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Jackson Financial Incorporation (JXN)
NYSE:JXN

Jackson Financial Incorporation (JXN) AI Stock Analysis

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JXN

Jackson Financial Incorporation

(NYSE:JXN)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$104.00
▲(0.92% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/20/26
JXN’s score is weighed down primarily by deteriorating profitability and a sharp drop in reported operating/free cash flow, plus weak current price momentum. These are partially offset by solid balance-sheet leverage, constructive earnings-call guidance around higher 2026 free capital generation and shareholder returns, and a moderate dividend yield despite an extremely elevated P/E.
Positive Factors
Improved Balance Sheet Leverage
Lower leverage (debt/equity ~0.20) and a sizable equity base materially increase financial flexibility and regulatory resilience. This durable capital strength supports continued product growth, reinsurance/captive strategies, and steady capital returns without threatening solvency under moderate stress.
Strategic partnership with TPG
The multi-year TPG alliance provides permanent capital, explicit asset-management capacity and a pipeline for private credit/asset-based finance. Structurally this broadens Jackson's asset sourcing, supports spread-based product expansion, and diversifies fee and investment income over the medium term.
Record retail annuity sales and product momentum
Consistent, large retail annuity sales and new product adoption (RILA 3.0, FIA launches) show durable distribution traction and product-market fit. Sustained retail demand and broader product mix increase recurring fees and spread opportunities, underpinning more stable long-term revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Sharp cash flow deterioration
A collapse in reported operating and free cash flow undermines ongoing capital generation and raises execution risk. If the weakness persists, it can constrain reinvestment, capital returns, and increase reliance on contingent funding or equity issuance, weakening long-term financial predictability.
High hedge and MRB volatility on guarantees
Large hedging and MRB losses highlight structural sensitivity of guaranteed products to market volatility and hedging mismatches. Persistent hedging cost volatility can compress spread economics on guaranteed annuities and create earnings volatility that is hard to eliminate over the medium term.
Elevated variable annuity outflows and lapse pressure
Sustained VA outflows and higher surrenders erode fee-bearing account balances and shorten liability duration, reducing long-term fee revenue and net investment spread. This dynamic stresses hedging programs, increases reserve sensitivity, and can degrade capital generation over multiple quarters.

Jackson Financial Incorporation (JXN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Jackson Financial Incorporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJackson Financial Inc., through its subsidiaries, primarily provides a suite of annuities to retail investors in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Retail Annuities, Institutional Products, and Closed Life and Annuity Blocks. The Retail Annuities segment offers various retirement income and savings products, including variable, fixed index, fixed, and immediate payout annuities, as well as registered index-linked annuities and lifetime income solutions. The Institutional Products segment provides traditional guaranteed investment contracts; funding agreements comprising agreements issued in conjunction with its participation in the U.S. federal home loan bank program; and medium-term funding agreement-backed notes. The Closed Life and Annuity Blocks segment offers various protection products, such as whole life, universal life, variable universal life, and term life insurance products, as well as fixed, fixed index, and payout annuities. This segment also provides a block of group payout annuities. The company also offers investment management services. It sells its products through a distribution network that includes independent broker-dealers, banks and other financial institutions, wirehouses and regional broker-dealers, and independent registered investment advisors, third-party platforms, and insurance agents. Jackson Financial Inc. was formerly known as Brooke (Holdco1) Inc. and changed its name to Jackson Financial Inc. in July 2020. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Lansing, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneyJackson Financial primarily makes money by manufacturing and administering annuity products and earning spreads and fees associated with those contracts. (1) Net investment spread: Customer premiums are invested in a general account portfolio (e.g., fixed income and other invested assets), and the company seeks to earn more on those invested assets than it credits to policyholders (and after certain product costs), generating a spread-based profit. (2) Fee-based revenues on separate account products: For variable annuities and other products where assets are held in separate accounts, the company earns contract charges such as asset-based fees (e.g., mortality and expense risk charges and administrative fees) and may earn additional fees for optional living/withdrawal benefit riders. (3) Surrender charges and other policy charges: Many annuity contracts include surrender/withdrawal charges if policyholders take money out beyond free-withdrawal provisions during specified periods; these charges contribute to revenue, particularly when policy behavior leads to early withdrawals. (4) Underwriting/actuarial results on guarantees and benefits: The company prices and hedges embedded guarantees (e.g., certain living benefit features) and can generate profits or losses depending on market performance, hedging effectiveness, interest rates, and policyholder behavior. (5) Distribution and scale: Sales are generated largely through third-party distribution relationships (independent agents, broker-dealers and other intermediaries). Earnings are influenced by the company’s ability to maintain shelf space and relationships with these distributors, manage product competitiveness, control acquisition costs (commissions/marketing), and manage capital and liquidity within insurance regulatory requirements. Specific named partnerships, if any, are null.

Jackson Financial Incorporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized substantial operational and financial progress: record retail annuity sales (notably RILA and new FIA), strong adjusted operating earnings and EPS growth, robust free capital generation (> $1 billion for the second year), improved ROE and book value per share, and an accretive strategic partnership with TPG that strengthens asset sourcing and growth potential. Offsetting these positives were notable quarter-specific non-operating headwinds: large net hedge and MRB losses driven by implied volatility, a sizable reserve/embedded derivative charge, and an unfavorable actuarial assumption update (primarily lapses). Management framed the non-operating impacts as largely volatility-driven and manageable given strong capital metrics (RBC 567%, solid holding company liquidity) and reiterated higher 2026 targets for free capital generation and capital return. Weighing the breadth and magnitude of the company's operational gains, capital strength and strategic initiatives against the identifiable but described-as-manageable hedge/reserve pressures, the highlights materially outweigh the lowlights.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Retail Annuity Sales and Diversification
Retail annuity sales were nearly $20 billion for the full year (highest since 2019). RILA sales set a Q4 record at nearly $2.3 billion (Q4 +53% YoY, +10% sequential) and rose 22% for the full year. RILA account value reached $20 billion at year-end (up 74% YoY and 14% vs Q3). Fixed and fixed index annuity (FIA) sales contributed $812 million in Q4, broadening the new business mix.
Strong Earnings and EPS Growth
Adjusted operating earnings were $455 million in Q4. Adjusted operating EPS was $6.61 (after notable items $6.43), a 33% increase versus last year's fourth quarter. Full-year adjusted operating earnings grew nearly 12%, and adjusted operating earnings per share grew over 20% for the full year.
Robust Capital Generation and Free Cash Flow
Free capital generation exceeded $1 billion for the second consecutive year and free capital generation totaled nearly $1.4 billion for the full year. Free cash flow at the holding company was $838 million for the year, representing a free cash flow yield of ~12% based on year-end market capitalization.
Material Capital Return to Shareholders
Jackson returned $862 million to common shareholders in 2025 (above the top end of the disclosed range). Q4 common shareholder return was $205 million, a 51% increase from the prior year quarter on a per diluted share basis. The Board increased the quarterly dividend to $0.90 per share (nearly +13%).
Improved Capital and Liquidity Metrics
Holding company liquidity ended the quarter above $650 million ($691 million). Jackson's RBC ratio was 567% at year-end. Adjusted book value per share increased 4% to $155.78. Adjusted operating return on common equity improved to 14.7% from 12.9% in 2024.
Strategic Partnership and Capital Infusion from TPG
Closed a long-term strategic partnership with TPG that delivered $650 million of value and issuance of $500 million of common stock (~4.7 million shares) at an effective premium of 30%. Management expects the partnership to accelerate growth in spread-based businesses and support asset sourcing.
Expanded Product and Distribution Momentum
New product launches (RILA 3.0 and Jackson Income Assurance FIA) drove record sales, deeper broker/dealer relationships and broadened distribution. Fee-based advisory sales reached a record $1.5 billion for 2025.
Operating Company Distributions and Capital Targets Raised
Distributed over $1.1 billion from the operating company to the holding company (a 27% increase vs 2024). Management established a new 2026 free capital generation target of at least $1.2 billion and increased 2026 capital return target to $900 million–$1.1 billion (+16% vs 2025 actual).
Brooke Re: Resilient Reinsurer Capitalization and Structure
Brooke Re started 2025 with ~ $2.1 billion of capital, generated $27 million of capital pre-assumption review for the year, and remained capitalized well above internal and regulatory thresholds at year-end (reported equity ~ $1.7 billion before Hickory Re capitalization, rising to just under $1.9 billion after ~$150 million Hickory Re capitalization). Management reports Brooke Re remains capitalized near the 98th percentile of modeled outcomes.
Negative Updates
Large Net Hedge and MRB Losses in Q4
Total net hedge result for the quarter was a net loss of $405 million, driven largely by equity index implied volatility and interest rate movements. Hedging instruments produced a $370 million net loss and there was a $405 million MRB loss primarily related to variable annuity guarantees.
Significant Reserve and Embedded Derivative Charge
A $393 million reserve and embedded derivative loss was recognized in Q4 reflecting higher RILA reserves tied to stronger equity markets (partially offset by gains on RILA hedges).
Unfavorable Annual Actuarial Assumption Update
The annual actuarial assumptions review drove an unfavorable consolidated impact of approximately $360 million (and a $349 million after-tax impact at Brooke Re), primarily from updated policyholder behavior/lapse and utilization assumptions.
Elevated Variable Annuity Outflows and Lapse Pressure
Variable annuity net outflows remained elevated in 2025 with surrender activity increasing in the second half as equity markets rallied. Management noted aging policyholders and older, larger sales vintages coming off surrender periods as contributing factors.
Limited Capital Generation at Brooke Re Pre-Assumptions
Brooke Re generated only $27 million of capital for the full year before the annual actuarial assumption review, a modest amount given favorable equity markets in the year and highlighting sensitivity to lapses and volatility.
One-time Reserve Increase Reduced Quarterly Capital Generation
Quarterly statutory capital generation was reduced by a one-time reserve increase of about $150 million (about $173 million including tax impacts), primarily related to the runoff closed block, lowering Q4 reported capital generation versus run-rate expectations.
Holding Company Liquidity Decline (Quarterly)
Holding company cash and investments decreased from $797 million in Q3 to $691 million in Q4 (~13% decline), primarily reflecting initial capitalization of Hickory Re and capital return to shareholders.
Limited Partnership Results Below Assumption
Limited partnership results were a $0.13 per share unfavorable impact in the quarter, coming in below the long-term 10% return assumption and reducing operating earnings.
Company Guidance
Jackson guided that 2026 free capital generation should reach or exceed $1.2 billion (assuming a 5% equity market return and interest rates in line with the year‑end forward curve), set a 2026 capital return target of $900 million to $1.1 billion (a ~16% increase versus 2025’s $862 million returned), and the Board raised the quarterly dividend to $0.90 per share (≈+13%); management also said it will maintain an RBC risk appetite of 425% while retaining strong holding‑company liquidity (ended Q4 at $691 million, above the >$650 million buffer) and expects Brooke Re/Hickory Re plus the TPG partnership (which delivered $650 million of value and $500 million of common stock) to support stronger, more stable capital generation and future distributions.

Jackson Financial Incorporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength is a clear positive (debt-to-equity improved to ~0.20 and equity remains sizable), but overall financial quality is held back by a sharp 2025 profitability step-down (EBIT/EBITDA slightly negative; net margin ~0.4% vs ~30% in 2024) and an abrupt deterioration in reported cash generation (operating cash flow/free cash flow reported at $0 vs ~$5.8B in 2024). Volatility across years reduces earnings visibility.
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Revenue rebounded sharply in 2025 (annual revenue up ~41%), but profitability deteriorated materially: EBIT and EBITDA turned slightly negative and net margin fell to ~0.4% versus ~30% in 2024. Results have been volatile across the cycle (very strong 2021–2022, large loss in 2020), which reduces earnings quality and visibility despite strong gross profitability.
Balance Sheet
73
Positive
Leverage looks manageable with debt-to-equity improving to ~0.20 in 2025 (down from ~0.45 in 2024) and equity remaining sizable (~$10B). However, returns have compressed significantly (return on equity near 0.3% in 2025 vs ~9.7% in 2024), indicating weaker capital efficiency even as the capital base remains solid.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
Cash generation weakened sharply in 2025, with operating cash flow and free cash flow reported at $0 (down from ~$5.8B in 2024) and free cash flow growth at -100%. Prior years showed strong cash conversion (free cash flow matching net income in 2021–2024), but the 2025 drop introduces a significant sustainability and liquidity risk signal based on the provided data.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.68B3.09B3.17B9.72B5.50B
Gross Profit5.71B2.39B2.47B8.91B4.99B
EBITDA-14.00M1.12B1.07B7.83B4.39B
Net Income27.00M946.00M934.00M6.19B3.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets344.53B338.45B330.25B314.98B375.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments53.02B44.06B43.11B46.79B54.17B
Total Debt2.03B4.38B4.03B4.37B4.05B
Total Liabilities334.19B328.47B319.92B305.61B364.49B
Stockholders Equity9.95B9.76B10.17B8.65B10.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.76B5.79B5.31B5.21B5.68B
Operating Cash Flow5.76B5.79B5.31B5.21B5.68B
Investing Cash Flow-7.76B-7.09B-592.00M-1.37B-1.30B
Financing Cash Flow3.94B2.37B-6.33B-2.16B-3.77B

Jackson Financial Incorporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price103.05
Price Trends
50DMA
111.98
Negative
100DMA
105.68
Negative
200DMA
98.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.65
Positive
RSI
37.92
Neutral
STOCH
11.27
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JXN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 103.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 107.70, below the 50-day MA of 111.98, and above the 200-day MA of 98.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.65 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.27 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JXN.

Jackson Financial Incorporation Risk Analysis

Jackson Financial Incorporation disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Jackson Financial Incorporation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Jackson Financial Incorporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$7.77B10.4832.29%1.59%5.63%67.39%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$3.20B15.255.75%2.91%-4.58%
63
Neutral
$6.43B6.9112.03%3.93%35.76%636.97%
62
Neutral
$3.75B11.128.60%1.54%-1.61%15.79%
58
Neutral
$3.10B16.562.54%1.41%150.35%
53
Neutral
$7.28B276.830.26%2.98%24.94%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JXN
Jackson Financial Incorporation
103.05
17.64
20.65%
CNO
CNO Financial
39.74
-1.75
-4.22%
GNW
Genworth Financial
7.99
0.80
11.13%
LNC
Lincoln National
33.81
-1.77
-4.97%
PRI
Primerica
245.55
-41.75
-14.53%
FG
F&G Annuities & Life Inc
23.58
-10.02
-29.83%

Jackson Financial Incorporation Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Jackson Financial Establishes New On-Demand Capital and Liquidity
Positive
Mar 19, 2026

On March 19, 2026, Jackson Financial Inc. arranged $900 million of new on-demand capital and liquidity through private placements of pre-capitalized trust securities issued by two Delaware statutory trusts, Grand River Funding Trust I and II, to qualified institutional buyers. The trusts invested the proceeds in U.S. Treasury strips and entered facility agreements that give Jackson the right over 10 years and 30 years, respectively, to issue up to $500 million of 6.311% senior notes due 2036 and $400 million of 7.280% senior notes due 2056, with semi-annual facility fees on unused capacity and multiple triggers that can force or automatically exercise these issuance rights, strengthening Jackson’s contingent funding, balance-sheet flexibility, and regulatory capital management options.

The structure allows Jackson to convert the trusts’ eligible U.S. Treasury assets into senior notes when needed, or to repurchase notes later in exchange for equivalent assets, while also linking mandatory or automatic exercise of issuance rights to events such as net worth declines, potential investment company status issues, or payment defaults. The P-Caps are mandatorily redeemable in 2036 and 2056, or earlier upon redemption of the related senior notes, aligning investors’ exposure with Jackson’s long-term capital needs and providing a mechanism for early unwind if the company redeems or restructures its funding, which has implications for creditors, rating considerations, and institutional investors seeking structured exposure to Jackson’s credit profile.

The most recent analyst rating on (JXN) stock is a Hold with a $114.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jackson Financial Incorporation stock, see the JXN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Jackson Financial posts strong 2025 results, boosts capital returns
Positive
Feb 18, 2026

Jackson Financial Inc. reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, highlighting non-GAAP earnings of $1.6 billion, non-GAAP earnings per share of $22.67 and free cash flow of $838 million, despite a GAAP net loss of $17 million, or $0.24 per share. For 2025, retail annuity sales rose 10% from 2024, the Jackson National Life Insurance Company risk-based capital ratio stood at 567%, holding company liquidity exceeded $650 million, and capital returned to shareholders reached $862 million through dividends and buybacks, while management pointed to a strategic shift toward non-variable annuity products, stronger capital generation and higher targeted capital returns in 2026 following its post-separation repositioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (JXN) stock is a Buy with a $129.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jackson Financial Incorporation stock, see the JXN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Jackson Financial and TPG Form Long-Term Strategic Partnership
Positive
Feb 11, 2026

On February 11, 2026, Jackson Financial Inc. closed a long-term strategic partnership with alternative asset manager TPG Inc., anchored by a $500 million common equity investment from TPG in exchange for 4,715,554 Jackson shares, or about 6.5% of the company. As part of the deal, a Jackson subsidiary received 2,279,109 TPG Class A shares, and the firms entered a 10-year, renewable investment management arrangement under which TPG will provide investment-grade asset-based finance and direct lending capabilities to complement PPM America, aiming to accelerate Jackson’s spread-based growth strategy, broaden product innovation and enhance long-term value for clients and shareholders.

Management from both companies framed the partnership as a culturally aligned collaboration that marries TPG’s credit and structuring expertise with Jackson’s position as a leading retirement services provider. For Jackson, the transaction is expected to bolster competitiveness in meeting demand for consumer value-oriented products and to provide capital and asset-management flexibility, while TPG gains expanded scale for its credit and insurance strategies and deeper access to insurance-related investment flows.

The most recent analyst rating on (JXN) stock is a Buy with a $129.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jackson Financial Incorporation stock, see the JXN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Jackson Financial Forms Strategic Partnership with TPG Inc.
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Jackson Financial Inc. entered into a long-term strategic partnership and investment agreement with global alternative asset manager TPG Inc., under which TPG will acquire approximately 6.5% of Jackson’s common equity for $500 million in cash, subject to a 9.9% ownership cap and multi-year holding and sale restrictions designed to stabilize the shareholder base and align interests. The proceeds, combined with $150 million of Jackson’s excess cash, will capitalize Hickory Brooke Reinsurance Company, a new Michigan-based captive reinsurer set up to support capital-efficient growth in Jackson’s fixed and fixed index annuity sales, while Jackson will also receive $150 million of TPG common stock and enter non-exclusive, 10-year-plus investment management arrangements that target $12 billion of general account assets under TPG’s management over five years, enhancing Jackson’s private credit and asset-based finance capabilities, diversifying earnings, and reinforcing its competitive position in U.S. retirement services; the transaction is expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, subject to customary conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (JXN) stock is a Hold with a $118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jackson Financial Incorporation stock, see the JXN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 20, 2026