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RTX (RTX)
NYSE:RTX

RTX (RTX) AI Stock Analysis

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RTRTX
(NYSE:RTX)
77Outperform
RTX demonstrates strong financial performance with solid revenue growth and profitability. Technical analysis supports a positive trend, though valuation remains a concern given the high P/E ratio. The earnings call highlights growth opportunities while acknowledging challenges. Overall, RTX is well-positioned in the Aerospace & Defense sector, but valuation and certain operational challenges suggest a cautious approach.
Positive Factors
Aftermarket Services
RTX's aftermarket services, particularly for Pratt & Whitney and Collins Aerospace components, command higher margins and generate consistent revenue streams, offering significant growth potential as the installed base continues to grow.
Defense Spending
Rising defense spending globally amid escalating geopolitical tensions could further bolster an already substantial and growing defense backlog, lifting the potential for positive earnings surprises.
Negative Factors
GTF Engine Risks
There are still some lingering risks on the GTF engines, which could impact RTX's performance.

RTX (RTX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

RTX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRTX Corporation, an aerospace and defense company, provides systems and services for the commercial, military, and government customers in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon. The Collins Aerospace Systems segment offers aerospace and defense products, and aftermarket service solutions for civil and military aircraft manufacturers and commercial airlines, as well as regional, business, and general aviation, defense, and commercial space operations. This segment also designs, produces, and supports cabin interior, including oxygen systems, food and beverage preparation, storage and galley systems, and lavatory and wastewater management systems; battlespace, test and training range systems, crew escape systems, and simulation and training solutions; information management services; and aftermarket services that include spare parts, overhaul and repair, engineering and technical support, training and fleet management solutions, and asset and information management services. Its Pratt & Whitney segment supplies aircraft engines for commercial, military, business jet, and general aviation customers; and produces, sells, and services military and commercial auxiliary power units. The Raytheon segment provides defensive and offensive threat detection, tracking, and mitigation capabilities for U.S., foreign government, and commercial customers. The company was formerly known as Raytheon Technologies Corporation and changed its name to RTX Corporation in July 2023. RTX Corporation was incorporated in 1934 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyRTX Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of aerospace and defense products and services. Its key revenue streams include the production and servicing of aircraft engines through its Pratt & Whitney segment, and the development of avionics and communication systems within Collins Aerospace. Additionally, the Raytheon Intelligence & Space segment contributes significantly by providing defense electronics, air and missile defense systems, and cybersecurity solutions to both governmental and commercial clients. The company also benefits from long-term contracts and partnerships with the U.S. government and other international defense organizations, which provide a steady stream of income through both initial sales and ongoing service and maintenance agreements.

RTX Financial Statement Overview

Summary
RTX's financial statements show robust revenue growth and profitability, with efficient cost management. The balance sheet indicates moderate leverage and a strong equity base, though increased liabilities warrant attention. Cash flow generation is strong but should be monitored for liquidity stability. Overall, RTX is on solid financial footing with some areas to watch.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
RTX has shown strong revenue growth from the previous year, with a 17.14% increase in revenue. The gross profit margin for TTM is 19.08%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved to 6.01%, reflecting higher profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins stand at 8.75% and 13.60% respectively, showing robust operational performance.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.67, showing moderate leverage that is manageable. Return on Equity (ROE) is 8.06%, indicating a respectable return on shareholder investments. The equity ratio is 36.94%, suggesting a solid equity base. However, the total liabilities have increased slightly, which could pose a risk if not managed well.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.48, indicating strong cash flow relative to reported earnings. Free cash flow showed a decrease, with a growth rate of -13.36%, which might affect liquidity if the trend continues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.84, suggesting adequate but potentially strained cash generation to cover profits.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
80.74B68.92B67.07B64.39B56.59B
Gross Profit
15.41B12.09B13.67B12.49B8.53B
EBIT
6.54B3.56B7.30B6.90B2.20B
EBITDA
12.53B9.61B11.17B10.56B2.95B
Net Income Common Stockholders
4.77B3.19B5.20B3.86B-2.93B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.58B6.59B6.22B7.83B8.80B
Total Assets
162.86B161.87B158.86B161.40B162.15B
Total Debt
40.54B45.24B33.50B33.14B33.34B
Net Debt
34.96B38.65B27.28B25.31B24.54B
Total Liabilities
100.90B100.42B84.65B86.70B88.27B
Stockholders Equity
60.16B59.80B72.63B73.07B72.16B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
4.53B4.72B4.39B4.75B1.64B
Operating Cash Flow
7.16B7.88B7.17B7.07B3.61B
Investing Cash Flow
-2.63B-3.04B-2.83B-1.36B3.10B
Financing Cash Flow
-6.62B-4.53B-5.86B-6.68B-5.27B

RTX Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price128.70
Price Trends
50DMA
122.54
Positive
100DMA
121.43
Positive
200DMA
115.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.94
Negative
RSI
55.07
Neutral
STOCH
78.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RTX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 128.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 127.13, above the 50-day MA of 122.54, and above the 200-day MA of 115.87, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.94 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RTX.

RTX Risk Analysis

RTX disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. RTX reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

RTX Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NONOC
79
Outperform
$67.14B16.3727.30%1.70%4.44%110.33%
RTRTX
77
Outperform
$171.44B36.227.94%1.88%17.15%58.66%
GDGD
75
Outperform
$68.68B18.6417.14%2.23%12.88%13.78%
LMLMT
74
Outperform
$105.65B20.1284.26%2.82%5.14%-19.14%
HIHII
66
Neutral
$6.76B12.3412.56%3.07%0.71%-18.39%
62
Neutral
$8.11B13.341.17%3.02%4.16%-15.14%
BABA
50
Neutral
$130.99B-162.23%-14.49%-399.90%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RTX
RTX
128.70
40.57
46.03%
BA
Boeing
158.90
-42.24
-21.00%
GD
General Dynamics
250.80
-17.38
-6.48%
HII
Huntington Ingalls
172.30
-112.02
-39.40%
LMT
Lockheed Martin
448.82
27.88
6.62%
NOC
Northrop Grumman
463.83
13.32
2.96%

RTX Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 28, 2025 | % Change Since: 3.44% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance in 2024 with significant growth in sales and profitability. The commercial aerospace and defense segments show robust demand, backed by a solid backlog. However, RTX faces ongoing supply chain challenges and headwinds from divestitures and pension income. The company remains optimistic about 2025 with expectations of continued growth.
Highlights
Strong Financial Performance in 2024
RTX delivered $80.8 billion in adjusted sales, up 11% organically, with a 13% increase in adjusted EPS and $4.5 billion in free cash flow. The backlog reached $218 billion, up 11% year-over-year.
Commercial Aerospace Growth
Commercial OE grew 14%, and commercial aftermarket sales increased by 13%. Passenger air travel remains robust with global RPKs expected to grow by 8% in 2025.
Defense Segment Success
Defense sales grew by 9% organically, with a record $93 billion defense backlog. Raytheon's backlog is 44% international, up 8 points year-over-year.
Innovative R&D Efforts
RTX spent over $7.5 billion in R&D, advancing technologies such as the upgraded Coyote effector and the GTF Advantage at Pratt, with successful testing results.
Positive 2025 Outlook
RTX expects 2025 adjusted sales of $83-$84 billion, 10%-13% segment profit growth, and free cash flow between $7 billion and $7.5 billion.
Lowlights
Supply Chain Challenges
RTX continues to face supply chain bottlenecks, particularly in structural castings and isothermal forgings, impacting production efficiency.
Headwinds from Divestitures and Pension Income
RTX anticipates a $0.07 EPS headwind from divestitures and a $0.15 headwind from lower FAS/CAS and non-service pension income in 2025.
Pratt & Whitney GTF Engine Challenges
Pratt & Whitney faces challenges in ramping MRO output for the GTF engine, impacting AOG levels and requiring continued focus on supply chain improvements.
Company Guidance
During the RTX Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for 2025, highlighting an expected adjusted sales range of $83 billion to $84 billion, reflecting organic growth of 4% to 6% year-over-year. RTX anticipates segment profit growth of 10% to 13%, leading to continued segment margin expansion, with all three business segments contributing. Adjusted EPS is projected to be between $6.00 and $6.15, representing a 5% to 7% increase from the previous year. Free cash flow is expected to be between $7 billion and $7.5 billion, supporting capital returns to shareholders. The company emphasized its strategic priorities, including executing commitments, innovating for future growth, and leveraging scale, with substantial investments in research and development and capacity expansion.

RTX Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
RTX Announces Leadership Transition with New Chairman
Neutral
Feb 3, 2025

On February 3, 2025, RTX Corporation announced that Gregory J. Hayes will step down as Executive Chairman and Board member on April 30, 2025, transitioning to a Special Advisor role to the CEO until January 2, 2026. Christopher T. Calio, currently President and CEO, will also assume the role of Chairman, effective April 30, 2025. Hayes, who has led RTX through significant industry changes, will continue with a base salary of $1,100,000 but will forgo annual incentives for 2025. This leadership change is expected to sustain RTX’s strategic priorities and growth trajectory, reinforcing its operations and stakeholder relations.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.