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CapitaLand China Trust (SG:AU8U)
SGX:AU8U
Singapore Market

CapitaLand China Trust (AU8U) AI Stock Analysis

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SG:AU8U

CapitaLand China Trust

(SGX:AU8U)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
S$1.00
▲(26.58% Upside)
CapitaLand China Trust's overall stock score is driven by stable financial performance and positive technical indicators, despite challenges in valuation and mixed earnings call sentiment. The company's operational efficiency and strong dividend yield are offset by concerns over revenue growth and high P/E ratio. The recent earnings call highlights both strategic achievements and ongoing challenges, particularly in revenue and occupancy rates.
Positive Factors
C-REIT Listing Success
The successful C-REIT listing enhances CLCT's market presence and provides a platform for future retail investments, indicating strong strategic execution.
Logistics Revenue Growth
Growth in logistics revenue reflects effective asset management and diversification, contributing to long-term income stability and resilience against sector-specific downturns.
Debt Management Improvements
Improved debt management reduces financial risk and enhances cash flow, providing greater flexibility for strategic investments and operational stability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue and NPI indicates challenges in maintaining income levels, potentially impacting financial performance and investor returns.
Business Parks Occupancy Challenges
Decreased occupancy in Business Parks suggests difficulties in leasing, which can affect revenue stability and increase operational costs.
Negative Retail Reversion Rates
Negative retail reversion rates indicate pressure on rental income, which could hinder revenue growth and affect long-term profitability.

CapitaLand China Trust (AU8U) vs. iShares MSCI Singapore ETF (EWS)

CapitaLand China Trust Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCapitaLand China Trust (CLCT), formerly known as CapitaLand Retail China Trust, is Singapore's largest China-focused real estate investment trust (REIT). Upon completion of the transformational acquisition of five business parks and balance 49% interest in Rock Square, CLCT's enlarged portfolio will comprise of 13 shopping malls and five business park properties. The geographically diversified portfolio has a total gross floor area (GFA) of approximately 1.8 million square metre (sq m), located across 11 leading Chinese cities. CLCT was listed on the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited (SGX-ST) on 8 December 2006, and established with the objective of investing on a long-term basis in a diversified portfolio of income-producing real estate and real estate-related assets in mainland China, Hong Kong and Macau that are used primarily for retail, office and industrial purposes (including business parks, logistics facilities, data centres and integrated developments). CLCT's retail properties are strategically located in densely populated areas with good connectivity to public transport. The malls are positioned as one-stop family-oriented destinations housing a wide range of lifestyle offerings that cater to varied consumer preferences in shopping, dining and entertainment as well as essential services. CLCT's portfolio comprises a diverse mix of more than 2,000 leases, which include leading brands UNIQLO, Xiaomi, ZARA, Haidilao, Nike, Sephora, Starbucks Coffee and Swarovski. The malls are CapitaMall Xizhimen, CapitaMall Wangjing, CapitaMall Grand Canyon and CapitaMall Shuangjing in Beijing; Rock Square in Guangzhou; CapitaMall Xinnan in Chengdu; CapitaMall Qibao in Shanghai; CapitaMall Minzhongleyuan in Wuhan; CapitaMall Saihan and CapitaMall Nuohemule in Hohhot; CapitaMall Xuefu, CapitaMall Aidemengdun in Harbin and CapitaMall Yuhuating in Changsha. CLCT has a portfolio of five business parks situated in high-growth economic zones which house high quality and reputable domestic and multinational corporations operating in new economy sectors such as Electronics, Engineering, E-Commerce, Information and Communications Technology and Financial Services. The business parks exhibit excellent connectivity with close proximity to transportation hubs, and are easily accessible via various modes of transportation. The properties are Ascendas Xinsu Portfolio in Suzhou, Ascendas Innovation Towers and Ascendas Innovation Hub in Xi'an and Singapore-Hangzhou Science & Technology Park Phase I and Phase II in Hangzhou. CLCT is managed by CapitaLand China Trust Management Limited, a wholly owned subsidiary of Singapore-listed CapitaLand Limited, one of Asia's largest diversified real estate groups.
How the Company Makes MoneyCapitaLand China Trust generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of properties. The trust leases space to various tenants, including retail brands and corporate offices, which provides a steady stream of cash flow. Additionally, the trust benefits from periodic rent increases and long-term lease agreements, which help to secure stable income over time. Key revenue streams include base rents, additional rents based on tenant sales performance, and income from property management services. The trust also engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures with local developers and other real estate entities to enhance its portfolio and capitalize on growth opportunities in the Chinese market, contributing to its overall earnings.

CapitaLand China Trust Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment with notable achievements in C-REIT listing and logistics revenue growth. However, there were significant challenges in revenue declines and occupancy rates, particularly in Business Parks. Despite positive developments in debt management and retail traffic, the overall revenue and NPI declines weigh heavily.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful C-REIT Listing
CLCT, along with its sponsor, listed the C-REIT CLCR on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, marking China's first international sponsored retail C-REIT. It opened trading at 19.6% above its IPO price, with institutional oversubscription at 254x and retail at 535x.
Logistics Revenue Increase
Logistics revenue increased by 13% quarter-on-quarter, mainly due to improved occupancy at Shanghai Fengxian.
Retail Sector Performance
Retail sector saw a year-on-year increase in shopper traffic by 4.5% and tenant sales by 3.2%, with key sectors like F&B up 5.1%, Infotech up 12.8%, Toys and Hobbies up 56%, and Jewelry and Watches up 16.6%.
Debt Management Achievements
The average cost of debt improved from 3.42% to 3.36%. Gearing reduced to 28.8% due to temporary use of perpetual proceeds, and the target of 50% RMB-denominated debt was achieved.
Golden Week Performance
During China's Golden Week, there was a 4.6% year-on-year increase in traffic and a 4% increase in total sales.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Gross Revenue and NPI
Overall gross revenue and net property income (NPI) for Q3 decreased by 8% year-on-year, largely due to the divestment of CapitaMall Yuhuating.
Business Parks Revenue Decline
Revenue from Business Parks dropped by 9.1% compared to the previous quarter, with occupancy challenges cited as a contributing factor.
Retail Reversion Rates
Retail reversion rates for 9 months showed a negative trend at minus 1.5%, although an improvement from minus 3% in the first half.
Occupancy Challenges in Business Parks
Overall occupancy in Business Parks dropped from 86.9% to 85.2%, with significant challenges in leasing vacated spaces.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, CapitaLand China Trust (CLCT) provided a comprehensive business update, highlighting several key metrics and developments. The retail allocation decreased to 69.9% of the Gross Revenue Income (GRI) due to the divestment of CapitaMall Yuhuating, which was part of a C-REIT securitization exercise. The distribution yield compressed to 6.2% as stock prices rose slightly, reflecting broader S-REIT yield trends. CLCT's listing of the C-REIT CLCR on the Shanghai Stock Exchange marked a significant milestone, with the IPO exceeding expectations, oversubscribed 254 times by institutional investors and 535 times by retail investors. During this quarter, gross revenue and Net Property Income (NPI) both fell by 8%, but on a same-store basis, excluding Yuhuating, the decline was mitigated to 3.4% for gross revenue and 4.4% for NPI. Retail revenue witnessed a narrower decline of 1.8% compared to the first half's 4.7% drop. Business Parks revenue saw a 9.1% decrease, while logistics revenue rose by 13%, driven by improved occupancy at Shanghai Fengxian. Despite these challenges, CLCT maintained a 5-star GRESB rating for the third consecutive year, underscoring its sustainability commitments. The overall occupancy for retail slightly increased, and tenant sales and shopper traffic grew by 3.2% and 4.5%, respectively, fueled by strong performance in sectors like F&B, IT, toys, and jewelry. The company also successfully refinanced SGD 150 million of perpetuals with a 3.4x subscription coverage. Looking ahead, CLCT aims to leverage its C-REIT structure to explore further retail investments and strategic divestments.

CapitaLand China Trust Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CapitaLand China Trust demonstrates operational efficiency with strong gross and EBIT margins, but faces challenges in revenue growth and net profitability. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, yet profitability metrics like ROE are low. Cash flow generation shows mixed results, with effective cash conversion but declining growth. Overall, the company exhibits stability but needs to address growth and profitability concerns to enhance financial performance.
Income Statement
65
Positive
CapitaLand China Trust's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 63.63% and an EBIT margin of 59.44%, which are strong indicators of operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin is low at 1.27%, reflecting challenges in translating revenue into net income. Revenue growth has been negative, with a decline of 2.05% in the TTM period, suggesting potential issues in maintaining sales momentum.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.95 in the TTM period, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio stands at 41.54%, showing a solid equity base. However, the return on equity is low at 0.21%, suggesting limited profitability relative to shareholder investment. The company maintains a balanced asset structure, but profitability remains a concern.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 1% in the TTM period, indicating challenges in generating cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.53, suggesting moderate efficiency in converting income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.99, indicating effective cash generation relative to net income, despite overall cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue327.79M341.53M364.75M383.17M377.97M210.53M
Gross Profit208.56M208.74M238.58M256.35M245.44M136.22M
EBITDA195.42M146.06M218.94M242.42M236.18M127.53M
Net Income4.17M-14.68M40.83M122.99M106.68M-12.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.61B4.72B5.00B5.23B5.58B4.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments240.87M228.84M243.46M231.05M288.86M208.44M
Total Debt1.82B1.85B1.95B1.95B2.00B1.37B
Total Liabilities2.42B2.41B2.58B2.54B2.62B1.97B
Stockholders Equity1.92B2.03B2.04B2.41B2.69B2.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow171.92M158.54M205.58M143.30M186.36M51.44M
Operating Cash Flow172.29M175.79M206.07M182.08M214.09M78.57M
Investing Cash Flow29.73M85.15M-5.63M-43.96M-533.42M-192.23M
Financing Cash Flow-197.39M-275.85M-177.99M-173.51M362.76M179.66M

CapitaLand China Trust Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.79
Price Trends
50DMA
0.79
Positive
100DMA
0.79
Positive
200DMA
0.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
47.81
Neutral
STOCH
24.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SG:AU8U, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.79 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.79, above the 50-day MA of 0.79, and above the 200-day MA of 0.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SG:AU8U.

CapitaLand China Trust Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
S$869.54M13.666.17%8.87%5.89%1.81%
69
Neutral
S$1.65B10.984.10%1.83%-8.06%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
S$1.38B1,316.670.04%6.66%-8.59%-93.48%
65
Neutral
S$1.25B34.661.92%7.16%-3.65%-69.86%
65
Neutral
S$396.73M30.101.69%8.37%-11.29%
61
Neutral
S$1.19B12.224.89%4.51%-6.67%581.75%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SG:AU8U
CapitaLand China Trust
0.79
0.11
16.18%
SG:ADN
First Sponsor Group Ltd
1.05
0.02
1.94%
SG:CRPU
Sasseur Real Estate Investment Trust
0.69
0.07
10.48%
SG:H13
Ho Bee Land Limited
2.48
0.70
39.33%
SG:Q5T
Far East Hospitality Trust
0.61
0.05
9.60%
SG:UD1U
IREIT Global
0.30
0.05
21.95%

CapitaLand China Trust Corporate Events

CapitaLand China Trust Enhances S$1 Billion Multicurrency Debt Programme for CMU Settlement
Jan 2, 2026

CapitaLand China Trust has updated and amended its S$1 billion multicurrency debt issuance programme, originally set up in 2012, to enable settlement and clearance of future securities via the Hong Kong Monetary Authority’s Central Moneymarkets Unit, appointing Deutsche Bank’s Hong Kong branch as CMU lodging and paying agent, agent bank, transfer agent and registrar. The programme changes also refine interest and distribution rate determination and benchmark discontinuation provisions for new issuances, while leaving all existing outstanding securities and the rights and obligations of their holders unaffected, signalling CLCT’s continued optimisation of its funding platform and broader access to regional fixed income investors, with DBS Bank remaining as arranger and dealer and potential listings on the Singapore Exchange for future series.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:AU8U) stock is a Hold with a S$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CapitaLand China Trust stock, see the SG:AU8U Stock Forecast page.

CapitaLand China Trust Issues Units for Divestment Fee
Dec 1, 2025

CapitaLand China Trust has announced the issuance of 923,238 units as payment for a divestment fee related to the sale of its equity interest in the Changsha ProjectCo to the newly established CapitaLand Commercial C-REIT on the Shanghai Stock Exchange. This transaction, part of a broader strategic move, reflects the trust’s ongoing efforts to optimize its portfolio and strengthen its market position in the infrastructure securities investment sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:AU8U) stock is a Hold with a S$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CapitaLand China Trust stock, see the SG:AU8U Stock Forecast page.

CapitaLand China Trust Announces Board Reshuffle
Oct 31, 2025

CapitaLand China Trust Management Limited announced significant changes to its board and committee composition effective November 1, 2025. Mr. Neo Poh Kiat and Mr. Tan Tze Wooi are retiring from their respective roles, while Mr. Chua Keng Kim and Mr. Liu Sing Cheong are appointed to new positions. These changes are expected to influence the strategic direction and governance of the trust, potentially impacting its operations and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:AU8U) stock is a Hold with a S$0.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CapitaLand China Trust stock, see the SG:AU8U Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 03, 2025