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Prosus (NL:PRX)
:PRX
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Prosus (PRX) AI Stock Analysis

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NL:PRX

Prosus

(PRX)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
€41.00
▼(-7.51% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/30/26
The score is driven primarily by a mixed but improving financial profile (strong 2026 revenue rebound and solid capitalization, offset by volatile EBIT history and uneven cash conversion). Valuation is a clear positive with a low P/E, while the earnings call supports the medium-term growth narrative but flags near-term margin/EBITDA pressure from reinvestment and competition. Technical conviction is limited due to missing indicator data and elevated beta.
Positive Factors
Revenue scale & growth targets
Prosus has moved to material scale with ~€10bn revenue and explicit management targets above €13bn. This scale expands market reach, improves unit economics potential across marketplaces and fintech, and provides a durable base to fund product investment, M&A or capital returns over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Operating profitability volatility
Historic swings from negative to positive EBIT indicate operating earnings are uneven and reliant on recovery execution. Persistent volatility complicates planning, increases sensitivity to competition, and raises the risk that episodic non-operating gains mask weaker core margins over the medium term.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue scale & growth targets
Prosus has moved to material scale with ~€10bn revenue and explicit management targets above €13bn. This scale expands market reach, improves unit economics potential across marketplaces and fintech, and provides a durable base to fund product investment, M&A or capital returns over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Prosus (PRX) vs. iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF (EWN)

Prosus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Prosus N.V. operates broadly across the e-commerce and internet sectors, overseeing a diverse portfolio of online platforms. These encompass services such as classified advertisements, financial technology and payment solutions (fintech), food del...
How the Company Makes Money
Prosus makes money primarily through the operating revenues and profits of its consolidated and controlled businesses and, secondarily, through investment returns from its portfolio of equity interests. (1) Operating revenue streams: In online cla...

Prosus Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 29, 2026
(Q4-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong progress on scale, margin recovery, and rapid growth in ecosystem adjacencies driven by AI and platform investments (revenue ~EUR 10bn, EBITDA EUR 1.3bn, free cash flow improvement of ~EUR 2bn, ecosystem $1.5bn growing >40%, multiple >50–100% growth rates across adjacencies). However, the company is facing significant near-term headwinds from intense competition (especially in Brazil), increased CPO and promotional spending by peers, the need to invest heavily in Just Eat and iFood which keeps FY2027 EBITDA roughly flat, and some cash flow/working-capital volatility. On balance, the business shows robust structural momentum and technology differentiation, while acknowledging short-term reinvestment and competitive pressures that will depress near-term profitability but aim to enable higher long-term returns.
Positive Updates
Revenue Scale and Near-Term Growth Targets
Reported revenue of almost EUR 10 billion for FY2026 with management targets to grow to more than EUR 13 billion next year; CFO guidance also expects revenue to grow to at least $12.0–$12.3 billion next year.
Negative Updates
Intense Competition in Brazil Pressures Economics
Management reported intensified competitive subsidy activity in Brazil leading to higher cost-per-order (CPO); Prosus estimates competitors are spending ~USD 150 million per month combined and losing around USD 8 per order in parts of the market. iFood's Hits is losing ~BRL 1.5 per order currently (moving toward breakeven).
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Q4-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Scale and Near-Term Growth Targets
Reported revenue of almost EUR 10 billion for FY2026 with management targets to grow to more than EUR 13 billion next year; CFO guidance also expects revenue to grow to at least $12.0–$12.3 billion next year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance from the call emphasized continued top‑line and ecosystem-led growth while accepting near‑term reinvestment: group revenue was ~€10bn in FY2026 with management targeting >€13bn next year (another estimate cited $12–$12.3bn), EBITDA was €1.3bn (up 84% YoY) and leadership reiterated the ambition to deliver “billions” of EBITDA long‑term though group profitability is expected to be roughly flat in FY2027 as they invest in iFood and Just Eat; free cash flow moved from €‑0.5bn to €+1.5bn (+€2bn) over two years. They expect half of LATAM revenue in the next 12–24 months to come from adjacencies as the ecosystem (now >$1.5bn revenue, +40%+) already represents >50% of revenue (food 45%, fintech 17%, travel 29%, other 7%) and generates >$150m of profit; iFood is ~200m orders, the group has ~1bn customers, ~5m partners and ~€100bn GMV. High‑growth unit guidance includes grocery +50% (multi‑year), pharmacy +70% YoY, fintech lines ~100% YoY (credit +115%, infra +100%, voucher +60%), Rapido +110–120% YoY and Despegar +30% (40% in Brazil, 21% of Brazil revenue driven by cross‑sell). Technology rollouts—LCM models 100m LatAm customers, ToqanClaw (70k agents, 12k apps, 4k employees onboarded, expanding to 5m restaurant partners) and Zapia—are expected to drive efficiency and revenue synergies (e.g., €5m/month logistics savings = ~€60m/year), while capital allocation continues with an open $5bn buyback program funded by non‑core disposals (~$2bn last year, ~$1bn Q1) and dividend receipts (Tencent, FY2027 €0.10).

Prosus Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are resilient but not yet consistently high-quality: 2026 revenue rebounded strongly (~+39% YoY) and the balance sheet is well-capitalized, but operating profitability has been volatile (EBIT negative in 2022–2024) and cash flows were inconsistent historically, with free cash flow down in 2026 vs. 2025.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.64B6.17B5.47B5.76B6.87B
Gross Profit4.32B2.62B2.22B1.66B2.06B
EBITDA457.93M13.37B7.75B10.48B19.16B
Net Income11.56B12.37B6.61B10.11B18.73B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets78.99B72.59B61.82B65.08B71.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.53B18.90B18.99B20.87B13.57B
Total Debt17.57B16.45B16.33B16.27B16.08B
Total Liabilities25.18B21.46B20.53B20.45B20.82B
Stockholders Equity53.72B51.05B41.26B44.59B50.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.50B1.81B978.00M-383.00M-847.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.60B1.92B1.04B-120.00M-605.00M
Investing Cash Flow6.75B11.88B209.00M12.64B4.39B
Financing Cash Flow-8.80B-8.74B-8.12B-12.45B2.40B

Prosus Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price44.33
Price Trends
50DMA
39.36
Positive
100DMA
40.84
Negative
200DMA
47.77
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
53.44
Neutral
STOCH
72.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:PRX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 44.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.48, above the 50-day MA of 39.36, and below the 200-day MA of 47.77, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NL:PRX.

Prosus Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
€34.60B22.4560.27%2.37%5.69%-26.66%
66
Neutral
€80.46B8.5625.58%0.38%45.37%-5.20%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NL:PRX
Prosus
39.55
-8.71
-18.05%
NL:UMG
Universal Music Group
18.91
-7.16
-27.46%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 30, 2026