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PROCEPT BioRobotics (PRCT)
NASDAQ:PRCT
US Market

PROCEPT BioRobotics (PRCT) AI Stock Analysis

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PRCT

PROCEPT BioRobotics

(NASDAQ:PRCT)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$24.00
▼(-0.91% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/07/26
The score is held back primarily by persistent losses and continued cash burn despite strong revenue growth and improving margins. Weak technical trend adds near-term risk, while constructive 2026 guidance and a clearer profitability trajectory provide the main offsets.
Positive Factors
Recurring, procedure-driven revenue model
The business mixes capital system sales with repeat consumable purchases per procedure, creating a durable annuity as installed systems scale. As procedures rise, recurring consumable revenue grows predictably, enhancing long-term revenue visibility and margin leverage independent of one-time system sales.
Robust procedure and installed-base growth
Sustained, high single- to triple-digit procedure growth and rapid installed-base expansion signal accelerating clinical adoption and network effects. A larger installed base increases recurring consumable pull-through and strengthens market position, enabling secular growth that should persist as clinical penetration remains low.
Improving margins and defined path to profitability
Gross margins have risen materially and management provides multi-year guidance targeting ~65% gross margin and Q4 2026 EBITDA positivity. Margin improvement from higher ASPs and consumable mix, combined with disciplined cost planning, supports a credible structural path toward sustained profitability if execution continues.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow
Despite improvement, persistent negative operating and free cash flow implies continued funding needs until profitable operations and positive FCF are achieved. This ongoing cash burn constrains reinvestment flexibility and requires careful liquidity management even with a sizable cash balance today.
Meaningful net losses and negative returns on equity
Large negative net margins indicate the company still consumes shareholder capital as it scales. Until margins sustainably flip positive, ROE and capital efficiency will remain poor, increasing dilution or financing risk and delaying durable shareholder returns despite top-line momentum.
Execution and revenue-quality headwinds from commercial changes
Deliberate commercial changes improved long-term revenue quality but produced near-term destocking, lower consumable pull-through and execution risk. Elevated OpEx and tariff headwinds amplify this risk; sustained execution is required to convert reorganization benefits into predictable, durable procedure and consumable growth.

PROCEPT BioRobotics (PRCT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PROCEPT BioRobotics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation, a surgical robotics company, develops transformative solutions in urology. It develops, manufactures, and sells AquaBeam Robotic System, an image-guided, surgical robotic system for use in minimally-invasive urologic surgery with a focus on treating benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH). The company also designs Aquablation therapy for males suffering from lower urinary tract symptoms due to BPH. As of December 31, 2021, it had an install base of 130 AquaBeam Robotic Systems worldwide comprising 78 in the United States. PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyPROCEPT BioRobotics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its AQUABEAM Robotic System, which is complemented by disposable instruments and accessories used in surgical procedures. The company typically earns money from the initial sale of the robotic systems, which are sold to hospitals and surgical centers, as well as recurring revenue from the sale of consumable products required for each procedure. Additionally, PROCEPT may engage in partnerships with healthcare providers and institutions to enhance its market reach and implement its technologies in a broader range of healthcare settings, contributing to its overall earnings. These partnerships often facilitate training, adoption, and integration of its systems into clinical practice, thereby driving further sales and increasing the company's revenue base.

PROCEPT BioRobotics Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Separates income from capital device sales, consumable disposables, and recurring services or training, showing how much revenue is one-time versus repeatable. A higher share of consumables and service revenue points to more predictable, annuity-like cash flow from the installed base, while heavy reliance on device sales makes results more dependent on hospital budgets and adoption cycles.
Chart InsightsHandpieces and consumables have become the growth engine—accelerating through 2024–25 to dominate revenue and lift gross margins, reflecting strong unit sales and a rapidly expanding installed base. System sales are lumpy but rising, seeding future consumable demand. Service revenue grows steadily but remains a smaller contributor. Watch near-term risks: utilization is running low-single-digits and management flagged inventory optimization and procedural headwinds that could blunt consumable momentum early in 2026 despite the company’s positive margin and revenue trajectory.
Data provided by:The Fly

PROCEPT BioRobotics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a mix of strong operational momentum (notably ~69% Q4 procedure growth, 42% installed-base growth, international expansion, a healthy cash balance and explicit 2026 revenue/procedure guidance) and near-term headwinds (Q4 gross margin shortfall, widened net loss and adjusted EBITDA loss, higher OpEx and temporary commercial disruption). Management implemented deliberate changes—eliminating bulk discounts, realigning commercial organization and creating a launch team—that caused short-term revenue impact but are intended to improve ASP, predictability of revenue and time-to-value. Given the substantial top-line and procedural growth, clear multi-year guidance and an articulated path toward narrowing losses and positive Q4 2026 EBITDA, the positives outweigh the near-term negatives while acknowledging execution risk during the transition.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Procedure Growth
Completed ~12,200 U.S. procedures in Q4 2025, representing ~69% year-over-year growth — signaling strong clinical adoption momentum.
Revenue Growth in Quarter and Guidance for 2026
Q4 2025 total revenue of $76.4M, up 12% YoY. Management reset 2026 revenue guidance to $390M–$410M, implying ~27%–33% growth versus 2025.
Installed Base and System Placements Expansion
Sold 65 new HYDRO systems in Q4; installed base reached 718 systems, a 42% increase versus year-end 2024; Q4 system revenue of $27.6M at ~ $425K blended ASP.
Consumables Revenue Growth and Handpiece ASP Improvement
Total U.S. handpiece plus consumable revenue of $34M in Q4, up 16% YoY. Q4 handpiece ASP rose to ~$3,340, up ~$140 (~5% sequentially); management now targets ~$3,500 ASP for 2026 (~9% lift vs 2025).
International Revenue Momentum
International revenue of $9.8M in Q4, up 25% year-over-year, and management guiding international revenue of ~$50M–$51M for 2026.
Cash Position Provides Runway
Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash totaled $285M as of December 31, 2025, supporting operations, investments and the path to profitability.
Path to Profitability and Improving EBITDA Outlook
Company expects full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA loss of $30M to $17M with positive adjusted EBITDA in Q4 2026 at both low and high revenue scenarios — signaling narrowing losses and seasonal profitability cadence.
Procedure Volume Outlook for 2026
Guidance for total U.S. procedures in 2026 of 60,000–64,000, representing ~39%–48% growth versus 2025, indicating confidence in accelerating utilization.
Commercial Operating Changes and Early Launch Team Results
Realigned commercial organization into integrated regional structure and created a dedicated launch team; pilot showed ~50% reduction in time-to-first-line cases, aimed at faster, more consistent launches and improved downstream utilization.
Contained One-Time Field Action
Voluntary field action in Q4 was nonrecurring (~$1.5M impact), resolved via a field upgrade with no patient safety issues and not expected to recur.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Revenue Shortfall from Consumable Ordering Changes
Elimination of end-of-quarter bulk discounts and customer destocking caused handpiece unit sales (~9,400 in Q4) to be ~80% of procedures in Q4 (procedures exceeded handpieces) and resulted in lower-than-expected Q4 revenue and a reduction in projected 2026 handpiece revenue.
Gross Margin Pressure in Q4
Q4 2025 gross margin was 60.6% versus 64.0% in Q4 2024 — approximately a 450 basis point shortfall versus prior-year quarter and guidance; onetime field action contributed ~240 basis points of pressure.
Increased Operating Expenses
Total operating expenses for Q4 2025 were $77.4M versus $63.4M prior year, reflecting investments in commercial expansion, R&D and increased funding for the Water IV prostate cancer trial.
Widening Quarterly Net Loss
Net loss in Q4 2025 was $29.8M versus a net loss of $18.9M in Q4 2024, indicating larger near-term profitability pressure.
Higher Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Adjusted EBITDA loss in Q4 2025 was $19.0M compared to a loss of $10.3M in the prior-year quarter, reflecting margin and expense headwinds.
Increased 2026 OpEx and Tariff Headwind
Management expects full-year 2026 operating expenses of ~$350M (a ~17% increase vs 2025) and tariff expense of $5M–$6M (≈100 basis points headwind to 2026 gross margin vs 2025).
Short-Term Disruption from Commercial Realignment
Sales realignment and creation of launch team caused temporary account coverage changes and fewer tenured resources in the field during ramp, which management expects to be a near-term drag on execution.
Q1 2026 Near-Term Softness Expected
Q1 2026 guidance anticipates modest utilization growth with estimated procedures of 12,000–12,800 (29%–37% growth) and revenue of $79M–$82M (14%–19% growth); company expects Q1 adjusted EBITDA loss (~$20M) and back-end loaded 2026 cadence.
Reduced Near-Term Handpiece Revenue Despite Higher ASP
While ASP improvement offsets part of the impact, the shift to 1:1 handpiece-to-procedure modeling materially reduced projected handpiece revenue relative to historical models (management estimated this change could have otherwise been worth ~$20M–$22M if historical stocking behavior persisted).
Company Guidance
Management updated 2026 guidance to total revenue of $390–$410 million (≈27%–33% growth vs. 2025), with international revenue of ~$50–51 million and total U.S. procedures of 60,000–64,000 (≈39%–48% growth); U.S. handpiece ASP is expected to be ~$3,500 (≈9% improvement vs. 2025) with handpiece units modeled roughly 1:1 to procedures, full‑year gross margin about 65% (including $5–6M of tariffs, a ~100 bps headwind), operating expenses of ~$350M (≈17% increase vs. 2025) and an adjusted EBITDA loss of ~$30M to $17M (company expects EBITDA positivity in Q4 2026 at both ends of the range). For Q1 2026 they guide 12,000–12,800 U.S. procedures (≈29%–37% growth), revenue of $79–82M (≈14%–19% growth) including ~ $20M of U.S. system revenue and ~$10M international, and expect a Q1 EBITDA loss on the order of ~$20M.

PROCEPT BioRobotics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Explosive multi-year revenue growth and improving gross margin are major positives, and leverage is conservative (improving debt-to-equity). However, losses remain large (net margin ~-31%), ROE is negative, and operating/free cash flow are still meaningfully negative despite some improvement—keeping financial performance below average overall.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Revenue growth has been exceptionally strong over the last several years (2025: +272% to $308M after +65% in 2024 and +82% in 2023), and gross margin has steadily improved to ~64% in 2025 from ~52% in 2023 and ~49% in 2022. However, profitability remains a clear weak spot: the company is still operating at meaningful losses (2025 net margin ~-31%), with negative EBIT/EBITDA, indicating the business has not yet scaled its cost structure to profitability despite rapid top-line expansion.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively levered, with debt-to-equity improving to ~0.14 in 2025 from ~0.28 in 2023 and ~0.39 in 2022, providing financial flexibility. Equity is sizable ($366M in 2025), which helps cushion ongoing losses. The key weakness is continued negative returns on equity (2025 ROE ~-26%), reflecting that shareholder capital is still being consumed by losses even as leverage remains controlled.
Cash Flow
34
Negative
Cash generation remains pressured: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative across all years shown, with 2025 operating cash flow at about -$49M and free cash flow about -$58M. While cash burn improved substantially versus 2024 (operating cash flow was about -$99M and free cash flow about -$104M), free cash flow deteriorated year-over-year in 2025 (growth ~-26.8%), highlighting ongoing funding needs and execution risk until the company reaches sustainable positive cash flow.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue308.05M224.50M136.19M75.01M34.47M
Gross Profit196.23M137.10M71.05M37.09M15.87M
EBITDA-80.11M-82.00M-98.09M-79.13M-50.72M
Net Income-95.57M-91.41M-105.90M-87.15M-59.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets508.08M534.02M404.72M309.33M337.02M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments286.50M333.73M257.22M222.64M304.32M
Total Debt51.62M80.25M79.20M77.32M54.10M
Total Liabilities142.21M131.80M123.97M112.26M69.93M
Stockholders Equity365.87M402.22M280.75M197.07M267.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-58.34M-103.62M-133.21M-83.03M-57.93M
Operating Cash Flow-48.98M-99.21M-108.00M-80.38M-57.33M
Investing Cash Flow-9.36M-4.41M-25.21M-2.65M-592.00K
Financing Cash Flow11.19M180.13M167.79M3.61M262.12M

PROCEPT BioRobotics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price24.22
Price Trends
50DMA
29.41
Negative
100DMA
31.22
Negative
200DMA
39.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.28
Positive
RSI
37.75
Neutral
STOCH
66.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRCT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 24.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.96, below the 50-day MA of 29.41, and below the 200-day MA of 39.95, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PRCT.

PROCEPT BioRobotics Risk Analysis

PROCEPT BioRobotics disclosed 77 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PROCEPT BioRobotics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PROCEPT BioRobotics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$3.54B-13.83-19.24%8.97%-1024.86%
66
Neutral
$1.79B18.6319.77%16.81%34.90%
59
Neutral
$1.81B211.68-2.45%9.81%-1067.00%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$1.90B-22.02-630.66%27.11%17.66%
50
Neutral
$1.43B-18.34-24.89%50.07%21.22%
45
Neutral
$954.55M-84.61-43.42%159.43%67.42%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRCT
PROCEPT BioRobotics
24.22
-33.37
-57.94%
ATEC
Alphatec Holdings
12.23
2.56
26.47%
AORT
Artivion
37.04
13.54
57.62%
LIVN
LivaNova
63.84
26.82
72.45%
INSP
Inspire Medical Systems
62.99
-116.37
-64.88%
SSII
SS Innovations International
4.44
-5.56
-55.60%

PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
PROCEPT BioRobotics Adds Independent Director to Audit Committee
Positive
Mar 6, 2026

On March 5, 2026, PROCEPT BioRobotics expanded its board of directors from eight to nine members and appointed former Shockwave Medical Chief Financial Officer Daniel Puckett as a Class III director, with his term running until the 2027 annual meeting of stockholders. The board also named him to its Audit Committee, enhancing the company’s financial oversight with a seasoned medtech finance executive.

The board determined that Puckett meets SEC and Nasdaq independence standards, reinforcing governance practices and qualifying him for Audit Committee service. His extensive background in senior finance roles at multiple life sciences and technology companies is expected to strengthen PROCEPT BioRobotics’ strategic and financial capabilities as it competes in the medical device and surgical robotics market.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRCT) stock is a Hold with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PROCEPT BioRobotics stock, see the PRCT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
PROCEPT BioRobotics Highlights Growth Strategy at Investor Day
Positive
Feb 26, 2026

On February 26, 2026, PROCEPT BioRobotics held an Investor and Analyst Day at Nasdaq’s New York headquarters to outline its next chapter of growth in the BPH treatment market. Management highlighted that Aquablation penetration in the U.S. remains low relative to the roughly 40 million men living with BPH, underscoring a substantial runway for procedure and installed-base expansion.

The company reported more than 125,000 Aquablation procedures performed worldwide and a global installed base exceeding 900 systems, supported by Category I reimbursement in the U.S. as of January 1, 2026. Leadership emphasized improved organizational discipline, noting higher-than-expected handpiece pricing and a rising ratio of handpiece sales to procedures, which together are enhancing revenue quality and the path to profitability.

PROCEPT detailed a realignment of its commercial organization to put single-point accountability at the regional level, with area vice presidents and regional directors overseeing both capital sales and clinical procedure support. This structure is designed to accelerate procedure growth and reinforce Aquablation’s push toward becoming a standard of care for BPH surgery.

The company also introduced dedicated launch teams separating capital and procedure functions to more effectively open new accounts and grow procedure volume at existing sites. In pilot accounts during the fourth quarter of 2025, this launch model reduced the time from purchase order to the first ten cases by about 50%, suggesting a meaningful operational boost for hospitals and a faster ramp in system utilization.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRCT) stock is a Sell with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PROCEPT BioRobotics stock, see the PRCT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 07, 2026