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JDE Peet's NV (NL:JDEP)
:JDEP

JDE Peet's NV (JDEP) AI Stock Analysis

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NL:JDEP

JDE Peet's NV

(JDEP)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
€34.00
▲(6.92% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/26/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance: steady revenue and manageable leverage are outweighed by notable margin compression and a 2025 decline/volatility in free cash flow. Technicals are neutral-to-slightly positive with the stock holding above its 200-day average, while valuation appears moderate with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified channels and brand portfolio
JDE Peet's operates across at-home and professional channels with roasted, instant, single-serve and tea brands. This multi-channel, multi-format model supports durable demand, reduces single-channel exposure, and enables pricing and mix management across retail and foodservice over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Gross margin compression
A multi-percentage-point drop in gross margin reflects persistent cost or pricing pressure versus prior years. Sustained margin erosion reduces operating leverage, constrains reinvestment and shareholder returns, and requires continual pricing, efficiency, or mix improvements to restore prior profitability levels.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified channels and brand portfolio
JDE Peet's operates across at-home and professional channels with roasted, instant, single-serve and tea brands. This multi-channel, multi-format model supports durable demand, reduces single-channel exposure, and enables pricing and mix management across retail and foodservice over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

JDE Peet's NV (JDEP) vs. iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF (EWN)

JDE Peet's NV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
JDE Peet's N.V., together with its subsidiaries, provides various coffee and tea products and solutions to serve consumer needs worldwide. The company operates through CPG Europe, CPG LARMEA, CPG APAC, Out-of-Home, and Peet's segments. It offers m...
How the Company Makes Money
JDE Peet's primarily makes money by selling coffee and tea products and related services through two main channel types: (1) at-home (consumer) and (2) out-of-home (professional). In the at-home channel, revenue is generated from selling packaged ...

JDE Peet's NV Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call detailed strong sales growth and effective cash flow management, alongside robust shareholder returns. However, significant challenges remain due to high inflation and green coffee prices, impacting segments like Peet's and APAC. The company is actively managing these pressures through strategic initiatives and pricing adjustments.
Positive Updates
Strong Organic Sales Growth
Organic sales increased by 22.5%, driven primarily by pricing of 21.5% with a resilient volume mix growth of 1%.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Peet's Segment
Peet's adjusted EBIT decreased organically by 37.6% due to high inflation and pricing challenges.
Read all updates
Q2-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Organic Sales Growth
Organic sales increased by 22.5%, driven primarily by pricing of 21.5% with a resilient volume mix growth of 1%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the JDE Peet's Half Year 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided a comprehensive update on its financial performance and strategic priorities. For the first half of 2025, JDE Peet's reported a 22.5% increase in organic sales, a 2.2% rise in adjusted gross profit, and a 2% growth in adjusted EBIT. The company generated a solid free cash flow of EUR 565 million, which allowed it to return 43% to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. Despite challenges such as high green coffee prices, JDE Peet's maintained its profitability by implementing efficient pricing strategies and productivity measures. The company raised its full-year guidance, expecting high teens organic sales growth and at least stable adjusted EBIT, while maintaining a free cash flow target of around EUR 1 billion. Additionally, JDE Peet's highlighted its focus on a brand-led strategy, emphasizing its three big bets—Peet’s, L’OR, and Jacobs—while continuing to invest in new product development and operational efficiencies.

JDE Peet's NV Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Steady revenue growth through 2025 supports resilience, and leverage appears manageable (debt-to-equity ~0.49) with improved ROE (~7.1%). Offsetting this, gross margin compressed materially to ~31% in 2025 (from ~37% in 2023–2024), and free cash flow fell ~17.8% in 2025, indicating weaker profitability and more volatile cash conversion versus prior peaks.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.92B8.84B8.19B8.15B7.00B
Gross Profit3.10B3.26B3.02B3.00B2.97B
EBITDA1.20B1.42B1.04B1.51B1.51B
Net Income796.00M561.00M367.00M771.00M765.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.13B24.04B23.14B22.63B21.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.81B1.26B2.05B967.00M662.00M
Total Debt5.50B5.57B5.92B4.97B4.88B
Total Liabilities12.90B12.90B12.03B11.49B10.46B
Stockholders Equity11.19B11.09B11.04B11.05B11.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.09B1.04B522.00M1.36B1.37B
Operating Cash Flow1.37B1.37B823.00M1.61B1.62B
Investing Cash Flow-298.00M-1.18B-226.00M-293.00M-293.00M
Financing Cash Flow-482.00M-979.00M491.00M-1.02B-1.11B

JDE Peet's NV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price31.80
Price Trends
50DMA
31.72
Positive
100DMA
31.54
Positive
200DMA
29.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
55.93
Neutral
STOCH
60.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:JDEP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 31.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.76, above the 50-day MA of 31.72, and above the 200-day MA of 29.86, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NL:JDEP.

JDE Peet's NV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
€35.82B13.9915.70%3.42%3.41%16.39%
64
Neutral
€15.52B19.432.27%14.96%16.05%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
54
Neutral
€600.10M3.986.35%5.12%-2.70%576.55%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NL:JDEP
JDE Peet's NV
31.80
11.84
59.30%
NL:AD
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V.
41.73
7.78
22.93%
NL:SLIGR
Sligro Food Group NV
13.56
3.31
32.25%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 26, 2026