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Aseed Holdings Co., Ltd. (JP:9959)
:9959
Japanese Market
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Aseed Holdings Co., Ltd. (9959) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9959

Aseed Holdings Co., Ltd.

(9959)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
¥871.00
▲(11.24% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:05/18/26
The score is primarily constrained by inconsistent free cash flow conversion and rising leverage, despite steady revenue growth and stable gross profitability. Technical signals are currently mixed-to-weak (negative MACD and trading below key short/intermediate moving averages). Offsetting these risks, the stock’s valuation is reasonable with a moderate P/E and a ~2.6% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Steady Revenue Growth
Consistent mid-single-digit revenue growth to ¥25.4B by 2026 indicates a durable, stable demand base and predictable top-line expansion. That steady revenue trajectory supports longer-term planning, capacity utilization, and incremental investment in product and distribution without relying on volatile one-off gains.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
Leverage trending higher reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and interest-rate risk. With debt-to-equity around 1.28 and absolute debt increasing, the company has less room to absorb demand shocks or fund investment internally, making it more sensitive to cash-flow variability and macro tightening.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Steady Revenue Growth
Consistent mid-single-digit revenue growth to ¥25.4B by 2026 indicates a durable, stable demand base and predictable top-line expansion. That steady revenue trajectory supports longer-term planning, capacity utilization, and incremental investment in product and distribution without relying on volatile one-off gains.
Read all positive factors

Aseed Holdings Co., Ltd. (9959) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Aseed Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Aseed Holdings Co.,Ltd. operates in the vending machine operations and retail business in Japan. The company operates, manages, and maintains vending machines for beverages and soft drinks to offices, factories, schools, hospitals, amusement cente...
How the Company Makes Money
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Aseed Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement is solid (steady revenue growth and stable ~38% gross margin, with modest ~3–4% net margins), but overall financial quality is held back by rising leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.28) and weak/volatile free cash flow that has often been negative and has not consistently covered net income.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Balance Sheet
57
Neutral
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.44B25.41B23.97B23.26B21.23B19.28B
Gross Profit9.19B9.72B9.11B8.78B8.03B7.63B
EBITDA1.70B1.93B1.83B1.92B1.51B1.32B
Net Income740.00M909.00M748.00M768.00M602.00M178.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.52B24.14B19.66B18.93B16.58B15.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.26B3.83B1.77B1.57B1.08B904.00M
Total Debt7.57B10.17B7.29B6.75B6.56B5.43B
Total Liabilities13.30B16.21B12.43B12.29B10.95B10.00B
Stockholders Equity7.22B7.94B7.22B6.63B5.62B5.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-1.00M-76.00M1.13B-401.00M276.00M
Operating Cash Flow0.001.97B838.00M1.69B1.14B922.00M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-2.52B-828.00M-988.00M-1.68B-481.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.002.60B192.00M-206.00M748.00M-509.00M

Aseed Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price783.00
Price Trends
50DMA
944.12
Negative
100DMA
905.89
Negative
200DMA
793.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-18.30
Negative
RSI
47.40
Neutral
STOCH
53.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9959, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 783 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 853.55, below the 50-day MA of 944.12, and below the 200-day MA of 793.89, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -18.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:9959.

Aseed Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
¥16.03B25.182.11%5.82%75.66%
66
Neutral
¥15.49B-103.501.48%5.48%9.22%
65
Neutral
¥13.78B9.241.43%5.88%180.90%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
56
Neutral
¥10.72B23.122.61%6.01%21.26%
53
Neutral
¥16.07B74.17-0.33%155.36%
46
Neutral
¥34.41B21.751.65%-1.17%-95.57%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9959
Aseed Holdings Co., Ltd.
865.00
183.61
26.95%
JP:2910
Rock Field Co., Ltd.
1,294.00
-184.97
-12.51%
JP:2936
BASE FOOD Inc.
301.00
-178.00
-37.16%
JP:2937
St.Cousair CO. LTD.
1,723.00
314.72
22.35%
JP:3096
Ocean System Corporation
1,645.00
465.73
39.49%
JP:3392
DELICA FOODS HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
847.00
321.91
61.30%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 18, 2026