Steven Madden (SHOO) Risk Analysis

The Hamas-Israel and Russia-Ukraine conflicts, or other areas of geopolitical tension around the world, or any worsening or spread of those conflicts or geopolitical tensions, and any related challenging macroeconomic conditions globally, could decrease the spending of our existing and potential new customers, adversely affect demand for our products, cause one or more of our customers, vendors, or partners to file for bankruptcy protection or go out of business, disrupt supply chains on which we rely, impact expected spending and pricing levels from existing and potential new customers, and negatively impact collections of accounts receivable, all of which could adversely affect our business, results of operations and financial condition. Any of the negative impacts of the Hamas-Israel and Russia-Ukraine conflicts, other areas of geopolitical tension around the world, or any worsening of those conflicts or geopolitical tensions, and any related challenging macroeconomic conditions, may have a material adverse effect on our business and operations, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows. Any of these negative impacts, alone or in combination with others, also could exacerbate many of the other risk factors discussed in this report. The full extent to which these factors will negatively affect our business and operations, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows will depend on future developments that are highly uncertain and cannot be predicted, including the scope, severity and duration of the Hamas-Israel and Russia-Ukraine conflicts, other areas of geopolitical tension around the world and any economic downturns and the actions taken by governmental authorities and other third parties in response.

Our operations rely on the global sourcing, manufacturing, and sale of products, and our supply chain is subject to risks inherent in international trade. These risks include changes in trade policies, increases in import duties, anti-dumping measures, quotas, safeguard measures, trade restrictions, restrictions on fund transfers, currency fluctuations, and geopolitical factors such as political instability or trade disputes. Any of these factors could disrupt our supply chain or increase our costs. In 2025, the United States government announced the imposition of additional tariffs and reciprocal tariffs on a broad range of goods imported into the United States. In response, multiple countries implemented retaliatory tariffs and other trade actions, which prompted further increases in reciprocal tariffs by the United States. The United States accounted for approximately 66.2% of our global sales in fiscal year 2025, and a substantial portion of our products imported into the United States are sourced from China, Cambodia, Vietnam, and other countries that have been impacted, or may be impacted, by these trade actions. The enactment of tariffs and the uncertainty surrounding their scope, duration, and applicable rates have materially increased, and may continue to materially increase our product costs and negatively impact our gross margins. Tariffs have resulted in, and may continue to result in, higher pricing for our products, reduced consumer demand, and order cancellations, which could adversely affect our sales volumes and profitability. We have taken, and continue to evaluate, actions intended to mitigate the impact of tariffs, including diversifying our sourcing footprint, negotiating with suppliers, and adjusting pricing strategies. However, there can be no assurance that these measures will be successful or that they will fully offset the effects of current or future tariffs. Further, on February 20, 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court struck down certain tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). Following the Supreme Court decision, the U.S. Administration announced a new 10% global tariff under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, subject to certain carve outs. It is unclear at this time what impact this decision will have on our future financial results, including whether we will be able to obtain refunds of amounts previously paid for the IEEPA tariffs or any fluctuations of the level of replacement tariffs imposed or the addition of any new tariffs through other means. Additionally, changes in laws or policies governing international trade, including increased tariffs or other restrictions on imports from countries where we manufacture products, such as China, Cambodia, and Vietnam, could adversely affect our business. For example, in recent years, the United States and China have imposed new tariffs on each other covering certain product categories, including footwear, accessories, and apparel. Given the uncertainty regarding the potential expansion, modification, or continuation of existing tariffs, as well as the possibility of additional retaliatory trade actions, the ultimate impact on our business, results of operations, cash flows, and financial condition remains uncertain and could be material. We cannot predict whether, or to what extent, changes to international trade agreements or policies will occur, or whether we will be able to offset any resulting increases in costs or loss of revenue.

The retailers that are our customers consist principally of department stores, mass merchants, off-price retailers, shoe chains, online retailers, national chains, specialty retailers, independent stores, and clubs. Certain of our department store customers, including some under common ownership, account for significant portions of our wholesale business. We generally enter into a number of purchase order commitments with our customers for each of our lines every season and do not enter into long-term agreements with any of our customers. Therefore, a decision by a significant customer, whether motivated by competitive conditions, financial difficulties, or otherwise, to decrease the amount of merchandise purchased from us or to change its manner of doing business could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations, and liquidity.

We extend credit to our wholesale customers based on an evaluation of each customer's financial condition, usually without collateral. Various retailers, including some of our customers, have experienced financial difficulties, which has increased the risk of extending credit to such retailers. Even though we seek to mitigate the risks of extending credit by factoring most of our accounts receivable and obtaining letters of credit, or credit insurance for others, if any of our customers were to experience a shortage of liquidity, the risk that the customer's outstanding payables to us not being paid could cause us to curtail business with the customer, or otherwise increase our exposure to credit risk relating to the customer's accounts payable.

We license to others the rights to produce and market certain products that are sold under our trademarks. Although we retain significant control over our licensees' products and advertising, our licensees have operational and financial control over their businesses. If the quality, image, or distribution of our licensed products diminish, customer acceptance of and demand for our brands and products could decline. This could materially and adversely affect our business and results of operations. A decrease in customer demand for any of these product lines could have an adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition. Furthermore, if we are unable to engage an adequate replacement for a terminated licensee or to engage such a replacement for an extended period, our revenues and results of operations could be adversely affected.

We do not own or operate any foreign manufacturing facilities and are therefore dependent upon third parties to manufacture all of our products. In 2025, 56.1% of our total purchases were manufactured in China and 24.6% in Cambodia. We also do not have long-term manufacturing or supply contracts with any of our suppliers or manufacturers for the production and supply of our raw materials and products, and we compete with other companies for raw materials and production capacity. The risks inherent in relying on foreign manufacturing include changes in the U.S. and international trade policies, work stoppages, transportation delays, public health emergencies, social unrest, changes in local economic and political conditions, and broader geopolitical instability. We have experienced, and may in the future experience, significant disruptions in the supply of raw materials and products and may be unable to secure alternative suppliers of comparable quality at an acceptable price, or at all. In addition, if we experience a sudden increase in demand, or need to replace an existing supplier or manufacturer, we may be unable to locate additional suppliers of raw materials or additional manufacturing capacity on terms that are acceptable to us, or at all, or we may be unable to locate any supplier or manufacturer with sufficient capacity to meet our requirements or fill our orders in a timely manner. Selecting and transitioning to a new supplier is a complex process that requires evaluations of quality control, responsiveness, and service, financial stability, and ethical labor practices. Even if we successfully transition to a new supplier, we may still encounter production delays and increased costs as a result of the training and onboarding process. Our supply of raw materials or finished products could be disrupted or delayed by health pandemics and government-imposed restrictions, such as border closures, shipment restrictions, and travel bans. Further delays could also arise if new suppliers are located farther from our core markets or other key participants in our supply chain. Our supply chain has been and may also be affected in the future by trade policy changes and tariffs imposed by the U.S. or other federal governments, which is described further below. Any delays, interruption, or increased costs in the supply of raw materials or production of our products could adversely affect our ability to meet customer demand and have a material negative effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations, and liquidity.

We are subject to income taxation in multiple jurisdictions within the United States and abroad, where tax laws and regulations are complex, frequently evolving, and subject to varying interpretations. Changes in legislation, tax rates, enforcement practices, or judicial rulings in these jurisdictions could increase our tax liabilities and adversely affect our after-tax profitability. Adjustments to the incremental provisional tax expense may be required in future periods due to various factors, such as changes in the interpretation of the United States tax code or related tax accounting guidance, revisions to assumptions used in tax estimates, new regulatory guidance issued regarding U.S. tax law revisions, and state and local tax implications that differ from initial expectations. Additionally, foreign tax authorities may introduce new tax laws, adjust existing regulations, or adopt unpredictable enforcement measures, which could further impact our tax liabilities. Increases in applicable tax rates, the implementation of new taxes, and changes in applicable tax laws or their interpretation in jurisdictions where we operate could reduce our after-tax income and have an adverse effect on our results of operations.