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Pacific Biosciences (PACB)
NASDAQ:PACB

Pacific Biosciences (PACB) AI Stock Analysis

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Pacific Biosciences

(NASDAQ:PACB)

48Neutral
Pacific Biosciences' stock score is primarily impacted by financial performance challenges, including declining revenues and high debt levels. Technical analysis reflects a bearish trend, and valuation metrics are unattractive. Positive corporate events and some growth areas highlighted in the earnings call provide mild offsets to these challenges.
Positive Factors
Growth Prospects
PacBio's new products, such as Vega and SPRQ, and improved execution are expected to support future growth.
Market Expansion
Management feels better about their serviceable addressable market due to ongoing technology and cost improvements, and expansion into clinical markets.
Product Launches
The launch of Vega should unlock a new portion of the market for PacBio, and recent advancements to Revio should help the product rebound.
Negative Factors
Funding Uncertainty
The '25 guidance is expected to send the stock down in trading, as it includes notable risks from NIH funding.
Macroeconomic Pressures
Macroeconomic pressures persisted and sales cycles continue to be elongated.
Revenue Decline
Lower Revio system shipments led to a decline in instrument revenue.

Pacific Biosciences (PACB) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Pacific Biosciences Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPacific Biosciences of California, Inc. designs, develops, and manufactures sequencing systems to resolve genetically complex problems. The company provides PacBio's Systems, which conduct, monitor, and analyse biochemical sequencing reactions; consumable products, including single molecule real-time (SMRT) cells; and various reagent kits designed for specific workflow, such as template preparation kit to convert DNA into SMRTbell double-stranded DNA library formats, including molecular biology reagents, such as ligase, buffers, and exonucleases. It also offers binding kits, such as modified DNA polymerase used to bind SMRTbell libraries to the polymerase in preparation for sequencing; and sequencing kits comprise reagents required for on-instrument, real-time sequencing, including the phospholinked nucleotides. The company serves research institutions; commercial laboratories; genome centers; public health labs, hospitals and clinical research institutes, contract research organizations, and academic institutions; pharmaceutical companies; and agricultural companies. It markets its products through a direct sales force in North America and Europe, as well as through distribution partners in Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America. Pacific Biosciences of California, Inc. has a development and commercialization agreement with Invitae Corporation. The company was formerly known as Nanofluidics, Inc. and changed its name to Pacific Biosciences of California, Inc. in 2005. Pacific Biosciences of California, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyPacific Biosciences generates revenue primarily through the sale of its high-performance sequencing systems and consumables required for sequencing operations. The company offers instruments such as the Sequel and Sequel II systems, which are widely used by research institutions, pharmaceutical companies, and clinical labs. In addition to equipment sales, a significant portion of the company's revenue comes from consumables, including reagent kits and other materials essential for sequencing processes. PACB also provides service contracts and support for its installed systems, adding another layer to its revenue stream. The company may engage in strategic partnerships and collaborations with research entities and corporations to expand its technological reach and application, further contributing to its revenue growth.

Pacific Biosciences Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pacific Biosciences faces financial challenges across income, balance sheet, and cash flow statements. Revenue decline, high debt levels, and negative cash flows indicate underlying financial vulnerabilities. Despite some asset base stability, profitability and liquidity constraints pose significant risks to future operations.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Pacific Biosciences has experienced declining revenue over the past year with a revenue growth rate of -23.2%. The company’s gross profit margin is 24.2% and net profit margin is negative, indicating a lack of profitability. Significant EBIT and EBITDA losses highlight operational inefficiencies and challenges in cost management.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company exhibits a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.33, suggesting reliance on debt financing which may lead to financial strain. With a low equity ratio of 40.2%, PACB’s balance sheet reflects limited shareholder equity relative to its assets. Return on equity is negative due to net losses, showing inefficiency in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
The negative free cash flow growth rate indicates ongoing cash outflows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash burn in operations. Despite investing activities generating some cash inflow, the overall cash flow position remains weak, with free cash flow to net income ratio also negative.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
154.01M200.52M128.30M130.51M78.89M
Gross Profit
37.28M52.78M49.03M58.86M32.57M
EBIT
-356.38M-334.47M-304.82M-178.16M-104.39M
EBITDA
-356.38M-277.28M-282.24M-250.76M38.97M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-309.85M-306.74M-296.93M-181.22M29.40M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
389.93M631.42M772.32M1.04B318.81M
Total Assets
1.26B1.75B1.77B2.01B413.98M
Total Debt
672.43M933.93M957.37M953.75M42.00M
Net Debt
617.06M754.02M632.28M493.02M-276.81M
Total Liabilities
753.85M1.04B1.20B1.22B78.49M
Stockholders Equity
506.59M701.30M562.90M790.99M335.49M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-212.25M-268.02M-280.14M-117.11M18.46M
Operating Cash Flow
-206.06M-259.17M-263.21M-111.18M19.50M
Investing Cash Flow
124.00M4.60M116.08M-678.53M-219.32M
Financing Cash Flow
-42.99M108.89M9.62M1.17B251.84M

Pacific Biosciences Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.38
Price Trends
50DMA
1.39
Negative
100DMA
1.63
Negative
200DMA
1.69
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
35.91
Neutral
STOCH
21.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PACB, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.26, below the 50-day MA of 1.39, and below the 200-day MA of 1.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PACB.

Pacific Biosciences Risk Analysis

Pacific Biosciences disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pacific Biosciences reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pacific Biosciences Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (48)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$8.95B107.812.27%0.66%-75.89%
49
Neutral
$12.09B-30.11%-2.93%-4.69%
48
Neutral
$431.89M-51.11%-23.19%6.27%
48
Neutral
$6.36B1.28-45.04%2.64%19.24%1.69%
47
Neutral
$2.40B-37.73%25.85%6.06%
46
Neutral
$3.01B-19.20%-89.95%-123.71%
39
Underperform
$1.63B-43.94%-83.18%-144.95%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PACB
Pacific Biosciences
1.38
-2.00
-59.17%
ILMN
Illumina
71.26
-55.76
-43.90%
QGEN
Qiagen
40.05
-1.11
-2.70%
CRSP
Crispr Therapeutics AG
34.26
-28.65
-45.54%
TWST
Twist Bioscience
36.63
3.95
12.09%
BEAM
Beam Therapeutics
14.63
-12.64
-46.35%

Pacific Biosciences Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 13, 2025 | % Change Since: -6.76% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
PacBio demonstrated strong growth in genomic data output and consumable revenue, along with successful product launches and cost reductions. However, significant challenges remain, including a substantial decline in instrument revenue, macroeconomic and funding uncertainties, and extended cash flow breakeven timeline due to recent challenges.
Highlights
Record Revenue Growth in 2024
PacBio achieved $154 million in revenue for the full year 2024, driven by the shipment of 97 Revio systems. This reflects a notable increase in the customer base, with approximately 45% of Revio shipments going to new customers.
Significant Increase in Genomic Data Output
Total growth in genomic data output accelerated with an 81% increase in 2024, up from 68% in 2023. This increase highlights broader utilization of PacBio's HiFi Longreach sequencing technology.
Consumable Revenue Growth
Consumable revenue grew 11% year over year in 2024 to $70.4 million, representing a 23% compound annual growth rate since 2020.
Successful Product Launches
PacBio launched the Vega Benchtop platform and Spark Chemistry for Revio, offering a suite of long-range sequencing systems tailored to different customer needs.
Strong Customer Feedback for Vega
Berry Genomics, an early adopter of Vega, reported notable improvements in quality values, reduced run times, and greater data processing efficiency.
Cost Reductions and Financial Flexibility
Annualized non-GAAP operating expenses were reduced by more than $75 million, and convertible note exchange reduced debt by $259 million, strengthening financial flexibility.
Lowlights
Decline in Instrument Revenue
Instrument revenue in Q4 2024 was $15.3 million, a 56% decrease from $35.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2023, primarily due to lower Revio system shipments.
Macroeconomic and Funding Challenges
Uncertain funding environment, particularly due to NIH funding caps and macroeconomic pressures, expected to persist into 2025, affecting sales cycles.
Non-Cash Impairment Charges
PacBio recorded non-cash impairment charges totaling $90 million due to macroeconomic headwinds and revised outlook on future cash flows.
Cash Flow Breakeven Timeline Extended
Due to recent macroeconomic challenges, PacBio now anticipates turning cash flow positive exiting 2027, a year later than previously expected.
Company Guidance
During the PacBio Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for 2025, anticipating revenue to range between $155 million and $170 million, reflecting a 6% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. The company reported $39.2 million in revenue for the fourth quarter, driven by the shipment of 23 Brevio systems and seven Vega Benchtop platforms. For the full year, revenue totaled $154 million, with a notable increase in genomic data output, accelerating by 81% in 2024. Consumable revenue grew by 11% to $70.4 million. Looking ahead, the company expects the macroeconomic pressures and NIH funding uncertainties to impact sales cycles but maintains confidence in achieving a 16% compound annual growth rate since 2020. The company also aims to improve non-GAAP gross margins to between 35% and 40% and reduce non-GAAP operating expenses by 3% to 7% in 2025, with plans to turn cash flow positive exiting 2027.

Pacific Biosciences Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Pacific Biosciences Appoints Jim R. Gibson as CFO
Positive
Mar 27, 2025

On March 24, 2025, Pacific Biosciences announced the appointment of Jim R. Gibson as its new Chief Financial Officer, effective March 31, 2025. Gibson, who has extensive financial leadership experience from companies like Sequoia and GoDaddy, will replace Christian Henry, who has been serving as interim CFO. Gibson’s appointment is expected to bolster PacBio’s financial strategy and operational scale as the company aims for positive cash flows by 2027.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Pacific Biosciences Announces Board Changes for Strategic Growth
Positive
Jan 30, 2025

On January 30, 2025, PacBio appointed Christopher M. Smith, CEO of NeoGenomics, to its Board of Directors, leveraging his extensive experience in diagnostics and laboratory testing markets to expand into the clinical genomics market. Concurrently, David Meline resigned from the board, a member since 2023, with no disagreements noted, marking a strategic shift in board composition to strengthen PacBio’s leadership as it continues its innovative journey in sequencing technology.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.