TriplePoint Venture Growth (TPVG) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $249.25M
• Dividend Yield: 20.93%
• Average Volume (3M): 384.19K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 7.6
• Beta (1Y): 1.12
• Revenue Growth: 22.53%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: US
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 79
• Industry: Asset Management
• EPS (TTM): 0.82
• Shares Outstanding: 40,137,370
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 421,053
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 384,191
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.66
• Price to Cash Flow (P/CF): 1.60
• P/FCF Ratio: 1.90
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: $6.94
• Price Target Upside: 16.05% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 5

The overall stock score reflects a company with a strong valuation and positive earnings call sentiment, indicating potential for future growth. Financial performance is mixed, with improvements in cash flow countered by challenges in profitability. Technical analysis points to a bearish trend, but the valuation and earnings outlook provide a positive counterbalance.

Positive Factors

Credit Quality

TPVG experienced three upgrades in credit quality, with non-accruals significantly lower at $29M compared to $68M earlier.

Equity Gains

Revolut drove unrealized equity gains through its follow-on round at a $45B valuation.

Net Asset Value

NAV increased 3% sequentially to $9.10 per share due to solid net investment income and net unrealized/realized gains.

Negative Factors

Earnings Estimate

Analyst reduces 2025 EPS estimate to reflect lower investment income.

Investment Portfolio

The investment portfolio declined 6% sequentially to ~$675M due to elevated prepayments and losses across the portfolio.

Shares Rating

Shares are unlikely to re-rate without a sustained credit improvement.

TriplePoint Venture Growth Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

TriplePoint Venture Growth (TPVG) is a business development company that offers financing solutions to venture growth stage companies in various sectors, including technology, life sciences, and other high-growth industries. TPVG specializes in providing debt financing options such as loans and credit facilities tailored to meet the unique needs of companies that are backed by venture capital firms.

How the Company Makes Money

TPVG generates revenue primarily through interest income from its debt investments and financing solutions provided to venture growth stage companies. The company earns money by charging interest on the loans and credit facilities it provides, as well as through origination and other fees associated with its financing activities. TPVG's earnings are also influenced by its ability to maintain strong relationships with venture capital firms, which often refer high-quality investment opportunities, and by managing the credit risk of its portfolio effectively.

TriplePoint Venture Growth Financial Statement Overview

Summary

TriplePoint Venture Growth shows mixed financial health. While recent improvements in operating cash flow and debt management are positive signs, persistent net losses and fluctuating revenue growth highlight challenges in profitability. Continued focus on stabilizing revenue and managing costs will be essential for future growth.

Income Statement

The revenue growth fluctuated significantly, with a sharp decline in 2024 after a spike in 2023. EBIT margin shows moderate profitability but net income has been negative for recent years, indicating potential challenges in managing operating costs.

Balance Sheet

The company shows a strong equity position with a low debt-to-equity ratio in 2024, indicating reduced leverage. However, the equity ratio is declining, suggesting increased liabilities relative to assets, which could be a potential risk if not managed.

Cash Flow

The operating cash flow has improved significantly, turning positive in 2024, which is a strong indicator of improved operational efficiency. Free cash flow is also positive, indicating good cash generation, although past fluctuations indicate a need for consistent cash management.

Breakdown
Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
108.65M	61.73M	119.42M	83.36M	42.00M
	Gross Profit
108.65M	137.49M	94.76M	58.58M	18.74M
	EBIT
54.55M	73.81M	90.32M	76.56M	35.31M
	EBITDA
0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-12.55M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
32.05M	-39.82M	-46.83M	76.56M	35.31M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
45.90M	153.33M	1.00B	51.27M	38.22M
	Total Assets
763.04M	978.83M	1.01B	927.67M	683.51M
	Total Debt
0.00	607.90M	566.98M	467.50M	261.11M
	Net Debt
-45.90M	-153.33M	515.49M	416.23M	222.89M
	Total Liabilities
417.35M	632.52M	594.59M	467.50M	283.07M
	Stockholders Equity
345.69M	346.31M	419.94M	434.49M	400.44M
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
152.92M	106.15M	-100.89M	-144.68M	60.58M
	Operating Cash Flow
152.92M	106.15M	-100.89M	-144.68M	60.58M
	Investing Cash Flow
0.00	0.00	-421.00M	-417.37M	-206.14M
	Financing Cash Flow
-245.78M	6.17M	101.00M	159.15M	-42.35M

TriplePoint Venture Growth Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 5.98
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPVG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.79, below the 50-day MA of 7.21, and below the 200-day MA of 7.03, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TPVG.

TriplePoint Venture Growth Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
GBDC	76 Outperform	$3.74B	10.23	9.40%	11.80%	16.10%	-24.30%
ARCC	75 Outperform	$14.28B	8.55	12.40%	9.20%	19.95%	-10.57%
MAIN	74 Outperform	$4.69B	9.04	19.26%	5.67%	51.80%	12.05%
GSBD	69 Neutral	$1.24B	19.23	3.96%	15.84%	-28.04%	-69.52%
HTGC	67 Neutral	$3.03B	10.86	13.71%	9.15%	-1.49%	-29.48%
Sector *	64 Neutral	$13.46B	9.44	9.34%	4.72%	16.14%	-8.80%
TPVG	60 Neutral	$249.25M	7.58	9.26%	20.93%	22.53%	―

TriplePoint Venture Growth Corporate Events

TriplePoint Venture Growth Reports Strong Q4 2024 Results

TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024, highlighting a net investment income of $1.40 per share for the year and a 15.8% portfolio yield on debt investments for the fourth quarter. The company declared a first quarter 2025 distribution of $0.30 per share and reported significant activity in debt commitments and investments, indicating strong market conditions and a growing pipeline. The company’s strategic focus for 2025 includes leveraging the increasing demand for debt financing from well-positioned venture growth stage companies to enhance its scale, durability, portfolio diversification, and income-generating assets.

TriplePoint Venture Growth Secures $50M Note Agreement

On January 23, 2025, TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. announced the signing of a Note Purchase Agreement for the issuance of $50 million in senior unsecured notes due February 2028, with an interest rate of 8.11% per year. These notes are intended to be used to repay outstanding debt and are part of the company’s strategy to maintain a robust capital structure, positioning it well to seize future lending opportunities.