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ATS Corporation (TSE:ATS)
TSX:ATS

ATS Corporation (ATS) AI Stock Analysis

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ATS Corporation

(TSX:ATS)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
ATS Corporation demonstrates robust revenue growth and a strong order backlog, particularly in life sciences and food & beverage sectors. However, challenges such as a declining revenue trend, cash flow issues, and high valuation relative to earnings suggest caution. Technical indicators signal bearish momentum, and while strategic initiatives offer long-term promise, short-term risks like tariff impacts and transportation segment challenges cannot be overlooked. The stock is positioned for potential recovery with strategic execution and improved cash management.

ATS Corporation (ATS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

ATS Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionATS Corporation (ATS) is a leading provider of advanced automation systems and services, catering primarily to industries such as automotive, life sciences, consumer products, and energy. The company specializes in the design and implementation of sophisticated manufacturing solutions that enhance productivity, efficiency, and quality for its clients. By leveraging cutting-edge technology and a highly skilled workforce, ATS delivers customizable and scalable automation solutions that meet the unique needs of its diverse customer base.
How the Company Makes MoneyATS Corporation generates revenue through the sale of its automation systems and related services. Key revenue streams include the design, development, and installation of custom automation solutions tailored to specific industry applications. Additionally, ATS offers ongoing maintenance and support services, as well as retrofitting and upgrading existing systems to improve performance. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with technology providers and industry leaders to enhance its offerings and expand market reach. These partnerships, along with a focus on innovation and customer satisfaction, contribute significantly to ATS's earnings.

ATS Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 28, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.12%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While ATS demonstrated strong order bookings and growth in the life sciences and energy sectors, it faced challenges with declining revenues and geopolitical uncertainties. The EV settlement provides some financial relief, but the transportation segment continues to be a concern.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Order Bookings
Order bookings for the fourth quarter were $863 million, up 9% from the fourth quarter last year. Full-year bookings reached $3.3 billion, a record for ATS.
Strong Life Sciences Performance
Life sciences businesses demonstrated strength, ending the quarter with an order backlog of $1.2 billion, supported by diverse bookings in areas such as auto-injector assembly, radiopharma, and wearables.
Improved Gross Margin
Excluding acquisition-related charges, the gross margin for Q4 was 29%, a 90 basis point improvement from last year.
EV Settlement
The company announced a settlement with an EV customer, expecting to receive USD 134.75 million, which will reduce net debt to adjusted EBITDA leverage by 0.5x.
Strong Energy Sector Prospects
The energy sector shows strong growth potential with ongoing CANDU refurbishment projects and opportunities in nuclear fuel and small modular reactors.
Negative Updates
Decline in Adjusted Revenues
Q4 adjusted revenues were $721 million, down 9% from Q4 last year. Full-year adjusted revenues were 12% lower year-over-year due to decreased EV revenues.
Challenges in Transportation
The transportation segment remained a drag on earnings, with lower revenue volumes impacting margins.
Geopolitical and Trade Tensions
The macroeconomic environment is marked by geopolitical and trade tensions, creating uncertainty that could impact demand.
Company Guidance
During the ATS Corporation Fourth Quarter Conference Call, the company highlighted several key metrics and provided guidance for fiscal 2026. Order bookings for the fourth quarter reached $863 million, marking a 9% increase year-over-year, with full-year bookings hitting a record $3.3 billion. Despite facing a 9% decline in fourth-quarter adjusted revenues to $721 million, the company's order backlog ended at a robust $2.1 billion, the highest in eight quarters. The trailing 12-month book-to-bill ratio stood at 1.23:1, indicating a strong pipeline. Although geopolitical and trade tensions pose risks, ATS remains optimistic about growth prospects, particularly in regulated markets like life sciences, which closed the quarter with a $1.2 billion backlog. The company is also focused on expanding its market reach and optimizing its supply chain to support margins. Looking ahead, ATS anticipates first-quarter fiscal 2026 revenues between $680 million to $730 million, supported by ongoing improvements in operational efficiency and strategic customer relationships.

ATS Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ATS Corporation shows strong revenue growth and profitability margins in its income statement, indicating good market positioning. The balance sheet reveals moderate leverage and a stable equity base, highlighting financial stability yet potential risks with debt. The cash flow statement presents challenges in cash generation, suggesting the need for improved cash management. Overall, the company is performing well but must address cash flow issues to maintain long-term sustainability.
Income Statement
80
Positive
ATS Corporation's TTM revenue is $2.75 billion with a gross profit margin of 28.06%, indicating strong profitability in the industrial goods sector. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 3.24%, showing pressure on net income. Revenue demonstrated growth over the past years, with a notable increase from $2.18 billion in 2022 to $3.03 billion in 2024. The EBIT margin is 7.61%, and the EBITDA margin is 12.87%, both showing a healthy capacity to generate operating earnings.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.99, reflecting a balanced capital structure but with room for improvement. The return on equity (ROE) is 5.09%, indicating moderate efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is 37.55%, showing a stable financial base. The increase in total assets and stockholders' equity over time indicates growth and investment potential.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The company experienced negative free cash flow in the TTM, primarily due to significant capital expenditures. The operating cash flow is negative, which could be a concern for liquidity and operational sustainability. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating potential challenges in converting net income into usable cash.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.75B3.03B2.58B2.18B1.43B1.43B
Gross Profit
805.60M855.50M725.81M612.43M384.26M362.13M
EBIT
197.63M315.39M222.49M186.61M119.61M95.61M
EBITDA
354.29M458.54M349.94M302.54M192.15M169.08M
Net Income Common Stockholders
89.27M193.74M127.43M122.10M64.09M52.90M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
263.15M170.18M159.87M135.28M187.47M358.64M
Total Assets
4.67B4.09B3.54B3.07B2.20B2.10B
Total Debt
1.74B1.29B1.26B1.10B504.78M665.58M
Net Debt
1.48B1.12B1.10B966.01M317.31M306.93M
Total Liabilities
2.91B2.40B2.41B2.08B1.28B1.23B
Stockholders Equity
1.75B1.68B1.13B981.60M895.26M868.23M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-70.38M-67.68M47.50M162.90M153.59M-36.22M
Operating Cash Flow
-3.98M20.78M127.80M216.16M185.16M20.35M
Investing Cash Flow
-270.28M-341.98M-109.02M-797.47M-88.13M-109.80M
Financing Cash Flow
269.26M330.92M4.88M531.53M-259.12M222.31M

ATS Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price41.46
Price Trends
50DMA
37.01
Positive
100DMA
38.44
Positive
200DMA
39.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.31
Negative
RSI
58.63
Neutral
STOCH
75.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ATS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 41.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.29, above the 50-day MA of 37.01, and above the 200-day MA of 39.66, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ATS.

ATS Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSSIS
77
Outperform
C$1.35B26.998.74%2.85%5.24%11.02%
66
Neutral
$4.47B12.215.40%3.65%4.14%-12.00%
TSATS
63
Neutral
C$4.05B38.53-1.66%-7.46%-49.87%
TSVLN
62
Neutral
C$302.20M-46.86%0.86%7.64%-2.26%
49
Neutral
$668.63M-37.81%-29.66%-67.02%
49
Neutral
C$20.67M-7.92%-12.65%-838.74%
TSPYR
48
Neutral
C$88.68M-5701.32%14.45%76.75%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ATS
ATS Corporation
41.46
-2.04
-4.69%
TSE:BLDP
Ballard Power Systems
2.23
-1.28
-36.47%
TSE:PYR
PyroGenesis Canada
0.48
-0.12
-20.00%
TSE:VLN
Velan Inc. SV
14.00
8.11
137.69%
TSE:SIS
Savaria
18.92
1.66
9.62%
TSE:REKO
Reko International
3.75
-0.75
-16.67%

ATS Corporation Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
ATS Corporation to Engage with Investors at RBC Capital Markets Conference
Neutral
Apr 14, 2025

ATS Corporation announced that its Chief Financial Officer, Ryan McLeod, will participate in the RBC Capital Markets Canadian Industrials Conference in Toronto on May 15, 2025. This participation underscores ATS’s commitment to engaging with institutional investors and highlights its strategic positioning in the industrial automation sector.

Spark’s Take on TSE:ATS Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:ATS is a Neutral.

ATS Corporation’s overall score reflects strong revenue growth and profitability, offset by cash flow challenges and a high P/E ratio. While technical indicators suggest bearish trends, the robust order backlog and strategic focus on high-value sectors like life sciences could bolster future performance. Potential short-term risks include revenue declines and tariff impacts.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:ATS stock, click here.

Business Operations and Strategy
ATS Corporation to Engage at J.P. Morgan Industrials Conference
Neutral
Feb 18, 2025

ATS Corporation announced the participation of its CEO and CFO in the upcoming J.P. Morgan Industrials Conference in New York City on March 11, 2025. The event will feature a fireside chat, and the company will host institutional investor meetings, which highlights ATS’s commitment to engaging with investors and stakeholders, potentially strengthening its market position and visibility.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ATS Corporation Faces Revenue Decline but Achieves Record Order Bookings
Neutral
Feb 5, 2025

ATS Corporation reported a decrease in its third-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with revenues dropping to $652.0 million, and a significant decline in net income to $6.5 million. Despite the lower revenues attributed to reduced market demand in the North American EV market, the company experienced strong growth in order bookings, reaching a second-highest record in company history, driven by strong performance in the life sciences and food and beverage sectors. The CEO highlighted the robust order backlog, which supports future revenue visibility and value creation for stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.