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Heineken Holding NV (NL:HEIO)
:HEIO
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Heineken Holding NV (HEIO) AI Stock Analysis

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NL:HEIO

Heineken Holding NV

(HEIO)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
€79.00
▲(12.06% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
The score is primarily constrained by financial fundamentals: leverage is high and rising and recent revenue/net income trends have weakened, despite healthy ongoing cash generation. Technicals are a key offset, showing a strong uptrend with positive momentum, though near-overbought signals add caution. Valuation is fair-to-stretched on earnings (P/E ~24.9) but supported by a ~2.6% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Consistent free cash flow
Heineken Holding benefits from durable, multi-year free cash flow generated by its stake in Heineken N.V.; this persistent FCF supports dividend receipts, capital returns and servicing of holding-level obligations, providing a stable liquidity base even if operating income fluctuates.
Negative Factors
High and rising leverage
A debt-heavy capital structure reduces financial flexibility at the holding level and magnifies sensitivity to any earnings or dividend shocks from the operating company. Rising leverage constrains ability to fund distributions or absorb cyclical downturns without deleveraging action.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent free cash flow
Heineken Holding benefits from durable, multi-year free cash flow generated by its stake in Heineken N.V.; this persistent FCF supports dividend receipts, capital returns and servicing of holding-level obligations, providing a stable liquidity base even if operating income fluctuates.
Read all positive factors

Heineken Holding NV (HEIO) vs. iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF (EWN)

Heineken Holding NV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Operating through its diverse subsidiaries, Heineken Holding N.V. focuses on the global production and sale of both beer and cider. Its vast portfolio encompasses nearly 300 distinct brands, ranging from internationally recognized names to regiona...
How the Company Makes Money
Heineken Holding N.V. makes money primarily through returns on its equity stake in Heineken N.V. (i.e., dividends received from Heineken N.V.) and, to the extent applicable, changes in the market value of its shareholding (which can affect reporte...

Heineken Holding NV Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating profitability and consistently positive free cash flow support financial quality, but recent revenue softness and a sharp step-down/volatility in net income reduce earnings visibility. A debt-heavy balance sheet (high and rising debt-to-equity into 2025) is a key risk that limits flexibility.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue29.41B28.75B29.82B30.36B28.72B21.94B
Gross Profit3.89B10.29B10.51B10.70B10.10B8.41B
EBITDA5.96B6.22B5.29B5.82B6.67B6.38B
Net Income1.14B952.00M498.00M1.17B3.04B3.54B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets57.71B53.47B54.77B54.76B52.41B48.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.84B4.82B2.35B2.38B2.77B3.25B
Total Debt20.64B20.45B17.36B18.24B16.38B16.87B
Total Liabilities36.34B33.14B32.67B32.36B30.49B29.15B
Stockholders Equity9.19B8.63B9.55B9.73B9.69B8.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.97B2.61B3.04B1.75B2.48B2.58B
Operating Cash Flow5.81B5.01B5.50B4.43B4.50B4.18B
Investing Cash Flow-4.83B-2.46B-2.44B-3.58B-2.29B-2.28B
Financing Cash Flow-257.00M196.00M-2.57B-816.00M-3.13B-2.88B

Heineken Holding NV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price70.50
Price Trends
50DMA
68.13
Positive
100DMA
64.29
Positive
200DMA
62.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.67
Positive
RSI
46.87
Neutral
STOCH
8.73
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:HEIO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 70.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.43, above the 50-day MA of 68.13, and above the 200-day MA of 62.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.73 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NL:HEIO.

Heineken Holding NV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
€40.64B17.988.48%2.49%0.81%26.57%
67
Neutral
€21.72B-18.633.07%-44.75%-301.20%
62
Neutral
€28.38B12.8115.70%3.69%-0.24%24.38%
61
Neutral
€19.43B19.1511.08%2.65%0.81%26.48%
60
Neutral
€10.62B56.7121.22%0.52%-68.82%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
46
Neutral
€468.22M18.345.63%4.62%-3.79%-3.53%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NL:HEIO
Heineken Holding NV
69.70
11.61
19.99%
NL:HEIA
Heineken NV
73.52
7.03
10.58%
NL:AD
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V.
32.40
-0.95
-2.84%
NL:SLIGR
Sligro Food Group NV
10.72
0.27
2.58%
NL:DSFIR
DSM-Firmenich AG
89.80
10.04
12.59%
NL:MICC
Magnum Ice Cream Co. N.V.
17.01
4.04
31.16%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026