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Lilium (LILMF)
OTHER OTC:LILMF

Lilium (LILMF) AI Stock Analysis

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Lilium

(OTC:LILMF)

Rating:28Underperform
Price Target:
Lilium faces substantial financial and operational challenges, reflected in its weak financial performance and technical indicators. The lack of revenue and persistent losses, coupled with a steep stock price decline post-earnings, highlight significant risks. Without clear positive developments or strategies to address these issues, the stock remains unattractive, resulting in a low overall score.
Positive Factors
Certification Milestone
Lilium recently completed the initial 900V systems power-on milestone of the first full-scale Lilium Jet (MSN 1), a significant achievement on the path to certification.
Government Loan Confidence
Management signaled confidence that approval for the German Government loan is imminent and anticipate a positive outcome.
Supplemental Funding
Lilium provided new language in its 6-K filing indicating that it has obtained £32M in supplemental funding commitments with existing investors as it awaits a German Government loan.
Negative Factors
Cash Burn
Lilium reported a cash burn of (€190.4M) during the first half of the year, a 73% increase from the previous year.
Funding Uncertainty
The Federal Government of Germany has failed to advance a €50M state-loan that Lilium was expecting to receive from the German State Development Bank.
Operational Risk
There is a risk that Lilium could need to substantially reduce costs or scale back operations if the German Government loan is not completed.

Lilium (LILMF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lilium Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionQell Acquisition Corp is a blank check company.
How the Company Makes MoneyLilium primarily generates revenue through the development and commercialization of its eVTOL aircraft, the Lilium Jet. The company's revenue model is based on selling aircraft to operators and establishing partnerships with infrastructure and service providers to develop a network of vertiports for air taxi operations. Lilium plans to offer a range of services, including passenger flights and cargo transportation, through its regional air mobility network. Additionally, Lilium may explore revenue-sharing agreements with operators and participate in joint ventures to expand its market reach. Key factors contributing to its earnings include successful aircraft certification, strategic partnerships with industry stakeholders, and the expansion of its service offerings in various regions.

Lilium Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lilium's financials reveal severe operational and financial difficulties, with persistent net losses and no revenue in 2023. The balance sheet shows weak equity and potential solvency issues, while cash flows are heavily reliant on external funding.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Lilium has faced continuous net losses over the years, with no reported revenue in 2023. The lack of revenue and significant net losses indicate operational challenges and difficulties in achieving profitability. The absence of gross profit, EBIT, and EBITDA figures further complicates the analysis of its operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The financial structure shows a concerning equity position with low stockholders' equity in 2023. Although the debt level is relatively low, the negative equity in 2022 and a small positive equity in 2023 highlight financial instability. The company's asset base appears weak relative to its liabilities, suggesting potential solvency issues.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Lilium's cash flow statement reveals significant operating cash outflows and negative free cash flow over the years, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations. The large financing cash inflows in 2023 suggest reliance on external funding, which may not be sustainable in the long term.
Breakdown
Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
Gross Profit
36.00K87.00K
EBIT
-275.80M-285.70M-423.04M-138.63M
EBITDA
-243.13M-404.22M-149.81M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-389.12M-253.00M-410.83M-188.43M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Assets
311.94M288.83M431.43M184.95M
Total Debt
11.17M10.97M11.82M110.35M
Net Debt
-95.12M-2.44M-3.23M-41.79M
Total Liabilities
274.88M415.04M361.45M127.22M
Stockholders Equity
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-260.74B-266.73M-233.76M-86.75M
Operating Cash Flow
-231.99B-257.58M-215.07M-77.88M
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Lilium Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.05
Price Trends
50DMA
0.05
Positive
100DMA
0.08
Negative
200DMA
0.23
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
48.68
Neutral
STOCH
57.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LILMF, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.05, above the 50-day MA of 0.05, and below the 200-day MA of 0.23, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LILMF.

Lilium Risk Analysis

Lilium disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lilium reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
Our warrants are accounted for as liabilities and changes in the fair value of our outstanding warrants have adversely impacted, and may continue to adversely impact, our financial results. Q4, 2023
2.
If we are unable to generate significant revenue from the services market for the Lilium Jet, our business, financial condition and results of operations will be harmed. Q4, 2023

Lilium Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$4.51B12.225.40%3.63%4.14%-12.01%
48
Neutral
$125.14M-95.46%-34.33%52.30%
43
Neutral
$30.20M-109.05%-18.70%84.35%
43
Neutral
$43.00M138.02%31.17%83.01%
41
Neutral
$3.75M-3420.59%-11.38%-9.63%
40
Neutral
$7.81M688.16%-46.28%93.33%
28
Underperform
$30.74M-1050.03%88.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LILMF
Lilium
0.05
-0.73
-93.59%
SPCE
Virgin Galactic Holdings
3.00
-8.70
-74.36%
MNTS
Momentus
1.29
-6.13
-82.61%
DFLI
Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp
0.30
-7.56
-96.18%
SIDU
Sidus Space, Inc. Class A
1.54
-1.06
-40.77%
SRFM
Surf Air Mobility, Inc.
2.07
-0.04
-1.90%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.