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Tennant Company (TNC)
NYSE:TNC

Tennant Co (TNC) AI Stock Analysis

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TNC

Tennant Co

(NYSE:TNC)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$64.00
▼(-18.29% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/25/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening 2025 financial performance (lower revenue, margins, and cash flow) and clearly bearish technicals (price far below major moving averages with weak momentum). Earnings call guidance points to improvement in 2026, but ERP-related disruption and elevated remediation spend keep near-term risk elevated, while valuation remains rich versus the current fundamentals.
Positive Factors
Robotics (AMR) Growth
Tennant’s dedicated robotics unit and an explicit roadmap to ~$250M in AMR revenue by 2028 show a structural shift to higher‑growth, technology‑led offerings. Recurring autonomy fees and scale economics can raise long‑term revenue visibility and margins as adoption of automated cleaning expands across facilities.
Recurring Aftermarket & Service Revenue
Aftermarket parts, consumables and service growth provide high‑frequency, stickier revenue tied to an installed base. This recurring mix supports cash flow stability, improves customer retention, and cushions cyclicality in capital equipment sales, sustaining margins and valuation of the fleet business over time.
Strong Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Material liquidity and modest leverage give Tennant the financial flexibility to fund ERP remediation, invest in robotics, and maintain shareholder returns. A conservative capital structure reduces refinancing risk and enables strategic investments without forcing disruptive asset sales or severe cost cuts.
Negative Factors
ERP Implementation Disruption
The North America ERP go‑live breakdown materially interrupted core operations, harming fulfillment, parts flow and service. Such execution failures can damage customer relationships, depress sales and margins for multiple quarters, and require sustained management focus away from growth initiatives.
Weakening Profitability and Cash Generation
A multi‑year deterioration in margins and cash flow reduces internal funding for R&D, capex and buybacks. Lower free cash flow and compressed net margin signal weaker operating leverage and ROI, limiting the firm’s ability to sustain investments in robotics and aftermarket expansion without rebuilding profitability.
Ongoing ERP Remediation Costs
Significant cumulative ERP spend and rising remediation budgets create lingering margin and cash‑flow drag. Continued project costs and potential further disruptions increase execution risk, absorb management time and capital, and could depress returns until the system stabilizes and efficiency benefits are realized.

Tennant Co (TNC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tennant Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTennant Company, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and markets floor cleaning equipment in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers a suite of products, including floor maintenance and cleaning equipment, detergent-free and other sustainable cleaning technologies, aftermarket parts and consumables, equipment maintenance and repair services, specialty surface coatings, and asset management solutions. It also provides business solutions, such as financing, rental, and leasing programs, as well as machine-to-machine asset management solutions. The company offers its products under the Tennant, Nobles, Alfa Uma Empresa Tennant, IRIS, VLX, IPC, Gaomei, and Rongen brands, as well as private-label brands. Its products are used in retail establishments and distribution centers; factories and warehouses; and public venues, such as arenas and stadiums, office buildings, schools and universities, hospitals and clinics, parking lots and streets, and other environments. It markets its products to contract cleaners and businesses through direct sales and service organizations, as well as through a network of authorized distributors. Tennant Company was founded in 1870 and is headquartered in Eden Prairie, Minnesota.
How the Company Makes MoneyTennant generates revenue primarily through the sale of its cleaning equipment, which includes floor scrubbers, sweepers, and pressure washers. The company also offers a variety of cleaning solutions, including detergents and chemicals. Key revenue streams include direct product sales, service and maintenance contracts, and parts sales. Additionally, Tennant engages in leasing arrangements that provide customers with flexible payment options for acquiring equipment. The company has established significant partnerships with distributors and retailers, enhancing its market presence and accessibility. Factors contributing to its earnings include ongoing demand for industrial cleaning solutions, growth in e-commerce and logistics sectors, and increasing emphasis on hygiene in public spaces.

Tennant Co Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Sales by Geography
Net Sales by Geography
Breaks down sales by region (for example North America, EMEA, APAC), showing where Tennant is strongest and where it can expand. Geographic mix exposes currency and macro risks, regional demand cycles for commercial and industrial cleaning equipment, and potential growth markets that could drive future revenue.
Chart InsightsAmericas has been the revenue engine but shows a notable pullback in early 2025, consistent with management’s comments about North American industrial weakness and tariff-driven purchase delays; EMEA is the relative bright spot—order strength and new product traction there are starting to offset currency headwinds—and APAC remains the weak link, hit by China and Korea softness despite an ERP go‑live. Operational moves (pricing, supply-chain adjustments, new T360/AMR wins) and six quarters of order growth improve visibility, but APAC and tariff risks keep near-term top‑line recovery uncertain.
Data provided by:The Fly

Tennant Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 23, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The call highlights meaningful strategic progress (notably the dedicated robotics organization, $85M in AMR sales and a clear roadmap to $250M by 2028), disciplined capital returns (share repurchases and dividend history) and a strong balance sheet. However, the North America ERP implementation caused a material operational and financial setback (lost sales ~$30M, adjusted EBITDA hit ~$22M, multi-week order-entry outage), pressured margins and reduced near-term cash generation. Management has stabilized critical issues, provided 2026 guidance assuming recovery weighted to the back half of the year, and increased near-term ERP remediation spend. Given the magnitude of the operational disruption and its impact on quarterly and full-year results, the negatives materially outweigh the positives in the short term even as strategic initiatives remain promising.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Robotics (AMR) Momentum and Dedicated Organization
Tennant launched a dedicated TNC Robotics group to accelerate autonomous/mobile robotics (AMR) adoption and scale. AMR delivered approximately $85 million in 2025 sales (inclusive of recurring autonomy fees). Management targets roughly $250 million in AMR revenue by 2028 and will increase product, commercial and deployment investment to capture market growth.
Disciplined Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns
Company repurchased ~1.1 million shares for $88.5 million in 2025 (reducing outstanding shares by ~6%) and paid dividends, including the 54th consecutive annual dividend increase. Returned $110.4 million to shareholders in 2025 (dividends $21.9M, repurchases $88.5M).
Solid Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Strong liquidity with $106.4 million in cash and cash equivalents and $374.3 million of unused borrowing capacity on the revolving credit facility. Net leverage remained low at 1.0x adjusted EBITDA (within target 1–2x range).
International Execution and Regional Strength
Outside North America the business showed resilience: EMEA grew ~5.1% year-over-year (Q4 and full year benefits from price realization and FX) and APAC returned to improved performance with Q4 organic sales up ~11% and full-year pockets of strength (Australia, India). Service revenue grew ~4.7% for the year.
Operational Cost Discipline and Restructuring
Adjusted S&A expense fell by $22.1 million year-over-year in 2025 due to lower compensation and earlier cost reduction initiatives. Company recorded $6.4 million restructuring charges tied to workforce reorganization with expected annual savings of approximately $10 million beginning in 2026.
Forward Guidance Indicates Recovery and Growth
2026 guidance: net sales $1.24B–$1.28B (organic growth 3%–6.5%), adjusted EBITDA $175M–$190M (margin 14.1%–14.8%), adjusted EPS $4.70–$5.30 (excluding ERP project costs and amortization). Management expects stabilization and efficiency improvements through H1 with results weighted to H2 2026.
Negative Updates
North America ERP Go-Live Disruption
ERP cutover in North America (first week of November) caused severe system issues that prevented order entry, shipping and servicing. Company lost ~3 full weeks of order entry/parts shipping capability, forced manual stopgap procedures and remains in hypercare. EMEA go‑live paused to prioritize North America recovery.
Material Sales and Earnings Impact from ERP
ERP-related disruption reduced net sales by an estimated $30 million in Q4 (roughly $15M unrecoverable; $15M moved to backlog). Fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA was reduced by approximately $22 million and EPS impact was ~$0.91 for the quarter.
Significant Year-over-Year Revenue Declines in Q4 and Americas
Q4 consolidated net sales were $291.6 million, down 11.3% year-over-year (organic sales declined 13.9%). Americas organic sales declined 22.3% in Q4, driven primarily by North America ERP impacts and softer industrial/aftermarket demand.
Full-Year Sales and Profitability Contraction
Full year 2025 net sales were $1,203.5 million (≈$1.20B), down 6.5% from $1,286.7 million in 2024 (organic decline 7.3%). Full-year GAAP net income fell to $43.8 million from $83.7 million in 2024. Adjusted EBITDA decreased $41.4 million to $167.4 million; adjusted EBITDA margin declined 230 basis points to 13.9%.
Gross Margin Pressure and Additional Cost Headwinds
Full-year gross margin declined 250 basis points to 40.2%. Q4 gross margin hit included an estimated $13.5 million volume impact and ~$8.5 million in incremental operating inefficiencies (labor, freight, deleverage). Additional Q4 charges included ~$4.5 million of inventory write-downs and higher material/tariff costs.
Higher-than-Expected ERP Investment and Ongoing Costs
Since 2023, Tennant has invested approximately $98 million in the ERP program; 2025 ERP investment totaled $59.1 million ($30.6M capitalized, $28.5M expensed). Management now expects 2026 ERP-related spending to exceed the previously-planned ~$5 million and likely surpass $20 million for remediation, hypercare and further modernization.
Near-Term Operational and Sales Disruption into Q1 2026
Company conducted a comprehensive physical inventory that required a two-week shutdown of manufacturing and distribution in early January, expected to significantly impact Q1 sales and costs. Management expects Q1 margins roughly in line with Q4 and improvement through mid-year.
Legal Contingency and Other Non-Operating Charges
Post-trial ruling increased OWT intellectual property damages by 30%, raising the total judgment to approximately $20.2 million and resulting in an incremental $6 million accrued expense in 2025. Also experienced higher bad debt expense and increased interest expense in Q4 due to higher average debt balances.
Company Guidance
Tennant guided 2026 net sales of $1.24 billion to $1.28 billion (organic growth 3.0%–6.5%, with ~25% of growth from pricing and ~75% from volume), adjusted EBITDA of $175 million to $190 million (adjusted EBITDA margin 14.1%–14.8%), and adjusted EPS of $4.70 to $5.30 per diluted share (excluding ERP project costs and amortization), with an adjusted effective tax rate of 24%–29% (excluding ERP costs). Management warned North America ERP disruption will pressure Q1 (a two‑week physical inventory shutdown in early January will materially affect Q1 sales and costs and Q1 gross margin is expected to be roughly in line with Q4), expects system stability by end‑Q1 with efficiency gains into Q2 and results weighted to the back half of 2026, anticipates mid‑single‑digit growth across geographies, will increase absolute S&A and R&D spend (percent of sales comparable to 2025), factors known tariffs into guidance, and expects ERP remediation/hypercare spending in 2026 to exceed the ~$5 million initially planned and likely top $20 million.

Tennant Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals softened in 2025: revenue declined and profitability compressed (net margin down to ~3.6% vs ~6.5% in 2024), while cash generation cooled materially (operating cash flow down to $65M; free cash flow $43M). The balance sheet remains a partial offset with manageable leverage (~0.57 debt-to-equity), though rising debt and lower ROE (~7.3%) are watch items.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Revenue growth has been inconsistent, including a decline in 2025 (annual) after modest growth in 2024 and a stronger year in 2023. Profitability has also weakened: net margin fell to ~3.6% in 2025 (annual) from ~6.5% in 2024 and ~8.8% in 2023, alongside lower operating and EBITDA margins. Gross margin remains solid (~40%+), but the recent compression in operating profitability is a clear negative.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Leverage looks manageable with debt-to-equity at ~0.57 in 2025 (annual), and equity remains sizable relative to the asset base. However, debt has risen versus 2023–2024, and returns on equity have moderated to ~7.3% in 2025 (annual) from mid-teens to high-teens in prior years, signaling weaker efficiency/profit generation. Overall balance sheet risk is moderate, but the direction of leverage and returns bears watching.
Cash Flow
54
Neutral
Cash generation has cooled materially: operating cash flow fell to $65M in 2025 (annual) from $189M in 2023 and $90M in 2024, and free cash flow dropped to $43M with a steep decline versus 2024. Free cash flow is still positive, but it covers a smaller portion of earnings (~0.67x in 2025), and the prior history includes a notably weak 2022 with negative operating and free cash flow. The cash flow profile is positive but less reliable than earlier years.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.20B1.29B1.24B1.09B1.09B
Gross Profit484.30M550.00M527.80M420.90M438.00M
EBITDA125.60M169.00M188.40M135.30M134.50M
Net Income43.80M83.70M109.50M66.30M64.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.27B1.19B1.11B1.09B1.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments106.40M99.60M116.90M77.20M123.10M
Total Debt344.60M254.30M242.40M332.40M309.40M
Total Liabilities665.50M568.00M535.10M613.00M626.60M
Stockholders Equity601.60M620.80M577.00M470.80M433.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow43.30M68.30M164.40M-54.40M46.30M
Operating Cash Flow65.00M89.70M188.40M-25.10M69.40M
Investing Cash Flow-22.70M-78.40M-23.20M-24.50M1.70M
Financing Cash Flow-38.70M-25.20M-122.60M8.10M-84.50M

Tennant Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price78.33
Price Trends
50DMA
75.72
Negative
100DMA
75.55
Negative
200DMA
77.21
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.42
Positive
RSI
25.77
Positive
STOCH
6.94
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TNC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 78.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 74.86, above the 50-day MA of 75.72, and above the 200-day MA of 77.21, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.77 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.94 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TNC.

Tennant Co Risk Analysis

Tennant Co disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tennant Co reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tennant Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$1.53B16.6411.45%3.08%35.81%
70
Outperform
$2.32B37.533.75%0.64%-1.46%-10.03%
69
Neutral
$1.71B23.6813.45%1.49%3.19%31.51%
68
Neutral
$3.21B308.577.72%0.57%18.51%-28.69%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
53
Neutral
$1.12B30.907.17%1.59%-2.24%-48.77%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TNC
Tennant Co
62.84
-19.99
-24.14%
GRC
Gorman-Rupp Company
64.92
27.41
73.09%
SXI
Standex International
264.96
82.81
45.46%
HLIO
Helios Technologies
70.00
33.29
90.69%
THR
Thermon Group Holdings
47.96
19.92
71.04%

Tennant Co Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Tennant Adds Independent Directors, Advances Governance Refresh Plan
Positive
Feb 13, 2026

On February 12, 2026, Tennant Company entered into a cooperation agreement with Vision One Fund and appointed Patrick E. Allen to its board as a Class II director, while also appointing James T. Glerum, Jr. as a Class III director. Both join as independent directors, will serve on the Executive and Audit Committees, and will receive standard non-employee director compensation for their partial terms through the 2026 annual meeting.

Under the agreement with Vision One, the investor has accepted customary standstill, voting and non-disparagement commitments, while Tennant’s board pledged to cap its size at 11 members until the 2027 annual meeting and to seek shareholder approval to declassify the board by 2027, moving to annual elections. The moves deepen the board’s financial and strategic expertise via Glerum’s four-decade investment banking background and Allen’s CFO experience at major industrial and aerospace companies, signaling a governance refresh aimed at supporting Tennant’s growth strategy and long-term shareholder value.

Tennant disclosed that with these appointments its board now comprises 11 directors, 10 of whom are independent, and it plans to present its slate of nominees for the 2026 annual meeting, expected on April 29, 2026, in its forthcoming proxy materials. The company highlighted constructive engagement with Vision One and framed the governance changes, including the planned declassification proposal, as consistent with its emphasis on strong corporate governance practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (TNC) stock is a Buy with a $107.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tennant Co stock, see the TNC Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Tennant Sets Key Deadlines for 2026 Annual Meeting
Neutral
Feb 3, 2026

Tennant Company has scheduled its 2026 annual meeting of shareholders for Wednesday, April 29, 2026, with the specific time to be announced in its forthcoming proxy materials. The company also set February 13, 2026, as the deadline for shareholders to submit information required to nominate director candidates, signaling the formal start of the timetable for investor participation in board elections and corporate governance matters for the 2026 meeting cycle.

The most recent analyst rating on (TNC) stock is a Buy with a $107.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tennant Co stock, see the TNC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026