OUG Holdings Inc. (8041) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥25.51B
• Dividend Yield: 2.46%
• Average Volume (3M): 5.48K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 5.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.43
• Revenue Growth: 5.27%
• EPS Growth: 9.51%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 1,327
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Agricultural Farm Products
• EPS (TTM): 387.02
• Shares Outstanding: 5,562,292
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 3,470
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 5,483
• PEG Ratio: 0.15
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.49
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.05
• P/FCF Ratio: 17.01
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 72 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥5,117.00 ▲(30.54% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 10/30/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 10/30/25

The overall stock score is primarily driven by strong valuation metrics, with a low P/E ratio and attractive dividend yield suggesting potential undervaluation. Financial performance is solid, with revenue growth and profitability improvements, though cash flow challenges remain. Technical analysis presents mixed signals, with the stock trading below key moving averages but neutral RSI and high stochastic values.

Positive Factors

Improved Return on Equity

ROE rising to 12.73% indicates management is deploying shareholder capital more effectively. Coupled with an equity ratio of 39.39%, the company shows improved profitability per unit of equity, supporting sustainable shareholder returns and reinvestment capacity over the medium term.

Consistent Revenue Growth

A 5.06% revenue increase alongside a stable gross margin (~8.96%) reflects steady demand and disciplined cost control in its restaurant operations. Sustained top-line growth with margin stability underpins scale benefits and long-term resilience of the business model.

Adequate Balance Sheet Health

Moderate leverage (debt/equity ~0.69) and a ~39% equity ratio suggest a stable capital structure and financial flexibility. This balance sheet positioning supports capital spending and operational needs while retaining capacity to navigate industry cyclicality over the coming months.

Negative Factors

Declining Free Cash Flow

A 26.73% drop in free cash flow driven by increased capex materially reduces cash available for dividends, debt reduction, or organic reinvestment. If elevated investment levels persist, the company may face sustained pressure on liquidity and greater reliance on external funding.

Weak Cash Conversion

Operating cash flow converts at only 60% of reported net income and free cash flow is 23% of net income, indicating earnings quality and working-capital or capex drag. Structurally weak cash conversion limits self-funding ability and raises medium-term liquidity risk.

Low Operational Margins

Very thin EBIT and EBITDA margins constrain the firm's capacity to absorb cost shocks, invest in growth, or build significant cash buffers. Persistent low operating profitability reduces competitive flexibility and weakens long-term cash generation compared with higher-margin peers.

OUG Holdings Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

OUG Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale of marine products in Japan. The company distributes marine products primarily to wholesalers; and mass retailers, such as supermarkets, restaurants, food and beverage shops, and processing companies. It also manufactures and sells fishery-related products; processes and sells fresh and frozen salmon-based fish, sushi and rice balls, and cut vegetables; and engages in sorting of marine and processed chilled products, as well as aquaculture business. In addition, the company is involved in the insurance agency and leasing businesses. The company was formerly known as Osaka Uoichiba Co., Ltd. and changed its name to OUG Holdings Inc. in October 2006. OUG Holdings Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

OUG Holdings Inc. generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its investments in subsidiary companies and joint ventures across its diversified sectors. The company earns income from real estate ventures through rental income and property sales, while its manufacturing operations contribute to revenue through the production and sale of goods. Additionally, OUG Holdings may engage in strategic partnerships that enhance its market reach and operational capabilities, allowing for increased sales and profitability. The company's focus on long-term investments ensures a steady flow of income from its portfolio, contributing significantly to its overall earnings.

OUG Holdings Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

OUG Holdings Inc. demonstrates solid revenue growth and profitability improvements, backed by stable margins. The balance sheet shows adequate financial health with manageable debt levels. However, cash flow challenges persist, necessitating strategic focus on enhancing liquidity and operational cash efficiency. Overall, the company maintains a strong financial position with potential for further improvements.

Income Statement

OUG Holdings Inc. has shown positive revenue growth with a current revenue increase of 5.06% compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin has remained stable around 8.96%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved to 1.29% from 1.09% due to higher net income, showcasing enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins, at 1.46% and 2.20% respectively, suggest room for improvement in operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet reflects a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.69, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The return on equity improved to 12.73%, showing effective utilization of equity. The equity ratio is 39.39%, providing a stable capital structure. However, the total debt remains significant, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a 26.73% decline in free cash flow due to increased capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.60, indicating moderate cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.23 suggests less cash available for distribution or reinvestment, requiring focus on improving cash flows.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	352.83B	350.09B	333.20B	325.02B	298.57B	298.31B
Gross Profit	32.27B	31.35B	28.21B	28.47B	26.86B	21.88B
EBITDA	8.47B	7.69B	4.93B	5.62B	3.52B	2.88B
Net Income	5.02B	4.53B	3.62B	3.08B	1.34B	1.14B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	96.57B	90.27B	91.15B	81.99B	78.74B	72.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.78B	2.79B	2.43B	2.74B	2.60B	2.07B
Total Debt	29.01B	24.52B	26.05B	26.79B	25.66B	22.83B
Total Liabilities	60.66B	54.71B	60.16B	56.06B	54.90B	49.59B
Stockholders Equity	35.90B	35.55B	30.99B	25.93B	23.84B	23.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	1.02B	1.39B	-366.00M	-1.72B	1.62B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	2.72B	2.01B	682.00M	-602.00M	2.57B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-417.00M	-1.20B	-936.00M	-1.35B	-1.10B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-1.94B	-1.11B	399.00M	2.48B	-1.55B

OUG Holdings Inc. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 3920.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8041, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3920 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4397.50, below the 50-day MA of 4117.90, and above the 200-day MA of 3844.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 180.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8041.

OUG Holdings Inc. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
1384	78 Outperform	¥27.15B	8.10	―	2.45%	21.60%	116.17%
8041	72 Outperform	¥25.51B	4.95	―	2.46%	5.27%	9.51%
1381	72 Outperform	¥22.35B	10.00	―	2.81%	5.47%	44.78%
9955	65 Neutral	¥37.81B	10.39	―	0.72%	-2.02%	103.08%
2938	63 Neutral	¥61.29B	25.68	―	0.34%	4.70%	-2.58%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
2874	56 Neutral	¥84.07B	27.62	―	1.86%	4.41%	-41.71%