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Rollins (ROL)
NYSE:ROL
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Rollins (ROL) AI Stock Analysis

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ROL

Rollins

(NYSE:ROL)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$63.00
▲(11.46% Upside)
Rollins' strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its stock score. However, the high valuation and mixed technical indicators slightly temper the overall outlook. The company's ability to maintain robust cash flows and integrate acquisitions effectively supports its growth prospects.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Rollins reported robust Q2 results, with sales and EBITDA each approximately 1% ahead of consensus and EPS in line.
Growth Strategy
Management's optimism for 2025 is driven by the strength of core pest control markets, its recession-resilient business model, and operational execution by its teams.
Negative Factors
Margins
Incremental EBITDA margins were just under 20% in Q2 and under the company's 30% target for the fifth straight quarter and seventh out of the last eight.
Supply Chain and Economic Risks
There is some risk to consensus EBITDA/EPS estimates due to supply chain disruptions, geopolitical instability, shifting consumer preferences, economic downturn, acquisition integration, and regulatory, labor, and environmental challenges.

Rollins (ROL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rollins Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRollins, Inc. (NYSE: ROL) is a premier global provider of pest control services and products. Headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, the company operates through its subsidiaries, including Orkin, Western Pest Services, and others, serving both residential and commercial customers. Rollins offers a comprehensive range of pest management solutions that include termite control, rodent control, and preventive services, focusing on integrated pest management practices to ensure customer satisfaction and environmental responsibility.
How the Company Makes MoneyRollins generates revenue primarily through its pest control services, which are provided on a subscription basis and include both one-time treatments and ongoing maintenance contracts. The company earns money from residential customers through a series of service plans that typically require annual contracts, ensuring a steady revenue stream. Additionally, Rollins services commercial clients, which can include restaurants, hotels, and other businesses that require regular pest control services. The company also sells pest control products, including insecticides and traps, which contribute to its revenue. Strategic partnerships with local franchises and third-party service providers enhance its reach and service capabilities, further driving revenue growth. Rollins benefits from a strong brand reputation and an established customer base, which supports consistent financial performance.

Rollins Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a robust performance with strong revenue growth and successful integration of acquisitions, particularly in the commercial and ancillary segments. However, margin pressure from insurance claims and increased SG&A costs were notable challenges. Overall, the positive aspects, including strong cash flow and commercial performance, outweigh the lowlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Rollins reported a total revenue growth of 12.1% year-over-year with organic growth of 7.3%.
Commercial Division Performance
Orkin Commercial delivered double-digit recurring growth in Q2, highlighting strong performance in the commercial segment.
Successful Saela Acquisition
The integration of Saela has exceeded expectations, contributing to double-digit growth and being accretive to margins.
Strong Cash Flow
Operating cash flow increased by 21%, and free cash flow was up over 23% compared to the same period last year.
Resilient Ancillary Services
The ancillary services segment achieved 13.9% growth, with organic growth of 10.3%.
Negative Updates
Impact of Insurance Claims
Margin performance faced headwinds due to insurance claims and less vehicle gains in the fleet compared to last year.
SG&A Cost Increases
SG&A costs as a percentage of revenue increased by 40 basis points, driven by insurance and claims.
Choppy Residential Performance
Residential organic growth was somewhat choppy due to seasonality, with a weaker performance in May.
Company Guidance
During the Rollins, Inc. Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a robust financial performance marked by a 12.1% increase in total revenue and a 7.3% rise in organic growth. The company's gross margin was 53.8%, despite facing headwinds from insurance claims and a decrease in vehicle gains. Rollins achieved a 21% improvement in operating cash flow, with free cash flow increasing by over 23% year-over-year. Additionally, adjusted earnings per share were $0.30, reflecting an 11.1% increase from the previous year. The acquisition of Saela was highlighted as a significant contributor to growth, performing well above expectations and enhancing Rollins' competitive positioning. Looking forward, Rollins anticipates continued strong demand and projects organic growth in the 7% to 8% range for the year, with additional growth from mergers and acquisitions expected to contribute 3% to 4%. The company also aims to maintain a healthy cash flow conversion rate above 100% for the fiscal year 2025.

Rollins Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rollins demonstrates commendable financial health with strong revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and a stable balance sheet. The company's ability to generate strong cash flows underpins its capacity for sustained growth and strategic investments.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Rollins demonstrates strong revenue and profit growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 5.37% and consistent net profit margins. The company's gross profit margin stands at 51.80% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. Stable EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is robust, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.67 TTM, indicating prudent leverage. The equity ratio of 45.39% reflects a solid equity base, supporting financial stability. However, the ROE of 33.89% suggests effective use of equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow performance is strong, with a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.29 TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.34 indicates excellent cash conversion, and free cash flow growth of 8.87% supports ongoing capital investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.57B3.39B3.07B2.70B2.42B2.16B
Gross Profit1.76B1.67B1.50B1.30B1.18B1.02B
EBITDA803.87M771.13M705.06M592.88M569.87M447.43M
Net Income489.32M466.38M434.96M368.60M356.56M260.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.18B2.82B2.60B2.12B2.02B1.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments123.03M89.63M103.83M95.35M105.30M98.48M
Total Debt967.18M812.53M816.35M336.33M402.76M417.14M
Total Liabilities1.74B1.49B1.44B854.83M910.32M904.54M
Stockholders Equity1.44B1.33B1.16B1.27B1.11B941.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow631.56M580.08M495.90M435.30M374.61M412.56M
Operating Cash Flow657.12M607.65M528.37M465.93M401.81M435.79M
Investing Cash Flow-345.70M-176.23M-372.89M-134.14M-98.97M-162.40M
Financing Cash Flow-295.39M-440.71M-149.42M-336.02M-290.16M-281.27M

Rollins Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price56.52
Price Trends
50DMA
56.75
Negative
100DMA
56.55
Negative
200DMA
53.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Positive
RSI
45.28
Neutral
STOCH
28.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ROL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 56.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.30, below the 50-day MA of 56.75, and above the 200-day MA of 53.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ROL.

Rollins Risk Analysis

Rollins disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rollins reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rollins Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$4.61B18.61109.83%8.56%31.87%
74
Outperform
$27.56B55.7436.52%1.17%10.38%6.62%
61
Neutral
$17.97B12.87-5.30%2.97%1.26%-14.45%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ROL
Rollins
56.52
7.46
15.21%
FTDR
frontdoor
63.05
15.58
32.82%

Rollins Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Rollins Elects Directors at 2025 Annual Meeting
Neutral
Apr 24, 2025

On April 22, 2025, Rollins held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders where key decisions were made to shape its future governance and financial oversight. Shareholders elected five director nominees to serve until the 2026 Annual Meeting and ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, indicating continued confidence in the company’s leadership and financial management.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2025