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B2Gold Corp (TSE:BTO)
TSX:BTO

B2Gold (BTO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSB2Gold
(TSX:BTO)
54Neutral
B2Gold's overall stock score reflects the mixed results in financial performance and valuation concerns due to negative earnings. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, though the high dividend yield provides some support. Guidance from the earnings call shows potential growth tempered by current operational challenges, particularly at Fekola.
Positive Factors
Analyst Rating
Analyst rates B2Gold shares Outperform, highlighting the company as a proven, competent operator.
Financial Position
The company is in a strong position to finish the Goose build with no additional financing.
Negative Factors
Earnings
Adjusted EPS of $0.01/sh missed ours and consensus estimates of $0.06/sh.

B2Gold (BTO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

B2Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionB2Gold Corp. is a low-cost international senior gold producer headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. The company operates gold mines in Mali, the Philippines, and Namibia, and has numerous exploration and development projects in various countries including Uzbekistan, Finland, and Colombia. B2Gold is committed to responsible mining practices and aims to maximize shareholder value through disciplined growth and sustainable operations.
How the Company Makes MoneyB2Gold makes money primarily through the exploration, mining, and sale of gold. The company's revenue model revolves around producing gold at its operating mines and selling it on global markets. Key revenue streams include the extraction and sale of gold from its mines in Mali (Fekola Mine), the Philippines (Masbate Mine), and Namibia (Otjikoto Mine). The company benefits from its low-cost production strategy, which enhances profitability. Additionally, B2Gold’s earnings are influenced by factors such as gold market prices, production volumes, and operational efficiencies. While the company does not rely heavily on partnerships, it engages in joint ventures and exploration collaborations to expand its resource base and future production potential.

B2Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
B2Gold's financials reflect mixed performance. While the company maintains a strong balance sheet with low leverage, profitability has been challenging, as seen in the negative net income and EBIT in the TTM. The cash flow situation is improving, but operational and revenue growth pressures remain areas of concern.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a challenging period, particularly in the TTM, with a significant net loss driven by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The gross profit margin is relatively healthy at 38.54%, but revenue has decreased slightly compared to the previous year, resulting in a revenue growth rate of -1.04%. This reflects the downturn in profitability and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 63.44%, suggesting financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.08, which shows conservative financial leverage. However, the return on equity is negative due to the net loss, highlighting potential profitability concerns.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating effective cash generation despite the net loss. The free cash flow has turned positive in the TTM, showing improvement, though the free cash flow growth rate is not available due to previous negative values. This suggests a cautious but improving cash flow situation.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.78B1.93B1.73B1.76B1.79B1.16B
Gross Profit
740.50M1.18B604.24M768.55M958.29M450.46M
EBIT
601.10M327.40M162.95M714.63M606.79M121.09M
EBITDA
1.09B736.63M925.31M1.08B1.35B760.25M
Net Income Common Stockholders
378.58M10.10M252.87M420.06M628.06M293.38M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
306.89M306.89M651.95M673.00M479.69M140.60M
Total Assets
4.87B4.87B3.68B3.56B3.36B2.68B
Total Debt
180.81M180.81M57.23M75.13M110.02M261.85M
Net Debt
-126.09M-126.09M-594.72M-597.87M-369.66M121.25M
Total Liabilities
964.64M964.64M569.44M600.29M701.79M631.42M
Stockholders Equity
3.81B3.81B3.01B2.86B2.57B1.99B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
428.34M-116.78M205.47M421.79M598.07M230.81M
Operating Cash Flow
818.76M714.45M595.80M724.11M950.64M491.97M
Investing Cash Flow
-373.60M-845.34M-388.78M-286.28M-337.96M-262.79M
Financing Cash Flow
-221.08M-192.51M-211.28M-234.23M-278.87M-192.06M

B2Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.88
Price Trends
50DMA
3.64
Positive
100DMA
3.88
Negative
200DMA
3.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Negative
RSI
56.05
Neutral
STOCH
43.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BTO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.79, above the 50-day MA of 3.64, and above the 200-day MA of 3.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BTO.

B2Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (47)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSAEM
80
Outperform
$70.09B26.839.10%1.66%26.99%-6.63%
MUMUX
69
Neutral
$364.12M3.2120.51%47.02%
TSNGD
68
Neutral
$3.11B22.119.75%18.32%
63
Neutral
$2.92B-8.41%0.76%-29.09%-157.10%
TSBTO
54
Neutral
$5.10B-24.08%5.99%-4.17%-318.18%
47
Neutral
$2.64B-4.00-31.55%3.33%2.93%-29.90%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BTO
B2Gold
3.88
0.50
14.69%
MUX
McEwen Mining
6.63
-1.47
-18.15%
TSE:SSRM
SSR Mining
14.12
8.41
147.29%
TSE:NGD
New Gold
3.89
1.97
102.60%
TSE:AEM
Agnico Eagle
138.72
68.38
97.21%

B2Gold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 19, 2025 | % Change Since: 2.65% | Next Earnings Date: May 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth prospects, strong financial positioning, and successful project execution. However, challenges in production and operational issues in 2024 impacted earnings. The outlook for 2025 is optimistic with resolved issues and anticipated increased production.
Highlights
Production and Growth Prospects
Substantial increase in production expected from Fekola, with plans to start trucking ore and expand to underground mining. Goose is projected to improve over 300,000 ounces of gold annually starting June 2025. Potential for 300,000 ounces of annual production from the Gramalote Project in Colombia, subject to positive feasibility study.
Financial Position and Flexibility
Strong financial position with $337 million in cash and cash equivalents. Recently completed a convertible note offering for $460 million, paying down the revolving credit facility, leaving $800 million capacity. This provides financial flexibility for Goose construction and growth initiatives.
Positive Developments in Mali
Reached an agreement with the Mali government to proceed with Fekola and regional projects, which should enhance relations and allow for future growth. This development removes significant uncertainty regarding operations in Mali.
Successful Project Execution
The Goose project is on track with construction activities completed as scheduled. The 2025 winter ice road opened ahead of schedule, facilitating material transportation. Masbate and Otjikoto operations outperformed expectations, delivering strong free cash flow.
Lowlights
Lower Production and Earnings
Lower-than-budgeted production at Fekola impacted basic earnings per share, which were slightly negative for the quarter. Adjusted net earnings were $0.01 per share.
Operational Challenges
In 2024, Fekola faced production issues due to operator error and illegal union activities. These were resolved but affected annual performance.
Underground Mining Delays at Goose
Underground mining rates at Goose were behind schedule due to inherited equipment issues and miner quality, though improvements are underway with new equipment and training.
Company Guidance
During the fourth quarter and full-year 2024 financial results conference call, B2Gold Corporation provided guidance indicating that they met their guidance for the year, achieving the upper end of all-in sustaining costs and the lower end of production targets. Looking ahead to 2025, the company anticipates increased production at Fekola, with plans to start trucking ore and expand Fekola underground operations. Significant growth is expected from the Goose project, projected to produce over 300,000 ounces of gold annually, alongside 180,000 ounces from Fekola Regional. Additional potential production of 240,000 ounces could come from the Gramalote project, contingent on a positive feasibility study. Despite challenges in 2024, including lower-than-budgeted production at Fekola and impacts from currency fluctuations, B2Gold remains financially robust, ending the year with $337 million in cash and cash equivalents and full access to an $800 million revolving credit facility. The company is optimistic about resolving issues with the Mali government and capitalizing on existing assets for a strong production profile in 2025.

B2Gold Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
B2Gold to Announce Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Financial Results
Neutral
Jan 30, 2025

B2Gold Corp. announced it will release its fourth quarter and full year 2024 financial results on February 19, 2025, followed by a conference call on February 20, 2025, to discuss these results. This announcement is a crucial update for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, impacting investor confidence and market positioning.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
B2Gold Completes $460M Convertible Notes Offering to Bolster Financial Strategy
Neutral
Jan 28, 2025

B2Gold Corp. completed an upsized offering of convertible senior unsecured notes, raising US$460 million, including an additional US$60 million through an option purchase. The company plans to utilize the funds to manage its working capital and general corporate purposes, initially paying off its revolving credit facility to reduce interest expenses. Additionally, B2Gold entered into a cash settled total return swap for US$50 million of its shares to maintain economic exposure, impacting the market price of its shares and notes.

Private Placements and Financing
B2Gold Prices Upsized Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Jan 24, 2025

B2Gold Corp. has announced the pricing of an upsized offering of convertible senior notes, amounting to US$400 million with options for additional purchases. The notes, due 2030, have a conversion rate reflecting a 35% premium over current share prices. The proceeds will initially address the company’s revolving credit facility, aiming to reduce interest expenses, with future uses for general corporate purposes. A total return swap related to the shares was also established, potentially influencing market share prices.

Private Placements and Financing
B2Gold Unveils $350 Million Convertible Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Jan 22, 2025

B2Gold Corp. has announced a $350 million offering of convertible senior unsecured notes due in 2030, with an option for an additional $52.5 million. The proceeds will be used to manage working capital and pay down existing credit facilities. The notes will bear a fixed interest rate and can be converted into common shares, with the company entering into a cash settled total return swap to manage share exposure. This strategic financial move is expected to optimize B2Gold’s capital structure and could influence the market price of its shares.

B2Gold Adjusts Shareholder Return Strategy Amid Growth Initiatives
Jan 14, 2025

B2Gold Corp. has announced changes to its shareholder return strategy to enhance financial flexibility during its current growth phase. The company is reducing its quarterly dividend from $0.04 to $0.02 per share to support ongoing projects, such as the construction of the Goose Mine and development activities at other sites. This strategic adjustment aims to balance growth initiatives with sustainable dividend payments, ensuring continued shareholder value.

B2Gold Meets 2024 Gold Production Targets and Eyes Increased Output in 2025
Jan 13, 2025

B2Gold Corp. announced a total consolidated gold production of 804,778 ounces for 2024, meeting the lower end of its revised guidance. The Fekola Mine faced production delays, but Masbate and Otjikoto mines outperformed expectations. The company anticipates an increase in production for 2025, projecting between 970,000 and 1,075,000 ounces, and the Goose Project remains on track for first gold production by Q2 2025. Despite the challenges, B2Gold reported strong revenue for Q4 2024 with $500 million generated from gold sales, supporting a positive outlook for the upcoming year.

B2Gold Maintains Operations Amid Fekola Mine Strike
Dec 2, 2024

B2Gold is continuing operations at its Fekola Mine in Mali despite a temporary strike by some employees. The company is managing to maintain its gold production levels while addressing labor issues and aiming for a resolution through dialogue with the workers’ union. B2Gold emphasizes its commitment to employee safety and legal procedures during this period.

B2Gold Reports Promising Exploration at Goose Project
Nov 13, 2024

B2Gold Corp. reports promising drilling results from its Goose Project in Nunavut, Canada, indicating potential for extended mine life. The exploration at Nuvuyak and Mammoth targets shows significant high-grade gold mineralization, suggesting strong prospects for future underground mining. The 2024 drilling campaign underscores B2Gold’s strategic focus on enhancing its gold resources.

B2Gold’s Q3 Performance and 2024 Outlook
Nov 7, 2024

B2Gold Corp reported its Q3 2024 results, highlighting a total gold production of 180,553 ounces, despite challenges at the Fekola Mine. The company remains on track to meet its revised annual gold production guidance, with year-to-date cash operating costs within expectations and all-in sustaining costs below revised projections.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.