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Tractor Supply (TSCO)
NASDAQ:TSCO
TSCO Analyst Ratings
Moderate Buy
14 Buy
7 Hold
1 Sell
TipRanks enables you to focus on the analyst rating consensus of all analysts or only the top performers in the past 3 months
TSCO Stock 12 Month Forecast
Average Price Target
$63.40
▲(15.63% Upside)
| Highest Price Target$70.00 | Average Price Target$63.40 | Lowest Price Target$50.00 |
The highest, average, and lowest price target of all analysts. Click on ‘Top Analysts’ to focus on the best performers.
Detailed List of Analyst Forecasts
Detailed List of Analyst Forecasts
Wells Fargo
$65
Buy
18.55%
Upside
Reiterated
10/23/25
Telsey Advisory
$70
Buy
27.67%
Upside
Reiterated
10/23/25
Barclays
$52
Hold
-5.16%
Downside
Reiterated
10/21/25
Truist Financial
$66
Buy
20.37%
Upside
Reiterated
10/20/25
Analysts Offer Insights on Consumer Cyclical Companies: Tractor Supply (NASDAQ: TSCO) and Stella International Holdings Limited (Other OTC: SLNLF)Tractor Supply Company (TSCO, Buy, PT $66) – Based on our Truist Card Data, Tractor’s 3Q sales started out very strong, but faded through most of Aug/Sept; then, when combining the strong start with the long fade, we estimate that sales still finished ~in-line with our +3.5%E comp forecast. We expect TSCO to report earnings BMO on Thursday, October 23rd. [...] we remain Buyers.
Piper Sandler
$67
Buy
22.20%
Upside
Reiterated
10/20/25
Bank of America Securities
$70
Buy
27.67%
Upside
Reiterated
10/20/25
Tractor Supply's Growth Potential: Strategic Initiatives and Market Conditions Drive Buy RatingWe forecast 3Q EPS of $0.48 on 3.0% comps, in-line with 3.1% comps. Observed sales in Bloomberg credit card data shows sequential acceleration from 6.1% in 2Q25 to 9.8% in 3Q25. However, weekly observed sales slowed from DD growth in the first half of the quarter to MSD growth in Sep. (lack of hurricane & early cold weather). TSCO is lapping over 3Q24 which saw strong performance in big ticket items (riding lawn mowers and recreational vehicles). We think TSCO should benefit from modest inflation in 2H (ticket benefiting from tariffs and the shift from deflationary into inflationary impact) and see comps accelerate supported by traffic, ticket, and soft compares.
UBS
$54→$61
Hold
11.25%
Upside
Reiterated
10/16/25
Evercore ISI
$60
Hold
9.43%
Upside
Reiterated
10/16/25
Citi
$60→$62
Buy
13.08%
Upside
Upgraded
10/09/25
Promising Outlook for Tractor Supply: Buy Rating Amidst Growth Prospects and Attractive ValuationWe upgrade TSCO to Buy and raise our TP to $62 (= 26x on FY26 EPS). We see building SSS momentum and the model returning to normalized SSS/EPS growth in 2026. The recent pullback presents an attractive entry point. We recognize share weakness is driven by weak high frequency data trends in September, but that should improve for TSCO once seasonal/Fall temperatures arrive. Despite the September deceleration, we still see sales/EPS upside to 3Q earnings on 10/23 with SSS strength likely to continue the next several quarters based on steady traffic, pricing tailwinds building, new initiatives gaining scale, and easy compares. Big picture, TSCO is a defensive growth retailer not dependent upon a housing market recovery to return to algo growth and trading at a discount to the retail market share winners’ basket. We see a compelling risk/reward in our bull case vs. bear case scenarios.
Mizuho Securities
$64
Buy
16.72%
Upside
Reiterated
10/01/25
TR | OpenAI - 4o
$70→$62
Buy
13.08%
Upside
Reiterated
09/27/25
AI Generated ArticleAI Generated Article
Wolfe Research
$70
Buy
27.67%
Upside
Initiated
09/17/25
Robert W. Baird
$61→$65
Buy
18.55%
Upside
Reiterated
07/25/25
KeyBanc
―
Hold
―
Reiterated
07/25/25
Raymond James
$57→$65
Buy
18.55%
Upside
Reiterated
07/25/25
Ranks
Any
Analyst Rating
Any
Upside/ Downside
Any
Action
Any
Wells Fargo
$65
Buy
18.55%
Upside
Reiterated
10/23/25
Telsey Advisory
$70
Buy
27.67%
Upside
Reiterated
10/23/25
Barclays
$52
Hold
-5.16%
Downside
Reiterated
10/21/25
Truist Financial
$66
Buy
20.37%
Upside
Reiterated
10/20/25
Analysts Offer Insights on Consumer Cyclical Companies: Tractor Supply (NASDAQ: TSCO) and Stella International Holdings Limited (Other OTC: SLNLF)Tractor Supply Company (TSCO, Buy, PT $66) – Based on our Truist Card Data, Tractor’s 3Q sales started out very strong, but faded through most of Aug/Sept; then, when combining the strong start with the long fade, we estimate that sales still finished ~in-line with our +3.5%E comp forecast. We expect TSCO to report earnings BMO on Thursday, October 23rd. [...] we remain Buyers.
Piper Sandler
$67
Buy
22.20%
Upside
Reiterated
10/20/25
Bank of America Securities
$70
Buy
27.67%
Upside
Reiterated
10/20/25
Tractor Supply's Growth Potential: Strategic Initiatives and Market Conditions Drive Buy RatingWe forecast 3Q EPS of $0.48 on 3.0% comps, in-line with 3.1% comps. Observed sales in Bloomberg credit card data shows sequential acceleration from 6.1% in 2Q25 to 9.8% in 3Q25. However, weekly observed sales slowed from DD growth in the first half of the quarter to MSD growth in Sep. (lack of hurricane & early cold weather). TSCO is lapping over 3Q24 which saw strong performance in big ticket items (riding lawn mowers and recreational vehicles). We think TSCO should benefit from modest inflation in 2H (ticket benefiting from tariffs and the shift from deflationary into inflationary impact) and see comps accelerate supported by traffic, ticket, and soft compares.
UBS
$54→$61
Hold
11.25%
Upside
Reiterated
10/16/25
Evercore ISI
$60
Hold
9.43%
Upside
Reiterated
10/16/25
Citi
$60→$62
Buy
13.08%
Upside
Upgraded
10/09/25
Promising Outlook for Tractor Supply: Buy Rating Amidst Growth Prospects and Attractive ValuationWe upgrade TSCO to Buy and raise our TP to $62 (= 26x on FY26 EPS). We see building SSS momentum and the model returning to normalized SSS/EPS growth in 2026. The recent pullback presents an attractive entry point. We recognize share weakness is driven by weak high frequency data trends in September, but that should improve for TSCO once seasonal/Fall temperatures arrive. Despite the September deceleration, we still see sales/EPS upside to 3Q earnings on 10/23 with SSS strength likely to continue the next several quarters based on steady traffic, pricing tailwinds building, new initiatives gaining scale, and easy compares. Big picture, TSCO is a defensive growth retailer not dependent upon a housing market recovery to return to algo growth and trading at a discount to the retail market share winners’ basket. We see a compelling risk/reward in our bull case vs. bear case scenarios.
Mizuho Securities
$64
Buy
16.72%
Upside
Reiterated
10/01/25
TR | OpenAI - 4o
$70→$62
Buy
13.08%
Upside
Reiterated
09/27/25
AI Generated ArticleAI Generated Article
Wolfe Research
$70
Buy
27.67%
Upside
Initiated
09/17/25
Robert W. Baird
$61→$65
Buy
18.55%
Upside
Reiterated
07/25/25
KeyBanc
―
Hold
―
Reiterated
07/25/25
Raymond James
$57→$65
Buy
18.55%
Upside
Reiterated
07/25/25
Best Analysts Covering Tractor Supply
1 Month
xxx
Success Rate
15/21 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+3.78%
reiterated a xxx
rating 3 months ago
Copying xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
trades and holding each position for 1 Month would result in 71.43% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +3.78% per trade.
3 Months
xxx
Success Rate
11/17 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+5.27%
reiterated a xxx
rating 3 months ago
Copying xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
trades and holding each position for 3 Months would result in 64.71% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +5.27% per trade.
1 Year
Success Rate
38/45 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+24.20%
reiterated a buy rating 3 months ago
Copying Peter Benedict's trades and holding each position for 1 Year would result in 84.44% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +24.20% per trade.
2 Years
xxx
Success Rate
41/45 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+52.62%
reiterated a xxx
rating 3 months ago
Copying xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
trades and holding each position for 2 Years would result in 91.11% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +52.62% per trade.
The Best Analyst Covering tool allows you to follow the analysts who have the best success rates and average returns on a specific stock. Only analysts that gave a Buy or Sell rating on the stock in the past 12 months are eligible for inclusion in this tool. Follow the analysts of your choice to receive real-time updates when they publish a new rating.
TSCO Analyst Recommendation Trends
Rating
Jun 25
Jul 25
Aug 25
Sep 25
Oct 25
Strong Buy
0
0
0
0
0
Buy
16
23
26
24
8
Hold
15
20
19
17
3
Sell
2
2
2
2
0
Strong Sell
0
0
0
0
0
total
33
45
47
43
11
Each month's total comprises the sum of three months' worth of ratings.
TSCO Financial Forecast
TSCO Stock Forecast FAQ
What is TSCO’s average 12-month price target, according to analysts?
Based on analyst ratings, Tractor Supply’s 12-month average price target is 63.40.
What is TSCO’s upside potential, based on the analysts’ average price target?
Tractor Supply has 15.63% upside potential, based on the analysts’ average price target.
Can I see which stocks the top-ranking analysts are rating?
Yes, go to the Analysts’ Top Stocks tool to see stocks with a Strong Buy or Strong Sell analyst rating consensus, according to the top performers.
How can I follow the stock ratings of top Wall Street analysts?
Head over to our Expert Center to see a list of the top 100 Wall Street analysts and follow the analysts of your choice. Visit their profiles for more details about their stock ratings and see how they perform on a stock-by-stock basis.
Is TSCO a Buy, Sell or Hold?
Tractor Supply has a consensus rating of Moderate Buy which is based on 14 buy ratings, 7 hold ratings and 1 sell ratings.
What is Tractor Supply’s price target?
The average price target for Tractor Supply is 63.40. This is based on 22 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months.
The highest analyst price target is $70.00 ,the lowest forecast is $50.00. The average price target represents 15.63% Increase from the current price of $54.83.
The highest analyst price target is $70.00 ,the lowest forecast is $50.00. The average price target represents 15.63% Increase from the current price of $54.83.
What do analysts say about Tractor Supply?
Tractor Supply’s analyst rating consensus is a Moderate Buy. This is based on the ratings of 22 Wall Streets Analysts.
How can I buy shares of TSCO?
Open a brokerage account, see exclusive account opening deals on our Best Online Brokers page.