Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd. (7821) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥148.47B
• Dividend Yield: 1.21%
• Average Volume (3M): 152.79K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 11.7
• Beta (1Y): 0.54
• Revenue Growth: 16.42%
• EPS Growth: 11.25%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 1,218
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Industrial - Infrastructure Operations
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 68,080,610
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 107,210
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 152,790
• PEG Ratio: 1.37
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.88
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.01
• P/FCF Ratio: 11.53
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 76 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥2,407.00 ▲(19.39% Upside)
• Action: N/A Date: 10/04/25
• Date: Action: N/A 10/04/25

Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd. demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability, which is the most significant factor in its overall score. Technical analysis supports a positive outlook with bullish momentum indicators. The valuation is fair, with a reasonable P/E ratio and moderate dividend yield. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data does not impact the score.

Positive Factors

Conservative capital structure

Maeda Kosen's very low leverage (debt/equity 0.06), high equity ratio and 13.86% ROE indicate a conservatively financed business. This durable capital structure supports investment flexibility, shields cash flow during downturns, and lowers refinancing risk over the medium term.

Strong cash generation

Sustained free cash flow growth (+23.1%) and an operating-cash-to-net-income ratio >1 show efficient cash conversion. Reliable cash generation underpins self-funded capex, dividend capacity and balance-sheet repairs, providing durable financial optionality across cycles.

High margins and revenue growth

Healthy revenue growth (~14.8% latest year) with strong gross and operating margins signals pricing power and operational efficiency. These margin profiles support durable profitability, fund reinvestment and reduce sensitivity of profitability to modest volume swings in the medium term.

Negative Factors

Cyclical demand exposure

Sales are materially linked to public and private infrastructure and construction activity, creating structural cyclicality. This dependence reduces revenue predictability and amplifies sensitivity to changes in public budgets or construction cycles over the coming quarters.

Limited recurring revenue

The company primarily sells products with no material recurring service or subscription income noted. This lack of recurring revenue makes cash flows and earnings more lumpy and increases reliance on continuous new project wins for sustained growth.

Rising debt trend to monitor

Although current leverage is low, the flagged gradual rise in debt over time reduces the margin for error if demand softens. Continued debt accumulation could constrain capital allocation, raise interest costs and weaken financial resilience in a downturn.

Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd. (7821) is a Japanese company primarily engaged in the development, manufacturing, and sales of various high-quality plastic products. The company operates in sectors such as packaging, industrial materials, and consumer goods, offering a diverse range of products including film, sheets, and containers. Maeda Kosen is recognized for its innovative approaches to material science and sustainable practices, contributing to its reputation in both domestic and international markets.

How the Company Makes Money

Maeda Kosen generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its plastic products to a wide range of industries, including food packaging, electronics, and medical supplies. The company's revenue model is based on direct sales to manufacturers and distributors, as well as partnerships with businesses looking for customized plastic solutions. Key revenue streams include bulk orders from industrial clients, retail sales of consumer goods, and licensing agreements for proprietary materials. Additionally, Maeda Kosen may benefit from collaborations with research institutions and other companies focused on sustainable materials, which can enhance its product offerings and open new markets.

Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd. exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, robust profitability, and efficient cash flow management. The company's low leverage and high return on equity further enhance its financial stability. While the balance sheet is solid, continued attention to debt levels is advisable.

Income Statement

Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd. has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 14.82% increase in the latest year, supported by healthy gross and net profit margins of 37.11% and 14.80%, respectively. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 20.29% and 25.73%, indicating efficient operational management. The consistent improvement in revenue and profitability metrics reflects a positive growth trajectory.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06, showcasing prudent financial leverage. The return on equity is strong at 13.86%, indicating effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 78.73%, reflecting a solid capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet is stable with a strong equity base, although the slight increase in debt levels over the years warrants monitoring.

Cash Flow

Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd. has shown impressive free cash flow growth of 23.10%, with a high operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.05, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.83 suggests efficient conversion of profits into cash. The cash flow metrics highlight strong liquidity and operational efficiency.

Breakdown	Jun 2025	Jun 2024	Jun 2023	Jun 2022	Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	64.11B	55.83B	50.20B	44.28B	43.24B
Gross Profit	23.79B	20.72B	18.08B	14.47B	15.93B
EBITDA	16.50B	14.74B	12.04B	8.50B	9.57B
Net Income	9.49B	7.98B	5.26B	4.18B	4.59B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	86.96B	80.24B	74.82B	68.76B	64.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	22.27B	21.43B	14.58B	12.81B	13.10B
Total Debt	3.87B	4.90B	20.66B	18.50B	16.50B
Total Liabilities	18.52B	17.72B	31.39B	27.12B	26.48B
Stockholders Equity	68.44B	62.52B	43.43B	41.64B	37.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	11.17B	9.07B	3.58B	-2.31B	3.76B
Operating Cash Flow	13.41B	12.02B	8.13B	2.02B	6.82B
Investing Cash Flow	-7.83B	-423.00M	-4.38B	-3.28B	-4.35B
Financing Cash Flow	-4.71B	-5.20B	-2.31B	1.10B	-440.00M

Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 2016.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7821, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2016 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2055.95, above the 50-day MA of 1989.50, and above the 200-day MA of 1937.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 49.92 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7821.

Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
4093	79 Outperform	¥15.49B	8.02	―	3.89%	-3.00%	-29.83%
4097	79 Outperform	¥60.95B	11.06	―	2.88%	3.42%	13.37%
7821	76 Outperform	¥148.47B	11.74	―	1.21%	16.42%	11.25%
4041	74 Outperform	¥220.00B	8.69	―	4.09%	1.69%	0.94%
4369	74 Outperform	¥108.22B	19.53	―	1.30%	47.56%	49.58%
4094	70 Outperform	¥52.13B	15.26	―	3.77%	8.54%	6.93%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%

Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Maeda Kosen Unveils 2Q FY2025 Results and Medium-Term Strategy

Maeda Kosen has released presentation materials covering its consolidated financial results for the second quarter of the fiscal year ending June 30, 2026, along with segment-level performance data and a full-year earnings forecast. The materials also outline the company’s M&A strategy and its medium-term business plan, branded “GLOBAL VISION ∞ -PART II-,” signaling ongoing efforts to refine long-term growth strategy and capital allocation.

By disclosing detailed segment summaries and guidance, Maeda Kosen is providing investors with greater visibility into operational performance and future direction. The emphasis on M&A and a structured medium-term plan suggests the company is positioning itself for strategic expansion and enhanced competitiveness in its markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7821) stock is a Buy with a Yen2196.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:7821 Stock Forecast page.

Maedakosen Delivers Strong Sales and Higher Dividend Despite Profit Slowdown Outlook

Maedakosen reported consolidated net sales of ¥37.9 billion for the six months ended December 31, 2025, up 16.5% year on year, while operating profit was broadly flat at ¥7.2 billion and ordinary profit rose 8.8%. Profit attributable to owners of parent increased 9.4% to ¥5.4 billion, earnings per share climbed to ¥80.56, and the equity ratio strengthened to 79.7%, underscoring a robust balance sheet and solid interim profitability.

The company raised its interim dividend to ¥14 per share and plans a full‑year payout of ¥28, signaling continued shareholder returns despite forecasting lower full‑year operating profit, ordinary profit, and net income. Full‑year net sales are projected to grow 5.3% to ¥67.5 billion, but profit is expected to decline versus the prior year, suggesting rising cost pressures or strategic investments that may weigh on margins even as top‑line growth continues.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7821) stock is a Buy with a Yen2196.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:7821 Stock Forecast page.