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Energy Vault Holdings (NRGV)
NYSE:NRGV

Energy Vault Holdings (NRGV) AI Stock Analysis

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Energy Vault Holdings

(NYSE:NRGV)

45Neutral
Energy Vault Holdings is currently facing significant financial and operational hurdles, with declining revenues, negative profitability, and poor cash flow performance. While the company has secured valuable contracts and expects future cash inflows, these positive developments are overshadowed by immediate financial challenges and bearish market sentiment. The stock's high beta indicates potential volatility, further influencing its overall low score.
Positive Factors
Backlog Growth
Solid booking progress, with current backlog at $660mn, up ~90% from 3Q24.
Strategic Acquisitions
Energy Vault acquired 1GWh Stoney Creek project, with a long-term service agreement.
Negative Factors
Guidance and Market Conditions
FY25 guidance was below expectations as management leans further into 'own and operate' model and the company continues to be impacted by lower battery prices.
Revenue Performance
Energy Vault reported revenue below expectations, with $1.2mn in software and services business.

Energy Vault Holdings (NRGV) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Energy Vault Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEnergy Vault Holdings, Inc. develops and sells energy storage solutions. The company offers gravity-based storage systems, including EVx Platform, a scalable, modular product line starting from 40-megawatt hour to multi-gigawatt hours to address grid resiliency needs in shorter durations; Energy Vault Resiliency Center, a scalable, gigawatt hour scale product line designed to address grid resiliency needs to manage energy disruptive climate events; and Energy Vault solutions. Its solutions allow utilities, independent power producers, and large energy users to manage their power portfolios and efficiently dispatch power. Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. is based in Westlake Village, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyEnergy Vault Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale and deployment of its proprietary energy storage systems, including the Energy Vault Resiliency Center. The company enters into contracts with utility companies, renewable energy providers, and industrial clients who require efficient and scalable energy storage solutions. Revenue is also derived from service agreements for maintenance and operational support of deployed systems. Significant partnerships with energy infrastructure companies and governmental entities also contribute to its earnings by expanding market reach and facilitating large-scale projects.

Energy Vault Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Energy Vault Holdings shows a complex financial landscape with challenges in sustaining revenue growth, managing costs, and improving profitability. While the balance sheet remains relatively stable due to low leverage, persistent net losses and negative cash flows indicate ongoing operational and financial hurdles. The company needs to focus on enhancing cash flow generation and cost efficiencies to achieve sustainable growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Energy Vault Holdings has experienced significant revenue volatility, with a notable decrease from $341.5M in 2023 to $130.9M in TTM 2024. The gross profit margin in TTM 2024 is 5.42%, indicating challenges in cost management. The net profit margin is negative due to substantial net losses, highlighting ongoing profitability issues. While revenue increased significantly from 2020 to 2023, the recent decline suggests potential risks in sustaining growth.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company has a healthy equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01 in TTM 2024, indicating low leverage. However, the equity ratio decreased from 70.28% in 2023 to 70.87% in TTM 2024, showing a slight decrease in financial stability. Return on equity remains negative due to net losses, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns from equity.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Free cash flow improved from a significant negative figure of -$123.1M in 2023 to -$49.0M in TTM 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting persistent operational challenges. Despite the improvement, the negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights ongoing cash flow management issues.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
130.96M341.54M145.88M0.000.000.00
Gross Profit
7.10M17.53M59.30M-1.25M0.000.00
EBIT
-101.51M-106.74M-60.26M-29.54M14.51M10.01M
EBITDA
-95.01M-97.86M-69.38M-28.89M-1.10K-9.72M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-96.09M-98.44M-78.30M-31.34M-24.17M-10.14M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
14.66M109.92M203.04M105.13M10.05M14.66M
Total Assets
0.00340.75M416.71M125.29M30.38M38.69M
Total Debt
0.001.86M1.55M1.36M2.16M1.63M
Net Debt
14.66M-108.06M-201.49M-103.77M-7.89M-13.03M
Total Liabilities
0.00116.96M129.00M193.96M70.01M52.74M
Stockholders Equity
32.48M223.79M287.71M-68.67M-39.63M-14.05M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-49.03M-123.09M-25.66M-22.24M-18.45M-15.99M
Operating Cash Flow
2.35M-92.66M-23.35M-22.07M-16.70M-14.83M
Investing Cash Flow
-57.45M-42.54M-13.32M-1.17M-1.75M-1.16M
Financing Cash Flow
-262.00K-5.48M217.77M116.38M15.64M28.04M

Energy Vault Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.68
Price Trends
50DMA
1.04
Negative
100DMA
1.47
Negative
200DMA
1.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Negative
RSI
40.20
Neutral
STOCH
50.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NRGV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.71, below the 50-day MA of 1.04, and below the 200-day MA of 1.35, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NRGV.

Energy Vault Holdings Risk Analysis

Energy Vault Holdings disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Energy Vault Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Energy Vault Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$800.50M23.350.29%26.49%
RNRNW
65
Neutral
$2.36B94.082.00%-1.77%-41.65%
63
Neutral
$8.57B12.256.36%4.41%3.08%-9.36%
52
Neutral
$673.55M236.42-0.49%11.00%97.10%
45
Neutral
$104.89M-77.55%-86.47%-33.37%
45
Neutral
$380.80M-9999.00%19.63%25.63%
44
Neutral
$36.51M-25.26%-46.17%-20.51%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NRGV
Energy Vault Holdings
0.68
-0.58
-46.03%
AMPS
Altus Power
4.99
1.37
37.85%
RNW
ReNew Energy Global
6.51
1.00
18.15%
WAVE
Eco Wave Power Global
6.25
3.51
128.10%
NXXT
NextNRG
3.37
-2.65
-44.02%
FLNC
Fluence Energy
3.91
-12.94
-76.80%

Energy Vault Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 17, 2025 | % Change Since: -40.35% | Next Earnings Date: May 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive developments, such as significant contract bookings and the securing of a long-term energy service agreement, alongside challenges including lower than expected revenue and cash position, and issues related to a supplier bankruptcy and credit losses. While the company is making strategic moves for long-term growth, immediate financial metrics have been impacted by external factors and transitional decisions.
Highlights
Significant Increase in Contract Bookings
Contract bookings increased significantly quarter-over-quarter by 90%, growing the backlog to $660 million from $350 million, representing a 3x growth from the May 2024 Investor Day and a 4x growth from one year ago.
Long-Term Energy Service Agreement for Stoney Creek
Energy Vault secured a 14-year Long-Term Energy Service Agreement (LTESA) for the Stoney Creek project, guaranteeing a minimum of $20 million in revenue with potential merchant revenue up to $36 million per year.
Gross Margin Improvement
Gross margins improved year-over-year from about 5% to 13.5%, reflecting higher margin O&M services and SaaS license revenue.
Calistoga Resiliency Center Project Financing Commitment
Energy Vault received a financing commitment for the Calistoga Resiliency Center, expected to close in April, which will add about $28 million back to the balance sheet.
Lowlights
Challenges with Revenue Recognition
Full year 2024 revenue of $46.2 million was slightly below the low end of the guidance range due to rapidly declining battery prices and the timing of gravity-related license revenue recognition.
Impact of Supplier Bankruptcy on Gross Margin
A specific customer project was impacted by a supplier bankruptcy, resulting in Energy Vault stepping in to execute the work, which affected gross margin performance.
Lower than Expected Cash Position
Total cash was below the guidance range as certain customer payments slipped into the New Year and the Calistoga project financing was signed later than anticipated.
Provision for Credit Losses
A credit asset associated with a gravity license from a customer in 2022 was reserved due to delays in receipt of payments, affecting financial performance.
Company Guidance
During Energy Vault's Fourth Quarter 2024 earnings call, significant guidance and metrics were shared, highlighting the company's strategic developments and financial outlook. The company emphasized its focus on the build, own, and operate strategy, particularly with the Stoney Creek Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) project in New South Wales. This project, initially valued at AUD350 million (~US$220 million), now operates under a Long-Term Energy Service Agreement (LTESA) over 14 years, guaranteeing a minimum of $20 million in revenue, with potential earnings up to $36 million annually and a 50-50 revenue share above that. Energy Vault reported a contract backlog growth from $350 million to $660 million, indicating a strong future revenue trajectory. Despite a transitional year for project starts, 2024 recognized revenue was $46.2 million, slightly below expectations due to strategic choices to retain ownership of some infrastructure assets. The company concluded 2024 with improved gross margins of 13.5% and aims for a 2025 revenue target between $200 million to $300 million, driven by its significant backlog and ongoing projects in Australia and the U.S.

Energy Vault Holdings Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingFinancial Disclosures
Energy Vault Holdings Projects Significant Cash Inflows
Positive
Mar 21, 2025

On March 20, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings’ management discussed expected cash inflows from project financings and investment tax credits, totaling $70-80 million, during investor calls following their earnings call on March 18, 2025. The company anticipates these financings to close within Q2 and Q3 2025, with Calistoga Resiliency Center starting in April 2025, and expects to achieve positive Adjusted EBITDA by Q4 2025.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.