Strong 2025 Cash Flow and Free Cash Flow
Full year 2025 cash flow of $3.8 billion and free cash flow of more than $1.6 billion; returned over $600 million to shareholders during 2025. Q4 free cash flow was $508 million.
Balance Sheet Improvement and Deleveraging
Ended 2025 with net debt under $5.2 billion (down more than $240 million year-over-year). With the expected Anadarko sale proceeds, pro forma net debt is targeted at roughly $3.6 billion and remaining long-term maturities with no maturities before 2030. Expected annualized interest savings of $40 million from repayment of 2028 notes (in addition to $25 million realized earlier).
Aggressive Shareholder Returns Framework and Buyback Authorization
Management unveiled a new shareholder returns framework: return at least 75% of 2026 free cash flow (longer-term range 50%–100%). Board authorized a $3.0 billion share buyback program and management plans to commence buybacks immediately (2026 buyback target based on full-year FCF).
Portfolio Focused on High-Quality Basins (Permian and Montney)
Portfolio transformation essentially complete with NuVista acquisition closed and Anadarko sale agreed; focus on Permian and Montney where ~80% of remaining sub-$50 breakeven oil locations in North America reside. Since 2023 increased Permian and Montney drilling inventory by more than 3,200 locations at an average cost of $1.4 million per net 10,000-foot location.
Operational Efficiency Gains in Permian
Permian run-rate oil & condensate ~120,000 bpd. Completed feet/day averaged ~4,250 in 2025 (more than 10% faster than 2024). Drilling speed averaged >2,000 ft/day in 2025 (Pacesetter >3,000 ft/day). Expected 2026 D&C cost in the Permian < $600/ft (~$25/ft lower than prior year).
Surfactant Program Driving Productivity Uplift
Permian surfactant program: pumped surfactants in ~300 wells since 2019 and observed roughly a 9% improvement in oil productivity versus analog control wells. Management reports the program is highly economic (incremental chemical cost described in hundreds of thousands per well but offset by productivity gains).
Montney Integration and Cost Savings
NuVista integration underway with $1.0 million per well well-cost savings assumed in guidance (Ovintiv previously achieved $1.5 million per well on the Paramount integration). Montney run-rate oil & condensate ~85,000 bpd; 2026 D&C cost expected < $500/ft (about $25/ft lower than 2025). High-density pad testing unlocked ~130 upside locations.
Outperformance Versus Guidance and Street Expectations
Q4 oil & condensate ~209,000 bpd (high end of guidance); capital in Q4 $465 million (midpoint of guidance); matched or beat per-unit cost guidance on every line item. Q4 cash flow per share $3.81 beat consensus by ~10%.