Birchcliff Energy (BIR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.67B
• Dividend Yield: 5.38%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.91M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 29.5
• Beta (1Y): 0.92
• Revenue Growth: -26.02%
• EPS Growth: 464.95%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 231
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 53
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.21
• Shares Outstanding: 272,071,350
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,262,292
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,910,865
• PEG Ratio: 0.06
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.66
• Price to Cash Flow (P/CF): -21.80
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: $8.11
• Price Target Upside: 31.89% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 8

Birchcliff Energy receives an overall score of 62, reflecting a mixed outlook. The company's financial performance shows strengths in profitability metrics but is offset by concerns about cash flow and leverage. Technical indicators suggest neutral momentum, while the valuation is challenged by a high P/E ratio despite a strong dividend yield. These factors combine to create a moderate investment outlook, with potential risks and rewards.

Positive Factors

Debt Reduction

The company expects to generate ~$630 million of cumulative free cash flow over the next five years, allowing it to reduce debt.

Dividend Strategy

The dividend cut positions Birchcliff to execute on its growth plans and reduce leverage to a more manageable level.

Negative Factors

Market Conditions

Shares are expected to remain challenged until LNG Canada comes into service and begins to tighten the supply-demand balance.

Natural Gas Prices

Birchcliff's lack of fixed hedges has kept it fully exposed to natural gas prices, which may constrain its ability to increase shareholder returns and grow production.

Birchcliff Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Birchcliff Energy Ltd., an intermediate oil and natural gas company, acquires, explores for, develops, and produces natural gas, light oil, condensate, and natural gas liquids in Western Canada. The company holds interests in the Montney/Doig resource play located approximately 95 km northwest of Grande Prairie, Alberta. Its asset portfolio also includes various other properties, including the Elmworth and Progress areas of Alberta. As of December 31, 2021, the company had interests in various gas plants, oil batteries, compressors, facilities, and infrastructure; and 200,712 net acres of undeveloped land, as well as proved plus probable reserves of 1,022 million barrels of oil equivalent. Birchcliff Energy Ltd. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Birchcliff Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) extracted from its extensive asset base in Western Canada. The company's revenue model is centered around the production and sale of these hydrocarbons, which are sold to various markets at prevailing market prices. Birchcliff's earnings are influenced by factors such as commodity prices, production volumes, and operational efficiencies. The company also engages in hedging activities to mitigate the impact of volatile commodity prices. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures in exploration and development projects further enhance its revenue potential by spreading operational risks and leveraging additional expertise and resources.

Birchcliff Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Birchcliff Energy shows a mixed financial performance with strengths in improved net profit margin and ROE, but challenges in EBIT margin and free cash flow. The increased leverage is a potential risk, particularly in a volatile industry like fossil fuels. Overall, while there are positive signs of profitability, cash flow management and operational efficiency need attention.

Income Statement

Birchcliff Energy's revenue has shown volatility, with a decrease in 2024 compared to 2023 after a high in 2022. The net profit margin has improved significantly from 2023 to 2024, indicating better cost management or pricing strategies despite lower overall revenue. However, the EBIT margin for 2024 is concerning at 0%, suggesting operational challenges. The EBITDA margin remains strong, highlighting effective cost control at the EBITDA level.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased, reflecting higher leverage, which could pose risk if revenues decline. The equity ratio remains strong, indicating a solid equity base relative to total assets. Return on equity has improved significantly in 2024, suggesting enhanced profitability for shareholders.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow has turned negative in 2024, indicating potential investment in growth or operational inefficiencies. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains positive, suggesting that the core operations are generating cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting the challenges in converting earnings into free cash flow.

Breakdown
Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
640.92M	700.62M	1.36B	953.13M	542.19M
	Gross Profit
207.84M	177.00M	859.88M	549.53M	213.34M
	EBIT
0.00	120.57M	661.28M	377.67M	53.41M
	EBITDA
362.23M	268.70M	1.09B	657.49M	166.53M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
56.10M	9.78M	656.83M	314.68M	-57.82M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
50.00K	55.00K	74.00K	63.00K	60.00K
	Total Assets
3.43B	3.18B	3.17B	2.96B	2.90B
	Total Debt
686.93M	384.71M	145.57M	516.30M	748.40M
	Net Debt
686.88M	384.66M	145.50M	516.24M	748.34M
	Total Liabilities
1.24B	951.47M	756.71M	1.04B	1.27B
	Stockholders Equity
2.20B	2.23B	2.41B	1.92B	1.63B
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
-77.54M	12.53M	560.65M	284.89M	-101.49M
	Operating Cash Flow
203.71M	320.53M	925.27M	515.37M	188.18M
	Investing Cash Flow
-293.36M	-338.86M	-338.54M	-247.38M	-278.66M
	Financing Cash Flow
89.64M	18.32M	-586.73M	-267.98M	90.47M

Birchcliff Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 6.15
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BIR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.23, above the 50-day MA of 5.88, and above the 200-day MA of 5.57, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BIR.

Birchcliff Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PEY	74 Outperform	C$3.57B	12.53	10.37%	7.35%	-9.52%	-11.68%
TOU	71 Outperform	C$22.26B	16.80	8.55%	2.43%	-8.29%	-30.52%
BIR	62 Neutral	$1.67B	29.50	2.51%	5.38%	-26.02%	464.95%
Sector *	55 Neutral	$7.05B	3.47	-6.10%	6.00%	-0.44%	-51.04%