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Hyakugo Bank Ltd (JP:8368)
:8368

Hyakugo Bank (8368) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8368

Hyakugo Bank

(8368)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,638.00
▲(75.94% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is driven primarily by steady financial performance (growth and operating stability, but constrained by leverage/ROE and uneven historical cash flow) and strong technical momentum (price well above key moving averages with positive MACD). Valuation and income support are comparatively weaker due to a higher P/E and modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Regional franchise and deposit-funded lending
A focused regional banking model serving consumers, SMEs and local governments creates stable, relationship-driven deposit funding and recurring loan demand. That durable local franchise supports predictable net interest income and customer stickiness over a multi‑month horizon.
Consistent revenue growth and margins
Sustained top-line growth combined with a strong gross profit margin points to effective pricing and cost control. This trend underpins operating stability and provides room to invest in fee businesses or digital channels, supporting durable earnings power over 2–6 months and beyond.
Improving cash flow and leverage management
A material turnaround in free cash flow and notable improvement in debt metrics increase financial flexibility. Stronger cash generation and de-risked leverage enhance the bank's ability to absorb shocks, fund lending, and allocate capital sustainably over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Relatively high leverage
Despite progress, elevated leverage means higher sensitivity to credit losses or funding stress. Persistent high debt levels can constrain capital buffers and limit the pace of loan growth or shareholder returns, posing a structural constraint on long‑term financial flexibility.
Modest return on equity
A modest ROE signals limited earnings efficiency versus peers and suggests the bank may struggle to convert asset growth into shareholder value. Improving ROE typically requires sustained margin expansion, higher loan yields, or material cost efficiencies—structural levers that take time to execute.
Historical cash-flow volatility
Although cash flow has recently improved, prior negative free cash flow episodes indicate operational and liquidity volatility. Until cash generation proves consistently stable, the bank faces execution risk in funding credit growth, provisioning, and long‑term investments.

Hyakugo Bank (8368) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Hyakugo Bank Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHyakugo Bank (8368) is a regional bank based in Japan, primarily serving the Gifu and Mie Prefectures. The bank offers a wide range of financial services, including commercial banking, retail banking, and asset management. Its core products include savings accounts, personal and business loans, investment products, and various financial services tailored to meet the needs of individuals, small to medium-sized enterprises, and local corporations.
How the Company Makes MoneyHyakugo Bank’s earnings are primarily driven by (1) net interest income and (2) non-interest income (fees and commissions), with additional contributions from securities-related income and other banking activities. 1) Net interest income (core driver) - The bank takes deposits (a relatively low-cost funding source) and extends loans to customers. - It earns interest on loans and other interest-bearing assets and pays interest on deposits and other funding; the spread between these is net interest income. - Key balance-sheet activities that support this stream typically include: corporate lending to local businesses, residential mortgage lending, and consumer/other retail lending, funded mainly by customer deposits. 2) Fee and commission income - The bank generates fees from providing services such as payment and settlement (e.g., domestic remittances/transfers), account-related services, and other banking transactions. - It may also earn commissions from arranging or distributing financial products and services (e.g., investment products or insurance) to customers. Specific product categories and scale: null. 3) Securities and treasury-related income - Like many banks, it can invest part of its liquidity in securities and other financial instruments to manage liquidity and earn returns. - Income can include interest/dividends and gains/losses on the sale or revaluation of securities. The exact portfolio mix and contribution: null. 4) Other income factors - Credit costs (loan loss provisions) and operating expenses materially affect profitability even when revenue is stable. - Significant partnerships, group companies, or named strategic alliances tied directly to earnings: null.

Hyakugo Bank Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid income statement strength (consistent revenue growth and stable operating margins), but overall financials are held back by modest return on equity, still-high leverage despite improvement, and a cash-flow profile that has improved yet shows prior volatility.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Hyakugo Bank has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable 6.8% increase in the most recent year. The gross profit margin remains strong, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin, while improving, still suggests room for enhancing profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, reflecting solid operational performance.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The bank's debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly, indicating better leverage management, although it remains relatively high. Return on equity is modest, suggesting potential for improved shareholder returns. The equity ratio indicates a stable capital structure, but the high debt levels could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow situation has improved, with a significant turnaround in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating effective cash generation relative to earnings. However, past negative cash flows highlight the need for continued focus on cash management.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue123.88B123.19B117.73B101.05B96.29B89.50B
Gross Profit106.93B104.41B102.01B90.96B89.77B81.29B
EBITDA23.28B29.30B23.64B24.39B23.16B22.51B
Net Income16.44B18.04B14.28B14.49B13.40B12.96B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.66T7.43T8.10T7.52T7.75T7.45T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.00665.53B1.41T1.35T1.87T1.57T
Total Debt770.86B703.60B1.37T1.45T2.17T2.25T
Total Liabilities7.22T7.00T7.60T7.13T7.35T7.06T
Stockholders Equity446.07B435.45B496.92B392.03B401.85B394.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0034.40B-28.86B-559.28B53.00B580.59B
Operating Cash Flow0.0038.59B-25.44B-556.45B55.95B583.74B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-29.01B-18.11B38.60B249.80B114.02B
Financing Cash Flow0.0074.75B138.16B-2.91B-2.82B-2.41B

Hyakugo Bank Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price931.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1483.32
Positive
100DMA
1266.53
Positive
200DMA
1031.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
9.85
Positive
RSI
48.45
Neutral
STOCH
61.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8368, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 931 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1550.55, below the 50-day MA of 1483.32, and below the 200-day MA of 1031.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 9.85 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:8368.

Hyakugo Bank Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥330.45B9.602.94%1.91%9.73%
76
Outperform
¥367.76B9.108.52%2.12%22.44%59.32%
72
Outperform
¥342.21B10.183.01%19.69%70.91%
71
Outperform
¥249.41B8.217.61%3.81%17.68%20.15%
68
Neutral
¥381.39B11.653.95%2.19%9.29%28.34%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
¥413.02B14.751.50%15.79%78.27%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8368
Hyakugo Bank
1,504.00
760.76
102.36%
JP:8370
Kiyo Bank
3,895.00
1,576.21
67.98%
JP:8358
Suruga Bank
1,910.00
551.62
40.61%
JP:7380
Juroku Financial Group,Inc.
8,840.00
3,929.82
80.03%
JP:8366
Shiga Bank, Ltd.
8,800.00
3,721.53
73.28%
JP:8524
North Pacific Bank, Ltd.
931.00
410.99
79.04%

Hyakugo Bank Corporate Events

Hyakugo Bank Posts Higher Capital Adequacy Ratios in Third Quarter
Feb 12, 2026

Hyakugo Bank reported a consolidated domestic-standard capital adequacy ratio of 12.67% as of December 31, 2025, up 0.09 percentage point from the previous quarter, with equity capital rising to ¥295.4 billion and risk-weighted assets increasing to ¥2,330.8 billion. On a non-consolidated basis, the capital adequacy ratio improved to 12.26%, supported by higher equity capital and a larger risk asset base, underscoring the bank’s solid capital position and ongoing compliance with regulatory capital requirements despite expanding risk exposures.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8368) stock is a Hold with a Yen1700.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hyakugo Bank stock, see the JP:8368 Stock Forecast page.

Hyakugo Bank Delivers Strong Nine-Month Earnings and Hikes Dividend Forecast
Feb 3, 2026

Hyakugo Bank reported solid consolidated results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with ordinary income rising 22.9% year on year to ¥110.1 billion and ordinary profit up 9.1% to ¥22.3 billion, while profit attributable to owners of the parent increased 10.4% to ¥16.1 billion. Total assets expanded to ¥7.70 trillion and net assets to ¥504.4 billion, lifting the equity-to-asset ratio to 6.6%, alongside a sharp turnaround in comprehensive income to ¥77.5 billion from a loss a year earlier. The bank maintained its previously announced full-year forecast, targeting ordinary profit of ¥28.8 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥20.6 billion, and plans to raise annual dividends for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026 to ¥26 per share from ¥21, signaling confidence in earnings strength and a continued focus on shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8368) stock is a Hold with a Yen1494.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hyakugo Bank stock, see the JP:8368 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026