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Ambea AB (SE:AMBEA)
:AMBEA

Ambea AB (AMBEA) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:AMBEA

Ambea AB

(AMBEA)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
kr143.00
▲(3.40% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance—especially strong free cash flow and steady revenue growth—partly offset by meaningful leverage risk. Technicals materially reduce the score due to a pronounced downtrend and weak momentum, while valuation is supportive but only moderately attractive.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Consistent, high free cash flow that tracks net income indicates strong earnings quality and internal funding capacity. Over the medium term this supports reinvestment in facilities, servicing of obligations, and potential debt reduction without depending heavily on external capital, improving resilience to shocks.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Material leverage at ~2.2–2.4 reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and interest‑rate sensitivity. For a service provider with modest margins, high debt amplifies the consequences of any revenue or cost shocks and limits room for strategic investments or margin recovery over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Consistent, high free cash flow that tracks net income indicates strong earnings quality and internal funding capacity. Over the medium term this supports reinvestment in facilities, servicing of obligations, and potential debt reduction without depending heavily on external capital, improving resilience to shocks.
Read all positive factors

Ambea AB (AMBEA) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Ambea AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ambea AB (publ) provides housing, support, education, and personnel for health and social care for the elderly and people with disabilities in Sweden, Norway, and Denmark. The company operates through Nytida, Vardaga, Stendi, Altiden, and Klara se...
How the Company Makes Money
Ambea AB generates revenue primarily through government contracts and funding for its care services. The company receives payments from municipal and regional authorities for the provision of healthcare and social services, which form the bulk of ...

Ambea AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are supported by steady revenue growth and strong, consistent free cash flow conversion (good earnings quality). The main constraint is elevated and rising leverage (debt-to-equity ~2.2–2.4), which reduces flexibility and increases sensitivity to any earnings or cash flow volatility.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.04B14.20B13.31B12.63B11.48B
Gross Profit2.81B2.44B3.44B12.19B11.06B
EBITDA2.71B2.61B2.28B2.04B1.61B
Net Income665.00M620.00M455.00M366.00M237.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.48B18.48B17.89B17.88B16.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments133.00M28.00M6.00M259.00M86.00M
Total Debt12.64B11.05B10.74B10.96B9.89B
Total Liabilities15.28B13.49B12.97B13.19B12.14B
Stockholders Equity5.20B4.99B4.92B4.68B4.53B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.03B1.95B1.62B1.33B1.11B
Operating Cash Flow2.17B2.07B1.71B1.44B1.21B
Investing Cash Flow-1.39B-358.00M-93.00M-214.00M-258.00M
Financing Cash Flow-672.00M-1.69B-1.88B-1.04B-882.00M

Ambea AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price138.30
Price Trends
50DMA
131.06
Negative
100DMA
132.26
Negative
200DMA
127.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.54
Positive
RSI
47.06
Neutral
STOCH
29.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:AMBEA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 138.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 130.98, above the 50-day MA of 131.06, and above the 200-day MA of 127.58, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.54 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:AMBEA.

Ambea AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
kr14.94B11.621.47%2.96%73.50%
64
Neutral
kr9.18B12.3012.65%2.31%9.02%29.93%
63
Neutral
kr10.14B17.7812.96%1.56%10.83%16.24%
52
Neutral
kr2.31B10.627.53%2.01%2.11%92.69%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:AMBEA
Ambea AB
127.80
16.51
14.83%
SE:ATT
Attendo AB
98.30
38.86
65.37%
SE:HUM
Humana AB
43.85
1.96
4.69%
SE:ACAD
AcadeMedia AB
95.40
15.27
19.06%

Ambea AB Corporate Events

Ambea boosts growth and dividend as Nordic care expansion accelerates
Feb 12, 2026
Care group Ambea reported a strong 2025 with net sales up 13% to SEK 16.0 billion, driven by 4% organic and 10% acquired growth, while maintaining an adjusted EBITA margin of 9.6% and lifting earnings per share by 10%. The board proposed raising t...
Ambea Launches Share Buyback to Optimise Capital Structure
Feb 11, 2026
Ambea AB’s board has approved a new share repurchase programme of up to 2,000,000 shares on Nasdaq Stockholm, to be executed by a mandated credit institution ahead of the 2026 annual general meeting. The initiative is designed to optimise th...
Ambea Sets Date for Publication of 2025 Year-End Report and Investor Call
Jan 29, 2026
Ambea has announced that it will publish its year-end report for 2025 on 12 February at 07:00 CET, followed by an English-language webcast and telephone conference at 10:00 CET hosted by CEO Mark Jensen and CFO Benno Eliasson. The scheduled presen...
Ambea Expands Finnish Child and Youth Care Through Acquisition of Sauma
Dec 19, 2025
Ambea, through its Finnish unit Validia, has agreed to acquire Terveystalo Sauma Lastensuojelupalvelut Oy, a Finnish provider of child protection and family care services. Sauma operates 13 residential care units for children and young people acro...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026