:CEMX)
TSX:CEMX

Cematrix (CEMX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CEMX

Cematrix

(TSX:CEMX)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$0.38
▲(11.18% Upside)
Cematrix's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and solid financial performance, particularly in profitability and revenue growth. The technical analysis and valuation are neutral, reflecting a balanced market view. The absence of corporate events and dividend yield slightly tempers the score, but the company's growth trajectory and financial stability provide a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Cematrix's significant revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Financial Stability
A strong cash position and lack of long-term debt enhance Cematrix's financial flexibility, supporting sustainable growth and resilience.
Market Opportunity
An increasing backlog reflects robust demand and future revenue potential, indicating strong market positioning and growth prospects.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Persistent cash flow issues may hinder Cematrix's ability to reinvest in growth and manage operations efficiently, impacting long-term stability.
Revenue Variability
Seasonal revenue fluctuations can lead to inconsistent financial performance, complicating long-term planning and investment strategies.
Project Delays
Delays in project execution can disrupt revenue streams and strain resources, potentially affecting Cematrix's growth trajectory.

Cematrix (CEMX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Cematrix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCEMATRIX Corporation, through its subsidiaries, focuses on the sale and onsite production of cellular concrete for various applications in the infrastructure, industrial, and commercial construction markets in North America. Its cellular concrete products are used as lightweight backfill for MSE walls, bridge approach fills, roadways and runways, and slope stabilization; insulation material for oil and gas facility slabs, roadways, shallow utilities, and contaminated site remediation; and grout, such as tunnel grouting, annular pipe grout, and pipe abandonment, as well as flowable fills applications. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyCematrix generates revenue primarily through the sale of its lightweight cellular concrete products and related services. The company's revenue model is based on direct sales to construction companies, contractors, and developers, who utilize its products in various construction applications. Key revenue streams include project-based sales, which often involve long-term contracts and partnerships with construction firms, as well as sales from its proprietary technology and equipment used in the production of concrete. Additionally, Cematrix benefits from strategic partnerships with industry stakeholders, enhancing its market reach and establishing a solid reputation in the construction sector, which contributes to its earnings.

Cematrix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with record-breaking metrics in several areas, indicating positive growth and financial health. However, challenges such as revenue variability and project delays were noted. Overall, the sentiment is positive due to the significant achievements and financial strength highlighted during the call.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Financial Performance
CEMATRIX reported a record adjusted EBITDA of $5.9 million year-to-date in 2025, surpassing its best year ever of 2023. The company also achieved a record $5.6 million in cash flow from operations before working capital adjustments.
Significant Revenue Growth
Revenue for the quarter was $15.3 million, a 51% increase from $10.1 million in 2024. Year-to-date revenue was $32.6 million, marking a 30% increase from the previous year.
Improved Gross Margin
Gross margin improved to 34% for the quarter, up from 27% the previous year. Year-to-date gross margins were 33%, compared to 26% in 2024.
Strong Financial Position
CEMATRIX ended the quarter with $9.9 million in the bank and no long-term debt, indicating a healthy balance sheet and financial strength.
Growing Backlog and Market Opportunity
The company's backlog increased to $75 million, up from $69.6 million the previous year, reflecting continued sales success and growing market opportunities.
Negative Updates
Seasonal Business and Revenue Variability
CEMATRIX's revenue growth is described as 'lumpy' due to the seasonal nature of construction projects, which can lead to variability in financial performance.
Project Delays
Some projects originally expected to start in 2025 have been pushed into 2026, highlighting potential challenges in project execution timelines.
Company Guidance
During CEMATRIX's Q3 2025 financial results webinar, the company provided robust guidance underscoring its strong performance and future outlook. The company reported a cumulative annual revenue growth of 24% since 2017, achieving record commitments in 2025 with expectations of another strong year in 2026. Metrics highlighted included a 51% increase in Q3 revenue compared to the previous year, a $5.9 million year-to-date adjusted EBITDA, and a $5.6 million year-to-date cash flow from operations. CEMATRIX also emphasized its financial stability with $9.9 million in cash and no long-term debt. The firm noted that while 2023 was a record year, 2024 was a step-back year, yet still profitable. Looking ahead, the company anticipates continued growth driven by increased infrastructure spending in North America and its competitive advantages in the cellular concrete market.

Cematrix Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cematrix's financial performance is mixed. While revenue growth is positive and debt levels are manageable, profitability and cash flow management are concerning. The negative net profit margin and free cash flow growth indicate operational inefficiencies that need addressing.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Cematrix has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 24.42%, which is reasonable for the construction materials industry. However, the net profit margin is negative at -2.94%, indicating challenges in converting revenue into profit. Revenue growth is positive at 12.50% TTM, showing some recovery, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins are low, suggesting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11 TTM, indicating prudent leverage management. However, the return on equity is negative at -2.85%, highlighting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company seems to maintain a healthy equity base relative to its assets.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals significant challenges. The free cash flow growth rate is negative at -44.81% TTM, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to convert earnings into cash, but overall cash flow management needs improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue42.92M35.36M53.30M29.00M22.60M26.56M
Gross Profit13.72M9.42M11.88M2.52M3.90M5.62M
EBITDA6.59M2.50M4.44M-3.44M1.02M-4.81M
Net Income3.10M270.00K1.24M-5.56M-1.85M-9.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets50.10M43.40M39.28M40.82M44.39M28.84M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.95M10.29M3.29M10.68M19.95M2.48M
Total Debt3.81M3.59M3.24M7.58M8.39M15.09M
Total Liabilities10.81M6.02M10.56M13.07M12.81M28.16M
Stockholders Equity39.29M37.37M28.72M27.74M31.58M679.00K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow811.00K2.90M-1.46M-5.09M-1.51M1.54M
Operating Cash Flow3.19M4.90M503.00K-3.20M-834.00K1.66M
Investing Cash Flow-2.55M-2.02M-2.03M-4.04M-619.00K-75.99K
Financing Cash Flow-718.00K3.98M-5.82M-2.31M18.95M1.75M

Cematrix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.34
Price Trends
50DMA
0.35
Negative
100DMA
0.34
Negative
200DMA
0.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
43.45
Neutral
STOCH
53.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CEMX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.34, below the 50-day MA of 0.35, and above the 200-day MA of 0.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:CEMX.

Cematrix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$832.49M10.7912.33%5.89%28.20%36.95%
73
Outperform
C$50.32M16.028.30%-3.69%85.59%
66
Neutral
C$10.28M20.338.59%4.45%-27.12%
64
Neutral
C$377.81M8.4111.85%2.99%-12.14%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CEMX
Cematrix
0.34
0.09
36.00%
TSE:DBM
Doman Building Materials Group
9.57
1.29
15.58%
TSE:FBF
Fab-Form
1.12
-0.29
-20.57%
TSE:TBL
Taiga Building Prod
3.50
0.98
38.89%
TSE:BILD
BuildDirect.com Technologies Inc
2.30
1.70
283.33%

Cematrix Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CEMATRIX Reports Record Third-Quarter Financial Results for 2025
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

CEMATRIX Corporation has announced its third-quarter financial results for 2025, showcasing a record year-to-date adjusted EBITDA. The company reported a significant increase in revenue and adjusted EBITDA compared to the previous year, with year-to-date figures already surpassing its best-ever full-year adjusted EBITDA from 2023. This financial performance reflects CEMATRIX’s commitment to growth and fulfilling its promises to stakeholders. The company has also secured new contracts worth millions and maintains a strong cash position, indicating a robust operational footing and optimistic outlook for the future.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CEMATRIX to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results and Host Webinar
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

CEMATRIX Corporation announced it will release its third-quarter financial results for 2025 on November 5, followed by a webinar on November 6 to discuss these results and provide a corporate update. This announcement is significant as it highlights CEMATRIX’s ongoing financial health and operational progress, which is crucial for stakeholders and investors monitoring the company’s growth trajectory in the competitive construction industry.

Business Operations and Strategy
CEMATRIX to Host Investor Webcast on September 25, 2025
Neutral
Sep 18, 2025

CEMATRIX Corporation announced it will host an investor webcast on September 25, 2025, featuring presentations by the CEO and CFO on key business areas. This event is an opportunity for investors to engage with the company’s leadership and gain insights into its operations and strategic direction. The webcast reflects CEMATRIX’s commitment to transparency and investor relations, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder engagement.

Business Operations and Strategy
CEMATRIX Secures $11.9 Million in New Contracts
Positive
Sep 16, 2025

CEMATRIX Corporation announced it has secured $11.9 million in new contracts for various projects, including highway improvements and pipeline abandonment. These contracts, set to begin between 2025 and 2026, underscore the company’s reputation for delivering high-quality, cost-effective solutions in the geotechnical construction industry, potentially enhancing its market position and opening up future opportunities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025