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Pure Cycle Corp. (PCYO)
NASDAQ:PCYO
US Market

Pure Cycle (PCYO) AI Stock Analysis

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Pure Cycle

(NASDAQ:PCYO)

75Outperform
Pure Cycle exhibits solid financial health with strong revenue and profit growth and a solid balance sheet. However, technical indicators show bearish sentiments, suggesting caution in the short term. While the P/E ratio is reasonable, the lack of dividends may deter income-focused investors. Positive earnings call and strategic focus bolster the long-term outlook, despite seasonal challenges and segment-specific weaknesses.

Pure Cycle (PCYO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Pure Cycle Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPure Cycle Corporation (PCYO) operates in the water and land resource sectors, focusing on providing innovative solutions for water and wastewater services primarily in Colorado. The company is engaged in a range of activities including the development and management of water rights, and the provision of water and wastewater services to residential and commercial customers. Additionally, Pure Cycle is involved in real estate development, leveraging its land holdings to create sustainable communities.
How the Company Makes MoneyPure Cycle Corporation generates revenue through multiple streams. The primary source of income is the provision of water and wastewater services to its customers, which include residential, commercial, and industrial clients. These services are offered under long-term contracts, providing a stable revenue base. The company also derives income from its real estate activities by developing and selling residential and commercial land parcels. Furthermore, Pure Cycle holds valuable water rights, which it can lease or sell to municipalities and other entities, contributing significantly to its earnings. Strategic partnerships with local governments and real estate developers also play a crucial role in the company's ability to monetize its assets effectively.

Pure Cycle Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pure Cycle demonstrates strong financial health with robust profitability, a solid balance sheet, and improving cash flow generation. The company exhibits good growth potential, though it faces some volatility in revenue and continued investment outflows that require careful management.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Pure Cycle has shown strong revenue growth, with a significant increase from the previous periods. Gross and net profit margins are strong, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust, reflecting solid operational performance. However, the revenue growth rate has been volatile over the years, which may indicate potential fluctuations in income streams.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid equity base with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating financial stability and low leverage risk. The return on equity is healthy, suggesting good returns to shareholders. The equity ratio is strong, demonstrating a high proportion of assets financed by equity rather than debt. However, there is a slight increase in liabilities that should be monitored.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The company has improved its free cash flow position, transitioning from negative to positive, indicating better cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, showing good conversion of income into cash. However, the cash flow from investing activities remains negative, reflecting ongoing investment that could strain cash reserves if not managed.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
29.11M28.75M14.59M23.00M17.13M25.86M
Gross Profit
19.78M19.76M8.04M16.37M10.72M7.54M
EBIT
12.21M12.24M2.07M10.10M5.27M4.36M
EBITDA
20.59M18.17M8.58M14.92M28.36M10.64M
Net Income Common Stockholders
13.48M11.61M4.70M9.62M20.11M6.75M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.91M22.11M26.01M34.89M20.12M21.80M
Total Assets
107.14M147.35M133.22M129.23M117.18M89.76M
Total Debt
60.52M7.04M7.28M4.10M121.00K120.28K
Net Debt
59.63M-15.07M-18.74M-30.80M-20.00M-21.68M
Total Liabilities
62.12M17.65M14.98M16.23M14.44M7.72M
Stockholders Equity
45.01M129.70M118.23M113.00M102.74M82.04M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
6.98M-461.00K-10.15M11.63M560.00K12.09M
Operating Cash Flow
9.11M2.21M-2.34M17.45M3.46M20.72M
Investing Cash Flow
-8.89M-4.73M-9.24M-6.67M-2.90M-3.45M
Financing Cash Flow
-519.00K-612.00K2.85M3.99M87.00K44.78K

Pure Cycle Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.01
Price Trends
50DMA
11.00
Negative
100DMA
11.86
Negative
200DMA
11.21
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.25
Positive
RSI
40.54
Neutral
STOCH
19.25
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PCYO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.45, below the 50-day MA of 11.00, and below the 200-day MA of 11.21, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.25 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PCYO.

Pure Cycle Risk Analysis

Pure Cycle disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pure Cycle reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pure Cycle Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$355.35M17.528.69%3.44%9.20%18.90%
75
Outperform
$237.39M17.0311.12%58.77%116.91%
66
Neutral
$281.87M43.1212.03%2.97%-0.63%-28.00%
63
Neutral
$380.52M23.759.01%1.71%-25.66%-5.11%
63
Neutral
$9.19B11.976.86%4.40%4.23%-11.24%
61
Neutral
$504.35M24.748.99%2.51%5.53%-14.72%
41
Neutral
$212.64M-84.24%382.57%5.98%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PCYO
Pure Cycle
10.01
0.47
4.93%
ARTNA
Artesian Resources
34.47
1.88
5.77%
CDZI
Cadiz
2.62
0.47
21.86%
CWCO
Consolidated Water Co
24.03
0.32
1.35%
YORW
The York Water Company
35.11
2.59
7.96%
GWRS
Global Water Resources
10.41
-1.44
-12.15%

Pure Cycle Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Apr 9, 2025 | % Change Since: -7.14% | Next Earnings Date: Jul 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call showed a strong performance in revenue, net income, and liquidity, driven by mineral royalties and aggressive development in the Water Utilities and Land Development segments. While there were some seasonal and segment-specific challenges, the company's strategic positioning and future outlook remain positive.
Highlights
Strong Quarterly Revenue and Growth
Q2 revenue was $4 million with a 38% gross margin, largely driven by mineral royalties. Year-to-date revenue is approximately $9.7 million with a gross margin over 50%.
Solid Net Income and Earnings Per Share
Continued growth in earnings per share and solid net income, with contributions from royalty income and three construction phases underway.
Water Utilities Segment Performance
Driven by the receipt of tap fees and aggressive home building, with additional oil and gas activity expected to increase in fiscal 2026.
Land Development and Single-Family Rentals
Accelerated development with four phases under construction, high occupancy rates in rentals, and plans to increase single-family rental homes.
Strong Liquidity Position
Over $20 million in liquidity, with cash and investments at $17 million and a strong balance sheet to support ongoing developments.
Lowlights
Seasonal Challenges
Q2 is typically the softest quarter due to seasonal construction challenges in Colorado's winter months.
Oil and Gas Segment Weakness
Oil and gas deliveries were weaker than expected due to timing of well permit production, although future activity is anticipated.
Company Guidance
During the Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Call, Pure Cycle provided guidance indicating a strong financial performance with $4 million in revenue and a 38% gross margin largely driven by royalty income. The company highlighted its year-to-date revenue of approximately $10 million, aiming to meet its fiscal 2025 guidance of around $30 to $31 million. Gross profit margins were reported to be around 50%-plus, with continued growth in earnings per share, which stood at $0.20, achieving nearly 50% of the company's annual guidance. The call also underscored the company's strategic focus on land development, water utilities, and single-family rentals, with an expected increase in the number of single-family rental units to over 200 homes as part of the Sky Ranch development. Additionally, Pure Cycle discussed its liquidity position, boasting over $20 million, and its strategic priorities, including land acquisition and managing its water utility assets, with a capacity to service about 60,000 connections.

Pure Cycle Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Pure Cycle Reports Positive Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 10, 2025

On April 9, 2025, Pure Cycle Corporation announced its financial results for the three and six months ended February 28, 2025, marking its twenty-third consecutive quarter of positive net income. The company continues to progress in the development of the Sky Ranch community, with significant advancements in various phases of construction and an increase in royalty revenues from its oil and gas interests. Despite seasonal slowdowns, Pure Cycle reported revenues of $4.0 million and $9.7 million for the quarter and year-to-date, respectively, and maintained a strong balance sheet with $16.8 million in cash and equivalents. The company’s strategic focus remains on growth and shareholder returns, with ongoing investments in development projects and a share repurchase program.

Spark’s Take on PCYO Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, PCYO is a Neutral.

Pure Cycle Corporation shows strong financial performance, with notable revenue and profit growth. However, technical indicators suggest bearish market sentiment, which could affect short-term stock performance. While the company’s valuation appears fair, the lack of a dividend may limit its appeal to income investors. The recent positive earnings call highlights growth prospects, but potential weaknesses in key segments need monitoring.

To see Spark’s full report on PCYO stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.