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Methode Electronics (MEI)
NYSE:MEI

Methode Electronics (MEI) AI Stock Analysis

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MEI

Methode Electronics

(NYSE:MEI)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▼(-3.85% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/13/26
The score is held down primarily by weak profitability and contracting revenue, alongside a bearish technical trend. Offsetting factors include positive TTM free cash flow, a non-distressed balance sheet, and earnings-call evidence of liquidity strength and industrial/data-center momentum, though the lowered EBITDA outlook and automotive execution issues limit near-term upside.
Positive Factors
Positive free cash flow and strong cash position
Consistent trailing‑twelve‑month free cash flow and a meaningful cash balance provide durable financial flexibility. Positive FCF supports capex discipline, deleveraging and funding of restructuring or growth initiatives without relying on external capital, reducing solvency risk over coming quarters.
Data‑center and industrial revenue diversification
Growing data‑center and industrial power businesses reduce reliance on cyclical North American automotive programs. A visible $120M run‑rate and double‑digit industrial growth point to structurally higher‑growth end markets and repeatable program revenue that can stabilize top line and margin mix.
Manageable leverage and non‑distressed balance sheet
Debt at roughly half of equity and a non‑distressed capital structure afford balance‑sheet flexibility to absorb cyclical shocks. This positioning enables the company to fund transformation, repay debt with proceeds from asset sales, and invest selectively without immediate liquidity strain.
Negative Factors
Sustained net losses and weak profitability
Persistent negative net margins and operating losses erode equity and limit reinvestment capacity. Unless structural cost, pricing or product‑mix improvements occur, continued losses threaten long‑term returns on capital and constrain the ability to sustainably fund R&D or facility investments.
Lowered adjusted EBITDA guidance
A material downward revision to adjusted EBITDA signals persistent profitability pressures that are not merely timing driven. Reduced EBITDA guidance limits reinvestment and cushion for operating volatility, making margin recovery and return on capital harder to achieve over the medium term.
Automotive EV program delays and cancellations
Automotive is a core revenue driver; enduring program delays or cancellations create multi‑period volume shortfalls, idle launch costs and reduced forward visibility. These structural disruptions compress gross margins and can necessitate capacity and workforce adjustments with lasting profit impact.

Methode Electronics (MEI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Methode Electronics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMethode Electronics, Inc. designs, engineers, and produces mechatronic products worldwide. It operates through four segments: Automotive, Industrial, Interface, and Medical. The Automotive segment supplies electronic and electro-mechanical devices, and related products to automobile original equipment manufacturers directly or through their tiered suppliers. Its products include integrated center consoles, hidden switches, ergonomic switches, transmission lead-frames, and LED-based lighting and sensors, which incorporate magneto-elastic sensing and other technologies that monitor the operation or status of a component or system. The Industrial segment manufactures lighting solutions; industrial safety radio remote controls; braided flexible cables; current-carrying laminated busbars and devices; custom power-product assemblies, such as PowerRail solution; high-current low-voltage flexible power cabling systems; and powder-coated busbars that are used in various markets and applications comprising aerospace, cloud computing, commercial vehicles, industrial, military, power conversion, and transportation. The Interface segment provides various copper-based transceivers and related accessories for the cloud computing hardware equipment and telecommunications broadband equipment markets; user interface solutions for the appliance, commercial food service, and point-of-sale equipment markets; and fluid-level sensors for the marine/recreational vehicle and sump pump markets. The Medical segment offers Dabir Surfaces, a surface support technology aimed at pressure injury prevention for use by patients who are immobilized or otherwise at risk for pressure injuries, including patients undergoing long-duration surgical procedures. Methode Electronics, Inc. was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyMethode makes money primarily by selling engineered electronic components and subsystems to OEMs and tiered suppliers, with revenue recognized from manufacturing and delivering products under customer supply agreements and purchase orders. Its key revenue stream is the sale of automotive electronics (including application-specific modules and electronic assemblies used in vehicles), which typically involves long-running platform programs where Methode designs a product to meet a customer’s requirements and then produces it in volume over the life of the vehicle program. Additional revenue is generated from sales into non-automotive markets (e.g., industrial or other specialized applications) where it supplies similar categories of electronics such as sensors, power distribution/interconnect products, and interface/switching solutions. Earnings are driven by (1) program awards and production volumes tied to customers’ product cycles, (2) pricing and contractual terms (including any negotiated pass-throughs or adjustments for materials or other inputs where applicable), (3) manufacturing efficiency and yield that determine gross margin on produced assemblies, and (4) the mix of products (higher-value engineered modules versus more commodity-like components). Information on specific named partnerships that materially drive earnings is null.

Methode Electronics Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Shows the profit earned from each segment after deducting operating expenses, indicating which segments are most profitable and efficient.
Chart InsightsMethode Electronics' Industrial segment shows a strong recovery, with operating income reaching new highs, reflecting improved operational efficiencies. However, the Automotive segment remains a concern, with persistent losses exacerbated by EV headwinds, as highlighted in the earnings call. Despite these challenges, the company is optimistic about future growth, focusing on data centers and vehicle electrification. The Medical segment has stabilized, showing no losses recently, while Corporate & Eliminations continue to drag overall performance. Management's strategic focus on operational improvements and cash flow management suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Data provided by:The Fly

Methode Electronics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 05, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed a mixed picture: strong cash generation, a healthier balance sheet, Industrial growth, and accelerating data center momentum are clear positives, as is active portfolio rationalization. Offsetting those strengths are material near-term profitability pressures — a sharply reduced adjusted EBITDA outlook, a worsening quarterly adjusted loss, and operational challenges in Mexico driven by EV program delays and some cancellations in North American automotive. Given the combination of meaningful operational and reporting headwinds alongside solid liquidity and strategic progress, the tone of the call is balanced between progress on long-term repositioning and near-term execution challenges.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Free Cash Flow and Strong Cash Position
Generated $10.1M of free cash flow in Q3 and approximately $16.5M year-to-date; operating cash generation of $15.4M in the quarter. Ended the quarter with $133.7M in cash, up $30.1M year-over-year, and net debt down $16.9M versus prior year.
Industrial Segment Growth
Industrial segment sales increased 9.5% year-over-year, driven by off-road lighting and power distribution solutions supporting data center applications, demonstrating growing exposure to higher-growth industrial power markets.
Data Center Momentum and Run-Rate Visibility
Company has line of sight to a $120M annualized data center run rate entering Q4 (EDI-backed) and expects the run rate trajectory to support roughly a 50% year-over-year increase in the near term; current fiscal year base for data center cited around $80M–$85M.
Portfolio Rationalization and Balance Sheet Actions
Completed sale of the Datamate business (~$18M annual revenue and roughly $3M in profitability) and progressed sale/sublease of Howard Heights facility; management expects proceeds to repay debt and strengthen the balance sheet and reallocate capital toward higher-return power solutions.
Narrowed and Raised Net Sales Range (FX Benefit)
Narrowed fiscal 2026 net sales guidance and raised the low end by $50M to a range of $950M–$1.0B, driven largely by favorable foreign currency translation (approximately $30M benefit for the full year to-date).
Operational Improvements in Egypt and Cost Discipline
Reported positive trends and year-over-year revenue growth in Egypt as a result of transformation actions; management emphasized ongoing cost discipline, ongoing supply chain initiatives (improvements in scrap and direct material costs), and a focus on aligning footprint and overhead.
Capital Expenditure Discipline
Reported prior-year CapEx of $42M for FY25 and noted that CapEx is down year-over-year in FY26 (company cited approximately 16.5% figure during the call), indicating restrained investment while prioritizing cash generation and debt reduction.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline in the Quarter
Third quarter net sales were $233.7M, down 3% year-over-year from $239.9M, driven by lower automotive volumes (North American EV reductions) and an interface segment appliance program roll-off; Q3 is also seasonally the weakest quarter.
Profitability Pressure — Adjusted EBITDA and Net Loss
Third quarter adjusted EBITDA was $7.3M, down $5M versus the prior-year quarter. Third quarter adjusted net loss was $13.1M (adjusted loss per diluted share of $0.37 versus loss of $0.21 prior year), reflecting lower gross profit and higher SG&A.
Lowered Adjusted EBITDA Guidance
Fiscal 2026 adjusted EBITDA outlook was reduced to $58M–$62M (previously $70M–$80M), with the reduction concentrated in North American auto and reflecting higher expenses tied to Mexico transformation (wages, professional fees) and updated customer program delays.
Mexico Transformation Trailing Expectations
Mexico transformation is ~6 months behind Egypt; productivity improvements have been slower than expected, with under-absorption, higher wages and professional fees, and additional S&A expenses for management changes and outside resources; these issues contributed materially to the EBITDA guidance revision.
EV Program Delays and Cancellations Impacting Automotive
North American automotive faced program delays and some cancellations (company specifically referenced Stellantis), causing revenue shortfalls and launch spend without corresponding volume; management noted EV program delays as a key external headwind and primary driver of reduced profitability in the region.
Decline in Gross Profit and Increased SG&A
Gross profit decreased to $38.8M from $41.3M year-over-year. Selling and administrative expenses increased by $1.4M to $39.1M in the quarter; restructuring and asset impairment charges included $0.4M within SG&A.
Free Cash Flow Weaker Year-over-Year in Q3
Although free cash flow remains positive, Q3 free cash flow declined to $10.1M from $19.6M in Q3 of fiscal 2025 (down approximately $9.5M), indicating pressure on cash generation versus the prior-year comparable quarter.
Company Guidance
Methode narrowed and updated its fiscal 2026 guidance, raising the low end of net sales by $50 million to a range of $950 million to $1.0 billion while lowering adjusted EBITDA to $58 million–$62 million (previously $70M–$80M), citing a ~$30 million FY foreign‑exchange tailwind (≈$25M through the first nine months) and EBITDA pressure concentrated in North American automotive and higher Mexico transformation costs (wages, professional fees); the company expects positive free cash flow in Q4 and for the full year (vs. a $15 million outflow in the prior year), and noted that the DataMate and Harvard Heights facility sales and any customer recoveries are not included in the guidance—key recent metrics: Q3 net sales $233.7M (down 3% YoY), Q3 adjusted EBITDA $7.3M, Q3 free cash flow $10.1M (operating cash generation $15.4M), cash of $133.7M (up $30.1M YoY), year‑to‑date free cash flow $16.5M, and net debt down $16.9M YoY; management also has line‑of‑sight to a $120M annualized data‑center run rate (vs. an $80–85M FY base) with a near‑term ~50% run‑rate increase YoY.

Methode Electronics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financials are pressured by contracting revenue and sustained net losses (weak income statement), partially offset by a manageable leverage profile and positive TTM operating/free cash flow. Key risk remains restoring operating profitability to avoid further equity erosion.
Income Statement
30
Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show continued losses (net margin around -6%) with negative operating profit, while revenue fell sharply versus the prior period. Profitability has deteriorated meaningfully from 2021–2023 (when the company produced solid positive margins) to 2024–TTM, indicating weaker pricing/power, costs, or demand conditions. A modest positive EBITDA margin in TTM is a relative bright spot, but overall earnings quality is currently weak due to sustained net losses.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Leverage looks manageable with debt at roughly half of equity in TTM, providing some balance-sheet flexibility versus highly levered peers. However, equity has trended down from earlier years and returns on equity are negative in TTM, reflecting that the business is not currently generating profits on its capital base. Overall, the capital structure is not distressed, but profitability-driven pressure on equity is a key risk if losses persist.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) cash generation is a clear positive: operating cash flow and free cash flow are both solidly positive, and free cash flow exceeds net loss (helped by non-cash charges and/or working-capital benefits). The main concern is volatility—free cash flow dropped sharply versus the prior period, and operating cash flow covers only a modest portion of total debt, which limits deleveraging speed if conditions worsen. Still, the shift from negative free cash flow in 2024/2025 annual periods to positive in TTM is constructive.
BreakdownTTMApr 2025Apr 2024Apr 2023Apr 2022Apr 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue978.20M1.05B1.11B1.18B1.16B1.09B
Gross Profit143.80M163.40M180.50M264.10M264.90M274.10M
EBITDA39.20M31.10M-53.50M142.30M174.60M191.60M
Net Income-64.40M-62.60M-123.30M77.10M102.20M122.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.31B1.31B1.40B1.58B1.39B1.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments133.70M103.60M161.50M157.00M172.00M233.20M
Total Debt364.10M343.20M358.20M335.40M231.30M263.70M
Total Liabilities631.30M612.50M637.50M626.20M475.30M549.00M
Stockholders Equity675.00M693.30M766.00M941.80M913.80M918.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow42.80M-15.20M-2.70M90.80M60.80M154.90M
Operating Cash Flow68.50M26.40M47.50M132.80M98.80M179.80M
Investing Cash Flow-19.80M-32.90M-17.50M-153.10M-37.40M-24.80M
Financing Cash Flow-41.30M-58.90M-18.90M3.20M-114.60M-142.90M

Methode Electronics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.20
Price Trends
50DMA
7.58
Negative
100DMA
7.25
Negative
200DMA
7.41
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.84
Positive
RSI
25.53
Positive
STOCH
23.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MEI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.84, below the 50-day MA of 7.58, and below the 200-day MA of 7.41, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.53 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MEI.

Methode Electronics Risk Analysis

Methode Electronics disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Methode Electronics reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Methode Electronics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$7.47B41.3518.74%11.55%1745.46%
68
Neutral
$1.32B19.3711.94%0.36%3.70%1.68%
68
Neutral
$1.76B-27.26-5.07%-4.87%-235.48%
62
Neutral
$1.93B61.392.25%1.44%-2.93%-40.33%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$920.85M53.094.25%10.76%
47
Neutral
$184.24M-4.46-9.42%5.93%-9.51%29.57%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MEI
Methode Electronics
5.20
-1.34
-20.45%
BHE
Benchmark Electronics
54.03
13.26
32.53%
CTS
CTS
46.17
2.52
5.76%
ROG
Rogers
98.58
25.32
34.56%
VICR
Vicor
164.54
109.17
197.16%
PENG
Penguin Solutions
17.52
-2.10
-10.70%

Methode Electronics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Methode Electronics Reshapes Executive Benefits and Compensation Plans
Neutral
Dec 18, 2025

On December 16, 2025, Methode Electronics amended the change-in-control agreements for several top executives, including its chief financial officer, head of global automotive, chief procurement and EHS officer, and general counsel, reducing the duration of COBRA continuation coverage in the event of a qualifying change in control from 24 months to 18 months as part of the compensation committee’s annual review of these arrangements. Separately, on December 17, 2025, the board of directors approved the termination of the company’s Deferred Compensation Plan effective December 31, 2025, signaling a tightening and reshaping of executive benefits and post-employment protections that could affect the company’s cost structure and the overall design of its executive compensation program.

The most recent analyst rating on (MEI) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Methode Electronics stock, see the MEI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 13, 2026