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Kirkland's (KIRK)
NASDAQ:KIRK

Kirkland's (KIRK) AI Stock Analysis

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KI

Kirkland's

(NASDAQ:KIRK)

Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-9.09%Downside)
Kirkland's overall stock score is low due to significant financial struggles, poor technical indicators, and valuation concerns. While corporate restructuring shows potential for improvement, the company's current financial position remains precarious, heavily weighing down its score.

Kirkland's (KIRK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kirkland's Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKirkland's, Inc. operates as a specialty retailer of home furnishings décor in the United States. The company's stores provide various merchandise, including holiday décor, furniture, textiles, ornamental wall décor, decorative accessories, art, mirrors, home fragrance, lighting, floral, housewares, and gifts. The company operates its stores under the Kirkland's, Kirkland's Home, Kirkland's Home Outlet, Kirkland's Outlet, and The Kirkland Collection names. As of January 29, 2022, the company operated 361 stores in 35 states, as well as an e-commerce website, www.kirklands.com. Kirkland's, Inc. was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee.
How the Company Makes MoneyKirkland's generates revenue primarily through the sale of its home decor products via its network of physical retail locations and its e-commerce platform. The company's key revenue streams include in-store sales, online sales, and seasonal promotions that attract customers seeking decor for various occasions and holidays. By offering an extensive range of products at competitive prices, Kirkland's aims to appeal to budget-conscious consumers. Additionally, the company leverages its brand reputation and customer loyalty programs to drive repeat purchases, while strategic marketing campaigns and collaborations with designers or influencers help to boost brand visibility and attract new customers.

Kirkland's Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 17, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: -13.39%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a positive shift in operational efficiency and strategic repositioning with improvements in gross profit margin, customer traffic, and inventory management. However, significant challenges remain with declining net sales and negative adjusted EBITDA. The sentiment is cautiously optimistic as the company executes its turnaround strategy.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Gross Profit Margin
Gross profit margin increased by 130 basis points to 26.3% compared to 25% in the previous year, driven by a 110 basis point increase in merchandise margin and decreased central distribution costs.
Sequential Improvement in Comparable Sales
Comparable sales improved from a decline of 13% in August to 6% in October, showing a monthly sequential improvement throughout the quarter.
Cost Reduction Success
Operating expenses were reduced by over $2 million compared to the prior year, reflecting effective cost containment strategies.
Increased Customer Engagement
A 20% increase in lapsed customer reactivations and a significant improvement in e-commerce traffic decline from negative 17% to negative 3%.
Inventory Management
Inventory levels decreased by 17% compared to the previous year, improving supply chain efficiency and positioning for the holiday season.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Sales
Net sales decreased to $116.4 million from $131 million in the prior year quarter, with a 9.2% decline in comparable sales.
Continued Challenges in High-Ticket Categories
Inflation affected customer purchases in high-ticket categories like furniture and wall decor, although strategic shifts are being made to address this.
Negative Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA was negative $3.2 million, compared to negative $1.7 million in the prior year, indicating ongoing operational challenges.
Interest Expense Increase
Net interest expense rose to $1.2 million from $0.7 million due to higher interest rates.
Company Guidance
During the third-quarter 2024 earnings call for Kirkland's, the company provided several key metrics and guidance updates. The call highlighted sequential improvements in traffic and comparable sales, with traffic declines improving from 14% in August to 4% in October, and comparable sales improving from a 13% decline in August to a 6% decline in October. Gross profit margin increased by 130 basis points to 26.3%, driven by a merchandise margin improvement of 110 basis points. Additionally, Kirkland's saw a 20% increase in lapsed customer reactivations and an 8% sales increase in the decorative accessories category. The company reported a 17% reduction in inventory levels compared to the previous year and reduced operating expenses by over $2 million. Looking ahead, Kirkland's expects a low single-digit increase in comparable sales and further improvements in merchandise margins in the fourth quarter.

Kirkland's Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kirkland's financial health is concerning, with declining revenues, persistent losses, negative profitability margins, and high leverage. The negative cash flow and equity suggest significant operational challenges and financial instability.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Kirkland's has seen a consistent decline in total revenue over recent periods, with a significant drop from $558 million in early 2022 to $431 million in TTM 2025. The gross profit margin stands at 26.73% TTM, which is reasonable but has been decreasing. Both EBIT and net profit margins are negative, indicating operational and profitability challenges. The continuing negative net income and decreasing revenue growth highlight ongoing financial difficulties.
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a negative stockholders' equity of $-16.22 million in TTM 2025, indicating potential solvency issues. The debt-to-equity ratio cannot be calculated due to negative equity, further emphasizing financial instability. Additionally, the equity ratio is negative, reflecting more liabilities than assets. These metrics suggest high financial leverage and a weak equity base.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Kirkland's cash flow statements show negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, which have worsened over time, with TTM free cash flow at $-10.86 million. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, indicating poor cash generation relative to net losses. The company has been financing its operations primarily through debt, raising concerns about long-term sustainability.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue431.11M441.36M468.69M498.82M558.18M543.50M
Gross Profit115.22M122.01M126.99M119.79M188.43M172.38M
EBITDA-10.70M-7.12M-11.94M-25.89M46.12M31.92M
Net Income-26.13M-23.13M-27.75M-44.69M22.03M16.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets225.41M242.19M250.57M274.25M331.19M389.42M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.54M3.82M3.81M5.17M25.00M100.34M
Total Debt168.29M193.64M173.79M171.11M152.29M196.41M
Total Liabilities241.63M261.20M247.45M244.47M250.06M294.89M
Stockholders Equity-16.22M-19.02M3.12M29.77M81.13M94.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-10.86M-21.64M-19.25M-26.27M-37.91M69.86M
Operating Cash Flow-8.67M-19.25M-14.48M-18.15M-30.79M78.56M
Investing Cash Flow-2.15M-2.35M-4.63M-8.06M-7.06M-8.49M
Financing Cash Flow10.52M21.62M17.74M6.38M-37.49M131.00K

Kirkland's Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.10
Price Trends
50DMA
1.18
Negative
100DMA
1.27
Negative
200DMA
1.52
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
45.02
Neutral
STOCH
14.49
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KIRK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.15, below the 50-day MA of 1.18, and below the 200-day MA of 1.52, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.49 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KIRK.

Kirkland's Risk Analysis

Kirkland's disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kirkland's reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kirkland's Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$16.72B10.85-7.48%3.11%1.66%-24.52%
41
Neutral
$24.71M77.02%-7.00%14.22%
$29.90M-98.11%
$1.63M-16.22%
49
Neutral
$30.23M-67.84%-9.23%-3.69%
42
Neutral
$19.14M47.49%0.60%36.38%
41
Neutral
$12.73M-179.00%-11.33%-183.48%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KIRK
Kirkland's
1.10
-0.57
-34.13%
LTRY
Lottery.com
1.12
0.16
16.67%
LXEH
Lixiang Education Holding Co
1.40
-2.36
-62.77%
RENT
Rent the Runway
4.76
-10.31
-68.41%
DTCB
Solo Brands
0.33
-1.79
-84.43%
LVLU
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings
0.30
-1.59
-84.13%

Kirkland's Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kirkland’s Appoints New Directors Amid Reorganization
Negative
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Kirkland’s announced the appointment of four new directors to its board, effective June 24, 2025, as part of a broader corporate reorganization and transformation strategy. The company also reported its first-quarter fiscal 2025 results, highlighting a net sales decline to $81.5 million and an operating loss of $10.5 million, attributed to decreased e-commerce sales and store closures. Kirkland’s plans to rebrand as The Brand House Collective, aiming to drive performance and profitability through strategic partnerships and operational realignment.

The most recent analyst rating on (KIRK) stock is a Buy with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kirkland’s stock, see the KIRK Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kirkland’s Appoints New COO Amid Board Changes
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Kirkland’s, Inc. appointed James E. Schisler as Chief Operating Officer, bringing his extensive experience in merchandising and product development from companies like Express, Inc. and Abercrombie & Fitch Co. This strategic appointment is accompanied by a competitive compensation package, indicating a focus on strengthening leadership within the company. Additionally, Kirkland’s received a nomination from Beyond, Inc. on June 3, 2025, to appoint Steve Woodward and Tamara Ward as directors, necessitating the resignation of two current board members. These changes reflect a significant shift in the company’s governance structure, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (KIRK) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kirkland’s stock, see the KIRK Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kirkland’s Expands Partnership with Beyond, Inc.
Negative
May 12, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Kirkland’s, Inc. expanded its strategic partnership with Beyond, Inc., closing a $5.2 million credit agreement expansion to support its store conversion strategy and enhance financial flexibility. The agreement allows Beyond to convert debt into Kirkland’s stock and includes amendments to existing collaboration and investor rights agreements, aiming to leverage brand synergies and improve operational efficiencies. Despite receiving waivers for prior defaults, Kirkland’s management acknowledges ongoing material uncertainty regarding its ability to continue as a going concern.

The most recent analyst rating on (KIRK) stock is a Buy with a $7.0000 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kirkland’s stock, see the KIRK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 28, 2025