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Roivant Sciences (ROIV)
NASDAQ:ROIV

Roivant Sciences (ROIV) AI Stock Analysis

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Roivant Sciences

(NASDAQ:ROIV)

55Neutral
Roivant Sciences faces notable financial challenges with declining revenue and negative cash flows, yet maintains a strong cash position. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, while the valuation reflects significant losses. The earnings call highlighted a promising pipeline, though risks from litigation and competition remain. Overall, while there is potential for growth, significant challenges must be addressed.
Positive Factors
Market Opportunities
IMVT-1402's potential launch in Graves' disease and difficult-to-treat rheumatoid arthritis represents significant value drivers due to lower competition and unmet needs.
Strategic Partnerships
VantAI has research partnerships with major companies like JNJ, BMY, and BPMC, demonstrating confidence and interest from significant industry players.
Technological Innovation
VantAI's model platform Neo-1 is expected to exceed the capabilities of Google's AlphaFold 3, highlighting its advanced technological capabilities.
Negative Factors
Investor Overlook
Breopocitinib's data is very likely to work and is largely overlooked by investors with a sizable commercial opportunity.
Litigation Risks
Minimal risk is seen for ROIV in receiving a large award from MRNA LNP litigation, with potential outcomes possibly spurring a settlement.

Roivant Sciences (ROIV) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Roivant Sciences Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRoivant Sciences (ROIV) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on improving healthcare by rapidly developing innovative medicines. The company operates in the biotechnology and pharmaceuticals sector, with a unique model of creating 'Vants,' which are nimble, entrepreneurial subsidiaries dedicated to developing specific drug candidates or technologies. Roivant's core products and services involve the development and commercialization of novel therapeutics across a diverse range of therapeutic areas, including oncology, neurology, and rare diseases.
How the Company Makes MoneyRoivant Sciences makes money through the development, licensing, and commercialization of its drug candidates. The company generates revenue by advancing its pipeline of therapeutic candidates through clinical trials and eventually bringing successful drugs to market. Revenue streams include milestone payments and royalties from partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, as well as potential direct sales of approved drugs. Roivant's business model is also supported by strategic partnerships and collaborations that provide funding and resources to accelerate the development of its drug candidates. Additionally, the company may receive investments or funding from venture capital or other financial entities interested in its innovative approach to drug development.

Roivant Sciences Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Roivant Sciences faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenue, persistent losses, and negative cash flows. While the balance sheet shows strong equity and cash positions, profitability and cash flow generation are major concerns. Strategic shifts may be necessary to enhance financial performance and stabilize cash flow.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Roivant Sciences shows a mixed income statement performance. The TTM revenue decreased to $97.56M from an annual figure of $124.80M, indicating negative growth. Gross profit margin remains high at around 89%, but the company consistently posts negative EBIT and net income, suggesting ongoing operational challenges. The TTM net profit margin is negative due to significant losses, highlighting profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet suggests a strong equity position with stockholders' equity of $5.19B in the TTM. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating limited leverage risk. With a high cash position, the company maintains substantial liquidity. However, the negative net income impacts ROE, which remains negative, suggesting challenges in generating returns for equity holders.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flows highlight significant challenges with negative operating and free cash flow in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow struggles relative to net losses. Free cash flow growth is also negative, reflecting ongoing cash burn issues. Despite sizeable cash reserves, the company's cash flow generation is weak.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
97.56M124.80M61.28M55.29M23.80M67.69M
Gross Profit
86.85M96.83M48.15M46.32M21.74M66.56M
EBIT
-1.00B4.24B-1.18B-1.35B-1.07B-532.42M
EBITDA
4.44B4.31B-1.18B-916.71M-895.74M-553.30M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-116.62M4.35B-1.01B-845.26M-809.23M1.20B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.15B6.54B1.68B2.06B2.13B2.19B
Total Assets
5.79B7.22B2.39B2.59B2.69B2.48B
Total Debt
100.31M499.75M481.40M283.89M244.98M180.88M
Net Debt
-1.89B-6.04B-1.20B-1.78B-1.81B-2.00B
Total Liabilities
256.38M773.95M782.02M523.70M527.69M368.36M
Stockholders Equity
5.19B5.97B1.16B1.66B1.80B2.03B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-779.48M-766.65M-856.08M-695.16M-557.94M-766.75M
Operating Cash Flow
-775.34M-765.27M-843.39M-677.73M-552.14M-761.83M
Investing Cash Flow
-2.83B5.20B-44.27M303.30M-31.70M1.69B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.08B419.36M499.46M306.79M456.26M217.16M

Roivant Sciences Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.08
Price Trends
50DMA
10.52
Negative
100DMA
11.11
Negative
200DMA
11.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Positive
RSI
32.45
Neutral
STOCH
8.42
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ROIV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.29, below the 50-day MA of 10.52, and below the 200-day MA of 11.28, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.42 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ROIV.

Roivant Sciences Risk Analysis

Roivant Sciences disclosed 80 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Roivant Sciences reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Roivant Sciences Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (48)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$7.33B16.76198.42%22.44%63.47%
77
Outperform
$6.69B12.6614.31%6.12%38.88%
57
Neutral
$5.56B-15.45%119.97%67.21%
55
Neutral
$6.61B1.93-7.10%-20.84%-102.48%
54
Neutral
$6.86B-80.35%-10.89%
48
Neutral
$6.36B1.24-44.94%2.70%18.33%1.47%
46
Neutral
$6.25B35.68%2285.27%27.90%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ROIV
Roivant Sciences
9.89
-1.31
-11.70%
HALO
Halozyme
60.65
21.37
54.40%
JAZZ
Jazz Pharmaceuticals
110.12
-3.96
-3.47%
MDGL
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals
313.95
69.28
28.32%
BBIO
BridgeBio Pharma
32.88
5.55
20.31%
LEGN
Legend Biotech
32.08
-23.41
-42.19%

Roivant Sciences Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 10, 2025 | % Change Since: -16.62% | Next Earnings Date: Jun 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Roivant Sciences Ltd. discussed a strong financial position and a promising pipeline with several upcoming clinical milestones. However, the company faces challenges in ongoing litigation and a competitive landscape in certain areas.
Highlights
Strong Cash Position
Roivant Sciences has a cash balance of $5.2 billion as of December 31, 2024. This includes $500 million authorized for additional share buybacks and significant cash inflow from the sale of dermaVant to Organon.
Significant Pipeline Developments
Roivant highlighted its strong pipeline with multiple late-stage biotech programs, including brepasitinib with a new indication in cutaneous sarcoidosis and a planned trial start this year.
Upcoming Clinical Milestones
The company is expecting important clinical data readouts in 2025, including registrational readouts for dermatomyositis and other significant milestones in MG and CIDP.
Lowlights
Litigation Uncertainty
Ongoing LNP litigation with Moderna and Pfizer BioNTech could result in various outcomes, depending on court decisions on the applicability of the World War I era US patent code section 1498.
Challenge in Competitive Landscape
Roivant faces a competitive landscape in several areas, particularly in MG and FCRN, where differentiation in efficacy and form factor is crucial for capturing market share.
Company Guidance
During the Roivant Sciences Ltd. third quarter 2024 earnings call, CEO Matt Gline highlighted several key metrics and developments. The company is set to advance its API CRM franchise with imminent data for MG and CIDP, along with a registrational readout in dermatomyositis that could lead to the commercial launch of brepasitinib. A new trial for brepasitinib in cutaneous sarcoidosis is also in the pipeline. Roivant reported a cash balance of $5.2 billion as of December 31, 2024, including $500 million authorized for additional share buybacks. The company has cleared six INDs at Abutavant, with ongoing trials and plans to initiate more by March 2026. Roivant is also engaged in significant LNP litigation with Moderna and Pfizer BioNTech, with major court phases scheduled for 2025. The company aims to achieve ten-plus indication blockbuster launches, anchored by its diversified late-stage biotech pipeline.

Roivant Sciences Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Roivant Sciences Engages Former Officer for Advisory Role
Neutral
Mar 20, 2025

On March 16, 2025, Roivant Sciences, Inc. entered into a consulting agreement with its former Chief Accounting Officer, Rakhi Kumar, who stepped down on February 20, 2025. This agreement allows Ms. Kumar to provide advisory and transition services while continuing to vest into her equity incentive awards over an 18-month term, potentially impacting her and the company’s operational continuity.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Roivant Sciences Announces Positive Results for Batoclimab Studies
Positive
Mar 19, 2025

On March 19, 2025, Roivant Sciences announced positive results from its subsidiary Immunovant’s studies on batoclimab for myasthenia gravis (MG) and chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy (CIDP). The Phase 3 MG study showed significant improvements in the MG-ADL score, while the Phase 2b CIDP study demonstrated promising initial results with a high responder rate. These findings support the potential of deeper IgG reduction in improving clinical outcomes for autoimmune diseases, although Immunovant plans to focus on advancing its lead asset IMVT-1402 for future studies rather than seeking immediate regulatory approval for batoclimab.

Executive/Board Changes
Roivant Sciences Appoints New Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
Feb 21, 2025

Rakhi Kumar resigned from her roles as the Principal Accounting Officer of Roivant Sciences Ltd. and Chief Accounting Officer of its subsidiary, effective February 20, 2025. Jennifer Humes has been appointed as her successor, bringing extensive experience from JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, and Deloitte. Her compensation package includes a base salary, sign-on bonus, and equity incentives, with specific vesting schedules.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.