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Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings Incorporated (JP:9501)
:9501

Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings (9501) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9501

Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings

(9501)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
¥605.00
▼(-15.74% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/02/25
The overall stock score reflects a company with operational strengths but significant financial challenges. The bearish technical indicators and unattractive valuation further weigh down the score. Improvements in net income and a stable equity base are positive, but high leverage and inconsistent profitability remain concerns.
Positive Factors
Stable equity base & growing asset base
A stable equity ratio and a growing asset base provide a durable capital foundation, supporting long-term investment in generation and networks. This bolsters the company’s ability to meet regulatory capital requirements and fund strategic projects, improving resilience over months.
Consistent operating cash generation
Positive operating cash flow indicates core utility operations generate cash to cover working capital and routine operating needs. Over 2–6 months this supports maintenance, service continuity and debt servicing capacity even if free cash flow is constrained.
Signs of operational efficiency and improved profitability
Improving margins and a return to positive net income reflect operational cost control and better utilization of assets. These structural improvements can strengthen earnings sustainability, enhance cash conversion potential, and support negotiation of regulated returns over the coming months.
Negative Factors
High leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio above 1.7 signals significant leverage that raises interest and refinancing risk. High leverage limits financial flexibility to fund capex or absorb shocks, increases vulnerability to rising rates or fuel cost swings, and pressures credit metrics over time.
Persistent negative free cash flow
Chronic negative free cash flow means capital expenditures exceed operating cash generation, forcing reliance on external financing. This sustains pressure on liquidity and may constrain investment in grid upgrades or renewables, worsening leverage dynamics over months.
Revenue decline and profit volatility
Declining revenues and volatile margins reduce earnings predictability and complicate long-term planning. For a regulated/market-mix utility, this limits ability to pass costs through tariffs, weakens cash flow visibility, and increases execution risk on strategic investments.

Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings (9501) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Incorporated generates, transmits, distributes, and retails electric power in Japan and internationally. The company operates a portfolio of thermal, nuclear, solar, wind, hydro, and geothermal power plants. It is also involved in the gas sales business; and provision of consulting services for electricity companies. The company was formerly known as Tokyo Electric Power Company, Incorporated and changed its name to Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Incorporated in April 2016. The company was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Incorporated is a subsidiary of Nuclear Damage Compensation and Decommissioning Facilitation Corporation.
How the Company Makes MoneyTEPCO Holdings makes money primarily through its consolidated operating subsidiaries and related group businesses. Key revenue streams include: (1) Electricity retail/sales revenue: earnings from selling electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers, with revenue generally tied to the volume of electricity sold and regulated or market-based tariffs depending on the customer segment and regulatory framework. (2) Transmission and distribution network revenue: income associated with operating electricity transmission/distribution networks and providing network access; these revenues are typically influenced by regulated wheeling/network charges and allowed returns/cost recovery mechanisms set under Japan’s electricity sector rules (exact rate-setting details not provided here). (3) Power generation-related revenue: proceeds from generating electricity and supplying it to retail operations and/or wholesale markets, with profitability driven by generation output, fuel costs (for thermal generation), plant utilization, and wholesale price conditions. (4) Other energy/related services: additional revenue from group activities adjacent to the core electricity business (e.g., procurement-related functions and other services conducted by subsidiaries); specific line-item breakdowns are not provided here. Significant factors affecting earnings include electricity demand, wholesale electricity prices, fuel price movements and foreign exchange (which affect imported fuel costs), regulatory decisions impacting tariffs and network charges, and operational performance of generation assets. Information on specific partnerships and their quantitative contribution to earnings is null.

Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings shows operational efficiency and a solid asset base, but faces challenges with high leverage and inconsistent profitability. Revenue and cash flow trends indicate potential risk, though improvements in net income and a stable equity base offer a positive outlook.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings has shown fluctuating revenue trends over the last few years, with revenue peaking in 2023 but declining in 2025. The gross profit margin and net profit margin have been volatile, with the company experiencing negative gross profit margins in 2023. However, profitability improved in 2025 with a positive net income. The EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate some level of operational efficiency, though they have also fluctuated significantly.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a high level of debt, with a debt-to-equity ratio consistently above 1.7, indicating significant leverage. However, the equity ratio has remained stable, suggesting a solid capital base. Return on equity has been inconsistent, reflecting variability in profitability. The company's asset base has been growing, which is a positive sign for future growth potential.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flows have been mixed, with negative free cash flow in most years, indicating potential challenges in covering capital expenditures through operating cash flows alone. However, the operating cash flow has generally been positive, suggesting that core operations are generating cash, albeit not always sufficient to cover investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has shown variability, reflecting challenges in converting profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.46T6.81T6.92T7.80T5.31T5.87T
Gross Profit552.76B234.45B278.86B-228.97B46.23B143.46B
EBITDA-255.20B635.88B718.51B277.51B477.90B645.11B
Net Income-744.53B161.28B267.85B-123.63B5.64B180.90B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.00T14.99T14.60T13.56T12.84T12.09T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments781.82B936.34B1.24T717.91B862.38B455.20B
Total Debt6.59T6.69T6.45T5.87T5.53T4.97T
Total Liabilities11.88T11.20T11.06T10.44T9.63T8.95T
Stockholders Equity3.09T3.76T3.51T3.10T3.18T3.13T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-433.04B3.55B-654.53B-44.90B-265.19B
Operating Cash Flow0.00400.28B708.38B-23.38B507.01B334.67B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-859.21B-698.79B-388.84B-559.79B-577.22B
Financing Cash Flow0.00194.17B541.50B319.98B560.60B-20.34B

Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price718.00
Price Trends
50DMA
658.48
Negative
100DMA
695.57
Negative
200DMA
658.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.61
Negative
RSI
50.25
Neutral
STOCH
59.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9501, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 718 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 654.51, above the 50-day MA of 658.48, and above the 200-day MA of 658.72, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:9501.

Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
¥733.47B6.687.17%3.22%-1.56%9.17%
75
Outperform
¥2.76T6.3714.42%2.44%2.08%19.52%
74
Outperform
¥571.52B5.1416.40%3.47%-8.73%-6.98%
71
Outperform
¥217.12B13.5213.70%2.36%-1.60%-10.41%
69
Neutral
¥360.23B16.4212.27%3.23%-1.02%79.80%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
52
Neutral
¥1.05T5.29-22.13%-2.28%-794.92%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9501
Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings
653.40
196.10
42.88%
JP:9504
Chugoku Electric Power Co
999.90
100.53
11.18%
JP:9513
Electric Power Development Co
4,007.00
1,416.51
54.68%
JP:9503
Kansai Electric Power Company
2,582.00
753.55
41.21%
JP:9506
Tohoku Electric Power Company
1,143.50
54.04
4.96%
JP:9509
Hokkaido Electric Power Company,Incorporated
1,057.50
259.44
32.51%

Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings Corporate Events

TEPCO Secures Additional Funding for Fukushima Nuclear Compensation
Feb 25, 2026

Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings has received an additional 8.6 billion yen in grants from the Nuclear Damage Compensation and Decommissioning Facilitation Corporation. This funding is provided under a special business plan revised in January 2026 to support ongoing compensation related to the Fukushima nuclear accident.

The latest grant follows previous indemnity payments totaling 188.9 billion yen and cumulative grants of about 11.4746 trillion yen from the same corporation. TEPCO sought this 166th round of funding because projected compensation payments through March 2026 were set to exceed earlier support, and the company reiterated its commitment to compensating affected parties with understanding and compassion.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9501) stock is a Sell with a Yen562.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings stock, see the JP:9501 Stock Forecast page.

TEPCO to Book ¥80 Billion Extraordinary Gain From Kandenko Share Sale
Feb 16, 2026

Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings said its consolidated subsidiary TEPCO Power Grid will record a substantial special profit from selling a large block of shares in Kandenko Co., Ltd. The utility has set the underwriting price for a secondary share distribution, enabling the sale of 18,259,400 Kandenko shares for total proceeds of about ¥106.7 billion and an estimated gain of roughly ¥80 billion.

The company expects to book this gain as extraordinary income in its consolidated results for the fiscal year ending March 2026, in addition to around ¥11 billion already recorded from a prior Kandenko share sale tied to a stock buyback. TEPCO noted that any further profit from an additional 2,738,900 shares subject to an over-allotment option with Nomura Securities will be disclosed once the option’s exercise and the resulting gain are confirmed, potentially adding further upside to earnings.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9501) stock is a Sell with a Yen562.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings stock, see the JP:9501 Stock Forecast page.

TEPCO to Trim Qtes Stake via Secondary Offering While Maintaining Strategic Ties
Feb 16, 2026

Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings will participate as a selling shareholder in a secondary offering of ordinary shares in Tokyo Energy & Systems Inc., disposing of up to 3.1 million shares. The move is aimed at optimizing TEPCO’s capital relationship with Qtes, improving capital efficiency, and supporting Qtes’s share liquidity and continued inclusion in TOPIX.

Even after the transaction, TEPCO plans to retain at least an 18% stake in Qtes and has agreed to a lock-up period of 180 days on additional sales, signaling a continued strategic partnership. The company expects minimal impact on its consolidated performance and emphasizes that the business relationship and Qtes’s role as an equity-method investee in supporting stable electricity supply will remain unchanged.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9501) stock is a Sell with a Yen562.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings stock, see the JP:9501 Stock Forecast page.

TEPCO Swings to Heavy Loss and Revises Nine-Month Results After Kandenko Share Sale
Feb 13, 2026

Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings reported consolidated net sales of ¥4,612.2 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, down 7.1% year on year, with operating income falling 16.9% to ¥258.4 billion and ordinary income slipping 0.3% to ¥347.6 billion. The period swung to a net loss attributable to owners of the parent of ¥662.7 billion from a ¥243.2 billion profit a year earlier, and net assets declined, partly reflecting changes following TEPCO Power Grid’s partial sale of shares in equity-method affiliate Kandenko after the initial results announcement.

The company also confirmed that the interim review of its consolidated quarterly financial statements by certified public accountants has been completed. It subsequently revised disclosure items to reflect the Kandenko share transaction linked to an off-auction share repurchase on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, an adjustment that fine-tunes its reported financial position and may influence investor assessment of its equity holdings and capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9501) stock is a Sell with a Yen562.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings stock, see the JP:9501 Stock Forecast page.

TEPCO Books ¥11 Billion Extraordinary Gain From Kandenko Share Sale
Feb 2, 2026

Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings announced that its subsidiary TEPCO Power Grid has sold 5,188,900 ordinary shares of electrical engineering firm Kandenko Co., Ltd. via Kandenko’s off-auction share repurchase on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, generating total proceeds of ¥28.8 billion and an estimated gain of about ¥11.0 billion. This gain will be booked as extraordinary profit in TEPCO’s consolidated results for the fiscal year ending March 2026, while the planned secondary offering of Kandenko shares by TEPCO Power Grid will be reduced to roughly 21 million shares, with final underwriting pricing to be set later in February; the company plans to disclose any material impact on performance once the sale price is determined, signaling continued optimization of its equity holdings and balance sheet.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9501) stock is a Sell with a Yen552.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings stock, see the JP:9501 Stock Forecast page.

TEPCO Books Massive Extraordinary Loss Tied to Fukushima Debris Work and Higher Compensation Costs
Jan 29, 2026

Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings has announced the recognition of a substantial extraordinary loss in its results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, primarily due to newly anticipated expenses of 905.6 billion yen for fuel debris retrieval preparation and related recovery work at facilities damaged by the Great East Japan Earthquake. In addition, TEPCO HD has increased its provision for nuclear damage compensation by 70.6 billion yen following an updated estimate of liabilities related to the Fukushima nuclear accidents, and, in conjunction with the Nuclear Damage Compensation and Decommissioning Facilitation Corporation, has secured ministerial approval for an increase in financial support, expecting to book 73.2 billion yen in grants-in-aid in the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, to help fund these obligations and maintain its compensation framework.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9501) stock is a Hold with a Yen687.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings stock, see the JP:9501 Stock Forecast page.

TEPCO Swings to Deep Nine-Month Loss, Maintains Weak Full-Year Outlook and Zero Dividend
Jan 29, 2026

Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings reported a 7.1% year-on-year decline in net sales to ¥4.61 trillion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with operating income down 16.9% to ¥258.4 billion and ordinary income roughly flat at ¥347.6 billion, but swung to a substantial net loss attributable to owners of the parent of ¥662.7 billion, compared with a profit a year earlier. The company’s equity ratio fell from 25.1% to 20.6% as net assets decreased, it continued its zero-dividend policy for the current fiscal year, and maintained its full-year forecast, which projects lower sales, modest growth in ordinary income, and a significant full-year net loss, signaling persistent financial strain and ongoing pressure on shareholder returns and balance-sheet strength.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9501) stock is a Hold with a Yen687.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings stock, see the JP:9501 Stock Forecast page.

TEPCO Power Grid to Trim Kandenko Stake to Boost Capital Efficiency and Fund Growth
Jan 29, 2026

TEPCO Power Grid, a consolidated subsidiary of Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, will sell approximately 26 million ordinary shares of electrical engineering firm Kandenko via a secondary offering, while keeping its ownership stake above one-third to preserve a strong business relationship. The share sale is aimed at improving capital efficiency and optimizing TEPCO’s capital relationship with Kandenko so that the TEPCO Group can free up funds for future capital investments in stable power supply and growth projects tied to DX and GX, with any impact on earnings to be disclosed once pricing is set and with potential adjustments depending on Kandenko’s planned share buyback.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9501) stock is a Hold with a Yen687.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings stock, see the JP:9501 Stock Forecast page.

TEPCO to Transfer “SoloTime” Shared Office Business to Nomura Real Estate
Jan 28, 2026

Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings will transfer its shared office business “SoloTime” to Nomura Real Estate Development through a simplified absorption-type company split scheduled to take effect on March 31, 2026, with no change to TEPCO’s capital and an expected consideration of ¥750 million. The move is intended to streamline TEPCO’s operations and leverage Nomura Real Estate’s expertise in the shared office and real estate domain to enhance service quality and expand the customer base, while ensuring continuity of services for existing users and maintaining the financial soundness of both companies, as the transaction is relatively small in scale versus TEPCO’s overall assets and sales and is not expected to impair either party’s ability to meet obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9501) stock is a Hold with a Yen687.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings stock, see the JP:9501 Stock Forecast page.

TEPCO Forecasts Return to Large Net Loss on Disaster-Related Costs Despite Higher Ordinary Income
Jan 26, 2026

TEPCO HD has released a revised consolidated forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, projecting net sales of ¥6.462 trillion, down ¥348 billion from the previous year due mainly to lower electricity sales volumes, while ordinary income is expected to rise to ¥277 billion, helped by a favorable swing in the time-lag effects of the fuel cost adjustment system. Despite this improvement at the ordinary income level, the company now expects a net loss attributable to owners of the parent of ¥641 billion, a deterioration of ¥802 billion year on year, primarily because expenses and losses related to restoring assets damaged by the Great East Japan Earthquake will be booked as a large extraordinary loss on disaster, underscoring the continuing financial impact of legacy nuclear-related costs on TEPCO’s earnings and capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9501) stock is a Hold with a Yen687.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings stock, see the JP:9501 Stock Forecast page.

TEPCO Wins Approval for Fifth Comprehensive Special Business Plan
Jan 26, 2026

Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings has obtained government approval for its Fifth Comprehensive Special Business Plan, submitted jointly with the Nuclear Damage Compensation and Decommissioning Facilitation Corporation under Japan’s nuclear damage compensation framework. The revised plan underpins TEPCO’s ongoing reforms in its core economic operations and Fukushima-related business, aiming to secure stable funding for compensation and decommissioning while enhancing corporate value and rebuilding trust among Fukushima communities, affected parties, customers, and the broader public.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9501) stock is a Hold with a Yen687.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings stock, see the JP:9501 Stock Forecast page.

TEPCO Secures Additional 2.8 Billion Yen in Public Funds for Nuclear Compensation
Jan 22, 2026

Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings has received an additional 2.8 billion yen in grants from the Nuclear Damage Compensation and Decommissioning Facilitation Corporation under its approved Special Business Plan, as its compensation obligations are expected to exceed previously secured funds by the end of February 2026. This new tranche brings TEPCO’s total financial support from the framework for nuclear accident liabilities to approximately 11.66 trillion yen in grants plus 188.9 billion yen in indemnity payments, underscoring the ongoing scale of compensation and decommissioning costs from the Fukushima disaster and the company’s continued reliance on public financial assistance to meet its responsibilities to affected stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9501) stock is a Hold with a Yen687.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings stock, see the JP:9501 Stock Forecast page.

TEPCO Seeks ¥73.3 Billion Increase in Fukushima-Related Financial Assistance and Plan Revision
Jan 9, 2026

TEPCO has applied to amend the amount of financial assistance it receives under the 23rd provision from the Nuclear Damage Compensation and Decommissioning Facilitation Corporation and, together with the NDF, has sought government approval to modify its Special Business Plan last approved in March 2025. The requested assistance has been increased by approximately ¥73.3 billion, primarily due to higher estimated costs related to the discharge of ALPS-treated water and an extension of the period over which damages from shipment restriction orders, reputational harm, and other indirect losses are calculated, underscoring the continuing financial and operational impact of the Fukushima accident on TEPCO’s balance sheet and its ongoing efforts to secure funding for compensation, decommissioning, and corporate reform.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9501) stock is a Hold with a Yen723.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings stock, see the JP:9501 Stock Forecast page.

TEPCO Secures Additional ¥18.4 Billion in State-Backed Nuclear Compensation Aid
Dec 24, 2025

Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings has received 18.4 billion yen in additional grants from the Nuclear Damage Compensation and Decommissioning Facilitation Corporation under a special business plan revised in March 2025. This latest tranche, following previous indemnity payments totaling 188.9 billion yen and cumulative grants of approximately 11.4534 trillion yen, was requested because compensation obligations through the end of January 2026 were projected to exceed earlier support, underscoring the still-substantial financial and operational burden of nuclear accident compensation on TEPCO and the ongoing reliance on government-backed funding mechanisms for its long-term obligations to affected stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9501) stock is a Hold with a Yen723.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings stock, see the JP:9501 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 02, 2025