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Heineken Holding NV (NL:HEIO)
:HEIO

Heineken Holding NV (HEIO) AI Stock Analysis

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NL:HEIO

Heineken Holding NV

(HEIO)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
€64.00
▲(3.81% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by middling financial performance: strong cash flow and operating profitability are offset by recent revenue softness, volatile/weaker net income, and a leveraged balance sheet. Technicals are bullish but appear overbought, while valuation is neutral with only moderate dividend support.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent multi‑billion free cash flow provides durable internal funding for holding costs and dividend receipts. Over 2–6 months this supports the holding company's liquidity and its ability to withstand operational volatility at the operating company without immediate external financing.
Negative Factors
High leverage
A debt‑heavy capital structure reduces financial flexibility and increases sensitivity to earnings or cash‑flow shocks. Over the medium term, higher leverage limits capacity to smooth distributions and raises refinancing and covenant risks if operating results soften.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent multi‑billion free cash flow provides durable internal funding for holding costs and dividend receipts. Over 2–6 months this supports the holding company's liquidity and its ability to withstand operational volatility at the operating company without immediate external financing.
Read all positive factors

Heineken Holding NV (HEIO) vs. iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF (EWN)

Heineken Holding NV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Heineken Holding N.V., through its subsidiaries, engages in the brewing and selling of beer and cider. The company's portfolio consists of approximately 300 international, regional, local, and specialty beers and ciders. It operates in Africa, the...
How the Company Makes Money
Heineken Holding N.V. does not typically generate operating revenue from producing or selling beverages itself; instead, it functions as a holding vehicle. It makes money primarily through income and value derived from its equity stake in Heineken...

Heineken Holding NV Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating profitability and cash generation are supportive (positive OCF/FCF and solid gross/EBITDA margins), but revenue has been flat-to-down recently and net income has weakened and been volatile. A debt-heavy balance sheet (rising debt-to-equity) reduces financial flexibility and raises risk if earnings remain pressured.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue28.75B29.82B30.36B28.72B21.94B
Gross Profit10.29B10.51B10.70B10.10B8.41B
EBITDA6.22B5.29B5.82B6.67B6.38B
Net Income952.00M498.00M1.17B3.04B3.54B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets53.47B54.77B54.76B52.41B48.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.82B2.35B2.38B2.77B3.25B
Total Debt20.45B17.36B18.24B16.38B16.87B
Total Liabilities33.14B32.67B32.36B30.49B29.15B
Stockholders Equity8.63B9.55B9.73B9.69B8.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.61B3.04B1.75B2.48B2.58B
Operating Cash Flow5.01B5.50B4.43B4.50B4.18B
Investing Cash Flow-2.46B-2.44B-3.58B-2.29B-2.28B
Financing Cash Flow196.00M-2.57B-816.00M-3.13B-2.88B

Heineken Holding NV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price61.65
Price Trends
50DMA
66.11
Negative
100DMA
63.73
Negative
200DMA
62.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.84
Positive
RSI
28.74
Positive
STOCH
15.31
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:HEIO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 61.65 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 65.69, below the 50-day MA of 66.11, and below the 200-day MA of 62.28, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.74 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.31 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NL:HEIO.

Heineken Holding NV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
€37.35B8.579.79%2.80%-4.84%73.54%
58
Neutral
€17.35B18.4311.08%3.13%-4.84%76.70%
57
Neutral
$3.13B9.23-34.32%3.14%-25.56%-353.61%
* Consumer Goods Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NL:HEIO
Heineken Holding NV
61.35
-4.13
-6.31%
NL:HEIA
Heineken NV
66.06
-7.86
-10.64%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026