TMD Energy Limited (TMDE) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $16.87M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 36.13K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): -0.51
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: US
• Employees: 66
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 23,565,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 23,644
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 36,134
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 54 Neutral
• Price Target: $0.98 ▲(139.51% Upside)

The score is held back primarily by weak financial quality—very low net margin, high leverage, and negative operating/free cash flow—despite revenue growth and some operational efficiency improvement. Technically, the stock is above key moving averages, but overbought RSI and negative MACD temper the trend signal. Valuation impact is neutral due to missing P/E and dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth Momentum

Sustained revenue growth near 9% indicates expanding project execution and customer uptake. For an energy developer, steady top-line expansion supports scaling project pipeline, better utilization of fixed assets and longer-term contract wins that reinforce multi-quarter revenue visibility.

Improving Operational Margins

Improving gross and operating margins point to better cost control and project execution efficiency. Durable margin recovery enhances project economics, increases cash generation potential per MWh sold, and improves resilience to input cost swings across the medium term.

Diversified Renewable Revenue Streams & Partnerships

A business model combining long-term PPAs, consulting fees and strategic partnerships diversifies cash flows and access to funding. Structural ties to governments and private partners support pipeline visibility, grant/ incentive access and reduce reliance on single revenue sources over multiple quarters.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

Very high leverage materially raises financial risk for a capital-intensive developer. Elevated debt amplifies interest and refinancing exposure, limits capacity to finance new projects internally, and reduces flexibility to absorb setbacks or pursue opportunistic investments over the medium term.

Negative Operating and Free Cash Flow

Negative operating cash flow and falling free cash flow indicate the core business is not reliably generating cash. This forces dependence on external financing, constrains capex for growth, and hampers the company's ability to deleverage or fund operations sustainably over coming quarters.

Very Thin Net Profitability

A near-zero net margin leaves minimal buffer against cost inflation, pricing pressure or project delays. Even with revenue gains, essentially breakeven profitability limits retained earnings, slows balance-sheet repair and reduces long-term investor returns absent durable margin expansion.

TMD Energy Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

TMD Energy Limited, an investment holding company, provides marine fuel bunkering services in Hong Kong, Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore, and Vietnam. The company involved in marketing and supply of marine gas and fuel oil, including high sulfur fuel oil, low sulfur fuel oil, and very low sulfur fuel oil products to ships and vessels. It also provides vessel chartering and ship management services for in-house and external vessels; sale of cargo oil and fresh water; and general cleaning and disinfecting services. It operates with a fleet of 15 well-maintained bunkering vessels. TMD Energy Limited was incorporated in 2023 and is based in the Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. TMD Energy Limited is a subsidiary of Straits Energy Resources Berhad.

How the Company Makes Money

TMD Energy Limited generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by developing and managing renewable energy projects. The company earns money by selling energy produced from its solar and wind installations to local utilities and businesses under long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs). Additionally, TMDE provides consulting services for energy efficiency and sustainability projects, allowing it to charge fees for expertise and project management. Significant partnerships with government entities and private sector companies enhance its project pipeline and enable access to funding opportunities, further contributing to its earnings. The company may also benefit from incentives and subsidies offered for renewable energy initiatives, which can bolster its profitability.

TMD Energy Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

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Balance Sheet

Cash Flow

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Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
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TMD Energy Limited Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
MXC	71 Outperform	$22.10M	13.20	9.11%	0.96%	7.26%	40.01%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
TMDE	54 Neutral	$16.87M	―	―	―	―	―
PVL	54 Neutral	$59.73M	27.81	4.93%	6.02%	18.14%	-68.41%