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Kimberly Clark (KMB)
NYSE:KMB

Kimberly Clark (KMB) AI Stock Analysis

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KM

Kimberly Clark

(NYSE:KMB)

71Outperform
Kimberly Clark's overall score reflects strong cash flow and strategic initiatives yielding market share gains and productivity savings. However, the zero net income for 2024 and high leverage pose risks. Technical indicators show positive momentum but caution about overbought conditions. The valuation is reasonable with an attractive dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Kimberly-Clark's gross margin has increased by 570 basis points since 2022, indicating a positive start to their supply chain productivity targets.
Market Share
All segments (North America, International Personal Care, and International Family Care & Professional) reported positive organic sales and volume growth.
Productivity and Efficiency
Productivity improvements and savings initiatives are expected to ensure continued margin expansion.
Negative Factors
Consumer Spending
There is acknowledgment of a softer consumer spending environment in the US, which could impact future growth.
Currency Impact
Earnings are expected to be pressured by worsening foreign exchange headwinds, with EPS projected to take a 350–400 basis point hit from currency translation.
Revenue Growth
Limited organic revenue growth remains a key concern, with an uncertain outlook for top-line growth due to a moderate recovery in volume trends and tapering benefits of pricing increases.

Kimberly Clark (KMB) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Kimberly Clark Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKimberly-Clark Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets personal care and consumer tissue products worldwide. It operates through three segments: Personal Care, Consumer Tissue, and K-C Professional. The Personal Care segment offers disposable diapers, swimpants, training and youth pants, baby wipes, feminine and incontinence care products, and other related products under the Huggies, Pull-Ups, Little Swimmers, GoodNites, DryNites, Sweety, Kotex, U by Kotex, Intimus, Depend, Plenitud, Softex, Poise, and other brand names. The Consumer Tissue segment provides facial and bathroom tissues, paper towels, napkins, and related products under the Kleenex, Scott, Cottonelle, Viva, Andrex, Scottex, Neve, and other brand names. The K-C Professional segment offers wipers, tissues, towels, apparel, soaps, and sanitizers under the Kleenex, Scott, WypAll, Kimtech, and KleenGuard brands. The company sells household use products directly to supermarkets, mass merchandisers, drugstores, warehouse clubs, variety and department stores, and other retail outlets, as well as through other distributors and e-commerce; and away-from-home use products directly to manufacturing, lodging, office building, food service, and public facilities, as well as through distributors and e-commerce. Kimberly-Clark Corporation was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyKimberly-Clark makes money through the sale of its personal care and consumer tissue products. The company's revenue model is centered on generating sales from branded products that hold significant market share across different regions globally. Personal care products include diapers, baby wipes, feminine care products, and incontinence care products. Consumer tissue products encompass facial and bathroom tissues, paper towels, and napkins. The K-C Professional segment provides hygiene and safety products for workplaces. Key revenue streams for Kimberly-Clark include retail partners, e-commerce platforms, and direct sales to institutions and businesses. The company also leverages strategic partnerships and continuous innovation in product development to maintain competitive advantages and foster customer loyalty, which are significant factors contributing to its earnings.

Kimberly Clark Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kimberly Clark exhibits stable revenue and operational efficiency, but the zero net income for 2024 is a concern. The high leverage in the balance sheet presents financial risks, though strong cash flow generation supports resilience.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Kimberly Clark's income statement shows stability with modest revenue growth over the years. The gross profit margin for 2024 is approximately 35.8%, indicating strong production efficiency. However, the net income for 2024 is reported as zero, which is a concern for profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at around 16% for 2024, reflecting good operational performance despite the net income setback.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, with debt levels significantly exceeding equity, indicating a leveraged financial position. The equity ratio is low at approximately 5% in 2024, highlighting limited shareholder equity against total assets. Return on equity metrics are not calculable for 2024 due to zero net income, but past years show moderate returns in a challenging leverage environment.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates strong free cash flow in 2024, maintaining stability despite operating cash flow reduction from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high historically, although not calculable for 2024 due to zero net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, showing robust cash generation capabilities.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
20.06B20.43B20.18B19.44B19.14B
Gross Profit
7.18B7.03B6.22B5.99B6.82B
EBIT
3.21B2.34B2.68B2.56B3.24B
EBITDA
3.98B3.07B3.38B3.25B3.98B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.54B1.76B1.93B1.81B2.35B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.02B1.09B427.00M270.00M303.00M
Total Assets
16.55B17.34B17.97B17.84B17.52B
Total Debt
7.57B8.11B8.42B8.57B8.36B
Net Debt
6.55B7.02B8.00B8.30B8.06B
Total Liabilities
15.57B16.28B17.27B17.10B16.65B
Stockholders Equity
840.00M915.00M547.00M514.00M626.00M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.51B2.78B1.86B1.72B2.51B
Operating Cash Flow
3.23B3.54B2.73B2.73B3.73B
Investing Cash Flow
-100.00M-418.00M-785.00M-1.06B-2.31B
Financing Cash Flow
-3.17B-2.37B-1.76B-1.70B-1.57B

Kimberly Clark Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price137.49
Price Trends
50DMA
137.39
Positive
100DMA
133.85
Positive
200DMA
135.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.16
Positive
RSI
62.34
Neutral
STOCH
85.79
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KMB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 137.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 139.20, above the 50-day MA of 137.39, and above the 200-day MA of 135.68, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.79 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KMB.

Kimberly Clark Risk Analysis

Kimberly Clark disclosed 16 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kimberly Clark reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kimberly Clark Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CLCL
79
Outperform
$73.18B25.71704.02%2.22%3.30%26.83%
PGPG
78
Outperform
$380.62B25.8631.05%2.48%0.49%5.02%
ULUL
76
Outperform
$144.64B23.8430.53%3.12%1.99%-10.59%
CHCHD
74
Outperform
$25.08B42.9914.25%1.12%4.08%-22.34%
KMKMB
71
Outperform
$44.82B17.90290.03%3.64%-1.83%45.13%
CLCLX
66
Neutral
$17.22B38.217616.67%3.48%-1.98%474.83%
63
Neutral
$20.41B13.98-16.01%3.26%1.30%5.01%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KMB
Kimberly Clark
137.49
15.74
12.93%
CHD
Church & Dwight
103.77
3.29
3.27%
CLX
Clorox
140.90
0.69
0.49%
CL
Colgate-Palmolive
91.80
7.63
9.06%
PG
Procter & Gamble
163.56
11.47
7.54%
UL
Unilever
59.91
13.77
29.84%

Kimberly Clark Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 28, 2025 | % Change Since: 5.56% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a company that is successfully navigating past challenges through strategic initiatives like the Powering Care strategy, which has resulted in record productivity savings and strong market share gains. However, there are concerns about economic pressures impacting product use frequency in certain regions and muted pricing growth for 2025.
Highlights
Record Productivity Savings
Achieved a historical high productivity savings of 5.9% in 2024, with expectations to maintain around 5% in 2025. This productivity is enabling investments and bottom-line growth.
Powering Care Strategy Success
The Powering Care strategy has facilitated a transition to volume plus mix-driven growth, strong market share momentum, and a phase of margin expansion in 2024.
Market Share Gains
Achieved weighted share gains of 10 basis points in 2024, with significant improvements in North America, China, and other key international markets.
Strategic Focus on Key Markets
Continued focus and success in key markets like the US and China, contributing to robust volume growth.
Lowlights
Softness in Certain Markets
Experienced lower frequency of product use due to economic pressures in Latin America and Southeast Asia.
Muted Pricing Growth
Pricing growth is expected to be largely flat in 2025, with only a minimal 30 basis points contribution from hyperinflationary economies.
Impact of Past Discontinuations
Continued impact from past business line exits, including private-label contracts and PPE business.
Company Guidance
During the Kimberly-Clark 4Q 2024 Earnings Call, the company's guidance for 2025 highlighted a focus on volume and mix-driven growth, with muted pricing expected to remain flat across the enterprise. The company anticipates achieving productivity savings of around 5%, slightly below the 5.9% reported in 2024, contributing to an expected gross margin expansion at a slower pace compared to the previous two years. Operating profit margins are projected to grow ahead of gross margins, driven by $200 million in SG&A savings from the Powering Care program. Full-year revenue and profit growth are expected to be evenly distributed between the first and second halves of 2025, with a continued emphasis on innovation-led growth and market share gains.

Kimberly Clark Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Kimberly Clark Appoints New VP and Controller
Neutral
Jan 28, 2025

On January 28, 2025, Kimberly-Clark announced that Andrew Scribner will be elected as Vice President and Controller, effective June 1, 2025, succeeding Andrew S. Drexler, who will retire on June 6, 2025. Mr. Scribner, who has been CFO of Kimberly-Clark North America since January 2023, brings extensive experience from his previous roles at Gap, Inc. and Kraft Heinz, which may strengthen Kimberly-Clark’s financial leadership.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.