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Nagawa Co., Ltd. (JP:9663)
:9663
Japanese Market

Nagawa Co., Ltd. (9663) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9663

Nagawa Co., Ltd.

(9663)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
¥7,158.00
▲(13.08% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/30/25
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance—especially the debt-free, flexible balance sheet and steady growth—partly offset by uneven cash-flow consistency. Technicals are supportive but somewhat extended, while valuation (P/E ~25 with a sub-1% yield) tempers the overall attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
A debt-free balance sheet enhances financial flexibility and reduces risk, allowing the company to invest in growth opportunities without the burden of interest payments.
Revenue Growth
Steady revenue growth indicates strong demand for the company's products and services, supporting long-term business expansion and market position.
Profitability
Strong profitability and stable margins suggest effective cost management and pricing power, contributing to sustainable earnings over time.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Volatility
Volatile cash flow can hinder long-term planning and investment, as unpredictable cash availability may impact the company's ability to fund operations and growth consistently.
Margin Pressure
Margin pressure could indicate rising costs or competitive pricing challenges, potentially affecting profitability if not managed effectively.
Cash Flow History
A history of negative cash flow suggests potential issues with working capital management or timing of cash receipts, which could impact financial stability.

Nagawa Co., Ltd. (9663) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nagawa Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNAGAWA Co., Ltd. manufactures, sells, and rents unit houses under the Super House name in Japan. It also engages in the system module architecture design and construction of the building. In addition, the company rents and sells construction machinery and equipment, as well as sells construction materials. Further, it undertakes remodeling, civil engineering, and various types of construction works; and rents surveillance cameras, as well as engages in the factory repair/renovation business. The company was formerly known as Nagawa Sekiyu Corporation and changed its name to NAGAWA Co., Ltd. in March 1978. NAGAWA Co., Ltd. was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyNagawa Co., Ltd. generates revenue through the sale and leasing of prefabricated buildings. The company's revenue model includes direct sales to customers across multiple sectors, such as commercial enterprises, government agencies, and residential customers. Additionally, Nagawa offers leasing services for temporary structures, which provides a steady stream of recurring income. The company's ability to customize solutions and offer high-quality products enhances its competitive edge, attracting a wide range of clients. Strategic partnerships with construction firms and suppliers may also play a role in the company's revenue generation, although specific partnerships are not detailed in available data.

Nagawa Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong fundamentals supported by steady revenue growth, resilient profitability, and an exceptionally strong balance sheet with effectively no debt. The key offset is cash-flow volatility, with prior periods of weak conversion and negative free cash flow despite a strong rebound in 2025.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Revenue has grown steadily over the last several years, with a noticeable acceleration in the latest year (2025) versus 2024. Profitability is consistently strong for the period shown, with gross margins holding in the high-30% to low-40% range and net margins generally around ~10% (and improving in 2025). A key watch item is modest margin pressure versus earlier years (EBIT margin lower than 2021–2022 levels), even though absolute earnings improved.
Balance Sheet
93
Very Positive
The balance sheet is a standout: total debt is effectively eliminated in the latest two years (2024–2025), and prior years’ leverage was already very low. Equity has steadily expanded alongside total assets, supporting financial flexibility and downside protection. Return on equity improved in 2025 versus 2024, though it remains moderate rather than exceptionally high, reflecting a conservatively capitalized profile.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation is positive but has been volatile. Operating cash flow rebounded sharply in 2025 after very weak conversion in 2023–2024, and free cash flow swung back to positive in 2025 with strong growth. However, the history of negative free cash flow (2023–2024) and periods where operating cash flow covered only a small portion of net income suggests working-capital or timing-related swings that reduce predictability.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.97B35.29B32.58B31.65B30.59B29.38B
Gross Profit13.41B13.50B13.16B12.86B12.52B11.93B
EBITDA8.20B8.46B7.93B7.57B7.50B7.34B
Net Income3.23B4.21B3.12B3.13B3.02B3.04B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets67.33B69.76B66.88B58.81B55.90B53.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.19B11.43B7.17B10.87B12.80B14.22B
Total Debt0.000.000.001.30B1.10B587.00M
Total Liabilities7.12B8.08B7.15B5.33B4.89B5.34B
Stockholders Equity60.20B61.67B59.73B53.48B51.01B48.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.92B2.48B-765.00M-961.00M1.06B2.72B
Operating Cash Flow1.92B4.39B1.14B524.00M2.20B3.15B
Investing Cash Flow0.001.41B-3.81B-1.43B-3.25B-3.15B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-1.53B-1.03B-1.02B-377.00M-351.00M

Nagawa Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6330.00
Price Trends
50DMA
6134.40
Negative
100DMA
6140.80
Negative
200DMA
6273.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
16.82
Negative
RSI
51.10
Neutral
STOCH
72.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9663, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6330 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5996.50, above the 50-day MA of 6134.40, and above the 200-day MA of 6273.35, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 16.82 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9663.

Nagawa Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥97.23B15.893.63%35.73%62.37%
73
Outperform
¥95.40B24.410.96%4.12%23.44%
68
Neutral
¥173.05B9.002.89%20.38%128.85%
64
Neutral
¥121.03B13.332.13%7.22%21.92%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9663
Nagawa Co., Ltd.
6,000.00
-788.20
-11.61%
JP:1720
Tokyu Construction Co., Ltd.
1,557.00
804.87
107.01%
JP:1762
Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd.
3,725.00
1,018.27
37.62%
JP:1870
Yahagi Construction Co., Ltd.
2,257.00
1,056.56
88.01%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025