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Netlist (NLST)
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Netlist (NLST) AI Stock Analysis

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NLST

Netlist

(OTC:NLST)

Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
Netlist's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance challenges, including significant profitability and cash flow issues. The company's technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, further weighing down the score. However, the earnings call provided a more positive outlook with strong revenue growth and strategic advancements, slightly elevating the overall score.

Netlist (NLST) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Netlist Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNetlist, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets memory subsystems for the server, high-performance computing, and communications markets in the United States and internationally. It offers HybriDIMM, a storage class memory product, which unifies dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) and NAND flash in a plug-and-play module delivering terabyte storage capacities operating at nanosecond memory speeds. The company also provides nonvolatile (NV) memory products, such as NVvault DDR4 NVDIMM that provides data acceleration and protection in a joint electron device engineering council standard DDR4 interface; and specialty DIMMs and embedded flash products for use in data center and industrial applications. It resells component products, including solid state drive (SSDs), NAND flash, and DRAM products to storage customers, appliance customers, system builders, and cloud and datacenter customers; and sells component inventory to distributors and other users of memory integrated circuits. The company markets and sells its products through a direct sales force and a network of independent sales representatives. Netlist, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyNetlist generates revenue through the sale of its advanced memory subsystem products, which include a variety of high-performance memory modules designed for servers, workstations, and other computing systems. The company's business model is centered around leveraging its intellectual property and proprietary technologies to create differentiated products that meet the needs of its customers. Key revenue streams include direct sales of memory products to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and other technology companies. Additionally, Netlist engages in licensing agreements for its patented technologies, which can provide a significant source of income through royalty payments. The company may also benefit from strategic partnerships and collaborations that help expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings.

Netlist Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 21.74%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Netlist's second quarter of 2025 showcased strong revenue growth and significant legal victories, enhancing its financial and market position. However, the company faces supply constraints in DDR4 and ongoing legal appeals which could impact future stability.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Second quarter revenue increased by 44% sequentially and by 13% year-over-year, driven by strong demand for DDR5 and DDR4 products.
Legal Victories and Patent Strength
Netlist secured a $445 million damages award against Micron and successfully concluded a breach of contract case against Samsung, with $866 million in total damages from three verdicts for patent infringement.
Strategic Financial Positioning
Netlist strengthened its financial position with $29 million in cash and cash equivalents, minimal debt, and a successful $11.7 million direct offering.
Board Expansion
Appointment of two seasoned attorneys, Jun Cho and Blake Welcher, to the Board of Directors to strengthen expertise in product distribution, intellectual property, and licensing.
Negative Updates
DDR4 Supply Constraints
DDR4 supply is constrained due to major suppliers phasing out the product, impacting customers with long product life cycles.
Ongoing Legal Appeals
Micron has filed an appeal against the damages award, and the resolution of this and other legal actions is expected to take several years.
Company Guidance
During the Netlist Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, CEO Chuck Hong and CFO Gail Sasaki provided guidance on several key metrics. Second quarter revenue increased by 44% sequentially and 13% year-over-year, reaching $41.7 million, driven by demand for DDR5 and DDR4 products. The company is navigating a transition in the DRAM market from DDR4 to DDR5, with DDR4 supply tightening and prices increasing due to manufacturers phasing it out. Operating expenses decreased by 52% compared to the previous year's quarter, due to reductions in IP legal fees and R&D. Netlist ended Q2 with $29 million in cash and cash equivalents, up from $25.6 million at the end of Q1, and raised $11.7 million through a direct offering. Legal actions secured $445 million in damages from Micron and concluded a breach of contract case against Samsung. Netlist expects third quarter revenue to be similar to the second quarter of 2025.

Netlist Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Netlist operates in the volatile semiconductor industry, facing significant profitability and cash flow challenges. Despite recent revenue growth, the company struggles with operational inefficiencies and high financial leverage. Sustained negative margins and cash flows highlight the need for strategic improvements to stabilize financial performance.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Netlist has seen fluctuating revenue trends with recent growth, but profitability remains a challenge. The Gross Profit Margin is low at around 2%, and Net Profit Margin is deeply negative due to significant net losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating operational inefficiencies and high expenses relative to revenue.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company's balance sheet reflects high financial leverage with a negative stockholders' equity, indicating more liabilities than assets. The Debt-to-Equity ratio cannot be calculated due to negative equity, and there is a negative Return on Equity due to persistent losses. This suggests potential financial instability and risk.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Netlist's cash flow situation is concerning, with consistently negative Free Cash Flow and Operating Cash Flow. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is negative due to ongoing losses, indicating cash generation challenges. However, recent financing activities have provided some cash inflow, which is not sustainable long-term.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue145.14M147.10M69.20M161.64M142.35M47.23M
Gross Profit4.09M2.88M2.39M11.89M48.90M6.73M
EBITDA-38.53M-54.88M-60.03M-32.39M12.53M-6.69M
Net Income-37.68M-53.87M-60.40M-33.37M4.83M-7.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets41.45M41.84M72.80M67.32M91.18M25.27M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.44M22.51M40.45M25.01M47.68M13.33M
Total Debt1.62M2.52M5.06M7.13M9.15M20.88M
Total Liabilities48.40M47.89M49.04M40.09M37.13M27.89M
Stockholders Equity-6.96M-6.05M23.76M27.24M54.04M-2.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-30.25M-34.66M-41.60M-15.46M5.49M-8.18M
Operating Cash Flow-30.29M-34.59M-41.60M-14.99M6.01M-8.13M
Investing Cash Flow-32.00K-71.00K0.00-467.00K-520.00K-43.00K
Financing Cash Flow22.96M16.42M50.84M594.00K36.47M12.99M

Netlist Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.84
Price Trends
50DMA
0.70
Positive
100DMA
0.77
Positive
200DMA
0.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
67.64
Neutral
STOCH
92.54
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NLST, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.73, above the 50-day MA of 0.70, and above the 200-day MA of 0.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.54 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NLST.

Netlist Risk Analysis

Netlist disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Netlist reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Netlist Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$310.93M21.3923.09%6.38%-9.22%-13.57%
61
Neutral
$35.38B6.84-10.99%1.97%8.74%-8.28%
58
Neutral
$580.05M19.55-3.34%-10.95%-111.40%
54
Neutral
$361.22M-1405.64%-3299.52%
47
Neutral
$257.22M-608.27%18.19%43.04%
47
Neutral
$406.03M-1369.57%18.64%16.54%
47
Neutral
$285.43M-0.92%-6.09%97.33%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NLST
Netlist
0.84
-0.43
-33.86%
AEHR
Aehr Test Systems
17.38
3.92
29.12%
NVEC
NVE
62.71
-13.34
-17.54%
AIP
Arteris
8.98
1.05
13.24%
BZAI
Blaize Holdings
3.47
-7.72
-68.99%
XPER
Xperi Inc
6.04
-2.48
-29.11%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 22, 2025