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Smith Micro Software (SMSI)
NASDAQ:SMSI

Smith Micro Software (SMSI) AI Stock Analysis

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Smith Micro Software

(NASDAQ:SMSI)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▲(8.70%Upside)
Smith Micro Software faces substantial financial challenges with declining revenues and a negative valuation. While technical indicators show some positive momentum, the financial performance remains the most significant factor impacting the score. The earnings call and positive corporate events offer some optimism, but the overall outlook is tempered by ongoing financial difficulties.

Smith Micro Software (SMSI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Smith Micro Software Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSmith Micro Software, Inc. develops and sells software to enhance the mobile experience to wireless and cable service providers worldwide. It offers SafePath Family, SafePath IoT, and SafePath Home product suite, which provides tools to protect digital lifestyles and manage connected devices inside and outside the home; and CommSuite, a messaging platform that helps mobile service providers deliver a next-generation voicemail experience to mobile subscribers, as well as enables multi-language Voice-to-Text transcription messaging. It also offers ViewSpot, a retail display management platform that provides on-screen and interactive demos to wireless carriers and retailers; and technical support and customer services. The company was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneySmith Micro Software makes money through the sale of its software solutions and services to wireless carriers, device manufacturers, and enterprises. The company's revenue model is primarily based on licensing its software platforms, offering subscription-based services, and providing professional services such as software customization and integration. Key revenue streams include recurring revenue from software licenses, maintenance and support contracts, and additional services related to their software products. Significant partnerships with major wireless carriers and technology companies also contribute to its earnings by expanding its market reach and customer base.

Smith Micro Software Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -11.54%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant advancements in product development, particularly with the upcoming launch of SafePath 8 and its AI features. The company also made strides in reducing operating expenses and improving gross margins. However, the overall sentiment is tempered by a notable decline in revenue across several segments and a continued net loss. Despite the challenges, the company's strategic initiatives and new engagements provide optimism for future growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
SafePath 8 Launch and AI Features
The company announced the upcoming release of SafePath 8, which will introduce AI-centric features like social media intelligence, dynamic age-aware settings, and family AI assistance aimed at enhancing family safety and digital wellness.
CommSuite Revenue Increase
CommSuite revenue increased by approximately $100,000 compared to the first quarter of 2024.
Reduction in GAAP Operating Expenses
GAAP operating expenses for the first quarter of 2025 were $8.6 million, a 76% decrease compared to the first quarter of 2024, primarily due to a $24 million goodwill impairment charge recorded in 2024 and cost reduction activities.
Non-GAAP Operating Expenses Reduction
Non-GAAP operating expenses decreased by approximately $2 million or 24% compared to the first quarter of 2024.
Gross Margin Improvement
The gross margin improved to 73% for the quarter compared to 66% in the first quarter of 2024.
New Carrier Engagements and Trials
Smith Micro is involved in new trials with mobile operators throughout Europe and maintains strong engagements with key U.S. partners like AT&T and T-Mobile, which have shown interest in their expanded SafePath solutions.
Negative Updates
Overall Revenue Decline
Revenue decreased to $4.6 million, a decrease of approximately 20% compared to the first quarter of 2024, and a 7% decrease from the fourth quarter of 2024.
Family Safety Revenue Decline
Family Safety revenues were $3.8 million, a decrease of approximately $700,000 or 15% compared to the first quarter of the prior year, driven by the decline in legacy Sprint Safe & Found revenue.
ViewSpot Revenue Decline
ViewSpot revenue was approximately $100,000 for the first quarter of 2025, declining by approximately $600,000 compared to the first quarter of the prior year, due to the end of a ViewSpot contract.
Net Loss
GAAP net loss for the first quarter of 2025 was $5.2 million or $0.28 loss per share, though this was an improvement from a $31 million loss in the first quarter of 2024.
Company Guidance
During Smith Micro's first quarter 2025 earnings call, several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives were discussed. The company reported a revenue of $4.6 million, marking a 20% decrease from the previous year. Family Safety revenues were $3.8 million, a 15% decline attributed to the continued drop in legacy Sprint Safe & Found revenue. CommSuite revenue increased by $100,000 year over year to $700,000, while ViewSpot revenue fell by $600,000 to $100,000 due to the end of a contract. Gross profit was $3.4 million, with a gross margin of 73%. Operating expenses decreased significantly due to a prior goodwill impairment charge, with GAAP operating expenses at $8.6 million and non-GAAP expenses at $6.1 million. The GAAP net loss was $5.2 million, or $0.28 per share, while the non-GAAP net loss was $2.9 million, or $0.16 per share. Looking ahead, the company anticipates second-quarter revenues between $4.4 million and $4.8 million, with a gross margin ranging from 72% to 75%. Smith Micro is also focused on launching SafePath 8, which will integrate AI to enhance family safety solutions, and is optimistic about future growth prospects with new product developments and market opportunities.

Smith Micro Software Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Smith Micro Software faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues and persistent net losses impacting profitability and shareholder value. Despite a strong capital structure with low debt, the company struggles with cash flow generation, necessitating strategic measures to improve operational efficiency and enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Smith Micro Software has experienced declining revenues with a significant drop from $48.5M in 2022 to $19.4M TTM. The gross profit margin stands at 72.1% TTM, indicating effective cost management, but the company faces challenges with profitability as highlighted by a net profit margin of -118.0% TTM. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting underlying operational inefficiencies affecting profitability.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.06 TTM, suggesting limited leverage which is favorable. However, the return on equity (ROE) is negative at -62.6% TTM due to losses, indicating the company is not generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio remains strong at 84.3% TTM, reflecting a solid capital structure with low reliance on debt.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Smith Micro Software's free cash flow is negative at -$13.6M TTM, showing challenges in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.59 TTM, suggesting cash burn issues despite reduced operational losses. The company needs to improve cash generation to support its operations and growth.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
19.38M20.55M40.86M48.51M58.42M51.30M
Gross Profit
13.98M14.43M30.30M34.30M45.72M46.11M
EBIT
-21.89M-43.26M-18.05M-30.93M-5.21M3.52M
EBITDA
-17.26M-42.31M-10.49M-17.67M-7.24M3.52M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-22.87M-48.70M-24.40M-29.28M-31.04M4.17M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
28.27M2.81M7.13M14.03M16.08M25.75M
Total Assets
61.20M48.05M85.58M103.58M115.36M72.90M
Total Debt
7.00M2.57M3.26M13.42M5.87M6.24M
Net Debt
-21.27M-242.00K-3.86M-602.00K-10.21M-19.52M
Total Liabilities
12.51M7.29M10.19M27.20M14.80M14.19M
Stockholders Equity
48.68M40.76M75.39M76.38M100.56M58.72M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-13.57M-14.31M-6.98M-19.31M-13.75M6.60M
Operating Cash Flow
-13.55M-14.29M-6.97M-19.26M-12.92M7.92M
Investing Cash Flow
-20.00K178.00K132.00K115.00K-57.50M-14.68M
Financing Cash Flow
9.71M9.80M-60.00K17.09M60.74M4.24M

Smith Micro Software Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.92
Price Trends
50DMA
0.90
Positive
100DMA
1.02
Negative
200DMA
0.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
53.81
Neutral
STOCH
78.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SMSI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.92 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.85, above the 50-day MA of 0.90, and below the 200-day MA of 0.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SMSI.

Smith Micro Software Risk Analysis

Smith Micro Software disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Smith Micro Software reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Smith Micro Software Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$11.97B10.08-7.46%2.96%7.37%-8.22%
50
Neutral
$17.97M-55.77%-45.77%67.69%
49
Neutral
$40.79M86.76%9.71%-1.97%
48
Neutral
$5.46M-21.35%-4.85%43.93%
45
Neutral
$17.14M-501.24%141.65%60.23%
$12.29M-53.43%
42
Neutral
$6.70M163.42%-30.70%82.02%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SMSI
Smith Micro Software
0.92
-1.34
-59.29%
DTSS
Datasea
2.12
-2.27
-51.71%
KPLT
Katapult Holdings
9.78
-8.22
-45.67%
MITQ
Moving iMage Technologies
0.55
-0.03
-5.17%
DATS
DatChat
2.60
1.34
106.35%
HUBC
Hub
2.34
-5.72
-70.97%

Smith Micro Software Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Smith Micro Software Appoints New COO and CFO
Positive
May 27, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Smith Micro Software announced the appointment of Timothy C. Huffmyer as Vice President, Chief Operating Officer, and Chief Financial Officer, effective June 9, 2025. Huffmyer, who previously served as the company’s CFO, will succeed James M. Kempton and bring his extensive experience from Urgent.ly Inc. and Black Box Corporation to drive Smith Micro’s growth and profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (SMSI) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Smith Micro Software stock, see the SMSI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.