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TMD Energy Limited (TMDE)
XASE:TMDE
US Market

TMD Energy Limited (TMDE) AI Stock Analysis

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TMDE

TMD Energy Limited

(NYSE MKT:TMDE)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$0.70
▲(69.51% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/07/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial quality—very low net margin, high leverage, and negative operating/free cash flow—despite revenue growth and some operational efficiency improvement. Technically, the stock is above key moving averages, but overbought RSI and negative MACD temper the trend signal. Valuation impact is neutral due to missing P/E and dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth Trend
Sustained revenue growth of 8.77% indicates expanding project deliveries and customer wins across solar and wind. Over 2–6 months this supports a larger project pipeline, stronger bargaining power with suppliers, and a firmer base to scale operating leverage as projects mature.
Negative Factors
High Financial Leverage
Very high leverage raises refinancing and covenant risk and limits strategic flexibility. In a capital-intensive renewables business, elevated debt amplifies sensitivity to interest rates and project delays, constraining ability to fund new projects or withstand adverse cashflow swings.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Trend
Sustained revenue growth of 8.77% indicates expanding project deliveries and customer wins across solar and wind. Over 2–6 months this supports a larger project pipeline, stronger bargaining power with suppliers, and a firmer base to scale operating leverage as projects mature.
Read all positive factors

TMD Energy Limited (TMDE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TMD Energy Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
TMD Energy Limited, an investment holding company, provides marine fuel bunkering services in Hong Kong, Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore, and Vietnam. The company involved in marketing and supply of marine gas and fuel oil, including high sulfur fu...
How the Company Makes Money
TMD Energy Limited generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by developing and managing renewable energy projects. The company earns money by selling energy produced from its solar and wind installations to local utilities and business...

TMD Energy Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: revenue grew 8.77% and operating margins improved, but profitability is very thin (0.27% net margin), leverage is high (debt-to-equity 4.47), and operating/free cash flow deteriorated with operating cash flow turning negative.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue688.61M633.08M702.10M
Gross Profit16.04M12.09M13.26M
EBITDA12.85M10.21M8.22M
Net Income1.88M2.00M2.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets110.10M104.40M81.93M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.07M4.83M11.27M
Total Debt79.86M24.76M28.35M
Total Liabilities90.96M82.18M61.89M
Stockholders Equity17.88M17.45M16.11M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-28.04M-2.50M-6.09M
Operating Cash Flow-24.29M654.22K518.56K
Investing Cash Flow-3.76M-3.15M-6.61M
Financing Cash Flow38.66M-2.49M8.05M

TMD Energy Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$19.76M100.886.59%0.96%7.26%40.01%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
54
Neutral
$44.07M10.63%
$60.72M16.890.02%6.02%18.14%-68.41%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TMDE
TMD Energy Limited
1.87
-1.76
-48.48%
MXC
Mexco Energy
9.66
2.36
32.33%
PVL
Permianville Royalty
1.84
0.61
49.23%
MTR
Mesa Royalty
4.85
-0.57
-10.57%
TPET
Trio Petroleum Corp.
0.74
-0.67
-47.59%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026