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Tetragon Financial Group LTD (NL:TFG)
:TFG

Tetragon Financial (TFG) AI Stock Analysis

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NL:TFG

Tetragon Financial

(TFG)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$19.00
▲(11.44% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial strength (high profitability and low leverage in the financial statements) and very attractive valuation (low P/E plus dividend yield). These positives are partly offset by weaker technical momentum and cash-flow/segment volatility highlighted in both the financials and the latest earnings call.

Tetragon Financial (TFG) vs. iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF (EWN)

Tetragon Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTetragon Financial Group Limited is a close ended feeder fund launched and managed by Tetragon Financial Management LP. The fund invests its entire corpus in Tetragon Financial Group Master Fund Limited. It was formerly known as Tetragon Credit Income Fund Limited. Tetragon Financial Group Limited was formed on June 23, 2005 and is domiciled in the Guernsey, Channel Islands.
How the Company Makes MoneyTetragon Financial Group makes money through a combination of capital appreciation and income generation from its diversified investment portfolio. The company earns revenue primarily from dividends, interest, and capital gains on its investments in public and private equities, loans, real estate, and infrastructure. TFG also benefits from management and performance fees generated by its asset management operations, where it manages funds and investment vehicles for institutional and retail clients. Significant partnerships with financial institutions and strategic investments in asset management businesses, such as TFG Asset Management, enhance its earning potential and contribute to its overall financial performance.

Tetragon Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tetragon Financial exhibits a mixed financial performance with strong equity backing and improved profitability. The balance sheet shows excellent financial stability with no debt and a high equity ratio. However, there are concerns about operational efficiency due to negative EBIT and cash generation lagging behind net income, though the cash flow recovery is promising.
Income Statement
Tetragon Financial has shown significant volatility in its revenue and profitability over the years. The latest annual data shows a strong recovery in Total Revenue with a 51.8% increase from the previous year, leading to a Net Profit Margin of 96.5%, which is impressive. However, the significant negative EBIT in the latest year raises concerns about operational efficiency. Overall, the company has demonstrated resilience with fluctuating yet improving profitability.
Balance Sheet
The company maintains a strong Balance Sheet with Zero Total Debt in the latest year, providing a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0, which indicates excellent financial stability. The Equity Ratio remains high at 89.0%, suggesting a solid asset base supported by equity. Return on Equity has improved significantly to 11.1%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. Overall, the balance sheet reflects strong financial health and low leverage risk.
Cash Flow
The Cash Flow statement reveals a positive turnaround with Free Cash Flow reaching $47.1 million, demonstrating a significant recovery from previous negative figures. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio of 0.13 suggests that cash generation from operations is still lagging behind net income, which is a concern. However, the positive Free Cash Flow trend is a positive indicator of improving cash management and liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.21B390.40M240.40M61.70M447.50M306.40M
Gross Profit1.10B365.00M182.40M-5.90M441.70M199.30M
EBITDA333.90M352.20M0.000.00418.20M0.00
Net Income857.45M352.20M141.10M-32.10M418.20M171.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.15B3.56B3.11B2.97B3.06B2.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.00M30.50M23.10M21.70M198.80M191.60M
Total Debt350.00M300.00M250.00M115.00M75.00M100.00M
Total Liabilities606.50M391.90M280.40M215.70M187.10M194.11M
Stockholders Equity3.55B3.17B2.83B2.76B2.88B2.47B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-93.00M47.10M-26.00M-111.00M64.30M208.50M
Operating Cash Flow-93.00M47.10M-26.00M-111.00M64.30M208.50M
Investing Cash Flow120.30M0.000.000.000.000.00
Financing Cash Flow-19.55M-39.70M27.40M-66.10M-57.10M-150.40M

Tetragon Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.05
Price Trends
50DMA
18.18
Negative
100DMA
18.38
Negative
200DMA
16.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.33
Positive
RSI
28.75
Positive
STOCH
37.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:TFG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.40, below the 50-day MA of 18.18, and above the 200-day MA of 16.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.75 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NL:TFG.

Tetragon Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
€13.10B7.6011.85%2.07%2.01%79.48%
79
Outperform
€237.77M6.7113.24%9.16%-42.89%-21.25%
73
Outperform
$2.36B2.0521.90%3.22%328.05%412.44%
68
Neutral
€16.51B13.976.47%5.40%-15.54%10.53%
68
Neutral
€16.32B21.633.13%20.37%54.24%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
€4.70B-29.91-7.45%1.65%8.64%-304.46%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NL:TFG
Tetragon Financial
16.90
1.24
7.92%
NL:HAL
HAL Trust
145.00
29.42
25.45%
NL:NN
NN Group N.V.
65.54
26.63
68.42%
NL:VTA
Volta Finance
6.50
1.02
18.68%
NL:ALLFG
Allfunds Group plc
7.81
3.15
67.67%
NL:CVC
CVC Capital Partners plc
15.35
-4.91
-24.23%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025