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Gunma Bank Ltd (JP:8334)
:8334

Gunma Bank (8334) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8334

Gunma Bank

(8334)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,547.00
▲(40.60% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/13/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong revenue growth and improving ROE, though cash flow is a key concern). Technicals are supportive due to the strong uptrend, but very overbought momentum raises near-term downside risk. Valuation and dividend yield are reasonable but not a major positive catalyst.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
A 38.94% revenue increase from 2024 to 2025 reflects durable expansion of core lending, fees and securities income. Sustained top-line growth increases earnings capacity, funds reinvestment in digital/branch services, and provides a larger base to absorb shocks over multiple quarters.
Improving ROE
ROE rising to 7.80% signals improved capital efficiency and profitability allocation. A structurally higher ROE enhances the bank's ability to generate shareholder returns, retain capital for lending, and build buffers against credit stress, supporting sustainable profitability over time.
Balance Sheet Strength
Moderate leverage (D/E 2.22) with a stable equity ratio indicates a conservative capital posture for a regional bank. This provides capacity to support loan growth, absorb losses, and maintain confidence with depositors and counterparties, underpinning durable franchise stability.
Negative Factors
Cash Conversion
Declining operating cash flow and negative free cash flow to net income reduce internal funding capacity and increase reliance on financing activity. Over months this can constrain investment, dividend flexibility and liquidity buffers if operating cash trends do not recover.
Margin Pressure
A material drop in EBIT margin points to rising operating costs or lower operating leverage. Persisting margin compression would erode the durability of net income improvements, making profitability more sensitive to funding costs and credit losses over the medium term.
Regional Concentration Risk
Heavy reliance on Gunma Prefecture customers concentrates credit and deposit exposure to local economic cycles. This structural concentration limits diversification, can cap long-term growth opportunities, and raises vulnerability to regional downturns or sector-specific shocks.

Gunma Bank (8334) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Gunma Bank Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Gunma Bank, Ltd. provides various banking and financial products and services in Japan. The company engages in the fund management activities, including investment in securities and funding in the call market; and accepting deposits and negotiable certificates of deposit, as well as the provision of loans. It also provides securities investment, leasing, derivative transaction, and proprietary derivative trading services. The Gunma Bank, Ltd. was founded in 1932 and is based in Maebashi, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyGunma Bank generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income comes from net interest income, which is earned from the difference between the interest rates on loans extended to customers and the interest paid on deposits. The bank provides various loan products, including personal loans, mortgages, and business loans, which contribute significantly to its interest income. Additionally, the bank earns fee-based income from transaction services, asset management, and investment advisory services. The bank may also engage in financial market operations, including trading and investment in securities, which can provide additional revenue. Strategic partnerships with local businesses and government entities further enhance its revenue potential by fostering a stable customer base and promoting lending opportunities. Overall, Gunma Bank's diversified revenue model allows it to adapt to changing market conditions while supporting local economic development.

Gunma Bank Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth (38.94% from 2024 to 2025) and improved profitability (ROE up to 7.80%) support the score, with stable leverage for a bank. The main offset is weak cash conversion, as operating cash flow declines and free-cash-flow metrics are negative.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Gunma Bank has shown a steady increase in total revenue over the years, with a notable revenue growth rate of 38.94% from 2024 to 2025. The gross profit margin is robust, consistently above 76%. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT margin from 30.19% in 2024 to 19.79% in 2025, indicating rising operational costs. The net profit margin improved significantly from 20.55% in 2024 to 20.86% in 2025, highlighting effective cost management.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.22 in 2025, indicating moderate leverage for a bank. The return on equity increased to 7.80% in 2025 from 5.43% in 2024, showing improved profitability. The equity ratio remains stable at approximately 5.33%, ensuring adequate equity financing.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Gunma Bank's cash flow statements show negative free cash flow growth due to significant decreases in operating cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting challenges in converting income into cash flow. However, the bank has been active in managing its financing activities to maintain liquidity.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue176.13B210.43B191.22B168.23B141.97B135.10B
Gross Profit176.13B160.15B151.44B152.61B140.10B132.57B
EBITDA47.79B67.70B49.17B45.47B46.65B26.30B
Net Income46.80B43.90B31.13B27.93B26.44B13.50B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.63T10.56T10.82T10.66T11.15T10.62T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.001.28T1.84T1.83T2.65T2.33T
Total Debt1.18T1.10T1.65T1.02T1.63T1.39T
Total Liabilities10.05T9.99T10.25T10.15T10.62T10.07T
Stockholders Equity579.50B562.94B573.09B515.81B529.25B548.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-603.17B-603.17B22.76B-661.97B453.61B1.98T
Operating Cash Flow-597.11B-597.11B27.10B-656.17B459.59B1.99T
Investing Cash Flow54.96B54.96B411.00B-153.32B-127.81B-498.37B
Financing Cash Flow-32.30B-32.30B-13.53B-8.07B-9.28B-5.16B

Gunma Bank Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1811.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1952.17
Positive
100DMA
1794.41
Positive
200DMA
1567.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
60.94
Positive
RSI
55.91
Neutral
STOCH
23.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8334, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1811.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2146.05, below the 50-day MA of 1952.17, and above the 200-day MA of 1567.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 60.94 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8334.

Gunma Bank Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥561.52B12.723.15%12.71%71.94%
70
Outperform
¥951.93B14.935.37%2.87%14.57%100.81%
70
Outperform
¥589.05B14.623.21%19.82%29.59%
69
Neutral
¥860.92B15.148.19%3.14%15.77%27.55%
69
Neutral
¥1.03T13.902.10%1.39%52.58%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
¥1.17T17.322.00%18.45%41.89%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8334
Gunma Bank
2,262.00
1,163.73
105.96%
JP:8359
Hachijuni Bank
2,079.50
1,142.82
122.01%
JP:5830
Iyogin Holdings,Inc.
3,394.00
1,793.39
112.04%
JP:7167
Mebuki Financial Group, Inc.
1,343.00
713.36
113.30%
JP:7327
Daishi Hokuetsu Financial Group, Inc.
2,041.00
1,156.42
130.73%
JP:7337
Hirogin Holdings, Inc.
1,936.50
790.54
68.98%

Gunma Bank Corporate Events

Gunma Bank Lifts Nine-Month Profit, Nears Full-Year Target Ahead of Schedule
Feb 3, 2026

Gunma Bank reported strong results for the nine months ended December 2025, with profit attributable to owners of parent rising to 44.7 billion yen, an increase of 12.9 billion yen year-on-year and already 81.4% of its 55 billion yen full-year target, indicating the bank is ahead of schedule on its earnings plan. Core business gross profit and net interest income both grew solidly on a non-consolidated basis, supported by higher domestic and international interest income and improved gains on investment securities, while expenses remained controlled, contributing to higher core business net profit and robust ordinary profit, underscoring steady operational performance and improved profitability metrics such as ROE and cost efficiency for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8334) stock is a Hold with a Yen2124.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gunma Bank stock, see the JP:8334 Stock Forecast page.

Gunma Bank Posts Strong Nine-Month Earnings, Affirms Full-Year Forecasts and Higher Dividends
Feb 3, 2026

Gunma Bank reported solid consolidated results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with ordinary income of ¥199.3 billion, up 19.8% year on year, ordinary profit of ¥65.1 billion, up 44.5%, and profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥44.8 billion, up 40.5%. Basic earnings per share rose to ¥117.69, supported by a stronger financial position as total assets increased to ¥10.77 trillion and net assets to ¥605.5 billion, lifting the equity-to-asset ratio to 5.6%. The bank left its earnings and dividend forecasts unchanged, targeting full-year fiscal 2025 ordinary profit of ¥78.0 billion, profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥55.0 billion, and annual dividends of ¥60 per share, indicating confidence in sustained earnings growth and continued shareholder returns despite the absence of special accounting changes or one-off effects. These results, alongside higher equity and stable guidance, suggest a strengthening capital base and underscore Gunma Bank’s continued efforts to enhance profitability and shareholder value in a competitive regional banking environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8334) stock is a Hold with a Yen2124.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gunma Bank stock, see the JP:8334 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 13, 2026