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TBS HOLDINGS INC. (JP:9401)
:9401

TBS HOLDINGS INC. (9401) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9401

TBS HOLDINGS INC.

(9401)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
¥6,116.00
▲(7.60% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/07/26
The score is primarily supported by strong profitability and a very low-leverage balance sheet, but it is meaningfully tempered by negative free cash flow and a weak price trend (trading below key moving averages) despite oversold technical readings. Valuation is reasonable with only a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth & margins
TBS shows steady top-line growth with robust gross and net margins, indicating durable content monetization and cost control. Healthy margins support reinvestment in programming and distribution, sustaining profitability even through moderate advertising cycles.
Very low leverage / strong equity base
An exceptionally low debt burden and high equity ratio provide financial flexibility to fund strategic content investments or absorb advertising downturns without stressing credit. This conservative capital structure reduces insolvency risk and enables long-term planning.
Diversified content & distribution mix
Revenue comes from advertising, sponsorships, content fees, licensing and distribution, giving multiple monetization channels. This structural diversification helps offset declines in any single channel and supports long-term revenue resilience as consumption shifts.
Negative Factors
Negative free cash flow
Persistent negative free cash flow due to high capex can strain liquidity and limit capacity to self-fund content, dividends, or M&A. Over the medium term this may force external financing or cutbacks that could weaken strategic initiatives and flexibility.
Weak cash conversion
Only about half of reported earnings convert to operating cash, indicating accrual-driven profits or working-capital pressure. Poor cash conversion reduces internal funding for growth and increases sensitivity to revenue volatility or margin compression.
Dependence on ad revenues & ratings
A core reliance on advertising linked to audience ratings exposes the business to secular shifts in ad spend and fragmented viewership. Sustaining long-term revenue requires continuous content investment and digital adaptation, pressuring margins and capital needs.

TBS HOLDINGS INC. (9401) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

TBS HOLDINGS INC. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTBS HOLDINGS INC. (9401) is a Japanese company primarily engaged in the logistics and transportation sector, specializing in the provision of comprehensive supply chain solutions. The company operates through various segments, including transportation, warehousing, and distribution services, catering to a diverse range of industries. TBS HOLDINGS is known for its commitment to efficiency and innovation, offering services such as freight forwarding, customs clearance, and integrated logistics management.
How the Company Makes MoneyTBS HOLDINGS INC. generates revenue primarily through its logistics and transportation services. The company earns money by charging clients for freight transportation, warehousing solutions, and value-added services such as inventory management and order fulfillment. Key revenue streams include contracts with large corporate clients who require consistent and reliable logistics support, as well as one-time shipments for smaller businesses. Additionally, TBS HOLDINGS may benefit from strategic partnerships with shipping companies and technology providers, enhancing its service offerings and operational efficiency. The company's focus on expanding its service portfolio and geographical reach also contributes to its overall earnings.

TBS HOLDINGS INC. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong income statement (revenue growth and solid margins) and a very conservative balance sheet with minimal leverage support fundamentals, but the score is pulled down by weak cash flow quality, including negative free cash flow driven by high capital expenditures.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
TBS HOLDINGS INC. demonstrates strong revenue growth with a consistent upward trajectory, achieving a 3.14% increase in revenue from 2024 to 2025. The gross profit margin remains robust at 31.67% for 2025, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin is also impressive at 10.80%, showcasing profitability in operations. EBIT and EBITDA margins further reinforce operational efficiency, showing substantial margins of 4.71% and 21.54% respectively. These figures highlight a stable and profitable income statement.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02 in 2025, indicating minimal leverage and a strong equity base. The return on equity stands at 4.69%, suggesting reasonable returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is healthy at 72.19%, underscoring a strong capital structure with significant equity backing total assets. Despite some fluctuations in total assets, the overall financial stability remains commendable.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals some challenges, with a negative free cash flow in 2025, driven by substantial capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.53, indicating moderate cash generation from operations relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting potential liquidity constraints. The cash flow statement suggests a need for careful cash management to ensure liquidity and operational flexibility.
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue408.73B406.70B394.31B368.13B358.27B325.68B
Gross Profit130.99B128.74B120.42B116.42B114.82B95.42B
EBITDA37.11B87.60B74.69B69.27B63.46B60.81B
Net Income47.24B43.91B38.13B35.18B32.01B28.07B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.42T1.30T1.57T1.07T1.20T1.10T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments51.82B74.63B43.74B97.65B98.78B116.12B
Total Debt14.31B14.15B3.88B20.21B26.19B28.04B
Total Liabilities369.95B346.89B417.56B271.68B318.63B305.34B
Stockholders Equity1.04T935.71B1.14T780.67B868.45B781.37B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-282.00M15.22B2.39B-32.00B-19.12B
Operating Cash Flow0.0023.28B26.54B30.63B-2.85B22.71B
Investing Cash Flow0.0013.64B-29.56B-7.35B-8.15B-8.62B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-6.11B-51.01B-24.49B-8.16B16.90B

TBS HOLDINGS INC. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5684.00
Price Trends
50DMA
5940.04
Negative
100DMA
5723.40
Positive
200DMA
5368.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-55.18
Negative
RSI
51.92
Neutral
STOCH
53.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9401, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5684 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5863.75, below the 50-day MA of 5940.04, and above the 200-day MA of 5368.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -55.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9401.

TBS HOLDINGS INC. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
¥955.96B16.725.45%1.30%4.55%-7.49%
69
Neutral
¥858.44B13.505.67%1.03%7.90%54.01%
69
Neutral
¥121.97B12.341.71%7.01%72.94%
68
Neutral
¥813.52B36.437.53%1.67%0.97%12.23%
64
Neutral
¥342.65B10.037.18%1.79%6.63%80.44%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
45
Neutral
¥796.43B-37.67-1.72%1.40%-6.29%-141.32%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9401
TBS HOLDINGS INC.
5,910.00
1,810.49
44.16%
JP:4676
Fuji Media Holdings
3,581.00
1,172.41
48.68%
JP:9404
Nippon Television Holdings
3,400.00
572.81
20.26%
JP:9412
SKY Perfect JSAT Holdings
2,871.00
1,835.88
177.36%
JP:9409
TV Asahi Holdings
3,375.00
866.82
34.56%
JP:9413
TV Tokyo Holdings Corporation
4,455.00
1,006.36
29.18%

TBS HOLDINGS INC. Corporate Events

TBS Holdings to Assume Ownership of Core Broadcast Center in Capital-Efficiency Move
Feb 5, 2026

TBS HOLDINGS has approved a simplified absorption-type company split under which it will take over ownership of the TBS Broadcast Center in Akasaka, Tokyo, from its wholly owned subsidiary, TOKYO BROADCASTING SYSTEM TELEVISION, effective April 1, 2026. The move, executed without share or cash consideration and with no change in capital, is positioned as part of the group’s Mid-term Business Plan 2026 to enhance capital efficiency and manage assets on a portfolio basis, consolidating key real estate under the holding company and streamlining balance-sheet control across the group.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9401) stock is a Buy with a Yen6472.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TBS HOLDINGS INC. stock, see the JP:9401 Stock Forecast page.

TBS Holdings Delivers Strong Nine-Month Earnings and Raises Payout While Expanding Group Portfolio
Feb 5, 2026

TBS HOLDINGS reported solid growth for the nine months ended 31 December 2025, with net sales up 5.4% year-on-year to ¥319.3 billion and operating profit rising 11.3% to ¥24.6 billion. Ordinary profit climbed 12.8% to ¥38.5 billion, while profit attributable to owners of the parent surged 27.4% to ¥55.7 billion, lifting earnings per share to ¥352.94 and driving a sharp recovery in comprehensive income. The company’s financial position strengthened, with total assets expanding to ¥1.55 trillion and equity reaching ¥1.12 trillion, keeping its equity ratio above 70%. TBS confirmed a higher dividend trajectory, paying ¥35 per share at the second quarter and maintaining a full-year forecast of ¥73 per share, and it continued to ramp up treasury share holdings, which also supported EPS growth. The group added three companies to its consolidation scope, indicating ongoing portfolio expansion, and left its full-year forecast unchanged, targeting a 6.0% rise in net sales to ¥431.0 billion and a 19.5% increase in full-year profit attributable to owners to ¥52.5 billion, underscoring management’s confidence in sustained earnings momentum.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9401) stock is a Buy with a Yen6472.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TBS HOLDINGS INC. stock, see the JP:9401 Stock Forecast page.

TBS Holdings Strikes US$150 Million Strategic Alliance with Legendary to Globalise Japanese IP
Jan 15, 2026

TBS HOLDINGS has entered into a capital and business alliance with U.S. film production and media company Legend Pictures, LLC (Legendary), investing US$150 million through its wholly owned subsidiary THE SEVEN US, INC. The partnership will focus on co-developing video content based on Japanese intellectual property such as manga, animation and games for worldwide distribution, leveraging TBS’s track record with globally recognised dramas like “Alice in Borderland” and “Yu Yu Hakusho” and Legendary’s success with major franchises including “Dune,” “Godzilla” and “A Minecraft Movie.” The move is a key pillar of TBS’s Medium-Term Business Plan 2026, aimed at establishing a strategic production base in North America and deepening collaboration with U.S. entertainment companies, positioning the group to enhance the global value of its IP while the immediate financial impact on earnings for the year ending March 2026 is expected to be limited.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9401) stock is a Buy with a Yen6472.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TBS HOLDINGS INC. stock, see the JP:9401 Stock Forecast page.

TBS Holdings Director Resigns Over Fraudulent Expense Claims
Dec 25, 2025

TBS HOLDINGS, INC. announced that Managing Director Shigetoshi Ida resigned effective December 25, 2025, after an internal investigation found he had fraudulently claimed reimbursements for entertainment expenses and he agreed to refund the amounts retroactively. The company characterized the misconduct as a serious breach of trust with stakeholders, issued an apology, and pledged to prevent any recurrence by further strengthening its corporate governance framework, signaling an effort to contain reputational damage and restore confidence in its management controls.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9401) stock is a Buy with a Yen6472.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TBS HOLDINGS INC. stock, see the JP:9401 Stock Forecast page.

TBS HOLDINGS Updates Shareholder Benefit Program to Enhance Engagement
Dec 4, 2025

TBS HOLDINGS, INC. announced changes to its shareholder benefit program as part of its long-term management vision, ‘TBS Group VISION2030,’ and its medium-term business plan, ‘TBS Group Medium-Term Business Plan 2026.’ These changes aim to deepen shareholder understanding and engagement by providing more opportunities to experience the company’s content. The updated program includes modifications to the benefits offered, such as the removal of certain events and the introduction of new fan event measures, effective from March 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9401) stock is a Buy with a Yen6611.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TBS HOLDINGS INC. stock, see the JP:9401 Stock Forecast page.

TBS HOLDINGS Expands U.S. Subsidiary with Major Capital Injection
Dec 4, 2025

TBS HOLDINGS, INC. announced an additional capital contribution to its wholly-owned subsidiary, THE SEVEN US, INC., in the United States. This move aims to enhance the subsidiary’s overseas content development and business operations, classifying it as a ‘Specified Subsidiary’ due to its increased capital. The impact on TBS HOLDINGS’ consolidated operating results is expected to be minimal.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9401) stock is a Buy with a Yen6611.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TBS HOLDINGS INC. stock, see the JP:9401 Stock Forecast page.

TBS HOLDINGS Revises Dividend Forecast Upward Amid Strong Revenue
Nov 11, 2025

TBS HOLDINGS, INC. has revised its year-end dividend forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, increasing it from ¥35 to ¥38 per share, resulting in an annual dividend of ¥73 per share. This decision reflects the company’s strong financial performance, driven by increased broadcasting revenue and robust spot advertising revenue, aligning with its policy to provide stable and continuous dividends.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9401) stock is a Hold with a Yen5728.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TBS HOLDINGS INC. stock, see the JP:9401 Stock Forecast page.

TBS HOLDINGS Reports Strong Financial Growth and Strategic Expansion
Nov 11, 2025

TBS HOLDINGS, INC. reported a significant increase in its financial performance for the six months ending September 30, 2025, with net sales rising by 6.5% and profit attributable to owners of the parent increasing by 35.2% compared to the previous year. The company also announced revisions to its earnings forecasts and dividend payments, reflecting a positive outlook for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, and the consolidation of two new companies, indicating strategic growth and expansion.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9401) stock is a Hold with a Yen5728.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TBS HOLDINGS INC. stock, see the JP:9401 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026