tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
System1 (SST)
NYSE:SST
US Market
Advertisement

System1 (SST) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
141 Followers

Top Page

SS

System1

(NYSE:SST)

Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▲(4.84%Upside)
The overall stock score for System1 is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, with declining revenues and high leverage posing significant risks. Technical analysis provides some positive signals, while recent earnings call details highlight both successes and challenges. Valuation metrics are notably negative, further weighing on the overall score.

System1 (SST) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

System1 Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSystem1, Inc. (SST) operates as a leading digital marketing and consumer acquisition company. It leverages its proprietary technology platform, the RAMP (Responsive Acquisition Marketing Platform), to connect with customers across various digital channels. The company is primarily focused on sectors such as advertising technology and data-driven marketing, offering a suite of services that enhance customer acquisition and engagement strategies for businesses.
How the Company Makes MoneySystem1 makes money through its advanced digital marketing and customer acquisition services, which are powered by the RAMP platform. The platform utilizes artificial intelligence and machine learning algorithms to effectively target and acquire high-intent customers for its clients. Key revenue streams include performance-based marketing services, where the company earns revenue based on the success of customer acquisition campaigns it manages. Additionally, System1 partners with various advertisers and publishers to enhance its reach and optimize the performance of its marketing efforts. These partnerships, along with its data-driven approach, are significant contributors to the company's earnings.

System1 Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 66.22%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
System1 demonstrated strong performance in its financial metrics and success in its owned and operated products, offset by challenges in marketing-driven revenue and uncertainties related to Google product changes.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Q1 revenue was $74.5 million, beating the high end of guidance with a 33% year-over-year increase in adjusted gross profit and a significant rise in adjusted EBITDA to $12.1 million from $400,000 the previous year.
Success of Owned and Operated Products
Owned and operated products saw a 51% year-over-year revenue increase, with CouponFollow user sessions up over 160% and Startpage sessions up 11% year-over-year.
Growth in Partner Network
Partner Network revenue increased by 4% year-over-year, with adjusted gross profit up 37% year-over-year and 4% sequentially.
Expansion in International Markets
International revenue represented 30% of total owned and operated revenue, up from 29% in Q1 2024.
Negative Updates
Decline in Marketing-Driven Revenue
Marketing-driven revenue decreased by 34% year-over-year, primarily due to a decline in a non-core, low-gross-margin business segment.
Challenges with Google Product Changes
Continued volatility related to Google's shift from AFD to RSOC, creating uncertainty and impacting the ability to provide financial guidance for Q2 2025.
Overall Revenue Decline
Total Q1 revenue decreased by 12% year-over-year and 1% sequentially.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025 earnings call for System1, the company exceeded its guidance range with revenue at approximately $75 million, adjusted gross profit at $41.5 million, and adjusted EBITDA at $12.1 million, marking a 33% year-over-year increase in adjusted gross profit and a substantial rise in EBITDA from $400,000 in the prior year quarter. The owned and operated products, including CouponFollow, Startpage, and MapQuest, showed strong performance with a 51% year-over-year revenue increase, despite a 16% decline in total owned and operated revenue due to a drop in the marketing-driven business. Sessions across owned and operated properties reached 1.3 billion, up 6% year-over-year. The Partner Network also delivered growth with revenue at $70 million and a 37% year-over-year increase in adjusted gross profit. The company is heavily investing in AI-powered automation and Agentic coding, which has significantly increased productivity and accelerated product development. However, due to uncertainties related to Google’s policy changes and broader market volatility, System1 did not provide financial guidance for the second quarter of 2025.

System1 Financial Statement Overview

Summary
System1 faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, high leverage, and negative cash flows. Despite minor improvements in EBITDA margin, the overall financial health is concerning, with risks in liquidity and operational sustainability.
Income Statement
38
Negative
System1 has experienced declining revenues and profitability over recent periods, with a negative net profit margin and EBIT margin in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). This reflects challenges in generating profit from its operations, despite a slight improvement in EBITDA margin. Revenue growth has been negative, indicating a downward trajectory.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows high leverage with a substantial debt-to-equity ratio, which poses a risk in volatile market conditions. The return on equity is negative due to consistent net losses, and the equity ratio has been decreasing, indicating a weakening equity position. However, the company maintains some liquidity with cash equivalents available.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow metrics indicate significant challenges, with negative free cash flow and operating cash flow to net income ratio suggesting inefficiencies in converting revenue to cash. Free cash flow has been decreasing, highlighting potential liquidity issues and limitations in funding operations without external financing.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue343.93M401.97M826.65M688.39M475.98M
Gross Profit152.36M46.72M305.54M675.06M134.98M
EBITDA14.00M-4.48M-427.61M64.72M52.92M
Net Income-74.67M-227.22M33.00M21.03M16.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets459.13M605.47M1.16B517.62M218.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments63.61M135.34M24.61M53.15K29.01M
Total Debt274.98M355.42M422.55M450.00K179.97M
Total Liabilities374.13M436.15M687.67M60.43M266.91M
Stockholders Equity80.26M135.28M383.98M457.19M-48.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.29M-32.70M-17.66M-7.78M40.42M
Operating Cash Flow-5.25M-24.74M-7.29M-1.24M46.55M
Investing Cash Flow-6.25M203.18M-454.45M-6.54M68.17M
Financing Cash Flow-63.96M-74.07M-27.73M450.00K-128.07M

System1 Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.20
Price Trends
50DMA
5.26
Positive
100DMA
4.73
Positive
200DMA
6.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.20
Positive
RSI
51.95
Neutral
STOCH
38.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SST, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.79, above the 50-day MA of 5.26, and below the 200-day MA of 6.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SST.

System1 Risk Analysis

System1 disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. System1 reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

System1 Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$27.95M2.10-32.31%-12.74%751.07%
65
Neutral
$10.94B15.635.27%1.90%3.14%-27.13%
55
Neutral
$47.32M
-2.44%
SSSST
52
Neutral
$61.27M-80.45%-19.84%49.40%
48
Neutral
$32.44M-5.44%7.04%-87.89%-44.93%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SST
System1
6.20
-8.00
-56.34%
OMEX
Odyssey Marine Exploration
1.51
-3.42
-69.37%
SGRP
Spar Group
1.19
-0.85
-41.67%
NTIP
Network-1 Technologies
1.42
-0.10
-6.58%

System1 Corporate Events

Stock SplitRegulatory Filings and Compliance
System1 Announces Reverse Stock Split Implementation
Neutral
Jun 11, 2025

On June 11, 2025, System1, Inc. announced the implementation of a reverse stock split for its Class A and Class C Common Stock at a ratio of one post-split share for every ten shares, effective at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time. This move, aimed at regaining compliance with NYSE listing standards, will see the company’s Class A Common Stock begin trading on a split-adjusted basis on June 12, 2025, under the existing symbol ‘SST’ with a new CUSIP number. The reverse stock split reduces the number of issued and outstanding shares and proportionally adjusts the number of shares issuable under equity incentive plans, without affecting the par value or authorized shares. Stockholders will receive cash in lieu of fractional shares, and the split does not alter any stockholder’s percentage interest in the company’s equity.

The most recent analyst rating on (SST) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on System1 stock, see the SST Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsStock Split
System1 Announces Reverse Stock Split Effective June 11
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 10, 2025, System1, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where several key proposals were approved, including amendments to its 2022 Incentive Award Plan and 2024 Stock Appreciation Rights Plan. The company also announced a reverse stock split at a 1-for-10 ratio, effective June 11, 2025, to increase the trading price of its Class A Common Stock and maintain its NYSE listing. These changes aim to enhance System1’s market positioning and operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (SST) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on System1 stock, see the SST Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
System1 Approves Base Salary for President Ursini
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 22, 2025, System1, Inc. announced that its Compensation Committee approved a base salary of $450,000 per annum for Charles Ursini, the company’s President and Chief Operating Officer, effective May 19, 2025. Previously, Mr. Ursini did not receive a base salary for his role, but he will continue to receive the same benefits as other employees, such as medical and dental coverage.

The most recent analyst rating on (SST) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on System1 stock, see the SST Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
System1 Releases Q1 2025 Financial Information
Neutral
May 6, 2025

On May 6, 2025, System1, Inc. released supplemental financial information for the quarter ending March 31, 2025, on its website. The company also made available an investor presentation, which may be used for future investor engagements. This release provides stakeholders with detailed insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic positioning, potentially impacting investor perceptions and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 18, 2025