Swvl (SWVL)
NASDAQ:SWVL
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Swvl
(NASDAQ:SWVL)
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Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(8.70% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/23/26
SWVL scores in the low-50s primarily due to mixed financial quality: profitability has improved and leverage looks more manageable, but persistent negative operating and free cash flow keeps risk elevated. Technicals add a modest lift with near-term momentum above shorter moving averages, while valuation is neutral with a mid-teens P/E and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
B2B/Recurring Revenue Mix
A substantial shift toward B2B and recurring contracts (84% recurring, 56% B2B growth, 128% net dollar retention) improves revenue predictability and customer stickiness. This structural mix supports steadier cash flows, higher lifetime value, and easier scaling of enterprise operations over months.
Negative Factors
Negative Cash Flow
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow indicates the core business still consumes cash despite reported profit. Continued cash burn forces dependence on external funding, constrains reinvestment in fleets and tech, and raises liquidity risk if margins or contract timing slip.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
B2B/Recurring Revenue Mix
A substantial shift toward B2B and recurring contracts (84% recurring, 56% B2B growth, 128% net dollar retention) improves revenue predictability and customer stickiness. This structural mix supports steadier cash flows, higher lifetime value, and easier scaling of enterprise operations over months.
Read all positive factors
Swvl (SWVL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$19.43M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)10.07K
Price to Earnings (P/E)15.4
Beta (1Y)1.54
Revenue Growth40.45%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees284
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustrySoftware - Application
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.10
Shares Outstanding9,964,344
10 Day Avg. Volume10,399
30 Day Avg. Volume10,073
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.14
Price to Book (P/B)3.43
Price to Sales (P/S)0.84
P/FCF Ratio-7.36
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.76
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.45
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit6.76
Enterprise Value/Ebitda23.15
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Swvl Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Swvl Holdings Corp. provides mass transit ridesharing services. It offers B2C Swvl Retail, which provides riders with a network of minibuses and other vehicles running on fixed or semi-fixed routes within cities; Swvl Travel that allows riders to ...
How the Company Makes Money
Swvl makes money primarily by charging for transportation services and related mobility solutions. Key revenue streams include: (1) B2C ride fares: revenue from passengers who pay per trip (or via pass/subscription where offered) for seats on Swvl...
Swvl Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Swvl Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
48
Neutral
Balance Sheet
57
Neutral
Cash Flow
29
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 10.19M | 24.17M | 17.21M | 22.85M | 43.00M | 25.56M |
| Gross Profit | 2.19M | 4.36M | 3.64M | 4.11M | 179.83K | -5.79M |
| EBITDA | 638.51K | 2.10M | -10.55M | 4.96M | -94.03M | -131.57M |
| Net Income | 432.20K | 1.31M | -10.34M | 3.06M | -116.50M | -141.49M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 18.23M | 20.04M | 16.37M | 21.90M | 57.46M | 59.34M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 4.88M | 4.41M | 4.96M | 2.92M | 1.54M | 19.53M |
| Total Debt | 826.45K | 1.93M | 1.21M | 1.66M | 2.34M | 79.65M |
| Total Liabilities | 17.53M | 17.10M | 17.05M | 15.98M | 54.83M | 149.08M |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.68M | 5.92M | 2.28M | 8.95M | 6.82M | -89.80M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -253.06K | -2.75M | -3.57M | -9.38M | -119.95M | -62.46M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -250.11K | -2.14M | -3.57M | -9.11M | -117.46M | -62.13M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -2.95K | 367.92K | 583.37K | 8.79M | -8.09M | -11.15M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 1.76M | 1.21M | 4.04M | 343.89K | 124.85M | 72.72M |
Swvl Technical Analysis
Neutral
1.84
Price Trends
1.51
Positive
1.89
Negative
2.73
Negative
Market Momentum
>-0.01
Negative
59.24
Neutral
87.83
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SWVL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.43, above the 50-day MA of 1.51, and below the 200-day MA of 2.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.83 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SWVL.
Swvl Risk Analysis
Swvl disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Swvl reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Swvl Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
SWVL
Swvl
1.89
-0.99
-34.38%
AUUD
Auddia
1.85
-25.72
-93.29%
NXTT
Next Technology Holding
1.57
-58.28
-97.38%
RYDE
Ryde Group Limited Class A
1.23
0.99
414.64%
Swvl Corporate Events
Swvl Regains Nasdaq Compliance After Meeting Equity and Net Income Thresholds
Apr 20, 2026
On April 20, 2026, Swvl Holdings Corp announced it has regained compliance with Nasdaq’s continued listing requirements tied to stockholders’ equity and net income standards. The decision followed a review by Nasdaq staff of Swvl’...
Swvl Swings to Profit as FY 2025 Revenue Jumps 41% and GCC Business Surges
Apr 20, 2026
Swvl reported a sharp financial turnaround for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, announcing on April 20, 2026 that revenue rose 41% to $24.2 million and net income reached $1.3 million, reversing a $10.3 million loss in 2024. The improvemen...
Swvl Replaces Grant Thornton With Bansal as Independent Auditor Amid Going-Concern Flag
Feb 17, 2026
On January 29, 2026, Swvl Holdings Corp’s audit committee approved the appointment of Bansal Co LLP as its new independent registered public accounting firm and dismissed Grant Thornton Audit and Accounting Limited (Dubai Branch). Grant Tho...
Swvl Wins Three-Year $1.5 Million Healthcare Mobility Contract in Saudi Arabia
Feb 9, 2026
On February 9, 2026, Swvl announced a new three-year contract in Saudi Arabia worth up to $1.5 million to provide technology-enabled transport services for patients, medical staff and equipment across healthcare facilities. The deal deploys Swvl&#...
Swvl Wins Five-Year, $5.5 Million UAE Contract After 5x Growth in 2025
Feb 2, 2026
On February 2, 2026, Swvl announced it had signed a new five-year contract in the United Arab Emirates worth up to $5.5 million, deepening its presence in what it describes as one of its fastest-growing and highest-value markets. The deal, which f...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.