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Heineken NV (NL:HEIA)
:HEIA

Heineken NV (HEIA) AI Stock Analysis

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Heineken NV

(LSE:HEIA)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
€90.00
▲(15.33%Upside)
Heineken NV's strong financial performance, highlighted by robust cash flow and a solid balance sheet, drives the overall score. However, the technical analysis indicates potential overbought conditions, and the high P/E ratio suggests the stock may be overvalued, which tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Brand Adaptation
Heineken's successful brand extensions and strong growth in new products like Heineken Zero and Heineken Silver highlight its ability to adapt to consumer trends.
Product Innovation
Heineken has successfully expanded its legacy brand with the launch of Heineken Zero and Heineken Silver, appealing to health-conscious consumers and broadening drinking occasions.
Negative Factors
Macroeconomic Challenges
Macroeconomic headwinds in key markets such as Nigeria, Ethiopia, and Vietnam pose risks to Heineken's overall performance.
Market Competition
Key risks include fierce competition in Europe and prolonged weak macroeconomic conditions.

Heineken NV (HEIA) vs. iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF (EWN)

Heineken NV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHeineken NV is a global brewing company headquartered in the Netherlands. It is one of the largest beer producers worldwide, operating in more than 70 countries. The company is renowned for its flagship product, Heineken lager, as well as a diverse portfolio of over 300 international, regional, and specialty beers and ciders. Heineken NV focuses on brewing, marketing, and selling its products to consumers across various segments and markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyHeineken NV generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of beer and cider products. The company's business model revolves around a combination of brand strength and geographic diversity. Key revenue streams include sales from its flagship Heineken brand, as well as its extensive range of local and international beer brands. Heineken also makes money through premiumization efforts, focusing on higher-margin premium and craft beers. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships and acquisitions to expand its market reach and product offerings, as well as from its global distribution network that ensures product availability across different regions.

Heineken NV Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
30.66B29.82B30.36B28.72B22.14B19.71B
Gross Profit
6.61B10.51B10.70B11.36B8.57B7.15B
EBIT
3.00B3.52B3.23B4.08B3.31B2.02B
EBITDA
5.26B5.29B5.15B6.41B6.39B2.59B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.05B978.00M2.30B2.68B3.32B-204.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.38B2.35B2.38B2.77B3.25B4.00B
Total Assets
56.39B53.77B56.39B53.42B49.82B43.52B
Total Debt
18.24B0.0018.24B16.38B16.87B18.20B
Net Debt
15.86B-2.35B15.86B13.61B13.63B14.20B
Total Liabilities
33.60B31.37B33.60B31.50B30.12B29.12B
Stockholders Equity
20.06B19.58B20.06B19.55B17.36B13.39B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.91B3.04B1.75B2.48B2.58B1.50B
Operating Cash Flow
5.34B5.50B4.43B4.50B4.18B3.14B
Investing Cash Flow
-2.16B-2.44B-3.58B-2.68B-2.29B-1.44B
Financing Cash Flow
-2.68B-2.57B-816.00M-2.74B-2.87B1.24B

Heineken NV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price78.04
Price Trends
50DMA
76.61
Positive
100DMA
74.80
Positive
200DMA
74.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.52
Negative
RSI
54.99
Neutral
STOCH
64.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:HEIA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 78.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 78.27, above the 50-day MA of 76.61, and above the 200-day MA of 74.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NL:HEIA.

Heineken NV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
€19.62B39.395.17%2.69%-1.78%-55.55%
74
Outperform
€11.81B21.02
2.89%7.89%52.48%
71
Outperform
€44.83B45.414.93%2.33%-1.78%-57.52%
65
Neutral
$8.88B15.014.76%203.76%3.54%-2.49%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NL:HEIA
Heineken NV
79.04
-13.53
-14.61%
NL:HEIO
Heineken Holding NV
69.15
-5.42
-7.26%
NL:JDEP
JDE Peet's NV
24.22
5.04
26.28%
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.