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RTX (RTX)
NYSE:RTX

RTX (RTX) AI Stock Analysis

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RT

RTX

(NYSE:RTX)

73Outperform
RTX demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability, supported by a solid balance sheet and strong cash flow generation. The technical analysis suggests mixed momentum with a cautious outlook due to negative MACD and neutral RSI. Valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation concerns given the high P/E ratio, although the dividend yield offers moderate income potential. The latest earnings call reinforces a positive outlook with notable growth and strategic positioning, despite some challenges related to tariffs and supply chains.
Positive Factors
Earnings Potential
Rising defence spending globally amid escalating geopolitical tensions could further bolster an already substantial and growing defence backlog, lifting the potential for positive earnings surprises.
Financial Performance
RTX Corporation reported first-quarter sales of $20.3 billion, surpassing estimates, with strong performance in its Collins Aerospace and Pratt & Whitney divisions.
Market Position
RTX is well positioned in the commercial OEM market, benefiting from enduring demand at both Airbus and Boeing.
Negative Factors
Earnings Growth
RTX should trade at a discount relative to other commercially focused aerospace and defence companies due to its relatively sluggish earnings growth and potential event risk from greater-than-anticipated issues with the GTF engines.
Supply Chain Challenges
Supply chain bottlenecks—particularly around structural castings, isothermal forgings, and rocket motors—remain a headwind.
Tariff Impact
The recent enactment of incremental U.S. and non-U.S. tariffs is expected to have a cost impact on RTX, affecting their operations in North America, China, and other parts of the world.

RTX (RTX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

RTX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRTX Corporation, formerly known as Raytheon Technologies, is a prominent multinational aerospace and defense conglomerate. The company operates through three primary business segments: Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon Intelligence & Space. Collins Aerospace specializes in providing advanced systems for commercial and military aircraft, while Pratt & Whitney is renowned for its design and manufacture of aircraft engines. Raytheon Intelligence & Space focuses on developing innovative solutions in the fields of cybersecurity, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance.
How the Company Makes MoneyRTX Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of aerospace and defense products and services. Its key revenue streams include the production and servicing of aircraft engines through its Pratt & Whitney segment, and the development of avionics and communication systems within Collins Aerospace. Additionally, the Raytheon Intelligence & Space segment contributes significantly by providing defense electronics, air and missile defense systems, and cybersecurity solutions to both governmental and commercial clients. The company also benefits from long-term contracts and partnerships with the U.S. government and other international defense organizations, which provide a steady stream of income through both initial sales and ongoing service and maintenance agreements.

RTX Financial Statement Overview

Summary
RTX displays robust financial health with consistent revenue growth and strong profitability metrics. The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with manageable leverage and a solid equity base. Cash flow generation is strong, supporting operational and strategic initiatives. Overall, RTX is well-positioned in the Aerospace & Defense industry, demonstrating financial resilience and growth potential.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
RTX demonstrates strong revenue growth, with a notable increase in total revenue from $68.92 billion in 2023 to $81.739 billion TTM. Gross profit margin improved to 39.3% in TTM, indicating efficient cost management. Despite a slight dip in net income from 2024, the overall trajectory remains positive with a strong EBIT margin of 9.3% and EBITDA margin of 13.7% in TTM, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity base with stockholders' equity of $61.516 billion in TTM, with a stable equity ratio of 37.3%. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.65, indicating manageable leverage levels. Return on equity is 7.6% in TTM, slightly lower than previous years, suggesting moderate efficiency in generating returns.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
RTX's cash flow performance is strong, with a free cash flow growth rate of 13.97% from 2024 to TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.73, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.1 in TTM, reflecting healthy liquidity and operational cash conversion.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
80.74B68.92B67.07B64.39B56.59B
Gross Profit
15.41B12.09B13.67B12.49B8.53B
EBIT
6.54B3.56B7.30B6.90B2.20B
EBITDA
12.53B9.61B11.17B10.56B2.95B
Net Income Common Stockholders
4.77B3.19B5.20B3.86B-2.93B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.58B6.59B6.22B7.83B8.80B
Total Assets
162.86B161.87B158.86B161.40B162.15B
Total Debt
40.54B45.24B33.50B33.14B33.34B
Net Debt
34.96B38.65B27.28B25.31B24.54B
Total Liabilities
100.90B100.42B84.65B86.70B88.27B
Stockholders Equity
60.16B59.80B72.63B73.07B72.16B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
4.53B4.72B4.39B4.75B1.64B
Operating Cash Flow
7.16B7.88B7.17B7.07B3.61B
Investing Cash Flow
-2.63B-3.04B-2.83B-1.36B3.10B
Financing Cash Flow
-6.62B-4.53B-5.86B-6.68B-5.27B

RTX Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price125.22
Price Trends
50DMA
128.13
Negative
100DMA
124.12
Positive
200DMA
120.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.82
Positive
RSI
48.43
Neutral
STOCH
55.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RTX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 125.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 126.13, below the 50-day MA of 128.13, and above the 200-day MA of 120.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RTX.

RTX Risk Analysis

RTX disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. RTX reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

RTX Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GDGD
80
Outperform
$73.00B18.8818.23%2.09%14.11%17.65%
LMLMT
79
Outperform
$111.91B20.6382.55%2.70%3.12%-15.29%
RTRTX
73
Outperform
$171.24B36.107.54%2.01%15.11%34.14%
NONOC
73
Outperform
$68.11B18.6225.41%1.74%0.61%77.28%
GEGE
71
Outperform
$211.60B30.9428.09%0.74%-42.92%109.75%
63
Neutral
$4.27B11.365.38%214.64%4.14%-9.01%
BABA
52
Neutral
$134.18B-162.23%-9.15%-406.76%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RTX
RTX
125.22
24.98
24.92%
BA
Boeing
177.95
4.46
2.57%
GD
General Dynamics
271.97
-9.94
-3.53%
GE
GE Aerospace
198.43
35.03
21.44%
LMT
Lockheed Martin
477.64
22.04
4.84%
NOC
Northrop Grumman
473.20
-4.80
-1.00%

RTX Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 22, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.71%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, growth in commercial aftermarket and defense sales, and significant progress in key programs like the GTF. However, concerns about potential tariff impacts and supply chain disruptions were notable, alongside a decline in Raytheon's adjusted sales. Despite the challenges, the overall sentiment was optimistic, supported by a strong backlog and strategic positioning in key markets.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance in Q1 2025
RTX reported 8% organic sales growth, 120 basis points of segment margin expansion, and a $900 million improvement in free cash flow compared to the prior year.
Commercial Aftermarket and Defense Sales Growth
Commercial aftermarket sales were up 21%, commercial OE sales up 3%, and defense sales up 4% organically.
GTF Program and Isothermal Forging Progress
PW1100 MRO output increased by 35% year-over-year, with a 14% sequential increase. Isothermal forging output was up over 10% versus the prior year.
Significant Backlog Growth
RTX ended the quarter with a backlog of $217 billion, up 8% year-over-year, including $125 billion in commercial orders and $92 billion in defense awards.
Raytheon's Book-to-Bill Ratio
Raytheon reported a rolling 12-month book-to-bill ratio of 1.35, with notable awards including $750 million for Netherlands air and missile defense capabilities.
Negative Updates
Tariff Impacts and Uncertainty
RTX expects a potential direct impact of $850 million from tariffs if current rates remain, with significant cost impacts from Canada, Mexico, China, and steel and aluminum tariffs.
Supply Chain Concerns
Ongoing concerns about potential supply chain disruptions due to tariffs, with emphasis on maintaining material flow and avoiding operational disruptions.
Raytheon Sales Decline
Raytheon sales were down 5% on an adjusted basis due to the cybersecurity divestiture, though organic sales were up 2%.
Company Guidance
During the RTX First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported robust financial and operational performance, highlighting key metrics such as an 8% organic sales growth and a 120 basis points expansion in segment margins. The company also achieved a significant improvement in free cash flow, exceeding $900 million compared to the prior year. Commercial aftermarket sales increased by 21%, commercial OE sales by 3%, and defense sales by 4%. Additionally, the PW1100 MRO output rose by 35% year-over-year. The backlog was reported at $217 billion, up 8% from the previous year. The company addressed potential impacts of tariffs, estimating a $850 million cost impact for the year, net of mitigations, with a focus on mitigating these through various strategies.

RTX Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
RTX Announces Leadership Transition with New Chairman
Neutral
Feb 3, 2025

On February 3, 2025, RTX Corporation announced that Gregory J. Hayes will step down as Executive Chairman and Board member on April 30, 2025, transitioning to a Special Advisor role to the CEO until January 2, 2026. Christopher T. Calio, currently President and CEO, will also assume the role of Chairman, effective April 30, 2025. Hayes, who has led RTX through significant industry changes, will continue with a base salary of $1,100,000 but will forgo annual incentives for 2025. This leadership change is expected to sustain RTX’s strategic priorities and growth trajectory, reinforcing its operations and stakeholder relations.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.