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CapitaLand China Trust (SG:AU8U)
SGX:AU8U
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CapitaLand China Trust (AU8U) AI Stock Analysis

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SG:AU8U

CapitaLand China Trust

(SGX:AU8U)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
S$1.00
▲(25.00% Upside)
CapitaLand China Trust's overall stock score is driven by stable financial performance and positive technical indicators, despite challenges in valuation and mixed earnings call sentiment. The company's operational efficiency and strong dividend yield are offset by concerns over revenue growth and high P/E ratio. The recent earnings call highlights both strategic achievements and ongoing challenges, particularly in revenue and occupancy rates.
Positive Factors
C-REIT Listing Success
The successful C-REIT listing enhances CLCT's market presence and provides a platform for future retail investments, indicating strong strategic execution.
Logistics Revenue Growth
Growth in logistics revenue reflects effective asset management and diversification, contributing to long-term income stability and resilience against sector-specific downturns.
Debt Management Improvements
Improved debt management reduces financial risk and enhances cash flow, providing greater flexibility for strategic investments and operational stability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue and NPI indicates challenges in maintaining income levels, potentially impacting financial performance and investor returns.
Business Parks Occupancy Challenges
Decreased occupancy in Business Parks suggests difficulties in leasing, which can affect revenue stability and increase operational costs.
Negative Retail Reversion Rates
Negative retail reversion rates indicate pressure on rental income, which could hinder revenue growth and affect long-term profitability.

CapitaLand China Trust (AU8U) vs. iShares MSCI Singapore ETF (EWS)

CapitaLand China Trust Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCapitaLand China Trust (AU8U) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on investing in income-producing real estate in China. The trust primarily operates in the retail and office sectors, managing a diversified portfolio of properties that includes shopping malls, office buildings, and integrated developments. Its core mission is to provide stable and sustainable returns to its unitholders through effective asset management and the strategic acquisition of quality properties in key urban markets across China.
How the Company Makes MoneyCapitaLand China Trust generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of properties. The trust leases space to various tenants, including retail brands and corporate offices, which provides a steady stream of cash flow. Additionally, the trust benefits from periodic rent increases and long-term lease agreements, which help to secure stable income over time. Key revenue streams include base rents, additional rents based on tenant sales performance, and income from property management services. The trust also engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures with local developers and other real estate entities to enhance its portfolio and capitalize on growth opportunities in the Chinese market, contributing to its overall earnings.

CapitaLand China Trust Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment with notable achievements in C-REIT listing and logistics revenue growth. However, there were significant challenges in revenue declines and occupancy rates, particularly in Business Parks. Despite positive developments in debt management and retail traffic, the overall revenue and NPI declines weigh heavily.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful C-REIT Listing
CLCT, along with its sponsor, listed the C-REIT CLCR on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, marking China's first international sponsored retail C-REIT. It opened trading at 19.6% above its IPO price, with institutional oversubscription at 254x and retail at 535x.
Logistics Revenue Increase
Logistics revenue increased by 13% quarter-on-quarter, mainly due to improved occupancy at Shanghai Fengxian.
Retail Sector Performance
Retail sector saw a year-on-year increase in shopper traffic by 4.5% and tenant sales by 3.2%, with key sectors like F&B up 5.1%, Infotech up 12.8%, Toys and Hobbies up 56%, and Jewelry and Watches up 16.6%.
Debt Management Achievements
The average cost of debt improved from 3.42% to 3.36%. Gearing reduced to 28.8% due to temporary use of perpetual proceeds, and the target of 50% RMB-denominated debt was achieved.
Golden Week Performance
During China's Golden Week, there was a 4.6% year-on-year increase in traffic and a 4% increase in total sales.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Gross Revenue and NPI
Overall gross revenue and net property income (NPI) for Q3 decreased by 8% year-on-year, largely due to the divestment of CapitaMall Yuhuating.
Business Parks Revenue Decline
Revenue from Business Parks dropped by 9.1% compared to the previous quarter, with occupancy challenges cited as a contributing factor.
Retail Reversion Rates
Retail reversion rates for 9 months showed a negative trend at minus 1.5%, although an improvement from minus 3% in the first half.
Occupancy Challenges in Business Parks
Overall occupancy in Business Parks dropped from 86.9% to 85.2%, with significant challenges in leasing vacated spaces.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, CapitaLand China Trust (CLCT) provided a comprehensive business update, highlighting several key metrics and developments. The retail allocation decreased to 69.9% of the Gross Revenue Income (GRI) due to the divestment of CapitaMall Yuhuating, which was part of a C-REIT securitization exercise. The distribution yield compressed to 6.2% as stock prices rose slightly, reflecting broader S-REIT yield trends. CLCT's listing of the C-REIT CLCR on the Shanghai Stock Exchange marked a significant milestone, with the IPO exceeding expectations, oversubscribed 254 times by institutional investors and 535 times by retail investors. During this quarter, gross revenue and Net Property Income (NPI) both fell by 8%, but on a same-store basis, excluding Yuhuating, the decline was mitigated to 3.4% for gross revenue and 4.4% for NPI. Retail revenue witnessed a narrower decline of 1.8% compared to the first half's 4.7% drop. Business Parks revenue saw a 9.1% decrease, while logistics revenue rose by 13%, driven by improved occupancy at Shanghai Fengxian. Despite these challenges, CLCT maintained a 5-star GRESB rating for the third consecutive year, underscoring its sustainability commitments. The overall occupancy for retail slightly increased, and tenant sales and shopper traffic grew by 3.2% and 4.5%, respectively, fueled by strong performance in sectors like F&B, IT, toys, and jewelry. The company also successfully refinanced SGD 150 million of perpetuals with a 3.4x subscription coverage. Looking ahead, CLCT aims to leverage its C-REIT structure to explore further retail investments and strategic divestments.

CapitaLand China Trust Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CapitaLand China Trust demonstrates operational efficiency with strong gross and EBIT margins, but faces challenges in revenue growth and net profitability. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, yet profitability metrics like ROE are low. Cash flow generation shows mixed results, with effective cash conversion but declining growth. Overall, the company exhibits stability but needs to address growth and profitability concerns to enhance financial performance.
Income Statement
65
Positive
CapitaLand China Trust's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 63.63% and an EBIT margin of 59.44%, which are strong indicators of operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin is low at 1.27%, reflecting challenges in translating revenue into net income. Revenue growth has been negative, with a decline of 2.05% in the TTM period, suggesting potential issues in maintaining sales momentum.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.95 in the TTM period, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio stands at 41.54%, showing a solid equity base. However, the return on equity is low at 0.21%, suggesting limited profitability relative to shareholder investment. The company maintains a balanced asset structure, but profitability remains a concern.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 1% in the TTM period, indicating challenges in generating cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.53, suggesting moderate efficiency in converting income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.99, indicating effective cash generation relative to net income, despite overall cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue327.79M341.53M364.75M383.17M377.97M210.53M
Gross Profit208.56M208.74M238.58M256.35M245.44M136.22M
EBITDA195.42M146.06M218.94M242.42M236.18M127.53M
Net Income4.17M-14.68M40.83M122.99M106.68M-12.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.61B4.72B5.00B5.23B5.58B4.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments240.87M228.84M243.46M231.05M288.86M208.44M
Total Debt1.82B1.85B1.95B1.95B2.00B1.37B
Total Liabilities2.42B2.41B2.58B2.54B2.62B1.97B
Stockholders Equity1.92B2.03B2.04B2.41B2.69B2.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow171.92M158.54M205.58M143.30M186.36M51.44M
Operating Cash Flow172.29M175.79M206.07M182.08M214.09M78.57M
Investing Cash Flow29.73M85.15M-5.63M-43.96M-533.42M-192.23M
Financing Cash Flow-197.39M-275.85M-177.99M-173.51M362.76M179.66M

CapitaLand China Trust Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.80
Price Trends
50DMA
0.79
Positive
100DMA
0.75
Positive
200DMA
0.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
53.55
Neutral
STOCH
50.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SG:AU8U, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.80, above the 50-day MA of 0.79, and above the 200-day MA of 0.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SG:AU8U.

CapitaLand China Trust Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
S$863.24M13.566.17%8.74%5.89%1.81%
69
Neutral
S$1.47B9.744.10%-8.06%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
S$1.37B1,316.670.04%6.37%-8.59%-93.48%
65
Neutral
S$1.24B34.381.92%7.16%-3.65%-69.86%
65
Neutral
S$390.00M29.591.69%8.52%-11.29%
61
Neutral
S$1.17B12.114.89%-6.67%581.75%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SG:AU8U
CapitaLand China Trust
0.80
0.13
19.40%
SG:ADN
First Sponsor Group Ltd
1.04
0.01
0.97%
SG:CRPU
Sasseur Real Estate Investment Trust
0.68
0.05
7.94%
SG:H13
Ho Bee Land Limited
2.21
0.33
17.55%
SG:Q5T
Far East Hospitality Trust
0.60
0.03
5.26%
SG:UD1U
IREIT Global
0.29
0.03
11.54%

CapitaLand China Trust Corporate Events

CapitaLand China Trust Announces Board Reshuffle
Oct 31, 2025

CapitaLand China Trust Management Limited announced significant changes to its board and committee composition effective November 1, 2025. Mr. Neo Poh Kiat and Mr. Tan Tze Wooi are retiring from their respective roles, while Mr. Chua Keng Kim and Mr. Liu Sing Cheong are appointed to new positions. These changes are expected to influence the strategic direction and governance of the trust, potentially impacting its operations and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:AU8U) stock is a Hold with a S$0.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CapitaLand China Trust stock, see the SG:AU8U Stock Forecast page.

CapitaLand China Trust’s New Facility Agreement Highlights Financial Stability Concerns
Oct 9, 2025

CapitaLand China Trust has entered into a facility agreement that includes a prepayment event clause, which could affect its financial obligations if triggered. The agreement, involving approximately S$1.6 billion in borrowings, underscores the importance of stable management for the trust’s financial stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:AU8U) stock is a Hold with a S$0.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CapitaLand China Trust stock, see the SG:AU8U Stock Forecast page.

CapitaLand China Trust Enters Facility Agreement with Prepayment Clause
Oct 1, 2025

CapitaLand China Trust Management Limited announced that HSBC Institutional Trust Services (Singapore) Limited, as trustee of CapitaLand China Trust, has entered into a facility agreement that includes a prepayment event clause. This clause could trigger cross defaults affecting approximately S$1.7 billion in borrowings if the trust ceases to be managed by its current manager or an approved successor. As of the announcement date, no prepayment event has occurred.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:AU8U) stock is a Hold with a S$0.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CapitaLand China Trust stock, see the SG:AU8U Stock Forecast page.

CapitaLand Investment Expands with China’s First International-Sponsored Retail C-REIT
Sep 29, 2025

CapitaLand Investment Limited has successfully listed CapitaLand Commercial C-REIT (CLCR), China’s first international-sponsored retail C-REIT, on the Shanghai Stock Exchange. This move strengthens CLI’s position in the Asia Pacific market and expands its REIT management platform into China. The IPO raised RMB2.29 billion, exceeding initial estimates, and is expected to yield a distribution of 4.40% for FY 2025. Additionally, CLI has closed its first sub-fund under the CLI RMB Master Fund, focusing on acquiring income-producing assets, with plans to launch a second sub-fund targeting retail assets later in 2025. These developments highlight CLI’s strategic focus on capital recycling and expanding its asset management footprint in China.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:AU8U) stock is a Hold with a S$0.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CapitaLand China Trust stock, see the SG:AU8U Stock Forecast page.

CapitaLand China Trust Issues S$150 Million in Perpetual Securities
Sep 19, 2025

CapitaLand China Trust has successfully issued S$150 million in fixed rate subordinated perpetual securities under its S$1 billion Multicurrency Debt Issuance Programme. The issuance was well-received, with a subscription coverage of approximately 3.4 times, and is expected to be listed on the SGX-ST on 22 September 2025. This strategic move reflects the company’s robust market positioning and its ability to attract significant investment from fund managers, insurance companies, and private bank investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:AU8U) stock is a Hold with a S$0.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CapitaLand China Trust stock, see the SG:AU8U Stock Forecast page.

CapitaLand China Trust Prices S$150 Million Perpetual Securities
Sep 10, 2025

CapitaLand China Trust has announced the pricing of its S$150 million fixed rate subordinated perpetual securities under its S$1 billion multicurrency debt issuance programme. Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited is the lead manager for this offering. The proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes, working capital, and refinancing existing borrowings. The perpetual securities, which have no fixed redemption date, will offer a distribution rate of 3.95% per annum until 2028, after which the rate will be reset every three years. This move is expected to bolster the trust’s financial flexibility and support its strategic initiatives in the Chinese market.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:AU8U) stock is a Hold with a S$0.74 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CapitaLand China Trust stock, see the SG:AU8U Stock Forecast page.

CapitaLand China Trust Holds Extraordinary General Meeting
Aug 28, 2025

CapitaLand China Trust held an Extraordinary General Meeting on July 29, 2025, at Marina Bay Sands Expo and Convention Centre in Singapore. The meeting was attended by unitholders, proxies, and directors of the trust’s management. This gathering underscores CLCT’s commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement, which is crucial for maintaining investor confidence and ensuring effective governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:AU8U) stock is a Hold with a S$0.74 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CapitaLand China Trust stock, see the SG:AU8U Stock Forecast page.

CapitaLand China Trust Announces Change in Company Secretaries
Aug 8, 2025

CapitaLand China Trust Management Limited has announced a change in company secretaries, appointing Mr. Hon Wei Seng and Mr. Lee Wei Hsiung to replace Ms. Chuo Cher Shing, effective from August 8, 2025. This change in management personnel is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to ensure effective governance and operational efficiency, which could impact its strategic positioning and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:AU8U) stock is a Hold with a S$0.85 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CapitaLand China Trust stock, see the SG:AU8U Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 03, 2025