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Magnum Ice Cream Co. N.V. (NL:MICC)
:MICC
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Magnum Ice Cream Co. N.V. (MICC) AI Stock Analysis

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NL:MICC

Magnum Ice Cream Co. N.V.

(MICC)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
€13.00
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/01/26
The score is primarily held back by recent financial pressure—especially the sharp deterioration in operating/free cash flow and weaker profitability trends—despite a still-reasonable balance sheet historically. Technicals are mixed with negative MACD and price below the 50-day average. Valuation looks demanding at ~28x earnings. The earnings call provides support via guidance for renewed growth and margin improvement, but that upside is tempered by sizable transitional costs and execution risks.
Positive Factors
Brand and innovation momentum
Magnum Ice Cream's portfolio-led growth and faster idea-to-shelf capability underpin durable competitive advantage. Flagship and better-for-you brands (Yasso, Breyers CarbSmart) plus rapid geographic rollouts strengthen consumer preference, supporting sustainable volume and pricing power over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Material cash-flow deterioration
A steep collapse in operating and free cash flow sharply reduces financial flexibility to fund capex, separation costs, or absorb shocks. Cash conversion weakened to ~12% of net income (OCF) and ~3% (FCF), elevating refinancing and liquidity risk until cash-generation normalizes.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Brand and innovation momentum
Magnum Ice Cream's portfolio-led growth and faster idea-to-shelf capability underpin durable competitive advantage. Flagship and better-for-you brands (Yasso, Breyers CarbSmart) plus rapid geographic rollouts strengthen consumer preference, supporting sustainable volume and pricing power over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Magnum Ice Cream Co. N.V. (MICC) vs. iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF (EWN)

Magnum Ice Cream Co. N.V. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
The Magnum Ice Cream Company N.V. focuses on ice cream business. The Magnum Ice Cream Company N.V. is based in Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands....
How the Company Makes Money
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Magnum Ice Cream Co. N.V. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a constructive operational story: solid top-line performance (4.2% organic growth), positive volume growth, brand-led innovation and clear execution (market share gains and expanded cabinets), backed by a productivity program that has already delivered meaningful savings and a staged plan to reinvest for growth. Offsetting these positives are significant near-term headwinds and technical impacts: exceptional commodity inflation (380 bps) in 2025, TSA-related margin effects and separation/demerger cash costs that materially depressed reported EBITDA and free cash flow in the near term, plus acquisition-related perimeter dilution from India. Management frames most negatives as transitional or non-recurring (TSAs, separation costs, commodity normalization expected) while highlighting 2026 guidance for 3–5% organic growth and a 40–60 bps comparable adjusted EBITDA margin improvement. Given the balance of durable operational strengths and clear mitigation plans versus largely transitional and explainable near-term financial impacts, the overall tone is positive but pragmatic and execution-focused.
Positive Updates
Revenue and Organic Growth
Reported full-year revenue of EUR 7.9 billion with organic sales growth of 4.2% in 2025.
Negative Updates
Severe Commodity Inflation Impact
Unprecedented commodity inflation of ~380 basis points in 2025 (notably cocoa) materially pressured margins and required selective pricing and reinvestment of productivity savings to protect volume.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Revenue and Organic Growth
Reported full-year revenue of EUR 7.9 billion with organic sales growth of 4.2% in 2025.
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Company Guidance
Management guided 2026 organic sales growth of 3–5% (industry growth 3–4%) with adjusted EBITDA margin improvement of 40–60 bps on a comparable perimeter (0–20 bps reported including the India/Portugal acquisition impact), an adjusted effective tax rate around 27%, expected net finance cost ~€180m and adjusting items of €425–450m; they said commodity inflation that hit 380 bps in 2025 should normalize to low single digits with benefits weighted to H2, TSAs/RTSA exit planned by end‑2027, and the €500m productivity program has delivered cumulative savings of ~€250m to date (€70m H2‑24 + €180m in 2025) helping deliver 170 bps of supply‑chain savings vs. 230 bps pricing contribution and an operational (ex‑FX) gross‑margin improvement of +20 bps while reported gross margin was -30 bps; 2025 metrics cited include revenue €7.9bn, organic growth 4.2% (price ≈+2.6 p.p., volume +1.5%), adjusted EBIT at constant FX +€48m, adjusted EBITDA -100 bps (50 bps FX translation, 50 bps TSA), US share +24 bps with US organic +1.7% (volume +1.8%), Europe/ANZ OSG 3.3% (+37 bps share), EMEA +10.9% (volume +4.5%), Yasso >30% growth, cabinet fleet ~3 million (cabinet CapEx +~10%), net debt/adjusted EBITDA 2.4x, comparable free cash flow €602m in 2025 vs. €660m in 2024, and net free cash flow €38m after €564m of separation/transition costs.

Magnum Ice Cream Co. N.V. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability remains positive but has weakened as margins compressed and the latest year showed a sharp revenue contraction (~30.9%). Balance sheet leverage was conservative historically, but the latest period shows a notable equity drop and higher leverage versus prior years. The biggest drag is cash flow: operating cash flow and free cash flow deteriorated sharply, with free cash flow nearly disappearing and weak cash conversion versus net income.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.91B7.95B7.62B7.51B
Gross Profit2.74B2.77B2.60B2.57B
EBITDA1.16B1.22B1.21B1.10B
Net Income293.00M579.00M492.00M509.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.49B5.52B5.27B4.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments449.00M179.00M59.00M53.00M
Total Debt3.42B188.00M197.00M188.00M
Total Liabilities6.86B2.72B2.74B2.77B
Stockholders Equity625.00M2.78B2.51B1.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow123.00M792.00M634.00M426.00M
Operating Cash Flow483.00M1.11B914.00M721.00M
Investing Cash Flow-315.00M-359.00M-854.00M-258.00M
Financing Cash Flow205.00M-737.00M-51.00M-470.00M

Magnum Ice Cream Co. N.V. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
€15.54B19.432.27%12.27%42.32%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
57
Neutral
€7.62B28.3879.30%-0.47%-49.39%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NL:MICC
Magnum Ice Cream Co. N.V.
12.44
-0.53
-4.09%
NL:JDEP
JDE Peet's NV
31.84
10.90
52.08%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 01, 2026