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ATS Corporation (TSE:ATS)
TSX:ATS

ATS Corporation (ATS) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ATS

ATS Corporation

(TSX:ATS)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
C$47.00
▲(18.93% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/06/26
The score is driven by steady growth and solid cash generation, plus a largely constructive earnings update with strong backlog and improved adjusted profitability. These positives are tempered by very weak reported profitability/returns and an expensive valuation (very high P/E), while technical indicators are broadly neutral.
Positive Factors
Recurring aftermarket & validation services
ATS’s installed-base services and regulated‑industry validation offerings create recurring, higher‑margin revenue streams that smooth project cyclicality. Over 2–6 months this improves revenue predictability, supports customer stickiness, and boosts lifetime client value versus pure project sales.
Negative Factors
Very thin reported profitability and returns
Sub‑3% operating margins and near‑zero net margins limit reinvestment capacity and resilience to cost shocks. Low ROE indicates weak capital efficiency, constraining long‑term shareholder returns and making margin expansion or investment programs dependent on sustained structural improvements.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring aftermarket & validation services
ATS’s installed-base services and regulated‑industry validation offerings create recurring, higher‑margin revenue streams that smooth project cyclicality. Over 2–6 months this improves revenue predictability, supports customer stickiness, and boosts lifetime client value versus pure project sales.
Read all positive factors

ATS Corporation (ATS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

ATS Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
ATS Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides automation solutions worldwide. The company is also involved in the planning, designing, building, commissioning, and servicing automated manufacturing and assembly systems, including autom...
How the Company Makes Money
ATS generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of automated manufacturing systems and equipment. The company's revenue model includes direct sales of custom automation solutions, which are tailored to meet the specific nee...

ATS Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 14, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlights solid top-line growth, strong adjusted operating earnings expansion (+21.6% YoY), a healthy $2.1 billion backlog (Life Sciences and Energy strength), positive operating cash flow, and disciplined capital allocation plans under new leadership. Offsetting items include gross margin compression (111 bps), year-over-year bookings decline (–7%), ongoing Transportation weakness, elevated SG&A and restructuring costs (program increased to ~$20M), and working capital still above target. Management emphasized margin expansion via ABM, aftermarket growth and disciplined M&A, and embedded services to improve recurring margins. Overall, the positive operational momentum, robust backlog and profitability gains materially outweigh the mix-related margin pressure and short-term execution/timing headwinds.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Q3 revenues of $761 million, up 16.7% year-over-year (organic growth ~12.6% and ~4.1% benefit from FX). Year-to-date revenue growth of 13.6% (approx. 8% organic).
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Compression
Gross margin of 29.6% in Q3, a decline of 111 basis points year-over-year, primarily attributable to program mix and timing (lower-margin programs like certain nuclear work weighed on margins).
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth
Q3 revenues of $761 million, up 16.7% year-over-year (organic growth ~12.6% and ~4.1% benefit from FX). Year-to-date revenue growth of 13.6% (approx. 8% organic).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided Q4 revenue of $710–$750 million and reiterated fiscal‑2026 CapEx & intangible spend of $70–$90 million (Q3 spend $16.6m), while increasing the announced restructuring to ~ $20 million (Q3 charge $5.5m) with some savings to be reinvested into growth in FY‑27; net debt/adjusted EBITDA was ~3.0x (target 2–3x), trailing‑12‑month book‑to‑bill 1.06:1, and non‑cash working capital improved to 16.4% of revenues (goal <15%). Key Q3 metrics cited: order bookings $821m (down 7% YoY, up ~12% sequentially), revenues $761m (up 16.7% YoY; 12.6% organic, +4.1% FX), order backlog ≈ $2.1bn (Life Sciences $1.1bn; Food & Beverage $203m; Energy $296m, +87% YoY; Consumer $321m), adjusted earnings from operations ~$80m (adjusted EPS $0.48), gross margin 29.6% (down 111 bps YoY), and operating cash flow $115m YTD with revenue growth YTD 13.6% (≈8% organic) and adjusted earnings from operations up 14% YTD.

ATS Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: steady TTM revenue growth (~4%) and solid gross margin (~26%) with strong TTM operating cash flow and positive free cash flow (FCF up ~26%). Offsetting this, profitability is weak (TTM net margin ~0.7%, EBIT margin ~2.9%, ROE ~1.1%) and annual results show volatility, while leverage has trended higher (debt ~0.90x equity).
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.80B2.53B2.58B2.18B1.43B1.43B
Gross Profit724.51M646.65M725.81M612.43M384.26M362.13M
EBITDA227.56M167.97M349.94M302.54M192.15M169.08M
Net Income18.88M-28.05M127.43M122.10M64.09M52.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.48B4.62B3.54B3.07B2.20B2.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments263.09M225.95M159.87M135.28M187.47M358.64M
Total Debt1.59B1.70B1.26B1.10B504.78M665.58M
Total Liabilities2.70B2.91B2.41B2.08B1.28B1.23B
Stockholders Equity1.78B1.71B1.13B981.60M895.26M868.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow278.78M-52.26M47.50M162.90M153.59M-36.22M
Operating Cash Flow338.21M25.77M127.80M216.16M185.16M20.35M
Investing Cash Flow-75.74M-268.44M-109.02M-797.47M-88.13M-109.80M
Financing Cash Flow-264.95M290.28M4.88M531.53M-259.12M222.31M

ATS Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price39.52
Price Trends
50DMA
41.38
Negative
100DMA
39.65
Negative
200DMA
39.52
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.63
Positive
RSI
44.88
Neutral
STOCH
36.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ATS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 39.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.54, below the 50-day MA of 41.38, and below the 200-day MA of 39.52, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.63 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:ATS.

ATS Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
C$1.93B19.9110.22%2.35%3.93%33.44%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
C$3.88B30.951.09%-5.59%-104.09%
53
Neutral
C$1.04B-10.77-14.67%1.18%62.71%
47
Neutral
C$107.48M-4.02125.90%-6.83%46.97%
47
Neutral
C$336.73M23.3341.08%3.06%-18.71%-845.27%
43
Neutral
C$55.91M-4.20-2067.79%-48.39%9.17%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ATS
ATS Corporation
39.52
6.07
18.15%
TSE:BLDP
Ballard Power Systems
3.45
1.91
124.03%
TSE:DYA
dynaCERT
0.11
-0.05
-29.03%
TSE:PYR
PyroGenesis Canada
0.53
0.07
13.98%
TSE:SIS
Savaria
26.88
11.58
75.71%
TSE:VLN
Velan Inc. SV
15.60
1.14
7.86%

ATS Corporation Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
ATS to Showcase Automation Business at Raymond James Investor Conference
Positive
Feb 18, 2026
ATS Corporation said Chief Executive Officer Doug Wright and Interim Chief Financial Officer Anne Cybulski will take part in the Raymond James Institutional Investors Conference in Orlando, Florida, on March 3, 2026. The company will host a firesi...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
ATS Delivers Strong Q3 Earnings Growth Amid Mixed Orders and Leadership Changes
Positive
Feb 4, 2026
ATS Corporation reported strong third-quarter fiscal 2026 results, with revenue up 16.7% year over year to $760.7 million and net income jumping to $30.0 million from $6.5 million, driven largely by 12.6% organic revenue growth and increased servi...
Financial Disclosures
ATS Sets February 4 Date for Third-Quarter Earnings Release and Investor Call
Neutral
Jan 22, 2026
ATS Corporation will release its financial results for the third quarter ended December 28, 2025, before markets open on February 4, 2026, and will hold a conference call and webcast at 8:30 a.m. Eastern that same day for management&#8217;s remark...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
ATS Corporation CFO Ryan McLeod to Step Down; Interim Successor Named
Neutral
Jan 19, 2026
ATS Corporation announced that Chief Financial Officer Ryan McLeod will resign effective February 15, 2026, to pursue an opportunity in an unrelated industry after nearly two decades with the company, during which he was credited with strengthenin...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
ATS CFO Ryan McLeod to Step Down; Veteran Finance Executive Named Interim Successor
Neutral
Jan 19, 2026
ATS Corporation announced that Chief Financial Officer Ryan McLeod will resign effective February 15, 2026, to pursue an opportunity outside the industry, ending nearly two decades with the automation company. Vice President and Corporate Controll...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
ATS Corporation Appoints Doug Wright as New CEO
Positive
Dec 16, 2025
ATS Corporation has appointed Doug Wright as its new Chief Executive Officer, effective on or before January 14, 2026. Wright, who has extensive leadership experience in the industrial solutions sector, is expected to drive growth and operational ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
ATS Corporation Appoints Doug Wright as New CEO
Positive
Dec 16, 2025
ATS Corporation has appointed Doug Wright as its new Chief Executive Officer, effective on or before January 14, 2026. Wright brings extensive global experience and a proven track record in driving growth and operational excellence, aligning with ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 06, 2026