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Medicover AB (SE:MCOV.B)
:MCOV.B

Medicover AB (MCOV.B) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:MCOV.B

Medicover AB

(MCOV.B)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
kr234.00
▲(8.33% Upside)
Medicover AB's overall score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call guidance, offset by bearish technical indicators and a high P/E ratio. The company's growth trajectory is promising, but high leverage and valuation concerns warrant caution.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth across multiple regions indicates robust market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term expansion.
Cash Flow Generation
Improved cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and reducing reliance on external financing.
Healthcare Services Expansion
Expansion in healthcare services reflects strong demand and strategic growth, positioning the company well in a competitive market.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk and limit flexibility, potentially impacting the company's ability to manage downturns effectively.
Net Profit Margin
Low net profit margins suggest challenges in cost management, which could affect profitability and shareholder returns in the long term.
Impact of Hungary Exit
Exiting the Hungarian market requires strategic adjustments and could temporarily disrupt revenue growth, affecting overall performance.

Medicover AB (MCOV.B) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Medicover AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMedicover AB (MCOV.B) is a leading healthcare and diagnostic services provider based in Sweden. The company operates across various sectors including healthcare services, diagnostics, and health insurance. Medicover offers a wide range of core products and services, such as outpatient and inpatient care, preventive healthcare services, and laboratory diagnostics, catering to both individual patients and corporate clients across Europe and Asia. The company aims to enhance the quality of healthcare through innovative solutions and comprehensive services.
How the Company Makes MoneyMedicover AB generates revenue through multiple streams primarily centered around healthcare services and diagnostic solutions. The company earns income from its healthcare facilities, which include hospitals and outpatient clinics, by charging for medical consultations, treatments, and surgeries. Additionally, Medicover generates substantial revenue from its diagnostic services, which encompass laboratory tests and imaging services. The company also offers health insurance products, further diversifying its revenue base. Significant partnerships with corporate clients for occupational health services and collaborations with various healthcare providers enhance its earnings potential. Overall, Medicover's focus on integrated healthcare solutions and a growing demand for quality healthcare services contribute to its financial success.

Medicover AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong quarter with significant revenue and operational growth, particularly in Healthcare and Diagnostic Services. However, there are challenges related to consumer behavior, the strategic exit from Hungary, and short-term impacts in India. Despite these challenges, the overall business model remains robust with positive long-term prospects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
The company reported a 12.1% growth in revenue despite excluding Hungary, with solid performance across multiple countries and segments. EBITDA saw an impressive increase of 32%, and operating cash flows rose by 36.7%.
Healthcare Services Expansion
Healthcare Services revenue grew by 9.6%, adjusted to 12.4% excluding Hungary. The company launched a new hospital in Hyderabad and plans to advance another hospital opening due to strong doctor recruitment.
Diagnostic Services Performance
Diagnostic Services revenue increased by 17.8% with organic growth at 12.4%. There was strong demand in the fee-for-service segment, particularly in Germany, which saw a 5% growth despite reforms.
Operational and Financial Improvements
Medicover achieved margin expansion across all profit measures, normalized leverage to 3.2, improved ROIC, and strong cash flow generation with recurring cash flow at 9.4% of revenue.
Negative Updates
Consumer Behavior Caution
There are early indications of more cautious consumer behavior impacting the out-of-pocket fee-for-service line, which could affect short-term revenue growth.
Impact of Hungary Exit
The exit from Hungary impacts revenue figures, leading to necessary adjustments and considerations in comparing year-on-year growth.
Challenges in India
India's growth is affected by a strategic shift towards private pay, currency impacts, and a recent strike in Andhra Pradesh affecting Q4 performance.
Company Guidance
In the Q3 2025 call, Medicover provided robust guidance with several key metrics indicating strong financial health and strategic progress. The company reported a revenue growth of 12.1%, excluding Hungary, and an EBITDA increase of 32%, with an adjusted margin of 17.2%. Operating cash flows were notably healthy at EUR 98.8 million, marking a 36.7% improvement. The company's leverage ratio has normalized to 3.2, in line with guidance, despite significant acquisitions. Healthcare Services reported a revenue growth of 9.6%, adjusting to 12.4% when excluding Hungary, with steady growth in countries like Romania and Poland. Diagnostic Services demonstrated a revenue increase of 17.8% and an organic growth of 12.4%, with Germany showing resilience amid reforms. The company is on track to exceed its 2025 targets, including an organic growth revenue of EUR 2.2 billion and adjusted organic EBITDA of EUR 350 million. Despite some mild headwinds, including a strike in India, Medicover remains confident in its growth trajectory, buoyed by strategic investments and operational efficiencies.

Medicover AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Medicover AB demonstrates strong revenue and cash flow growth, with a TTM revenue increase of 267.96% and free cash flow growth of 262.87%. However, high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.05 poses financial risks, and the net profit margin of 1.92% indicates room for improvement in profitability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Medicover AB shows strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue increase of 267.96%, indicating robust expansion. The gross profit margin of 22.52% and net profit margin of 1.92% reflect stable profitability, although the net margin is relatively low. The EBIT and EBITDA margins of 5.25% and 15.08% respectively, suggest efficient operational management. Overall, the company demonstrates solid growth and profitability, albeit with room for improvement in net margins.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 3.05 indicates high leverage, which could pose financial risks. However, the return on equity (ROE) of 9.05% shows effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 21.71% suggests a moderate reliance on equity financing. While the company is leveraging debt for growth, the high debt levels warrant cautious monitoring.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Medicover AB's free cash flow growth of 262.87% is impressive, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.52 and free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.56 indicate healthy cash flow relative to earnings. The company demonstrates strong cash flow management, supporting its growth initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.33B2.09B1.75B1.51B1.38B997.80M
Gross Profit535.87M448.30M359.40M335.60M395.00M263.50M
EBITDA361.81M171.20M257.40M215.90M274.90M151.60M
Net Income67.52M16.70M17.60M11.80M101.80M25.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.35B2.14B1.94B1.83B1.68B1.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments83.41M82.80M64.40M49.10M277.90M86.80M
Total Debt1.40B1.24B1.00B940.00M764.60M367.40M
Total Liabilities1.83B1.65B1.41B1.32B1.12B627.40M
Stockholders Equity510.20M464.80M496.50M474.70M517.60M448.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow154.99M139.60M94.50M29.60M114.50M83.50M
Operating Cash Flow298.18M261.90M205.00M170.20M216.70M156.00M
Investing Cash Flow-313.50M-134.70M-119.80M-184.80M-333.60M-126.30M
Financing Cash Flow34.90M-108.00M-73.70M-24.30M164.10M-14.10M

Medicover AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price216.00
Price Trends
50DMA
226.61
Negative
100DMA
244.22
Negative
200DMA
243.40
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.18
Negative
RSI
37.10
Neutral
STOCH
37.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:MCOV.B, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 216 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 216.25, below the 50-day MA of 226.61, and below the 200-day MA of 243.40, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:MCOV.B.

Medicover AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
kr30.15B
71
Outperform
kr12.66B19.111.47%2.96%73.50%
71
Outperform
kr2.63B10.787.53%2.01%2.11%92.69%
68
Neutral
kr31.95B42.400.66%13.89%231.42%
65
Neutral
kr10.65B16.5513.39%1.56%10.83%16.24%
64
Neutral
€16.16B45.714.63%17.13%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:MCOV.B
Medicover AB
211.50
14.10
7.14%
SE:ATT
Attendo AB
84.00
32.70
63.74%
SE:HUM
Humana AB
50.70
16.90
49.99%
SE:AMBEA
Ambea AB
134.20
43.38
47.77%
SE:VIMIAN
Vimian Group AB
30.72
-9.13
-22.91%
SE:ASKER
Asker Healthcare Group AB
78.71
-3.29
-4.01%

Medicover AB Corporate Events

Medicover Schedules February 2026 Investor Update in Stockholm
Jan 7, 2026

Medicover AB will host an Investor Update in Stockholm on 11 February 2026, where its CEO and CFO will brief investors, analysts and media on the group’s strategy, business performance and key priorities. The English-language event, which will be held both in person and via webcast, underscores the company’s efforts to maintain transparency with capital markets and may provide fresh insight into its operational trajectory and strategic positioning across its core healthcare and diagnostics markets.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:MCOV.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK234.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medicover AB stock, see the SE:MCOV.B Stock Forecast page.

Medicover Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance
Nov 5, 2025

Medicover reported strong financial performance in the third quarter of 2025, with a 12.1% increase in revenue to €591.6 million and a significant rise in operating profit to €42.8 million, driven by improved profitability and efficiency measures. The company’s healthcare services and diagnostic services divisions both saw substantial growth, with notable contributions from operations in Poland and Romania, and the expansion of its network with new hospital openings.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:MCOV.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK276.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medicover AB stock, see the SE:MCOV.B Stock Forecast page.

Medicover’s MRD Assay Shows Promising Results in Lung Cancer Study
Oct 22, 2025

Medicover AB announced additional interim results from the DART clinical study at Oslo University Hospital, highlighting the effectiveness of its MRD assay in predicting disease progression in non-small cell lung cancer. The study, presented at the European Society for Medical Oncology Congress, strengthens the clinical validation of Medicover’s MRD assay, marking a significant step towards its commercialisation in 2026 and expansion into other therapeutic areas.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:MCOV.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK267.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medicover AB stock, see the SE:MCOV.B Stock Forecast page.

Medicover AB to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Oct 21, 2025

Medicover AB has announced that it will release its Q3 2025 financial report on November 5, 2025. The company will host a conference call for media, financial analysts, and investors, where CEO John Stubbington and CFO Anand Patel will present the report, followed by a Q&A session. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:MCOV.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK267.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medicover AB stock, see the SE:MCOV.B Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 18, 2025