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Menicon Co Ltd (JP:7780)
:7780

Menicon Co (7780) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7780

Menicon Co

(7780)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,128.00
▲(33.25% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/30/25
Menicon Co's strong financial performance and bullish technical indicators are the primary drivers of its stock score. Despite a high P/E ratio suggesting overvaluation, the company's robust revenue growth and profitability, along with strong market momentum, support a favorable outlook. However, investors should be cautious of potential pullbacks due to overbought conditions and monitor the company's debt levels and cash flow management.
Positive Factors
High gross margin
A 53.6% gross margin signals durable product-level profitability and likely pricing power in contact lenses and care solutions. High gross margins create a structural buffer against input cost inflation, support R&D and capex funding, and underpin long-term margin sustainability.
Recurring consumables revenue
A business built on contact lenses plus recurring consumables and care solutions provides predictable, repeat revenue and higher customer lifetime value. This structural mix supports steady demand, easier forecasting, and durable cash flow from repeat purchases over months and years.
Solid equity base & OCF generation
A moderate leverage profile and ~46% equity ratio indicate financial resilience, while OCF well above net income (2.48x) shows real cash generation from operations. Together these fundamentals support reinvestment, working capital needs and strategic initiatives over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Rising total debt
An upward trend in total debt raises structural financing risk: higher interest and principal obligations can reduce flexibility for M&A, R&D or dividends. If growth slows, servicing rising debt could pressure cash flow and require deleveraging actions.
Negative free cash flow
Sustained negative free cash flow from heavy capex can force reliance on debt or equity to fund investments, limiting ability to return cash to shareholders. Structural capex intensity reduces near-term financial flexibility until FCF turns sustainably positive.
Modest/volatile operating margins
Relatively modest net and operating margins with historical fluctuation suggest limited buffer against demand shocks or cost increases. Margin variability points to operational efficiency risks and indicates management must improve cost structure to secure durable profitability.

Menicon Co (7780) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Menicon Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMenicon Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells contact lenses and lens care products. The company offers its products to hospitals, ophthalmology clinics, contact lens stores, eyeglass stores, and drug stores. It exports its products in 80 countries, including the United States, Europe, Oceania, and Asia. Menicon Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1943 and is headquartered in Nagoya, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMenicon generates revenue primarily through the sale of contact lenses and related products, which represent the core of its business model. The company offers a range of products, including daily disposable lenses, monthly lenses, and specialized lenses for astigmatism and presbyopia. Additionally, Menicon earns revenue from lens care solutions, such as cleaning and disinfecting solutions. Key revenue streams also include partnerships with eye care professionals and distribution agreements with optical retailers and clinics. The company invests in research and development to innovate new products and improve existing ones, which helps maintain its competitive edge in the industry. Menicon's global expansion and increasing demand for vision care products further contribute to its earnings.

Menicon Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Menicon Co demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability with a solid equity position. However, increasing debt levels and negative free cash flow due to high capital expenditures are areas of concern.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Menicon Co shows consistent revenue growth with a Revenue Growth Rate of 4.56% in the latest year. The Gross Profit Margin is strong at 53.58%, indicating good cost management. The Net Profit Margin improved to 4.63%, showing enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown some fluctuations, with the EBIT Margin at 8.28% and EBITDA Margin at 15.25%, suggesting room for efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 0.87, reflecting moderate leverage and a strong equity base. The Return on Equity (ROE) is 6.53%, indicating reasonable returns for shareholders. The Equity Ratio stands at 45.95%, showcasing a solid equity position relative to total assets. However, there is a noticeable increase in total debt over the years, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Menicon Co's Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.48, demonstrating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, Free Cash Flow is negative, impacted by significant capital expenditures, resulting in a challenging Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate has improved compared to the previous year, indicating better cash flow management but still needs attention.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue121.59B121.49B116.19B110.19B100.17B86.21B
Gross Profit64.66B65.08B61.01B58.48B52.88B45.82B
EBITDA18.23B18.52B15.74B19.33B17.52B14.13B
Net Income4.85B5.62B4.54B7.38B6.48B5.95B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets182.63B187.28B179.81B152.52B130.98B126.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.29B42.05B46.91B41.28B33.05B41.45B
Total Debt76.26B75.09B70.79B53.58B42.44B45.30B
Total Liabilities97.74B101.12B98.01B77.86B63.94B65.75B
Stockholders Equity84.82B86.10B81.75B74.61B66.99B60.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-77.00M-9.47B-226.00M-3.23B-1.25B
Operating Cash Flow0.0013.94B11.87B12.75B12.72B10.63B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-19.66B-21.57B-13.78B-16.15B-15.63B
Financing Cash Flow0.00714.00M14.55B8.90B-5.40B28.91B

Menicon Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1597.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1667.66
Positive
100DMA
1508.76
Positive
200DMA
1326.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
71.95
Negative
RSI
73.60
Negative
STOCH
73.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7780, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1597 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1775.35, below the 50-day MA of 1667.66, and above the 200-day MA of 1326.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 71.95 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.60 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7780.

Menicon Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥9.54T38.5520.74%1.01%8.83%8.63%
79
Outperform
¥48.22B11.413.22%12.92%29.48%
74
Outperform
¥144.55B20.755.97%1.78%3.17%7.07%
71
Outperform
¥165.12B33.412.73%5.10%-26.13%
65
Neutral
¥124.17B14.6528.56%1.97%17.13%78.33%
52
Neutral
¥17.16B14.632.65%0.81%-26.76%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7780
Menicon Co
1,900.00
653.09
52.38%
JP:7741
HOYA
28,265.00
10,481.69
58.94%
JP:3046
JINS HOLDINGS
5,320.00
-1,271.31
-19.29%
JP:5889
Japan Eyewear Holdings Co.,Ltd.
1,998.00
-94.09
-4.50%
JP:7730
Mani, Inc.
1,676.00
360.40
27.39%
JP:7743
Seed Co., Ltd.
567.00
83.15
17.19%

Menicon Co Corporate Events

Menicon Posts Higher Nine-Month Profit and Confirms Full-Year Outlook
Feb 13, 2026

Menicon reported consolidated net sales of ¥93.9 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, up 2.6% year on year, with operating profit rising 5.0% and profit attributable to owners of parent jumping 24.1% to ¥6.35 billion, supported by higher comprehensive income and an improved equity-to-asset ratio of 48.1%. The company maintained its full-year forecast, projecting modest sales and profit growth for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, kept its dividend outlook unchanged at ¥28 per share, and noted a completed business combination accounting adjustment and the exclusion of one subsidiary from consolidation, signaling stable operations and capital policy despite portfolio and accounting changes.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7780) stock is a Buy with a Yen1929.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Menicon Co stock, see the JP:7780 Stock Forecast page.

Menicon Releases 3Q FY2025 Results and Updates Milestone 2027 Progress
Feb 13, 2026

Menicon Co., Ltd. has released its consolidated financial results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, providing investors with an update on its performance through the third quarter of fiscal 2025. The company also presented its full-year fiscal 2025 earnings forecast and detailed progress toward its Milestone 2027 targets under its medium-term management plan, outlining how current results align with its longer-term strategic and financial objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7780) stock is a Buy with a Yen1929.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Menicon Co stock, see the JP:7780 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 30, 2025