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Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation (JP:9405)
:9405
Japanese Market

Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation (9405) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9405

Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation

(9405)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,028.00
▲(23.41% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/12/25
Asahi Broadcasting Group's stock is supported by strong financial performance and attractive valuation metrics. The company's consistent revenue growth and low leverage enhance its financial stability, while the low P/E ratio and reasonable dividend yield make it appealing for value investors. Technical indicators suggest a bullish trend, though caution is advised due to potential short-term weakness.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
Low leverage and a nearly 60% equity ratio provide durable financial flexibility. This capital structure supports investment in content and digital initiatives, cushions cyclical advertising volatility, and reduces refinancing risk over the next several quarters.
Consistent revenue growth
Steady top-line expansion shows the business is growing its audience or monetization steadily. For a broadcaster, sustained revenue growth drives predictable cash flows, supports content investment and distribution scale, and underpins medium-term operational planning.
Improving profitability margins
Margins have recovered from prior weakness and EBITDA is positive, indicating more efficient operations and cost control. Continued margin improvement strengthens earnings resilience and provides room for reinvestment or shareholder returns over the coming months.
Negative Factors
Declining free cash flow
A large drop in free cash flow signals weaker cash generation despite profitable operations. This constrains the company's ability to fund content, digital initiatives, or dividends internally and increases reliance on operational improvements or external financing to fund growth.
Low return on equity
ROE under 5% implies modest shareholder returns relative to equity base. Persistently low ROE can indicate limited capital efficiency, making it harder to translate balance sheet strength into attractive investor returns without material improvement in margins or asset turnover.
Weak operating profitability
A wide gap between gross and EBIT margins suggests high operating or SG&A costs. If structural, this limits operating leverage as revenue grows and may require sustained cost discipline or higher-margin revenue streams to materially lift profitability.

Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation (9405) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAsahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation engages in television and radio broadcasting activities in Japan and internationally. It produces network and local TV programs; broadcasts news and informational programs, as well as live radio and TV coverage of professional baseball games, golf tournaments, soccer matches, and various other sporting events; and hosts various events. The company is also involved in the mail-order, video archive, licensing, character, music production, rights management, music publication, animated content planning/production and sale, videogram sale, digital content and subtitles production, technical production agency, event planning and management, game content planning/development/management, audio and post-production, golf course management, and corporate venture capital management activities. In addition, it engages in the housing exhibition management, housing design center planning/management, advertising agency, insurance agency, and real estate operations, as well as provision of safety and security, and facility management services. The company was formerly known as Asahi Broadcasting Corporation and changed its name to Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation in April 2018. Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
How the Company Makes Moneynull

Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Asahi Broadcasting Group demonstrates consistent revenue growth and sound balance sheet stability. Profit margins are improving, indicating recovery and efficient operations. However, cash flow management shows potential for enhancement, particularly in free cash flow generation. The company is well-positioned financially, with low leverage and strong equity, but should focus on improving returns and cash generation capabilities.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Asahi Broadcasting Group has shown a solid revenue growth with a 1.63% increase from 2024 to 2025. The gross profit margin stands at 32.8% for 2025, indicating robust profitability. However, the net profit margin improved significantly to 2.72% from a negative margin in 2024, highlighting a recovery in earnings. EBITDA margin is reasonable at 7.91%, showing efficient operations despite EBIT margin being lower at 2.82%.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20, reflecting low leverage. The equity ratio is solid at 59.6%, indicating sound financial health. However, the return on equity is relatively low at 3.27% for 2025, pointing to moderate returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong with a slight decrease from 2024 to 2025. The free cash flow has decreased by 60.70%, indicating potential pressure on cash reserves. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.12 highlights effective conversion of income into cash, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is lower at 0.29, suggesting room for improvement in cash generation.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue94.08B91.92B90.45B87.03B85.10B78.34B
Gross Profit31.38B30.16B27.55B28.96B29.52B25.95B
EBITDA10.17B7.27B3.38B5.83B7.98B3.42B
Net Income4.91B2.50B-884.00M1.35B2.67B-930.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets127.11B128.54B123.22B122.31B123.79B119.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.29B27.08B25.55B24.46B28.30B27.98B
Total Debt15.09B15.25B14.12B12.19B12.52B11.91B
Total Liabilities46.76B50.31B47.08B49.86B53.29B49.38B
Stockholders Equity78.69B76.56B73.03B69.27B66.98B66.03B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.39B732.00M1.86B-1.91B254.00M-537.00M
Operating Cash Flow367.50M5.30B5.66B2.95B4.69B5.95B
Investing Cash Flow-2.29B-3.81B-5.66B-5.05B-4.28B-10.31B
Financing Cash Flow404.50M275.00M1.15B-1.61B543.00M4.58B

Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price833.00
Price Trends
50DMA
849.72
Positive
100DMA
821.99
Positive
200DMA
767.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
17.84
Negative
RSI
64.96
Neutral
STOCH
80.78
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9405, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 833 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 852.60, below the 50-day MA of 849.72, and above the 200-day MA of 767.39, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 17.84 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.78 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9405.

Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥37.67B6.071.67%7.33%
70
Outperform
¥910.51B21.985.45%1.30%4.55%-7.49%
69
Neutral
¥800.62B11.826.38%1.03%7.90%54.01%
69
Neutral
¥112.93B10.121.71%7.01%72.94%
64
Neutral
¥330.47B6.577.48%1.79%6.63%80.44%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
45
Neutral
¥542.29B25.92-2.45%1.40%-6.29%-141.32%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9405
Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation
917.00
251.90
37.87%
JP:4676
Fuji Media Holdings
3,730.00
1,439.33
62.83%
JP:9404
Nippon Television Holdings
3,171.00
200.05
6.73%
JP:9401
TBS HOLDINGS INC.
5,629.00
1,389.69
32.78%
JP:9409
TV Asahi Holdings
3,255.00
777.07
31.36%
JP:9413
TV Tokyo Holdings Corporation
4,125.00
544.47
15.21%

Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation Corporate Events

Asahi Broadcasting Group Sets New 2026–2028 Medium-Term Plan to Bolster Growth
Mar 10, 2026

Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation has approved a new Medium-Term Management Plan for 2026–2028, set to begin in April 2026 after the conclusion of its current 2021–2025 plan. The initiative is designed to enhance sustainable corporate value by building on prior results and strengthening the foundation needed to realize the group’s 2031 vision of “More Local More Global Be Original” ahead of its 80th anniversary.

The company positions this three-year plan as a key phase in reinforcing its operational and strategic base, signaling continued investment in long-term growth rather than short-term restructuring. While detailed measures are provided separately, the announcement underscores management’s focus on stability, future expansion in both local and global markets, and clearer alignment of corporate activities with its medium- to long-term vision.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9405) stock is a Buy with a Yen902.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation stock, see the JP:9405 Stock Forecast page.

Asahi Broadcasting Revamps Corporate Governance Policy
Mar 9, 2026

Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation has announced that its Board of Directors resolved on March 9, 2026, to revise the company’s Corporate Governance Policy. The updated policy, which replaces the previous governance framework, signals an effort to strengthen governance structures and may influence how the company manages oversight, compliance, and stakeholder relationships going forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9405) stock is a Buy with a Yen902.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation stock, see the JP:9405 Stock Forecast page.

Asahi Broadcasting Group Sharply Raises Dividend Under New Payout Policy
Mar 9, 2026

Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings has revised its dividend policy, committing to return profits to shareholders based on a payout ratio target, while balancing internal reserves, financial soundness, and investments to support corporate value and growth. The company now uses a 30% dividend payout ratio, based on profit attributable to owners of parent, as a guideline and aims to lift this to a stable 40% over the medium to long term, and accordingly has raised its dividend forecast for the year ending March 31, 2026, increasing the period-end dividend from ¥10.00 to ¥22.00 per share and the total annual dividend from ¥18.00 to ¥30.00 per share, signaling a more shareholder-friendly capital policy.

This shift in dividend policy and the sharp increase in the forecast dividend underscore management’s intention to enhance shareholder returns while maintaining a disciplined approach to balance sheet strength and future-oriented investment. The higher payout and clearer medium- to long-term target could improve the company’s appeal to income-focused investors and may influence its valuation within Japan’s broadcasting and media sector, where capital efficiency and shareholder returns have come under growing scrutiny.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9405) stock is a Buy with a Yen902.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation stock, see the JP:9405 Stock Forecast page.

Asahi Broadcasting Group Overhauls Dividend Policy to Align Payouts With Net Profit
Mar 9, 2026

Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings has revised its dividend policy in line with a new medium-term management plan effective from the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. The company will now base its dividend payout calculation on profit attributable to owners of parent, replacing the previous focus on profit derived from core business operations after tax adjustments.

Under the updated framework, the broadcaster will use a 30% dividend payout ratio as a guideline while targeting a stable 40% payout ratio over the medium to long term. Management emphasizes that it will continue to weigh operating results, capital needs, and financial strength to maintain continuous and stable dividends, reflecting a closer alignment of shareholder returns with overall performance and enhanced transparency.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9405) stock is a Buy with a Yen902.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation stock, see the JP:9405 Stock Forecast page.

Asahi Broadcasting Group Sets New 2026–2028 Medium-Term Management Plan
Mar 9, 2026

Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings has approved a new Medium-Term Management Plan covering fiscal years 2026 to 2028, following the conclusion of its 2021–2025 plan. The initiative is positioned as a key phase to enhance sustainable corporate value and reinforce the business foundation needed to achieve the group’s 2031 vision of “More Local More Global Be Original.”

The new plan, which will begin in April 2026, is intended to build on the results of the previous medium-term strategy and support long-term growth ahead of the company’s 80th anniversary. While detailed measures were not disclosed in the announcement, the plan signals a continued focus on strengthening operations and competitiveness in its core media and content domains, with implications for the group’s future positioning in both local and global markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9405) stock is a Buy with a Yen902.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation stock, see the JP:9405 Stock Forecast page.

Asahi Broadcasting Restructures Content Rights, Consolidates Live-Action Business in ABC Frontier
Feb 9, 2026

Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation will transfer all businesses related to the ABC Content Production Committee to its wholly owned subsidiary ABC Frontier, Inc. through an absorption-type company split effective April 1, 2026. The transaction is structured as a simplified, no-consideration split with no change in share capital, reflecting an internal reorganization within the media group.

By consolidating the committee’s legacy rights and interests in ABC Frontier, the group aims to streamline operations and reinforce its live-action content value chain from planning and production to broadcasting and secondary use. Management expects the move to improve operational efficiency, strengthen drama and other live-action production as a strategic pillar, and support higher-quality content and optimized sales and marketing that can enhance the group’s brand and long-term audience engagement.

The restructuring follows Asahi Television Broadcasting Corporation’s recent push into prime-time dramas, including establishing a Sunday 10 p.m. nationwide slot in 2023 to expand its live-action offerings. Concentrating rights management and exploitation in ABC Frontier is intended to clarify roles among group companies, deepen cooperation with external partners, and better position the group in a competitive market shaped by changing viewing habits and device diversification.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9405) stock is a Buy with a Yen902.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation stock, see the JP:9405 Stock Forecast page.

Asahi Broadcasting Group Reshapes Executive Lineup at Holding Company and ABC TV
Feb 9, 2026

Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation has announced a reorganization of its executive officer structure effective April 1, 2026, including updated responsibilities across core functions such as broadcasting, content, sports, events, DX and IT, and internal auditing. The company is also strengthening management strategy and investor relations oversight, while appointing new executive officer Makiko Tsuda to lead the event business and transitioning certain current executives into advisory roles.

The group further detailed changes to the executive lineup at key subsidiary Asahi Television Broadcasting Corporation, where several current executives of the holding company will take director roles overseeing areas such as sports, programming, engineering, marketing, compliance, and event business. These coordinated appointments and retirements indicate a broad leadership refresh aimed at reinforcing governance, sharpening business domain responsibilities, and supporting future growth across the group’s broadcasting and event-related operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9405) stock is a Buy with a Yen902.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation stock, see the JP:9405 Stock Forecast page.

Asahi Broadcasting Group Profit Soars on Modest Sales Growth in Nine-Month Period
Feb 9, 2026

Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation reported consolidated net sales of ¥72.0 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, up 7.7% year on year, reflecting modest top-line growth driven by higher cost of sales and slightly increased selling, general and administrative expenses. Operating profit surged to ¥3.6 billion, more than tripling from the previous year, while ordinary profit and profit attributable to owners of the parent also jumped sharply, indicating a significant improvement in profitability despite only moderate revenue growth.

The strong profit expansion suggests better cost control, improved operating efficiency, or a favorable business mix within its media operations, even as overall expenses continued to rise. This profitability rebound strengthens the company’s financial position and could enhance its competitive standing in Japan’s broadcasting sector, offering a more solid base for future strategic initiatives and potentially more stable returns for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9405) stock is a Buy with a Yen902.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation stock, see the JP:9405 Stock Forecast page.

Asahi Broadcasting Group profit surges and dividend outlook raised for FY2025
Feb 9, 2026

Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings reported a solid rebound in performance for the nine months ended 31 December 2025, with net sales up 7.7% year on year to ¥72.0 billion and operating profit surging 227.4% to ¥3.6 billion. Ordinary profit rose 183.6% to ¥3.7 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent jumped 210.8% to ¥3.8 billion, lifting basic earnings per share to ¥91.84.

The company’s financial position also strengthened, with total assets increasing to ¥131.6 billion and the equity ratio improving to 61.4%, while net assets climbed to ¥82.4 billion. Management maintained its full-year forecast, projecting modest net sales growth to ¥92.7 billion but a near 39% rise in operating profit and a 63.8% increase in profit attributable to owners of the parent, and it plans to raise annual dividends from ¥13.00 to ¥18.00 per share for the year ending March 2026, signaling confidence in earnings momentum and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9405) stock is a Buy with a Yen902.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation stock, see the JP:9405 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2025