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Kenvue, Inc. (KVUE)
NYSE:KVUE
US Market

Kenvue, Inc. (KVUE) AI Stock Analysis

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KV

Kenvue, Inc.

(NYSE:KVUE)

70Outperform
Kenvue's stock score reflects a stable but challenging financial performance, with strengths in cash generation and strategic brand investments. Technical analysis supports a positive trend, though valuation concerns are present due to a high P/E ratio. The earnings call and recent corporate events provide a cautiously optimistic outlook, backed by strategic initiatives and board enhancements.
Positive Factors
Innovation and Growth
The company plans a 40% growth in innovation across all divisions in 2025, with bolder and faster new launches and increased investments in influencers and digital marketing.
Operational Independence
Kenvue is near the completion of exiting its remaining transition service agreements, moving towards full operational independence from JNJ, which streamlines processes and focuses on consumer health.
Strategic Initiatives
Kenvue effectively avoided a proxy battle with Starboard Value due to the appointments.
Negative Factors
Market Challenges
Near-term challenges exist with disruption at its distribution network within APAC, especially in China, and a weaker start to the cough, cold, & flu season in the US and China.
Sales Performance
Sales were down -0.1%, missing our/Street's estimate of +2.6%.
Segment Performance
Expectations for Q1 volumes at KVUE’s skin health & beauty segment are tempered given recent weakness in Nielsen data.

Kenvue, Inc. (KVUE) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Kenvue, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKenvue Inc. operates as a consumer health company worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Self Care, Skin Health and Beauty, and Essential Health. The Self Care segment offers cough, cold and allergy, pain care, digestive health, smoking cessation, and other products under the Tylenol, Nicorette, and Zyrtec brands. The Skin Health and Beauty segment provides face and body care, hair care, and sun and other care products under the Neutrogena, Aveeno, and OGX brand names. The Essential Health segment offers oral and baby, women's health, and wound care products under the Listerine, Johnson's, Band-Aid, and Stayfree brands. The company was incorporated in 2022 and is headquartered in Skillman, New Jersey. Kenvue Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Johnson & Johnson.
How the Company Makes MoneyKenvue, Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its consumer health products. The company has a diverse portfolio of brands that are sold across multiple channels, including retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and direct-to-consumer sales. Key revenue streams for Kenvue include over-the-counter medications, skincare products, and essential health goods. Strategic partnerships with retailers and distributors, along with an emphasis on research and development for product innovation, significantly contribute to the company's earnings. Additionally, Kenvue leverages its strong brand recognition and global reach to maintain a competitive advantage in the consumer health market.

Kenvue, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kenvue demonstrates consistent revenue with fluctuating profitability and increased leverage. The company shows effective cash generation but faces challenges in maintaining profit margins and managing debt levels. Stability in equity offers some resilience against financial instability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The income statement reflects moderate performance, with stable gross profit margins around 58% over the years. However, net profit margin has declined from 13.5% in 2019 to 6.7% in 2024, indicating pressure on profitability. Revenue growth has been modest, with a slight increase over time. EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased recently, showing a drop in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a stable equity base but increased leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio rising from negligible in 2020 to 0.89 in 2024. ROE has decreased from 7.8% in 2020 to 10.7% in 2024, reflecting challenges in generating returns. The equity ratio has decreased, suggesting higher reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates a decline in free cash flow growth, with a significant drop from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has remained strong, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. However, a decline in free cash flow to net income ratio suggests potential cash flow management issues.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
15.46B15.44B14.95B15.05B14.47B
Gross Profit
8.96B8.64B8.29B8.42B7.85B
EBIT
1.84B2.51B2.67B2.92B-979.00M
EBITDA
1.84B3.17B3.64B3.87B3.79B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.03B1.66B2.06B2.08B-879.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.07B1.38B1.23B740.00M618.00M
Total Assets
25.60B27.85B27.32B27.93B29.18B
Total Debt
8.61B8.43B116.00M258.00M320.00M
Net Debt
7.54B7.04B-1.11B-482.00M-298.00M
Total Liabilities
15.93B16.64B7.29B7.53B10.82B
Stockholders Equity
9.67B11.21B20.02B20.40B18.36B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.33B2.70B2.15B39.00M3.17B
Operating Cash Flow
1.77B3.17B2.52B334.00M3.40B
Investing Cash Flow
-425.00M-488.00M-390.00M-171.00M-83.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.56B-2.53B-1.58B0.00-3.46B

Kenvue, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price22.33
Price Trends
50DMA
22.53
Negative
100DMA
22.31
Negative
200DMA
21.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.33
Positive
RSI
61.46
Neutral
STOCH
91.81
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KVUE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 22.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.30, below the 50-day MA of 22.53, and above the 200-day MA of 21.46, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.81 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KVUE.

Kenvue, Inc. Risk Analysis

Kenvue, Inc. disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kenvue, Inc. reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kenvue, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CLCL
79
Outperform
$74.34B26.12704.02%2.18%3.30%26.83%
PGPG
76
Outperform
$383.97B26.0931.05%2.46%0.49%5.02%
ULUL
76
Outperform
$151.54B24.0430.53%3.10%1.99%-10.59%
CHCHD
74
Outperform
$26.11B44.7514.25%1.08%4.08%-22.34%
KMKMB
71
Outperform
$45.74B18.26290.03%3.57%-1.83%45.13%
70
Outperform
$42.68B41.499.87%3.65%0.08%-32.67%
57
Neutral
$18.52B9.81-13.96%2.71%5.07%-23.65%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KVUE
Kenvue, Inc.
21.77
2.19
11.18%
CHD
Church & Dwight
102.55
1.76
1.75%
CL
Colgate-Palmolive
89.19
3.41
3.98%
KMB
Kimberly Clark
134.54
11.00
8.90%
PG
Procter & Gamble
160.23
7.34
4.80%
UL
Unilever
57.90
11.03
23.53%

Kenvue, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 6, 2025 | % Change Since: 8.71% | Next Earnings Date: May 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Kenvue's efforts in improving gross margins, investing in brand growth, and achieving share gains in the self-care segment. However, these positive developments were tempered by underperformance in organic sales growth, distribution challenges in China, and a decline in the pediatric pain franchise due to a weak flu season. The outlook for 2025 is cautiously optimistic, with expected improvements in operational efficiency and strategic investments, but also acknowledges external economic challenges.
Highlights
Improved Adjusted Gross Margin
Kenvue expanded its adjusted gross margin by 200 basis points year-over-year to 60.4%, driven by strong productivity enhancements.
Significant Brand Investments
The company increased its total brand investment for the year by about 20%, raising its advertising budget to 10.6% of sales in 2024 compared to 8.7% in the prior year.
Self-Care Segment Share Gains
The self-care segment saw nearly 80% of its brands gaining market share, including major brands like Tylenol, Zyrtec, and Nicorette.
Progress in Skin Health and Beauty
Kenvue achieved volume-led growth in the skin health and beauty segment, particularly with strong performances in EMEA and Latin America.
Increased Productivity and Savings
Kenvue is on track to deliver $350 million of annualized savings by 2026 through its 'view forward' initiative, with significant costs taken out of its infrastructure.
Lowlights
Lower-than-Expected Organic Sales Growth
Kenvue reported organic sales growth of 1.5% for the year, below expectations due to low incidences of cough, cold, and flu, and a reduction in distributor orders in Asia Pacific, particularly China.
Disruptions in China Distribution
The company faced temporary distribution disruptions in China due to secondary distributors' liquidity issues, impacting essential health and skin health brands.
Pediatric Pain Franchise Decline
The pediatric pain franchise experienced a double-digit decline due to a low flu season, with category contractions of 40% in China and nearly 11% in the US.
Challenging External Environment
Kenvue anticipates a challenging external environment in 2025, with economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and a stronger dollar impacting growth.
Company Guidance
During the Kenvue Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for 2025, projecting organic sales growth of 2% to 4% and adjusted diluted EPS to be flat to up 2%, considering a mid-single-digit headwind from currency. For 2024, Kenvue reported organic sales growth of 1.5%, with adjusted diluted EPS of $1.14, which was within their guidance range. The company also achieved a 200 basis points increase in adjusted gross margin to 60.4%. Kenvue plans to launch 40% more innovations in 2025 and expects revenue growth to accelerate in the second half of the year, driven by stronger brand investments, improved distribution, and competitive trade and marketing initiatives. The company aims to realize $350 million in annualized savings by 2026 through operational efficiencies and cost structure optimization, which will support continued investments in brand growth.

Kenvue, Inc. Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kenvue Inc. Expands Board with Starboard Agreement
Positive
Mar 5, 2025

On March 5, 2025, Kenvue Inc. announced a cooperation agreement with Starboard Value, resulting in the appointment of three new directors to its Board: Sarah Hofstetter, Erica Mann, and Jeffrey C. Smith. This strategic move temporarily expands the Board from 11 to 14 members and aligns with Starboard’s commitment to support Kenvue’s director nominees at the 2025 Annual Meeting. The agreement aims to enhance Kenvue’s growth and shareholder value, with Starboard withdrawing its previous director nominations and agreeing to a standstill period.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.