Swvl (SWVL)
NASDAQ:SWVL
US Market

Swvl (SWVL) AI Stock Analysis

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Swvl

(NASDAQ:SWVL)

47Neutral
Swvl's overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with improved profitability but declining revenue and cash flow issues. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and valuation metrics underscore challenges with unprofitability. The absence of earnings call insights and corporate events offers limited additional context.

Swvl (SWVL) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Swvl Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSwvl (SWVL) is a technology-driven mass transit solutions company that operates primarily in the transportation and mobility sectors. Founded in Egypt, Swvl offers a platform that provides affordable, convenient, and reliable bus transportation services for both daily commuters and intercity travelers. The company's core service is its app-based platform which allows users to book seats on private buses operating on fixed routes at competitive prices, offering an alternative to public transportation.
How the Company Makes MoneySwvl makes money primarily through a commission-based revenue model. It partners with bus owners and operators, taking a percentage of the fare paid by passengers for each trip booked through its platform. Swvl sets the pricing for the routes based on factors such as distance, demand, and competitive pricing strategies, ensuring affordability for customers while maximizing occupancy for operators. Additionally, Swvl may also explore partnerships with corporate clients to offer tailored transportation solutions for employees, and could potentially leverage advertising opportunities within its app or on buses for additional revenue streams.

Swvl Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Swvl's financial performance shows improved profitability with a significant increase in net profit and EBIT margins. However, the large decline in revenue and negative free cash flow remain concerns. The balance sheet indicates low leverage and strong equity, suggesting financial stability, but cash flow challenges need addressing.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Swvl's income statement shows a significant decrease in revenue from 2022 to 2023, with total revenue dropping by 55.6%. However, the company has improved its gross profit margin to 18% from 5.3% in 2022, and it achieved a positive net profit margin of 13.4%, marking a turnaround from the previous year's negative margin. The EBIT margin improved significantly to 52.9% from the negative position in 2022. These profitability improvements are positive, but the significant revenue decline is concerning.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Swvl's balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19, indicating low leverage. The return on equity has improved to 34.1%, showcasing effective utilization of equity. The equity ratio is robust at 40.9%, suggesting a solid equity base. These factors indicate financial stability, though the decrease in total assets from previous years may point to a contraction in scale.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The company's cash flow statement reveals a challenging scenario with significant negative free cash flow, though it shows an improvement from 2022. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating that operating cash flows are not yet supporting the net income. However, the free cash flow position has improved, and the company shows positive investing cash flow, potentially from asset sales or other strategic financial activities.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
19.80M22.85M51.49M38.35M17.31M12.35M
Gross Profit
4.09M4.11M2.75M-10.58M-9.10M-21.43M
EBIT
2.92M12.09M-82.39M-100.52M-33.39M-40.92M
EBITDA
-8.49M4.96M-94.03M-131.57M-23.50M-40.42M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-4.94M3.06M-116.50M-141.49M-29.73M-35.26M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.18M2.92M1.54M19.53M10.35M15.33M
Total Assets
14.07M21.90M57.46M59.34M24.76M25.61M
Total Debt
1.32M1.66M2.34M79.65M928.58K1.15M
Net Debt
140.60K-1.26M804.78K70.12M-9.42M-14.19M
Total Liabilities
16.20M15.98M54.83M149.08M6.35M6.37M
Stockholders Equity
909.54K8.95M6.82M-89.80M18.41M19.24M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-11.88M-9.38M-119.95M-62.46M-30.76M-40.38M
Operating Cash Flow
-11.86M-9.11M-117.46M-62.13M-30.55M-39.99M
Investing Cash Flow
9.02M8.79M-8.09M-11.15M-212.99K-388.63K
Financing Cash Flow
1.11M343.89K124.85M72.72M26.04M46.36M

Swvl Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.90
Price Trends
50DMA
4.69
Negative
100DMA
5.23
Negative
200DMA
5.19
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.22
Positive
RSI
35.86
Neutral
STOCH
15.48
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SWVL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.26, below the 50-day MA of 4.69, and below the 200-day MA of 5.19, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.48 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SWVL.

Swvl Risk Analysis

Swvl disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Swvl reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Swvl Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$135.14B14.1060.08%17.96%410.17%
68
Neutral
$68.54B615.701.68%24.17%
67
Neutral
$15.20B-1.62%18.52%76.16%
61
Neutral
$4.53B211.723.48%31.39%
57
Neutral
$18.57B9.42-13.42%2.72%5.01%-23.43%
47
Neutral
$31.09M-198.18%-51.62%-106.47%
44
Neutral
$42.29M-65.03%-25.31%40.84%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SWVL
Swvl
2.90
-13.85
-82.69%
LYFT
Lyft
10.84
-6.99
-39.20%
UBER
Uber Technologies
64.62
-10.41
-13.87%
DASH
DoorDash
163.16
25.73
18.72%
GRAB
Grab
3.73
0.43
13.03%
BIRD
Allbirds
5.28
-7.52
-58.75%
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.