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Medicover AB (SE:MCOV.B)
:MCOV.B
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Medicover AB (MCOV.B) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:MCOV.B

Medicover AB

(MCOV.B)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
kr261.00
▲(10.83% Upside)
Medicover AB's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and solid financial performance, despite technical analysis indicating bearish trends and valuation concerns. The company's robust revenue growth and operational improvements are significant strengths, while high leverage and profitability challenges remain key risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth across multiple countries and segments indicates robust market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term expansion.
Operational Efficiency
Significant improvements in EBITDA and cash flows reflect enhanced operational efficiency, which strengthens financial stability and supports future investments.
Healthcare Services Expansion
Expansion in healthcare services, including new hospital openings, indicates strategic growth and increased capacity to meet rising healthcare demands.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk, limiting flexibility and potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Profitability Challenges
Low net profit margins suggest difficulties in converting revenue growth into profits, which may hinder long-term financial performance and shareholder returns.
Consumer Behavior Caution
Cautious consumer behavior could affect revenue growth, particularly in discretionary services, posing a risk to achieving projected financial targets.

Medicover AB (MCOV.B) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Medicover AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMedicover AB (MCOV.B) is a leading healthcare and diagnostic services provider operating primarily in Central and Eastern Europe. The company offers a range of services including outpatient and inpatient care, health insurance, and laboratory diagnostics. Medicover is dedicated to improving healthcare access and quality through its network of clinics, hospitals, and laboratories, serving both private and corporate clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyMedicover AB generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns income from its healthcare services, which include outpatient and inpatient treatments, consultations, and surgeries performed in its clinics and hospitals. Additionally, Medicover provides health insurance plans that contribute significantly to its revenue, catering to both individual and corporate clients. Laboratory diagnostics also form a substantial part of its revenue model, with a wide array of tests and screenings. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships with businesses and organizations to offer tailored healthcare solutions, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its customer base. Furthermore, Medicover's focus on quality care and patient satisfaction helps drive repeat business and referrals, bolstering its earnings.

Medicover AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong quarter with significant revenue and operational growth, particularly in Healthcare and Diagnostic Services. However, there are challenges related to consumer behavior, the strategic exit from Hungary, and short-term impacts in India. Despite these challenges, the overall business model remains robust with positive long-term prospects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
The company reported a 12.1% growth in revenue despite excluding Hungary, with solid performance across multiple countries and segments. EBITDA saw an impressive increase of 32%, and operating cash flows rose by 36.7%.
Healthcare Services Expansion
Healthcare Services revenue grew by 9.6%, adjusted to 12.4% excluding Hungary. The company launched a new hospital in Hyderabad and plans to advance another hospital opening due to strong doctor recruitment.
Diagnostic Services Performance
Diagnostic Services revenue increased by 17.8% with organic growth at 12.4%. There was strong demand in the fee-for-service segment, particularly in Germany, which saw a 5% growth despite reforms.
Operational and Financial Improvements
Medicover achieved margin expansion across all profit measures, normalized leverage to 3.2, improved ROIC, and strong cash flow generation with recurring cash flow at 9.4% of revenue.
Negative Updates
Consumer Behavior Caution
There are early indications of more cautious consumer behavior impacting the out-of-pocket fee-for-service line, which could affect short-term revenue growth.
Impact of Hungary Exit
The exit from Hungary impacts revenue figures, leading to necessary adjustments and considerations in comparing year-on-year growth.
Challenges in India
India's growth is affected by a strategic shift towards private pay, currency impacts, and a recent strike in Andhra Pradesh affecting Q4 performance.
Company Guidance
In the Q3 2025 call, Medicover provided robust guidance with several key metrics indicating strong financial health and strategic progress. The company reported a revenue growth of 12.1%, excluding Hungary, and an EBITDA increase of 32%, with an adjusted margin of 17.2%. Operating cash flows were notably healthy at EUR 98.8 million, marking a 36.7% improvement. The company's leverage ratio has normalized to 3.2, in line with guidance, despite significant acquisitions. Healthcare Services reported a revenue growth of 9.6%, adjusting to 12.4% when excluding Hungary, with steady growth in countries like Romania and Poland. Diagnostic Services demonstrated a revenue increase of 17.8% and an organic growth of 12.4%, with Germany showing resilience amid reforms. The company is on track to exceed its 2025 targets, including an organic growth revenue of EUR 2.2 billion and adjusted organic EBITDA of EUR 350 million. Despite some mild headwinds, including a strike in India, Medicover remains confident in its growth trajectory, buoyed by strategic investments and operational efficiencies.

Medicover AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Medicover AB demonstrates solid revenue growth and operational efficiency improvements, but faces challenges with profitability and high leverage. The company is generating adequate cash flow, which supports its financial stability. Continued focus on improving net margins and managing debt levels will be crucial for future financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Medicover AB has shown consistent revenue growth with a TTM increase of 4.02%. The gross profit margin improved to 22.52% in TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin remains low at 1.92%, suggesting challenges in translating revenue growth into bottom-line profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved, reflecting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company exhibits a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.05 in TTM, indicating significant leverage which could pose financial risks. Return on equity has improved to 9.05%, showing better utilization of equity. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Free cash flow growth is positive at 5.71% in TTM, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is stable at 0.52, indicating decent cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.56 suggests that the company is generating sufficient free cash flow to support its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.26B2.09B1.75B1.51B1.38B997.80M
Gross Profit508.60M448.30M359.40M335.60M395.00M263.50M
EBITDA340.60M171.20M257.40M215.90M274.90M151.60M
Net Income43.40M16.70M17.60M11.80M101.80M25.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.32B2.14B1.94B1.83B1.68B1.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments89.40M82.80M64.40M49.10M277.90M86.80M
Total Debt1.42B1.24B1.00B940.00M764.60M367.40M
Total Liabilities1.83B1.65B1.41B1.32B1.12B627.40M
Stockholders Equity467.40M464.80M496.50M474.70M517.60M448.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow157.30M139.60M94.50M29.60M114.50M83.50M
Operating Cash Flow281.30M261.90M205.00M170.20M216.70M156.00M
Investing Cash Flow-289.80M-134.70M-119.80M-184.80M-333.60M-126.30M
Financing Cash Flow14.40M-108.00M-73.70M-24.30M164.10M-14.10M

Medicover AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price235.50
Price Trends
50DMA
248.89
Negative
100DMA
258.46
Negative
200DMA
240.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-5.83
Negative
RSI
44.63
Neutral
STOCH
67.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:MCOV.B, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 235.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 234.05, below the 50-day MA of 248.89, and below the 200-day MA of 240.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -5.83 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:MCOV.B.

Medicover AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
kr34.14B
71
Outperform
kr12.09B18.241.45%2.96%73.50%
71
Outperform
€2.43B9.977.53%2.08%2.11%92.69%
65
Neutral
€9.92B16.8413.39%1.56%10.83%16.24%
64
Neutral
kr36.76B75.720.61%13.89%231.42%
64
Neutral
€15.69B44.404.63%17.13%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:MCOV.B
Medicover AB
235.00
55.67
31.04%
SE:ATT
Attendo AB
83.80
35.05
71.90%
SE:HUM
Humana AB
48.40
12.84
36.13%
SE:AMBEA
Ambea AB
141.10
45.73
47.94%
SE:VIMIAN
Vimian Group AB
29.90
-15.10
-33.56%
SE:ASKER
Asker Healthcare Group AB
90.30
8.30
10.12%

Medicover AB Corporate Events

Medicover Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance
Nov 5, 2025

Medicover reported strong financial performance in the third quarter of 2025, with a 12.1% increase in revenue to €591.6 million and a significant rise in operating profit to €42.8 million, driven by improved profitability and efficiency measures. The company’s healthcare services and diagnostic services divisions both saw substantial growth, with notable contributions from operations in Poland and Romania, and the expansion of its network with new hospital openings.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:MCOV.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK276.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medicover AB stock, see the SE:MCOV.B Stock Forecast page.

Medicover’s MRD Assay Shows Promising Results in Lung Cancer Study
Oct 22, 2025

Medicover AB announced additional interim results from the DART clinical study at Oslo University Hospital, highlighting the effectiveness of its MRD assay in predicting disease progression in non-small cell lung cancer. The study, presented at the European Society for Medical Oncology Congress, strengthens the clinical validation of Medicover’s MRD assay, marking a significant step towards its commercialisation in 2026 and expansion into other therapeutic areas.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:MCOV.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK267.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medicover AB stock, see the SE:MCOV.B Stock Forecast page.

Medicover AB to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Oct 21, 2025

Medicover AB has announced that it will release its Q3 2025 financial report on November 5, 2025. The company will host a conference call for media, financial analysts, and investors, where CEO John Stubbington and CFO Anand Patel will present the report, followed by a Q&A session. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:MCOV.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK267.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medicover AB stock, see the SE:MCOV.B Stock Forecast page.

Medicover Announces Nomination Committee for 2026 AGM
Oct 3, 2025

Medicover AB has announced the composition of its nomination committee for the 2026 Annual General Meeting, which includes representatives from Celox Holding AB, NG Invest Beta AB, Fjärde AP-Fonden, and Swedbank Robur Fonder. This announcement is significant as it sets the stage for shareholder engagement and governance planning ahead of the AGM scheduled for April 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:MCOV.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK265.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medicover AB stock, see the SE:MCOV.B Stock Forecast page.

Medicover’s Emission Reduction Targets Validated by SBTi
Sep 19, 2025

Medicover AB has had its greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets validated by the Science Based Targets Initiative (SBTi). The company aims to significantly reduce its scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions by 2030 and 2050, aligning with its goal of achieving net zero emissions by 2050. This commitment underscores Medicover’s dedication to sustainability while expanding its healthcare services.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:MCOV.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK281.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medicover AB stock, see the SE:MCOV.B Stock Forecast page.

Medicover Enhances Social Finance Framework for Greater Impact
Aug 27, 2025

Medicover AB has updated its Social Finance Framework to align with the latest International Capital Market Association and Loan Market Association principles. This revision emphasizes Medicover’s commitment to enhancing healthcare accessibility and promoting employee wellbeing, aiming to combine financial strength with social impact. The updated framework, reviewed by DNV, will guide the issuance of social bonds and loans to support eligible projects.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:MCOV.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK297.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medicover AB stock, see the SE:MCOV.B Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025