Want to see TSE:BLDP full AI Analyst Report?
Top Page
Ballard Power Systems
(NASDAQ:BLDP)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
C$4.00
▼(-0.99% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/26/26
The score is held back primarily by materially negative profitability and ongoing cash burn, despite some improvement, which outweighs the balance sheet strength. Recent earnings commentary is constructive (improving margins, lower costs, better cash usage and strong liquidity), but technical signals remain weak with the stock below key moving averages and a negative MACD, while valuation is hard to justify using earnings due to the negative P/E.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
A large cash balance and negligible financial leverage provide durable financing flexibility, lowering solvency risk while the company scales. This buffer supports continued R&D, Project Forge ramp and warranty/service obligations without near-term refinancing pressure, allowing multi‑quarter execution leeway.
Negative Factors
Persistent Losses and Cash Burn
Despite improvements, the company remains cash‑consumptive and unprofitable on an adjusted basis. Continued negative operating and free cash flow requires reliance on the cash buffer or external funding if commercial ramps slip, leaving the business exposed until consistent positive operating cash generation is achieved.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
A large cash balance and negligible financial leverage provide durable financing flexibility, lowering solvency risk while the company scales. This buffer supports continued R&D, Project Forge ramp and warranty/service obligations without near-term refinancing pressure, allowing multi‑quarter execution leeway.
Read all positive factors
Ballard Power Systems (BLDP) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
C$1.25B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.32M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.38
Revenue Growth45.35%
EPS Growth73.20%
CountryCA
Employees492
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryElectrical Equipment & Parts
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.27
Shares Outstanding301,481,450
10 Day Avg. Volume798,595
30 Day Avg. Volume1,319,398
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.12
Price to Book (P/B)1.31
Price to Sales (P/S)7.64
P/FCF Ratio-11.50
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
C$5.65Price Target Upside39.76% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering6
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.21
Revenue Forecast (FY)C$172.97M
Ballard Power Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Ballard Power Systems Inc. specializes in the complete lifecycle of proton exchange membrane (PEM) fuel cell technology, from initial concept and engineering to production, distribution, and maintenance. Their PEM fuel cell solutions power a diver...
How the Company Makes Money
Ballard makes money primarily by selling PEM fuel cell products and related components to customers and OEM partners that integrate them into vehicles and equipment. Its key revenue streams generally include: (1) Product revenue from fuel cell mod...
Ballard Power Systems Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed meaningful operational and financial progress: double-digit revenue growth (26%), materially improved margins (14%, up 37% YoY), substantial reductions in operating expenses (36%), strong cash reserves ($516.8M) and major multiyear commercial wins in the bus market. Those positives are tempered by remaining profitability and cash‑flow gaps (adjusted EBITDA still negative $11.4M; operating cash use of $7.8M), a lumpier bus revenue profile due to timing and EU funding friction, and execution risk tied to ramping Project Forge and hydrogen supply economics. On balance, the transcript emphasizes clear momentum in the company’s transformation with manageable near-term risks.Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $19.4 million in Q1 2026, representing 26% growth year-over-year, driven by deliveries into the rail and bus verticals.
Negative Updates
Profitability Still Not Achieved
Adjusted EBITDA remains negative at $-11.4 million in Q1 2026, indicating the company is not yet profitable despite significant improvement from prior year.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $19.4 million in Q1 2026, representing 26% growth year-over-year, driven by deliveries into the rail and bus verticals.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management did not give specific 2026 revenue or net income targets but said revenue will be weighted to the second half of the year and provided 2026 guidance ranges of total operating expenses of $65–$75 million and capital expenditures of $5–$10 million; they also said they delivered positive cash flow in Q1 and reported Q1 revenue of $19.4 million (up 26% year‑over‑year), gross margin of 14% (up 37% vs Q1 2025 and the third consecutive quarter of positive gross margin), total operating expenses of $16.4 million (down 36% YoY), cash used in operating activities of $7.8 million (vs $24.4M prior year, a 65% improvement), adjusted EBITDA of negative $11.4 million (improved from negative $27.5M), ending cash and equivalents of $516.8 million (down ~2% QoQ), and no bank debt or near‑/mid‑term financing needs; they also reiterated Project Forge is expected to enter full production in the second half of the year.Ballard Power Systems Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
28
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 103.92M | 101.14M | 69.73M | 102.37M | 83.80M | 104.50M |
| Gross Profit | 10.84M | 2.40M | -21.98M | -21.83M | -13.08M | 14.01M |
| EBITDA | -72.69M | -77.38M | -309.29M | -129.42M | -145.10M | -103.32M |
| Net Income | -81.35M | -92.49M | -324.25M | -177.72M | -173.49M | -114.40M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 663.56M | 681.15M | 777.31M | 1.08B | 1.25B | 1.44B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 521.23M | 530.29M | 606.05M | 753.24M | 915.74M | 1.13B |
| Total Debt | 20.94M | 22.10M | 23.89M | 17.90M | 15.73M | 17.12M |
| Total Liabilities | 85.15M | 92.29M | 104.32M | 86.33M | 88.17M | 112.73M |
| Stockholders Equity | 578.36M | 588.86M | 672.99M | 991.22M | 1.16B | 1.33B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -47.50M | -67.17M | -135.72M | -145.94M | -166.68M | -95.18M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -39.33M | -57.15M | -108.10M | -104.57M | -132.20M | -80.48M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -19.76M | -21.31M | -36.51M | -54.28M | -75.56M | -85.63M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -2.73M | -2.63M | -1.53M | -3.68M | -2.41M | 526.91M |
Ballard Power Systems Technical Analysis
Negative
4.04
Price Trends
6.20
Negative
4.88
Negative
4.44
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.55
Positive
27.39
Positive
2.09
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BLDP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.20, below the 50-day MA of 6.20, and below the 200-day MA of 4.44, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.55 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.39 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.09 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:BLDP.
Ballard Power Systems Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
54 Neutral | C$1.25B | -11.00 | -13.49% | ― | 45.35% | 73.20% | |
44 Neutral | C$60.99M | -5.90 | 6908.84% | ― | -79.89% | 25.57% | |
42 Neutral | C$31.19M | -1.99 | ― | ― | 203.10% | 61.70% | |
41 Neutral | C$48.86M | -3.37 | 117.66% | ― | -4.59% | -68.97% |
* Industrials Sector Average
TSE:BLDP
Ballard Power Systems
4.19
1.71
68.95%
TSE:DYA
dynaCERT
0.12
-0.03
-17.86%
TSE:PYR
PyroGenesis Canada
0.20
-0.25
-55.56%
TSE:NXH
Next Hydrogen Solutions Inc
0.45
-0.16
-26.83%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.