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Doxa AB (SE:DOXA)
:DOXA

Doxa AB (DOXA) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:DOXA

Doxa AB

(DOXA)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
kr0.41
▼(-7.50% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/13/26
The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance (sharp TTM revenue decline, heavy losses, and continued negative operating/free cash flow). Technicals add further pressure with a clear downtrend and negative MACD, only partly offset by oversold RSI. Valuation provides limited support because the negative P/E reflects ongoing losses and there is no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Diversified recurring revenue mix
Doxa's mix of transaction fees and subscription banking revenue creates recurring cash-flow potential, while partnerships and blockchain consultancy diversify income sources. This structural revenue mix supports predictable unit economics and scaling as transaction volumes recover.
Capital-light, scalable tech model
A very small headcount alongside a technology-driven fintech focus implies a capital-light, software-centric model. That structure can deliver strong operating leverage over time as products scale, limiting fixed-cost drag and enabling faster margin recovery when revenue growth returns.
Improving leverage position
Lower net leverage versus the prior year materially reduces immediate solvency pressure and improves financial flexibility. Over months, this makes it easier to fund operations or strategic initiatives and lowers refinancing risk compared with the prior capital structure.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue contraction
A sustained ~20% TTM revenue decline materially erodes scale in a payments business where volume drives fixed-cost absorption. Reduced transaction volumes weaken unit economics, slow network effects, and make sustainable margin improvement harder without clear top-line stabilization.
Deep, persistent losses
Consistent negative profitability across gross, operating and net lines signals structural issues in monetization or cost control. With TTM ROE around -49%, the business is destroying capital, undermining reinvestment capacity and making profitable scale a critical but uncertain near-term objective.
Negative operating and free cash flow
Ongoing negative operating and free cash flow indicate cash burn and the need for external financing if trends persist. This constrains investment in product, sales, or partnerships, increases dilution/refinancing risk, and limits the firm's ability to absorb shocks over the next several months.

Doxa AB (DOXA) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Doxa AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDoxa AB (publ), a dental company, develops, manufactures, and commercializes bioceramic dental products under the Ceramir brand worldwide. It offers Crown & Bridge, a dental cement that is used for permanent cementing of crowns and bridges. The company was founded in 1987 and is based in Uppsala, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyDoxa AB generates revenue primarily through transaction fees associated with its payment processing services, which allow businesses to accept digital payments seamlessly. Additionally, the company earns income from subscription fees for its digital banking services, which include account management and financial advisory tools for individual customers and businesses. Doxa also explores partnerships with financial institutions and e-commerce platforms to expand its reach and enhance service offerings, which contributes to increased user engagement and transaction volumes. Furthermore, revenue can be supplemented through consultancy services in blockchain technology, providing expertise to companies looking to integrate decentralized solutions into their operations.

Doxa AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financials indicate significant stress: TTM revenue declined 20.27% with deeply negative profitability (gross profit, EBIT/EBITDA, and net income). The balance sheet shows improved leverage versus 2024 (debt ~0.63x equity), but returns remain very negative (TTM ROE ~-49%) and cash flow is still negative (operating cash flow and free cash flow).
Income Statement
6
Very Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show severe profitability pressure: revenue fell 20.27% and the company reported extremely large losses versus its current revenue base (gross profit, EBIT/EBITDA, and net income all deeply negative). While the company had profitable years in 2021 and 2023, the sharp reversal in 2024 and continued deterioration in TTM indicates a highly unstable earnings profile and significant execution risk.
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
The balance sheet shows meaningful leverage but not an outright over-levered capital structure in TTM: debt is ~0.63x equity, improved from 2024 (~1.57x). However, returns to shareholders are strongly negative (TTM return on equity around -49%), reflecting that the capital base is currently not generating profits. The direction of leverage is a positive, but ongoing losses remain the key balance-sheet risk.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation is weak: TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow are both negative, and free cash flow also declined versus the prior period. A positive offset is that free cash flow is not worse than net income (i.e., cash burn is not exceeding reported losses), but the company is still consuming cash, which can increase funding needs if conditions don’t improve.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.90M15.50M9.90M5.20M10.90M8.54M
Gross Profit-6.80M15.50M9.90M5.20M7.90M8.40M
EBITDA-863.80M-1.70B296.00M-39.80M77.20M-12.20M
Net Income-1.08B-1.72B291.90M-39.90M76.20M-13.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.14B8.20B3.50B1.79B878.80M14.48M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments63.20M70.60M111.90M60.00M15.10M4.58M
Total Debt1.31B3.63B256.50M4.90M0.000.00
Total Liabilities2.07B5.89B280.80M18.30M9.00M5.04M
Stockholders Equity2.07B2.31B3.22B1.77B869.80M9.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-416.80M-63.60M-37.80M-39.40M-18.60M-15.66M
Operating Cash Flow-303.80M-63.20M-37.80M-38.50M-18.60M-14.28M
Investing Cash Flow-31.10M-834.90M-205.10M-267.30M-392.90M-1.34M
Financing Cash Flow209.40M807.70M294.70M350.70M422.10M14.60M

Doxa AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.44
Price Trends
50DMA
0.42
Positive
100DMA
0.47
Negative
200DMA
0.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
62.73
Neutral
STOCH
67.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:DOXA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.40, above the 50-day MA of 0.42, and below the 200-day MA of 0.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SE:DOXA.

Doxa AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
51
Neutral
kr8.89M-0.86
45
Neutral
kr585.31M-8.614.46%
44
Neutral
kr557.28M-0.39-35.70%-18.46%4.90%
42
Neutral
kr14.03M-0.20-354.88%-15.74%44.98%
42
Neutral
kr457.69M-0.66-330.10%270.64%62.29%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:DOXA
Doxa AB
0.43
0.03
7.44%
SE:S2M
S2Medical AB Class B
0.01
0.00
0.00%
SE:LCLEAN
LifeClean International AB
0.05
-0.15
-75.12%
SE:QLINEA
Q-linea AB
24.58
-21.73
-46.93%
SE:FLUO
FluoGuide A/S
35.80
-10.20
-22.17%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026